AUD USD Sell IdeaIf we are to break sub structure lows, then I will be looking for a retracement up to those two red blocks and look for confirmed signs of structure shift from bullish to bearish. If I were to see that happen, I can look to take sells towards the green blocks down below as alligning with ict's ote.
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Ictstudent
A Nice SHORT in WTIHello again, traders. Long time to not post anything over here.
Since yesterday I had this operation opened. A nice short in WTI.
My main entry was in the orange line but once I saw price was not going to reach it, I had to switch into LTF to seek a refined entry. At least, I was sure price was going to go down around that zone so I took my risk and pulled the trigger.
At the time I am writting this: SL is at entry price, took partials and I will leave the trade running.
First -possible- TP: @ $60.60 .
Second -possible- TP: @ $57.28 (below the SSL) .
I like to trade WTI in the Daily Chart because it brings me a better understanding of what price is likely to do; also, since all this two years trading it and studying, WTI is moved by global news but price goes -always- where liquidity is.
Monthly Chart.
As you can see in this chart, I marked a high and a low; that is a Dealing Range (ICT term) . Or, you can see it as Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL) . That LH & LL creates a range and if we look back at the chart, the market structure is Bearish (in the Monthly chart, of course) .
One thing I have noticed about oil is that it retraces deep; if you use Fibonacci, use it in your Daily Chart and look it for yourself, WTI loves Fibonacci's 89% .
So, back again at the Monthly chart perspective, price last month went for all the liquidity above those two previous highs until it reached and filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG, ICT Term) and retraces.
Possibles zones where price can go in this retracement are deliniated with blue lines: $53.90 , $49.29 , $46.24 , $41.87 .
Weekly Chart.
You can see in detail what I mentioned ye above. Price purged the liquidity above those old highs and the retraces.
What I would like to see in the weekly chart? A run below $57.24. Why? Because if price break that zone, it would mean a Break of Structure (BOS) and would be more than likely than price reaches into some of the blue lines below.
After the run below, I would expect a retracement and I will open another short.
Hope this analysis likes you.
Until the next time, guys!
DXY Bullish after next weekThe reason for the bullish price movements on the DXY for the next couple of weeks is because of a correction that needs to take place. On the higher time frames you see a gap that is a very noticeable and price needs to correct and fill that gap up. They will first drop price a bit more to gain more buying power to then bring it back up for a correction. Please message me for any questions.
EURUSD Trade IdeaEURUSD has been bullish for some time. Expecting that bullishness to continue till it hits the 1.2000 level. A clear order block can be seen at the 1.19200 level. I'll be expecting price to fall to the 1.19200 level before expecting further signs of bullishness to the 1.2000 level. A possible 80 pips move. If price does not pullback to the 1.19200 level before hitting 1.2000, keep away from the trade. Stop loss will be at the 1.188766 level.
Pound Canadian Short Position Trade - 2021The analysis is based off my unique approach to seasonal tendencies when Price is in a Ranging Market. Taking 2020 as the third year if we look back until 2017 you will notice how, during this period, the market has been repeating a pretty noticeable Fractal Pattern. Taking that into account l predicted a significant high to form on the Pound Loonie during First Quarter of 2021 which has happened so far.
I'm anticipating the low of this Year to come around Aug-Sep, sweeping the lows around the 1.67387 level and finally taking out the Low created in March of 2020.
The Canadian Employment Numbers came in positive for the Loonie @259.2K far larger than the forecast of 75.0K, this occurrence might just be the Fundamental confluence needed for my Technical analysis to pan out as anticipated.
GBPUSD Short That's my long term prediction.
The price will likely go up retesting the order block, where smart money will Sell at Premium Price (right above equilibrium level).
Then the price will drop all the way down closing market structure and probably end up in OB (order Block).
Please comment below and let me know what do you think about it.
Thanks, have a great weekend!
Is this a STOP HUNT? H4/H1 vs. DAILY.In this video, I analyze SAXO:EURUSD
I encounter a possible STOP HUNT setup in DAILY timeframe.
BUT in H4 and H1, they made a BULLISH BMS; kinda put me into confusion and doubt too to execute my trade.
Now, I might just observe this unless it Bounce bounces back at my key level for possible LHA.
How can I improve?
- Incorporate Killzones next time.
- Plot 00's and 50's.
- Observe and backtest on trading the killzones an OPENING at 12:00 EST
bearish top down analysis According to sessional tendency EURUSD is bearish but Cot graph show the commercial increase their long and price action show the strong bullish move .but on1.21500 have FVG and fresh Bearish order block is strong level to looking sell . But i like to see price will go to in consolidation then watching total soap..
best of luck any quarries you may ask ..also check my previous analysis
bullish top down analysis according to sessional tendency February is bullish for the AUD. COT report and graph show the Commercial are silently increase their longs and close their short .. price action show the bullishness of Audusd because of high demand on institutional level (daily ob ).. best of luck check my previous analysis