BEARISH IN DXYMy overall bias is bearish for the short term. I believe I will get a good entry in EURUSD when the price reaches the BSL (BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY) at 105.895. The order flow is also bearish, indicating a higher chance for DXY to be bearish and other USD pairs to be bullish. This is basically my insight only.
Have a wonderful trading week!
MMTrades
Ictstudent
NZDUSD Will Ride Long?Cause of the possible bullish run for next week: mitigation of weekly FVG (a little bit below Equilibrium at discount)
Trend: Bullish as price has broke structure up (ChoCh)
Stage: Expansion but expecting a retracement into either the 1hr FVG or extreme FVG that will trigger a possible long opportunity.
What will cause this retracement is the mitigation of that ob in which price is within.
Time frames analysis (for setup identification and entry.)
On daily TF, the weekly FVG (first DOL) is more pronounced. So, I have a confluence there.
On 30min, Price is within a bearish OB that should cause the retracement I'm looking for (screen can't cover it but it is to the left side if you go to the chart).
Some people will short the retracement but I don't feel like yet as price might not retrace if it likes.
Those FVGs are either levels where I'm looking for a buying opportunity. I might decide to divide my risk since I have two possible levels. 0.25% for each if I'm risking 0.5% per day or 0.5% for each if I'm risking 1% per day.
(Another alternative is to go with a confirmatory entry). Anything more than two possible OBs or FVGs, I'm not working with it. I'd consider that multiple levels with a low probability setup.
All for educational purpose.😄
NZDUSD Will Ride Long?Cause of the possible bullish run for next week: mitigation of weekly FVG (a little bit below Equilibrium at discount)
Trend: Bullish as price has broke structure up (ChoCh)
Stage: Expansion but expecting a retracement into either the 1hr FVG or extreme FVG that will trigger a possible long opportunity.
What will cause this retracement is the mitigation of that ob in which price is within.
Time frames analysis (for setup identification and entry.)
On daily TF, the weekly FVG (first DOL) is more pronounced. So, I have a confluence there.
On 30min, Price is within a bearish OB that should cause the retracement I'm looking for (screen can't cover it but it is to the left side if you go to the chart).
Some people will short the retracement but I don't feel like yet as price might not retrace if it likes.
Those FVGs are either levels where I'm looking for a buying opportunity. I might decide to divide my risk since I have two possible levels. 0.25% for each if I'm risking 0.5% per day or 0.5% for each if I'm risking 1% per day.
(Another alternative is to go with a confirmatory entry). Anything more than two possible OBs or FVGs, I'm not working with it. I'd consider that multiple levels with a low probability setup.
All for educational purpose.😄
Buying Trend Continuation on CHFJPY. The Swiss Franc/ Japanese Yen pair appear to be on a strong bullish direction since September 2016. However, since January 2023, we can see a steeper and stronger bullish pressure on the pair.
The CHF/JPY pair is currently trading in a swing Premium level, and has been for months, but while we predict that the pair should sell, Fundamentals has also been adding to the massive gain in the CHF pair. Our confluences for a Bullish trend continuation include:
1. HTF bullish trend.
2. FVG range (146.402-149.287) is unbroken, but instead acts as a SUPPORT LEVEL.
3. Price hasn't still reached our main Point of Interest (POI, which is at 158.520).
4. Price is currently at Equilibrium on the Daily chart.
Therefore, we are expecting a consolidation on the 50% level, before an expansion towards 155.583. Let's be expectant between today and Friday.
AUDUSD: Buy/Long AUDUSD is weekly discount zone
Showed good bullish reaction from daily fvg (that was formed on 9th nov, 22), with upward displacement and MSS on multiple timeframe (1h, 4h & 1D)
left behind untested/unmitigated FVGs on multiple timeframes and also nested into htf fvg, to be rebalanced soon.
there is also a 1H bullish breaker block aligned with the 50% of current bullish PA.
my entry would be 50% of bullish breaker and stops below same 1H bullish breaker.
Analyse of The S&P 500 Hello Folks.
The S&p 500 just breached the high at4227.25 of the candle of 19 May and rejected the Monthly C.E of the wick of the august candle, if the price retarce to the daily FVG showen here and find support at it i think that the high 4243.25 could be taken. if the price didn't respect the daily FVG and passes trough it i will treat it as a IFVG and i will look to take the Weekly SSL at the low 4114.00.
im open to all new idea and criticisms in the comment section
IPDA on EURO FUTURES CONTRACTSellside and Buyside Have both been Purged Since the New Yearly Open with price Resting at the Midpoint of the overall Neutral Order Block we are currently sitting inside of. I am Neutral Until I see a significant Displacement Leg Form; Shifting Market Structure to a More High Probability Setup. For now I will Simply use the Weekly Range(s) of Liquidity on a Daily TF to Locate 4H Swing Highs/Lows for 1H Model Frameworks - allowing LTF 5min 3min 1min Entry Setups At HTF and MTF PD Arrays. Running sentence, sorry. #ICTStudent
** NOTE: Even though Long Term I am Neutral - I am Bearish on the Short Term till price Reacts off of the Bullish Breaker, because we are in a Bearish Weekly Candle with a confirmed Daily Swing High for Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday that has drawn a Daily Bearish FVG.
EURUSD Breakdown 1HRAfter having a High momentum Push down yesterday we see market moving upside in a low momentum so we expect sells highly to come in after filling the 1HR FVG and also taking out the BSL, So after taking out all those we wait for 1M Market shift and another BOS for 2ND Entry(Low risk) We SELLS
GBPUSD H1 analysisOn Friday I said price would deliver to the 22/05/22 nwog after an H1 candle close above 1.24260 before friday close but was too ambitious, instead price closed today at C.E (consequent encroachment) of the nwog. 1.25465 buyside is the first target for this week, so long as it doesnt trade below 1.24332 (23/04/23 NWOG low). Beautiful to see the algorithm deliver with accuracy like this :)
LONG EURUSDLONG EURUSD
First idea published. Don't execute on this.
Friday-Monday AM
- correction from previous week impulse leg
Sunday NY PM Session 13:00 sharp
- correction reaching into HTF (H4) order block from previous week
- potential low of the week formed
Tuesday London Session
- impulse leg
- leaving previous day high and candyland intact
- liquidity at candy land = multiple rejections at that level + FVG
- liquidity at double top, additional liquidity just above candyland)
Trade Idea
- Tuesday NY 8:30 correcting in discount territory of london impulse leg
- Tuesday NY 9:30 reaching for new highs
Short-Term Trade Entry (until end of week)
BUY LIMIT 1.09470
GSL 1.09197
TP1 + BE 1.09979
TP2 1.10730
TP3 1.11831
New York Midnight Open - Influential. Here is an example whereby the New York Midnight Open (NYMO) was influential.
Overnight trading and pre-equities open was drifting just below the NYMO price.
and once it broke above for the 2nd time with intent...it rallies hard higher for remainder of the mornings session.
However, as we breakdown lower, approaching the breakout area of the morning's rally, we see a great deal of support and unwillingness to break down further; as we enter the final hour of trading.
This is likely due to the original displacement 15min FVG / BISI which triggered the morning's move, with candle bodies respect the C.E. of the FVG, now acting as support.
And within that same vicinity is also the NYMO price. The market dips below the NYMO price, hitting the Bullish Order Block (+OB) perfectly, right at the 15:15 to 15:45 macro.
Which fires the market higher before the equities closing bell, running against those who were short from the lunchtime/afternoon run lower.