Gold will likely decrease then increase againFrom a technical standpoint, gold's recent breakout above a week-long consolidative trading range, approximately around $2,048 , signals a favorable environment for bullish traders. Notably, the occurrence of a golden cross, where the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed above the 200-day SMA, adds weight to the positive outlook.
This technical setup positions gold for potential further gains, with the $2,090 zone emerging as the next relevant hurdle. Should the momentum persist, there is a distinct possibility of gold reclaiming the psychologically significant $2,100 mark.
However, the path to glory is not without its challenges. A reversal below the aforementioned trading range resistance could lead to a retracement, with support levels at $2,026 and $2,017. A decisive break below the latter might trigger technical selling, leaving gold vulnerable to a more pronounced decline towards the psychological support at $2,000.
IDEA
Bullish What's going on with IDEA/USDT?50 & 200 about to cross
Volume Steadily Increasing
Rebounding from the .5 fib
Low Market_Cap with High Potential
If you zoom out with this one you can see since the price bottomed out it's been at a record high volume leading me to believe something is going on with this token that we're gonna find out later in time
GBPUSD trading strategy todayThe technical analysis of the Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) pairing adds another layer to the narrative. The currency pair is currently approaching a critical support level at $1.265, representing a potential pullback point. This level aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels, including the 50.0% retracement and the 61.8% projection levels. This confluence could act as a substantial support zone, providing a platform for a potential bounce-back.
For traders eyeing potential entry points, the advised buy entry is at $1.265, with this level considered a pullback support bolstered by Fibonacci confluence. Setting a strategic stop loss at $1.26000, just below the pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, aims to mitigate potential downside risks. In terms of potential gains, the take profit level is set at $1.2800 which aligns with a pullback resistance.
AUDUSD is likely to fall then rise againThe AUDUSD witnessed a remarkable rebound this week, surging to the 0.6791 level on Thursday, marking the highest level since late July.
After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, the bulls finally broke above the resistance trendline dating back to April 2022, adding to the market's optimistic sentiment that the upward reversal from the year's low point in October may continue. The RSI and the stochastic oscillator align with this view, as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels, respectively, without confirming overbought conditions.
The 0.6791 level, which has restricted both upward and downward trends for over a year, is currently under scrutiny. If it gives way, the upward momentum could accelerate toward the 0.6800 level and then rise to the double-top formation at 0.6894 from June to July 2023. If bulls make further progress, the next resistance may emerge around the 0.6980 area.
Alternatively, a downward correction may initially pause between the nearby support at 0.6655 and the breached resistance trendline. If this bottom holds, the asset might seek shelter near the exponential moving averages, currently situated between 0.6520 and 0.6600. Subsequent further declines could find stability around the 2020 ascending trendline at 0.6470 or lower near 0.6400. Afterward, attention might shift to the crucial 0.6269-0.6300 region.
Overall, the AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias. While the recent strong rebound may slow down, bulls could focus on the 0.6830 area as the potential endpoint of the upward impulse waves in the coming trading days.
In terms of trading strategy, buying the dips is recommended.
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact.
But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish.
On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
AUDUSD Market analysis strategy todayAUDUSD has seen a notable recovery this week, rising to 0.6791 on Thursday, marking its highest level since late July.
After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, bulls finally broke above the resistance trend line dating back to April 2022, adding to market optimism that the trend is reversing upwards from the lows of the year in October can continue. The RSI and stochastic oscillator are consistent with this view as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels respectively without confirming overbought conditions.
Overall, AUDUSD maintains an uptrend. Although the recent strong recovery may slow, bulls may focus on the 0.6830 area as this is the potential endpoint of the upward impulse waves in the coming trading days.
XAUUSD: Gold price analysis strategy todayDuring the Asian trading session on Thursday (December 12), spot gold price decreased slightly and is currently trading at 2037 USD. Yesterday, Fed officials remained hawkish and stated that there would be no 'immediate interest rate cuts'. It was another hawkish speech following the hawks after Powell signaled dovishness. At that time, the market must wait for more data before predicting the time and amplitude of interest rate cuts. However, US existing home sales rose unexpectedly yesterday, and all this surprising data suggests the existence of economic viscosity and inflation, suppressing bullish sentiment. of the market for gold.
XAUUSD is trending downYesterday's gold price in the Asian session mainly fluctuated in a narrow range. At the beginning of the US session, the gold price quickly climbed higher on the weaker dollar index, and it once closed to 2047. However, pressured by the hawkish remarks and strong economic data, the gold price slightly retraced, ultimately closing with a small bull candle. The current gold price is in the upper edge of the fluctuation range of the last 2 weeks and temporarily faces resistance. Back to the technical analysis, the daily uptrend is obvious, but the MACD signal has been at a high level. The 1-hour price stood above the 60-day moving average. It may be aligned to the 60-day MA in the lack of main intraday drivers. The support at $2028 should be focused on, and further support is at the $2015 level. Today's reference trading range is 2015-2048, in which you can still buy low and sell high, and aggressive traders can refer to a smaller range of 2028-2040.
EURUSD trading ideas todayThe EURUSD lost momentum on Wednesday as concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook intensified. However, the intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation is likely below 1.1008. A further rebound is expected as long as the 1.0722 support level is held. On the upside, a break above 1.1016 would resume the overall uptrend starting from 1.0450 and retest the high of 1.1274.
From a broader perspective, the EURUSD is still hovering within a consolidation zone in 2023 with strong resistance at 1.1275 (a 17-month high) and support at 1.0450 (a 10-month low).
If it breaks above the 200-week EMA, then it could touch the 200-week EMA at 1.1150 ahead of 1.1275. a move higher could shift the bias to bullish. However, any move below the 50-week and 100-week SMAs will cause it to fall to 1.0450, below which the psychological barrier of 1.0200 will be closely watched to prevent further declines.
In the near term, the EURUSD could break below 1.0880 and the 4-hour 100 SMA at 1.0870 to add bearish pressure and turn bears' attention to 1.0825 until the December low at 1.0715. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
GBPUSD trading strategy todayOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact.
But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish.
On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
$OZON will be ready for x2-x3 in some weeksMOEX:OZON I'm waiting for 1600-2000 with the perspective to reach 5000+ in a half of a year.
Some time of a patience is needed, a little bit, before we will be able to start rally.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
#furoreggs #investing #stocks #shares #idea #forecast #trading #analysis
If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view )
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GOLD: The gold price I expect today, December 21This is what we said before, once a trend has formed it cannot end anytime soon. The market no longer believes in the Fed's management of expectations anymore. Next year, the Federal Open Market Committee will have new members and then moderate officials will prevail. More data and time are needed to verify the resilience of inflation and the economy before changing policy. This Friday's core PEC and Q3 GDP data are crucial. The volatility pattern of gold prices will not change before.
Regarding trading, gold price yesterday fell to a low of 2021 USD, followed by upward fluctuations. The US market reached a recent high of $2047, surpassing the top of our range. Our short selling strategy failed, causing a small loss before we exited the market. Gold trading was very strong yesterday and the short-term market was completely dominated by sentiment. Don't be too stubborn and have a clear mind.
XAUUSD Today's gold strategy I predictGold prices yesterday during the Asian session mainly fluctuated in a narrow range. At the start of the US market, gold prices quickly surged amid a weakening dollar index and after a close until 2047. However, under pressure from hawkish theory and strong economic data strong, gold prices fell slightly, eventually closing. a small white body. Gold prices are currently at the upper edge of the volatility range over the past 2 weeks, where temporary resistance has been encountered. Back to technical analysis, the daily uptrend is still clear and the weakness is that the MACD signal is at high levels; The 1-hour candle stands above the 60-day moving average, but due to the lack of a key intraday chart, it will be aligned to the 60-day moving average. The following focus is on support for 2028 and further focus on support for 2015; Today's trading range may still be called 2015-2048, you can still buy low and sell high within the range, and progressives may refer to the smaller range 2028-2040.
EURUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceThe EURUSD appeared to be on firm footing on Monday after falling below the psychological barrier of 1.10 on Friday. However, the recovery is unlikely to last long as much weaker-than-expected German Ifo data and rising bearish momentum in the 1D timeframe are keeping the near-term trend under pressure.
Additionally, last week's (1W timeframe) long upper shadow and the repeated failure of the weekly close to break above the 1.1000 threshold exacerbated the negative signals of the momentum.
Currently, the price is holding above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0900 of the 1.0723 - 1.1009 uptrend line, which is expected to show a slight bullish bias, but more work on the upside (e.g., a close above 1.0950) would be needed to remove the downside threat; otherwise, a continuation of the bearish structure would be expected.
It fell below the threshold of 1.0900 and the 20-day SMA (1.0875), which will likely lead to further declines after the completion of the reversal pattern and the double top. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
GBPUSD: GBPUSD trend today December 19The dollar index fell 0.1% as markets weighed potential timing of 2024 Fed, ECB and BoE rate cuts and whether the BoJ on Tuesday will offer more clarity regarding when they might hike.
That came after last week's dovish Fed and hawkish ECB and BoE meetings and Fed speakers' pushback against big 2024 rate cut pricing.
EUR/USD rose 0.3% in line with the Bunds-Treasury yields spreads rebound fostered by more ECB policymakers arguing against early 2024 rate cuts with disinflation metrics not yet met. But German Ifo business sentiment worsened, creating risk of a second quarterly GDP drop and thus recession reading.
EURUSD is trending downThe euro gained 1.08% to $1.0991, the highest since Nov. 29. It is on track for its biggest daily percentage gain since Nov. 14.
The ECB kept rates steady and pushed back against bets on imminent cuts to interest rates on Thursday by reaffirming that borrowing costs would remain at record highs despite lower inflation expectations.
“The ECB was unable to “out-dove” yesterday's pivot by the Fed. The ECB continues to signal that rate hikes are done but their updated economic projections show no reason to hurry towards less restrictive policy,” said Samuel Zief, head of global FX strategy at JPMorgan Private Bank in London.
Gold trading trends and strategies todayFocusing on technical analysis, XAU/USD retains a bullish outlook, although its upward journey may encounter temporary setbacks. This means there could be transient pullbacks in the uptrend, especially if overbought conditions are reached. We are not there yet, but the 14-day RSI indicator is heading in that direction,
In terms of major levels to watch, resistance looms at $2,050. On further strength, the focus shifts to May’s peak near $2,075. Previous attempts to breach this barrier on a sustained basis have been unsuccessful, so history could repeat itself on a retest. However, if a decisive breakout materializes, a rally toward the 2023 swing high becomes a realistic prospect.
On the other hand, if upside momentum wanes and sellers spark a reversal, the first line of defense against a bearish attack appears at $2,010. Maintaining this floor is crucial; a failure to do so could reinforce downward pressure, exposing trendline support near $1,990. Below this threshold, all eyes will be on the 50-day simple moving average.
TVC:GOLD SELL 2038 - 2040
✔️TP1: 2033
✔️TP2: 2028
🚫SL: 2048
Gold trading ideasGold rose to around $2,030 an ounce on Thursday, hitting its strongest levels in a week as the dollar and Treasury yields weakened sharply after the US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and signaled three rate cuts in 2024.
Fed officials expect to lower rates by 75 basis points in 2024, more aggressive than indicated in September’s projections, and forecast softer inflation this year and next.
Markets are now pricing in a more than 70% chance of a Fed rate cut in March next year.
Investors now look ahead to policy decisions from other major central banks including the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.
OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2038 - 2036
✔️TP1: 2033
✔️TP2: 2028
🚫SL: 2041
EURUSD is trending downThe Federal Reserve is expected to leave interest rates on hold in a decision at 1900 GMT, and how the dollar moves afterward will depend on whether policymakers counter recent growing expectations for rate cuts next year, UniCredit Research analysts say in a note. UniCredit doesn't expect the Fed to "push back firmly against recent market expectations of aggressive rate cuts," which means EUR/USD could stabilize above 1.08. However, if the Fed suggests rate-cut expectations are overdone, the DXY dollar index should rally further above 104 and EUR/USD would retreat, albeit likely staying above 1.07, UniCredit says. EUR/USD trades flat at 1.0790 while the DXY rises 0.1% to 103.924.
Today's gold trading strategyGold was subdued around $1,980 an ounce on Wednesday, holding near its lowest levels in three weeks as investors cautiously awaited the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.
The US central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady, but traders will focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary amid bets of rate cuts in the first half of 2024.
Still, a robust US jobs report and upside risks to inflation could prompt policymakers to take a less dovish stance than what market participants anticipate.
Meanwhile, data released on Tuesday showed that US consumer inflation figures for November came largely in line with forecasts.
Investors also look ahead to monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England on Thursday.
OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD BUY 1977 - 1975
✔️TP1: 1982
✔️TP2: 1987
🚫SL: 1970