INDONESIA BANK BMRI With FALLING WEDGE and DOUBLE BOTTOM PATTERNINDONESIA STOCKS MARKET BMRI (BANKING SECTOR)
En : The red candle on 30 Sept shows us that already hit fibonacci external retracement on 1.272 (False break area) that means Double bottom in on the way, And if we put a trendline it shows us the chart formed a pattern called falling wedge so this 2 strong patterns will lead BMRI to minimum : 5450 the reason is because we use the past (nearest) classic resistance and second target price will be on 5825 this is fibonacci 1.618 external retracement and the third target price will be on 6225 to 6325 area this is Falling wedge pattern target price, and the reason of buying is because on 1st Oct the closing price is Bullish MAROBOZU CANDLE, and 2nd Oct the Closing price is a BULLISH HAMMER .
Thankyou!
SAHAM BANKING BMRI
ID : Candle merah pada 30 September sudah mencapai titik fibonacci 1.272 (area false break itu terjadi) menandakan double bottom akan terjadi, dan jika kita mengaris trendline chart akan menunjukan pembentukan pattern yang disebut falling wedge , jadi 2 pattern yang sangat kuat ini akan mengarahkan BMRI ke min 5450 target dengan alasan classic resistance sebelumnya price ke dua adalah di 5825 target price ini di fibonacci 1.618 external retracement dan target ke 3 pada BMRI ini adalah di 6225 - 6325 area tersebut adalah titik target price fallingwedge pada umumnya, dan alasan pembelian ini dikarenakan pada tanggal 1Oct clossing price nya adalah candle MAROBOZU BULLISH , dan pada 2Oct closing pricenya adalah Bullish hammer .
sekian dan terimakasih
IDX
BRIS VCP MinerviniDalam bukunya minervini disebutkan tentang metode VCP nya minervini, di pergerakan BRIS ini dapat dilihat BRIS sedang uptrend. Periode uptrend walau tidak panjang tetapi cukup lama dengan volume yang standar dan tidak signifikan berbeda.
Lalu kita lihat pola bar harian membentuk Symetric triangle, dengan volume yang terus menurun menunjukkan supply demand menurun. Ini yang disebut Volatility Contraction Pattern, lalu menurutstrategi Mark disiapkan posisi di atas break out dan stop loss di siapkan di triangle bawah dengan nilai maksimal 10%, lalu persiapan untuk Target price 30% setelah breakout dengan sell position di 20-30% dari total porto.
TLKM Normal Price versus Current PriceTLKM is one of Composite dominant contributor which the Stock price is still bearish now days. So let's see how the normal price of this stock index by simple view. Normal price actually is EPS x PER (IDR 4020). And this stock index has a normal price higher than current price (IDR 2650). So if you buy this stock now you get a discount. Happy trading!
IDX:TLKM
IDX IHSG COMPOSITE Elliott WaveHello, Traders.
I just want to share my thought about IDX : Composite index. I use Elliott Wave to predict the movement of Composite Index. I Hope my prediction can capture the future. If you have any comments or suggestions, just leave here. I will be very glad to hear what your thought.
Thank you
IDX dropping like a stoneHello, thanks for viewing.
I was going to post this last week, but thought no one probably cares. I put a lot of time into these, now I can't see how many people have viewed, and I get little feedback.
Anyway, spent the day reading story headlines like "Asian shares bounce on strong US open". Totally out of sync with what is happening here in Indonesia. In a few days Indonesia enters a second lockdown. Nothing like the first lockdown - or lockdown "lite" - as I called it. When the streets were still busy and every 4th person wasn't following protocols. Now it's a lockdown because the hospital system HAS reached maximum capacity. There is no back-up healthcare capacity to bring online. It is very rare to talk to anyone here who is taking the situation seriously.
Most of the businesses that continued during the first "soft" lockdown will be closed and access to the main airport will be heavily curtailed as of Monday. I'm not saying this with glee - I am caught up in all of this and everyone who hasn't taken it seriously is an obstacle to my family's best interests. Long story short, there will be a huge and bitterly painful reduction in employment locally. The ability to buy (or sell) physical gold will be postponed. The government's deficit will balloon (it is already much larger than even recently forecast) and be financed by printing a LOT more of "the worst performing currency in Asia in 2020".
Ok, I am not getting into what happens medium and long term;
- Short-term though revenue reductions in all but a few FMCG consumer goods producers, health, and essential services.
- A large up-tick in non-performing loans (even as recently as late 2019 many banks were approved to hold significantly reduced capital requirements) so this is going to sting. There are already a number of large non-performing loans on the books, but they have not been called in as yet. Once you call them in, you lock in the loss caused by years of bad underwriting and oversight. Well, the banks will be forced to take those losses now. Any residual collateral will be called in and liquidated (at the bottom of the market). Aircraft, property, permits, mining concessions. The other reason that non-performing loans haven't been called in already is that the government has supported banks to suspend loan repayments. That's all good if the time-horizon is short. If it continues for 9 months, 12, 15, well at some point investors will have to face facts - that the loans will never be repaid.
- Probably more points but I should really go to bed.
Look for a break of the read dashed line at 311ish. If so, we are going much lower, all sorts of things will be uncovered, bankruptcies etc will follow but the market will be on sale for those that choose correctly. Good luck and protect those funds everyone.
!IDX, !KOSPI, !THD Long Entries for July 28Up 1.8%, the breakout here is clear for the EM as I called 3 weeks ago. This was assisted with Asia slowing in 2017/18. Asia looks better at this point because Asia technically slowed down before the West. !THD and !IDX are good longs and I will be taking them.
13:19:40 (UTC)
Tue Jul 28, 2020
Peta IHSG - Modified Schiff Pitchfork Jumat 24 Juli 2020, IHSG turun 1,21% k level 5082.. level ini merupakan support trendline 0,618 (garis hijau) di bawah median line modified schiff Pitchfork.. minggu depan cukup menarik untuk diperhatikan, apakah IHSG akan memantul atau malah ambrol ke garis biru.