Idxindonesia
One more up swing, bullish scenario on IDXOne more up swing in the current primary cycle. The green scenario is ABCDE or correction pattern, that tends to be shallow but takes longer time to complete. On the other hand the red scenario is ABC or WXY correction pattern, these patterns tend to be sharp but shorter than triangle pattern. Invalidation point of this bullish analysis if IDX < 6134.8818. The fifth wave tends to be slow upward price movement. As we are reaching the end of the primary cycle, it is good to acknowledge that a major correction might be happening in not so distant future. The fifth wave is good for trader in the next couple of months, but I don't think it is good for mid and long term investment because essentially at this point you are buying at the top. We might be seeing stocks that haven't been moving in this primary cycle of IDX suddenly moving up while IDX is facing a local downtrend for example see
Previously I have posted my view on macro analysis, the bearish scenario that we don't want to see. My main bias is we are currently in an impulse primary cycle, but it is good to put the bearish perspective in the back of our minds so we can see the chart in a more objective way. If we are currently in corrective pattern these scenarios might be taking place in the future
DISCLAIMER ON
This analysis is not financial advice. Please note that you are responsible for your own investments. This chart only represents my opinion and view about the stock market in general and may be used only for educational purposes.
IHSG / IDX Correction prediction !So after breaking new ATH recently, IDX currently has formed Rising wedge which means it gonna dip for a while.
The nearest support is 6500 area, if it bounce from here we can be sure that IDX will reach new ATH on January 2022
during Window Dressing, Santa Claus rally, and January Effect.
But it can broke down to 6375 level or even 6150 level.
As long as 50 EMA still above 200 EMA we will gonna be bullish for a moment.
Stay safe, Invest wisely! be cautious.
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Stay strong Indonesian Brother!
Bearish scenario, an IDX analysis we don't want to see IDX looks good on daily timeframe but the probability of a fake break out on monthly timeframe is so quiet concerning. In order to stay bullish on IDX, the last point of support should not be broken down. The bearish scenario invalidation if a monthly close above 6755 and break out of pink resistance. The Yellow line is conservative bearish outlook and the Red line is aggressive bearish scenario.
Check on previous bullish analysis on 22/03/2021
DISCLAIMER ON
This analysis is not financial advice. Please note that you are responsible for your own investments. This chart only represents my opinion and view about the stock market in general and may be used only for educational purposes.
Bullish Bias on IHSGIDX Composite (IHSG) seems to continue it's bullish rally as descending broadening wedge pattern appear with bullish divergence as a momentum. This analysis can be your consideration as your trade decision to buy on weakness on certain stock that highly correlated possitively with this market
ISSP , Is this the end of its bullish cycle?The recent All Time High (ATH) just hit the 1.618, and then followed by bearish engulfing. Additionally, there is a potential ending diagonal pattern. TP 2 & TP3 are for overextended scenarios which is low probability if we're considering the current market condition. If ISSP can break out from 394, we can expect potential upside target around 436 - 526. ISSP technical chart represents neutral with caution market condition.
DISCLAIMER ON
This analysis is not financial advice. Please note that you are responsible for your own investments. This chart only represents my opinion and view about the stock market in general and may be used only for educational purposes.
UNVR, ARE WE OUT OF THE WOODS?While IHSG (Indonesian stock exchange) has been on a major bull run since March 2020, and yet we witnessed a huge weakness on UNVR that seems like a never-ending downtrend. But in September 2021, UNVR has shown some strength in the market. Are we out of the woods yet? We certainly don't know, but we can speculate based on the recent impulsive move to the upside. As long as we do not break 3800. UNVR has a potential of around 41 - 75% for mid-term stock holding.
DISCLAIMER ON
This analysis is not financial advice. Please note that you are responsible for your own investments. This chart only represents my opinion and view about the stock market in general and may be used only for educational purposes.
SMGR TO THE MOON! UPSIDE UPTO 50%! DOUBE BOTTOM POTENTIAL ALERT!3T6 MONTH SWING TRADE SMGR!
BUY IF BREAK AND CLOSE ABOVE 8500!
SUPPORT = 7675 and CL IF CLOSE <7675!
SMGR or PT Semen Indonesia Tbk, commonly known as Semen Indonesia Group, is an Indonesian cement company established in 1957 in Gresik, with the name NV Semen Gresik. In 1991, PT Semen Gresik was the first state-owned company to go public on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
As a governent company, I think investor and swing trader should consider SMGR. Because, the risk and rewards are so good enough. If you see the volume distribution that happened on last year 2020 (I already circled the volume bar), I think this year is same.
And now, maybe there are many people ask me about their cost operation. The way of coal upside maybe increase their cost because the cost of cement 35% is made by coal. But, you should consider that SMGR have their own coal mining, which is, SMGR already prepare for the worst of expensive coal. And also, SMGR not only use coal for their production. They also use new renewable energy called BIOMASSA.
So, what do you afraid of? The risk is very minimum maybe 3-5% to the bottom, but the upside for the government company is very good upto 50%! REMEMBER THAT THIS IS GOVERNMENT COMPANY!!! THE GOVERNMENT WONT STAY QUIET FOR THIS COMPANY! THE BIGGEST CEMENT FACTORY IN INDONESIA!
GBU AND HAPPY WEEKEND!
Bullish Bias on HRUMOne of the biggest energy company listed on JKSE seems rally since their accumulation breakout for not so later. Buy on weakness should be your consideration as 9400 would be a sweetspot target of the invesment. You can stop your position if the price goes down to 6300 and close below it to seek a new entry on the lower demand area
Bullish Bias on MPPAStrong market rally would come near future after it made despair as inverted HnS appear exactly at demand level. Buy on break should be your consideration or patiently wait till the market create a pullback. Bear in mind that 880 would be an invalidation value if the price goes down and close below it
Bullish Bias on IDXJKSE would still maintain their bullish bias as a bullish flag pattern appear 'till it hit the objective target as AB = CD pattern. Buy on break should be your consideration or just try to seek an inside bar to entry. Invalidation start if only the price goes down and close below 579x
Bullish Bias on JSMRIndonesia's owned state company that operate majority of national toll road infrastructure seems to make a continuation rally after made a trend reversal with it's double bottom and their price correction as descending broadening wedge appear. Buy on weakness should be your consideration or try to seek an inside bar to entry with 4990 as it's sweet spot target. Bullish invalidation start if the price goes down and close below 3600