IHSG AFTER BREAKMarket globally is crashed because of the new tariff that US applied. IHSG might as well crashed after this break, approaching 58xx. But i believe after this correction IHSG Will back in action and reach 67xx.
Ihsg
MUTU - 3 WEEKS TIGHTIDX:MUTU - 3 Weeks Tight
(+):
1. Low risk entry point when stock pause
2. Volume significantly drop on week 2, and huge volume on week 1
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (90)
9. High volume on breakout
(-)
1. In the text book, 2nd candle on 3 weeks tight is must corrected by 3% but this stock it was corrected by 9%
WIFI: Bangkit dari Koreksi! Rebound atau Dead Cat Bounce?Trading langsung melalui TradingView x STAR!
Teknikal:
• Last: 1935
• Resist: 2170 : 2730
• Support: 1825 : 1550
• Cutloss: < 1550
Sales Note:
• WIFI through its brand Surge is a co providing internet connecticity through a fiber optic network along railroad tracks on Java island , partnering with local ISPs via revenue sharing system.
• Surge offers affordable (start from IDR100k/month), high quality and unlimited internet access to households located within 1-5km from KAI railroad – this has achieved so far an solid 90% take-up rate.
• WIFI owns 6,972km of fiber optic lines along railway tracks and highways in Java. As of 9M24, WIFI owner fixed assets in the form of project equipment worth IDR890bn and more than IDR800bn worth of fiber optic lines .
• In 9M24, Surged booked revenue growth of 46% y-y to IDR505bn. The company aims to roll out up to 40mn homepasses in 2025 – this coupled with a conservative 45% EBITDA margin, could translate to more than IDR250bn in profit .
• B/S is also manageable, with net gearing of 1.4x in 2024; with potentially increasing debt but reasonable given the exponential revenue growth.
• PT Investasi Sukses Bersama (ISB) owns 50.4% stake in WIFI, whereas around 45% of that is owned by PT Arsari Sentra Data (co owned by Hashim S Djojohadikusumo) .
• The stock trades at 7x EV/EBITDA 2025E , which is lower than global telco, especially fiber optic names avg of 8x.
Anthony Yunus
Head of Sales
PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia
__
Jika Anda memiliki pertanyaan, jangan ragu untuk menuliskannya kepada kami di kolom komentar di bawah.
PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia berizin dan diawasi oleh Otoritas Jasa Keuangan
BBRI BUY NOW 3350! Support level at 3050-3150BBRI is now probably trade in the end of its deep correction, as on the technical view, by the Elliot Waves count, it is now completing the WAVE 5 of C (it confirmed by the Bullish Divergence on MACD).
The price could be be a little lower on the next 1-5 trading days to the 3050-3150, which is the 78.6% fibonacci retracement from broken uptrend. It is really strong support and i believe i would not be broken.
For about 6-12 months ahead, aim for minimum target of 30% return from this level.
Are you going with me???
CHEEERRRSSS...
TAPG - VCP (20/5 3T)IDX:TAPG VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (84)
9. Biggest net income +197.70% on Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023
(-)
1. Breakout with huge volume but created long red candle
MLPL - LOW CHEATIDX:MLPL - Low Cheat
(+):
1. Very Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
5. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
6. RS Rating is over 70 (93)
7. VCP characteristic
10. Price breakout with huge volume
(-)
1. Price is below 25% of 52 weeks high
Try to Adding with some basic fundamental about EPS growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: −91.66%
b. Quarterly YoY: −71.13%
c. TTM YoY: +12.23%
d. Annual YoY: −13.30%
About fundamental aspect, maybe is time to turn around
WIRG - VCP (18W 45/6/3T)IDX:WIRG
(+):
1. Very Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (84)
9. Additional aspect about AI sentiment
10. Price breakout with huge volume
(-)
1. I am not sure about Volume from 15 January until today, i think it is a sign of taking profit action of big institute. Let see what's going on with this stock after i bought it
2. There is gap below on 17 january 2025, i am not a big fan of gap
Try to Adding with some basic fundamental about EPS growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: −32.06%
b. Quarterly YoY: −14.26%
c. Annual YoY: +77.44%
d. TTM YoY: +46.99%
About fundamental aspect, maybe the stock is time to turn around
ELIT - LOW CHEATELIT - LOW CHEAT
(+):
1. Low risk entry point
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (82)
9. Stock build VCP Characteristic
Try to Adding with some basic fundamental about EPS growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: +31.29%
b. Quarterly YoY: 653.96%
c. Annual YoY: +75.48%
d. TTM YoY: +220.19%
(-):
1. Stock not confirm on stage 2 uptrend if not break the blue line
Note:
- Consider to add some position if break the blue line
- Market look bottoming, just wait this stock to breakout with high volume
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Indonesia Stock ExchangeLet me know ur thought! I think there's bearish pattern on this IHSG chart, feel free to discuss!!
ALDO - CUP WITH HANDLEIDX:ALDO (CUP WITH HANDLE)
28-10-2024
(+):
1. Low risk entry point, first time the stock showing it’s buying point
2. Volume dries up on handle
3. Stock showing it’s strength while market is corrected
4. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
5. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (82)
(-):
1. Not really confirmed Stage 2, there is high that need to break out at price 520
TLKM BULLISH PREDICTIONTLKM have reached the support area and in a consolidation area. i think the price will rebound in the future. the price have also reached the lowest price in the past 10 years
BBRI short time predict to 4000???
BBRI chart (DAILY) already show a sign for down trend for short period.
Maybe going to 4000 (key area multiple support and rejection)
after 4000 hit, hopefully BBRI will continue rising to 6000 because so many gap between 5000 to 6000.
PBID - CUP-COMPLETION CHEATIDX:PBID (3C)
14-10-2024
(+):
1. Low risk entry point
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
5. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
6. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
7. RS Rating is over 70 (86)
(-):
1. Not really in Stage 2-a uptrend
2. No big volume on the breakout
UNTR - CUP WITH HANDLEIDX:UNTR CUP WITH HANDLE
13-12-2024
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on nice drifting handle
2. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
3. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
4. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
5. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
6. RS Rating is over 70 (79)
7. Price break major downtrend, it's mean the stock started on Stage 2 uptrend
(-):
1. The stock is slow mover, it will take a while to reach the target
2. The volume when the stock is breaking out not quite big
Note:
Volume not dries up cause of big capital stock, some of big capital stocks doesn't need to dries up their volume
$NEST - POWER PLAYIDX:NEST - PRIMARY BASE
06-12-2024
(+):
1. Low risk entry point
2. Price surge up almost 100% since it’s IPO indicated that the stock is strong
3. Volume dries up with VCP characteristic during this tight pause
4. One of IPO leader after IDX:DAAZ
5. RS Rating is over 70 (80)
(-):
1. Not the best Power Play setup, on the textboox: There is an explosive price move up over 100% on huge volume within 8 weeks and not corrective more than 20%
BIPI Buy Position1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 81, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the Weekly chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 69 - 71.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: 74 ( Engulfing Candle on 5 Nov 24)
SL: 66 (FVG)
TP1: 110 (1.618 Fibbo)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4.5
Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price
4. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TINS - (VCP 61W 110/14 4T)IDX:TINS (VCP)
23-09-2024
(+):
1. Low risk entry point, cheat buy on pivot point
2. Volume dries up
3. Confirmed Stage 2
4. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
5. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (91)
(-):
1. The breakout on pivot point is not big enough
BBRI Signal Strong Bullishbuy, sleep, 2025=WakeUp
kalian dapat set stop lost sesuai analysis berikut
let's go Q4 Rally !!!!
AMRT - Double BottomIDX:AMRT - DOUBLE BOTTOM
I bought the stock
10-09-2024
Reason to buy:
1. Double bottom break out with huge volume
2. Price over 50 and 200 MA
3. Low risk entry point
My longterm view of Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG) is BEARISH.. Based on Elliot Wave perspective, i could see the Composite Index now running on its end of wave 5. It made a huge and wide consolidation around 7k to 7.3k and most likely the consolidation will break and lead to bear season.
I recommend to SELL ON STRENGTH at this time, cause the highest chance for the next trend is bearish trend.
TARGET???
1st: 6500
2nd: 5500
possibly lower than 5000!
Stay alert!!
Black Swan Events: Recovery and Volatility of Key AssetsDespite the stark declines during the COVID-19 black swan event, assets like Bitcoin, gold, the S&P 500, and the Indonesia Stock Exchange demonstrated remarkable resilience, not only recovering but also soaring to new heights, showcasing the enduring strength of diverse investment portfolios. However, the recent escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict has again put pressure on these assets, causing a downturn as global markets react to the uncertainties. #Bitcoin #Gold #SPX #IHSG
SMGR completed wave and in progress of ABC waveSMGR look to complete the ABC wave.
I'm not export in wave, just share my personal ideas only.
Hope it works out.
AUTO journey to complete next wave. See previous post as wellAs stated in previous posting, AUTO has completed the small wave and looking for bigger wave completion.
Still long journey but hope for the best.
