Bullish Dragon with a 1.618 Max Target on SmallCap 600 Value ETFThe Small Cap Value Seems to be in a much better position than the rest of the market and in the case that the market Bullishly Reverses we may see the Small Caps severely Outperform the Indexes. This could lead to the Small Caps making a Minimum 88.6% Fibonacci Retrace from High to Low and a Maximum of a 1.618 Fibonacci Extension before we have the potential for further downside.
IJR
IWM Long, why not?Im surprise that Russell has not gone down or at least give into a healthy pullback to 190. There are so many stocks in this ETF that are trading relatively high to pre-covid prices. This ETF is juiced up with fed money. Its unbelievable! Sooner or later its gonna want more? More stimulus money, WTH? Why not?
Three weeks ago the uptrend channel was broken and this week its trying to come back to it. With the US economy coming out of the pandemic, it makes sense for IWM to come back to the uptrend channel? MACD just crossed so maybe its gonna go up. Does Russell range bound until the earnings come out in July or it can't wait any longer. I think its going up. Fed wins.
Small-Caps May Be Set For Pull BackThe iShares S&P Small-Cap ETF has been in a bearish wedge pattern on its daily chart since early October. The price is once again testing the resistance line. The price is near an overbought condition while generating a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator.
I am targeting the support line of this wedge pattern first. If the price is able to break down through that support line then I will look at the $80.30 price level noted on the chart.
Small caps lead rallies and sell-offs, this is no different.Skilled traders watch all the charts to assist them in identifying characteristics that can assist them in understanding price moves, key support/resistance levels, and price patterns. This IWM chart should be on everyone’s radar at the moment. Where the IWM finds support, so will the other US stock market indexes.
The IWM setup indicates we may only see a 5~7% downside price swing before support is found. We’ll have to watch how this plays out over the next few weeks/months to determine if the $144.25 level is true support or if the lower $137.00 level will become support. Either way, the downside price swing appears poised to unfold over the next few days/weeks – so be prepared.
I authored a research article about this pattern setup on February 17, 2019. You can read it here.
Small Cap Bear TrapThe Russell 2000 ETF continues to deliver critical technical and longer-term price patterns for skilled technicians. Combining the IWM chart with the Transportation Index, Oil, Gold, and others provide a very clear picture of what to expect in the immediate future.
Recently, we posted a research article about the Head-n-Shoulders pattern setting up in the $INDU. Again, the IWM chart is also showing a very clear Head-n-Shoulders pattern with critical resistance near $159.50 and support near $144.25. Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe this right Shoulder will prompt a downside market move towards support near $144.25 before a downward sloping wedge pattern sets up. This first downward price leg will setup and congesting wedge formation that will, eventually, break to the upside and drive market prices higher.
We authored a research article about this pattern setup on February 17, 2019. You can read it here.
Skilled traders watch all the charts to assist them in identifying characteristics that can assist them in understanding price moves, key support/resistance levels, and price patterns. This IWM chart should be on everyone’s radar at the moment. Where the IWM finds support, so will the other US stock market indexes.
The IWM setup indicates we may only see a 5~7% downside price swing before support is found. We’ll have to watch how this plays out over the next few weeks/months to determine if the $144.25 level is true support or if the lower $137.00 level will become support. Either way, the downside price swing appears poised to unfold over the next few days/weeks – so be prepared.
Please take a minute to visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades in 2019. We have already positioned our clients for this move and we believe we can help you stay ahead of these markets.