EURUSD: Looking for Shorts at this decision pointIf you saw my post yesterday then you know that I’ve been waiting for a potential short on this pair. (Here’s the video link explaining the trade www.youtube.com) My initial killzone was pretty large and after a brief test of the bottom levels of it, price has rallied back to the top providing me with the opportunity that I was waiting for.
The reason I didn’t enter the trade yesterday was strictly due to the fact that I wouldn’t get the risk reward that I wanted. Risk reward will still be difficult at this level because of how close the structure levels are but if I’m able to get the entry that I want, my stops may be short enough to make it work.
The London session extension gave us another equal measured move back into structure looking left and some Fibonacci extensions. The bulls gave a nice test of the highs and were beaten back after the first attempt to break through. As I type I’m watching this on the 15 minute chart waiting for a reason to enter, all depending on how this current candle completes. For targets I’ll be looking for a move back down into our previous new structure highs, and certainly looking to aggressively manage this one during my live trading room hours. We’ll see how this one pans out
“Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan”
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analysis at Trade Empowered
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EURUSD: Bullish Gartley (Repost)/How To Grow Your Account Video Hey guys, we've been watching this potential setup for a while & price action is finally in striking distance of you D point completion. Therefore I wanted to repost this chart just as a heads up. Keep an eye out for the *ADP Number at 8:15 Eastern.
I'm heading out of town so there will be no more post from me this week, however I did leave you guys a short video addressing a common question that I get about "How To Grow Your Trading Account" of course my answer probably isn't what you'd expect to hear, but I'm also not like most traders. Here's the link www.youtube.com
Please let me know what you think by leaving a comment under the youtube video. Don't forget to LIKE, SHARE & SUBSCRIBE too, that helps me out a lot.
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Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analysis at Trade Empowered
Click Here for 20+ hours of FREE Training
tradeempowered.com
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USDJPY: Rising Wedge Into Previous Structure (read description)I’m looking at a rising wedge type of pattern forming here on the USDJPY that is working it’s way toward a pretty significant level of structure (look left). We typically see a breakout to the downside with this type of setup as it represents the market losing steam after a high volume move.
I’ll be looking for short opportunities on this pair in the Live Trading Room, but we might want to keep out eyes on the 8:15 ADP number as we are still looking at a very bullish dollar.
This is my last active trading day for the week as I’m headed out of town but I didn want to leave you guys with a short video titled “How to Grow Your Trading Account” Here’s the link Here's the link to my youtube video "How To Grow Your Trading Account" here’s the link.
www.youtube.com
Hitting the LIKE button, leaving a comment and sharing on my youtube page would be a BIG HELP!
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Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analysis at Trade Empowered
Click Here for 20+ hours of FREE Training
tradeempowered.com
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EURJPY: Potential 2618 Trade with (How to video in description)Here on the EURJPY we have a potential 2618 setup in the works. I say potential because I have no clue what the future of this current leg is, all I can do is Identify, Predict, Decide & then Execute. Here’s a link where you can take the FREE training on this particular strategy (tradeempowered.com ) but essentially, what I’m looking at is a double bottom signaling a reversal and a retest of that that simple pattern as a way to hop on the next leg of the move.
Slow trading this morning were you guys over in London fast asleep? Anyway, aside from this setup all I’ve got is the GBPUSD, EURAUD and GBPAUD on my radar this morning. I think GBPAUD is a steal of an opportunity, hopefully I’ll have a reason to get involved this week before I head out of town. The last thing I want to do is be worried about how my trade is going while up in the air.
As always good luck today traders and below are some links if you’re interested in any more free trading content.
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Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst at www.TradeEmpowered.com
Click the link below to subscribe for more FOREX TRADING videos
www.youtube.com
Facebook: www.facebook.com
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EURUSD: Potential Bullish Gartley Pattern w/ Great Risk v RewardNot a lot on my radar this morning which is perfect seeing how Monday’s are typically days where I let the markets wake up after the weekend. One pair that I’ve been continuing to watch closely has been the EURUSD which has provided a lot of opportunity over the past month or so.
The chart before you shows a potential bullish Gartley pattern completing extremely close to the “X” leg. As I shared with my Syndicate members in this morning’s trading video, this is a really good thing, because it puts us in a situation where we don’t have to risk as much and can potentially receive a greater reward if the trade goes in our direction.
I usually don’t take patterns too seriously until the “B” leg is broken so there may be a few bullish opportunities beforehand, but that’s something I won’t be interested in until tomorrow.
Good luck in the markets this week traders and as always, if you like this post PLEASE HIT the THUMBS UP button, and if you have any question, comments or would like to share your views on this pair don’t hesitate to type in below.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analysis at Trade Empowered
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NZDUSD: New Structure Low, Outside Return, New Structure Low?Hey gang, first of all thank you for all of the great comments on yesterday's youtube video "How Do Know If My Trading Strategy Is Failing" (www.youtube.com) You guys said that you've learned a lot and please continue to let me know exactly what that was in the comments section on Youtube.
Today I've got bearish cypher patterns on both EURJPY and EURAUD on my radar, but felt like sharing a structure based trade with you this Friday to mix things up. Similar to the AUDUSD (but not the same), the Kiwi has just broken and closed below a level of structure, with a much more significant level resting below. I like to say that structure acts like a magnet so I'm predicting that the market will be pulled towards that lower level. Therefore I'll be looking for reasons to short the Kiwi this morning in the Live Room as the market creates a pullback.
Obviously there;s no way to tell now if I'll actually get involved in the trade or not, but my eyes will be glued to this one on the lower timeframes. Wishing all of you a great weekend and do me a favor, if you liked the video above, make sure you subscribe to my channel. I'd like to inspire as many traders as possible so tell your trading buddies to check it out!
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
USDCAD: It's Not Greedy, It's Just Another Good Opportunity A few weeks ago I made a very controversial call on the USDCAD looking to go long despite a major level of resistance and an advance pattern on the higher timeframe. (You can see the video explanation of that trade here www.youtube.com) Well after finally being taken out for the remaining part of my position Canada has come back to a level that looks prime for another buying opportunity and more importantly, just like last time, I don’t have to have that much at risk in order to get involved.
This is a simple structure based trade. Price action has come back down to test previous structure support, and IF this trend is going to remain intact, THEN that level should hold. (See how I snuck that IF/THEN thought process in there). If it doesn’t then I’ll be wrong and taken out of the trade.
With stops below the 1.2900 even handle number I only have about 35pips at risk, with a potential reward of around 100pips of reward if we move back across to the right shoulder. With that being said it may not be an easy ride, as I’ve marked off a few key levels of interest that I’ll need to pay attention to. This is certainly one of those trades that I will need to actively manage, especially with the FOMC statement on the horizon.
Good luck today traders and PLEASE continue to hit that LIKE button if you’re enjoying my posts here. Also check out my blog over at www.tradeempowered.com Yesterday I wrote one talking about my trading day and how being over prepared to trade is a good thing.
tradeempowered.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos:
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EURUSD: Looking For Another Buying Opportunity I couldn’t have asked for a better start to this trading week. Unlike last week everything I’ve touched has turned to gold giving me a very nice cushion going into my first real day of active trading. There is a lot on my radar today including the EURJPY, USDJPY, USDCAD, NZDUSD & EURAUD, but I wanted to share my EURUSD idea with you guys since we’ve been tracking this pair a lot as of late (see related charts).
After pulling off massive profits on the big Gartley pattern, the Euro buyers is now giving some relief and I’m looking for an area where they might be interested in purchasing once again. My “A-Kill” zone rests from 1.1015’s-1.0920’s and I’ll be sure to keep a close eye on this pair in the live room looking for opportunities to get long.
I do think we can retest our previous major structure level at 1.12’s but I would be sure to get at least partial profits off at a much safer level like 1.11’s for example.
Here's a link to the blog post i wrote yesterday titled "A Much Needed Easy Day" tradeempowered.com
Also, I’m not sure how many of you use the app Periscope, but I’ll be doing an interview with FXTC Magazine around 4:30pm (Eastern) and they said they were going to stream it live on there. First I’ve heard of the app, but if you’re not doing anything feel free to check it out.
Good luck today traders and remember “Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan!”
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos:
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Hoping for a Loonie turnaround against the greenback!The BoC’s (Bank of Canada) to reduce interest rates came as a bit of a surprise, but has given impetus to the US$ to extend its bull run against the loonie. The interest rate hike came early July, when the market was caught brooding ( as shown by the higher upper whisker of the candle just prior to interest rate increase – the formation is somewhat akin to a shooting star). Then with the interest rate decision the greenback rallied and now another important signal is pointing to a reversal, and that is the bearish harami candlestick pattern. With the hope that the Canadian economy starts gaining some traction with interest rate reduction, it can be hoped that the loonie would start gaining some ground against the greenback. Along with the bearish harmai pattern, Elliott wave X has seem to run its course and a 1.38% Fibonacci ratio pointing to a 1.30 target seems a plausible turning point. Uncertainty may imbue for a few more days as the MACD reaches greater overbought values, before a reversal, wave Y, would finally set in.
It would be better to look for opportunities for going long the CAD, but FED impending decision of interest rate hike would remain very important. Although the decision is imminent, but more macroeconomic variables other than employment may necessitate improvement, before the FED can think of giving a final verdict as to the timing of interest rate hike decision. Till then may the force be with loonie!!!
Some interesting links:
technical-forex.com
technical-forex.com
technical-forex.com
GBPJPY: Bullish Bat PatternHey traders! Great start to the week thus far with my EURUSD long from what 2 weeks ago finally banked some profits along with a few other traders that we were in. EURAUD from Friday got eaten alive but hey we can't win with them all.
Only a few trades on my radar this morning as Monday's are my training day but a simple bat pattern here on GBPJPY.
Today's Blog Post "A Much Needed Easy Day" tradeempowered.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos:
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EURUSD: A Pullback to Where We Had Our Eyes Glued YesterdayHappy Friday traders! A lot of my radar today but I wanted to focus on the EURUSD since I know that’s a pair that many of you are tracking especially those of you who accepted my challenge from yesterday’s YouTube video. ( www.youtube.com )
Personally I’m still bullish from the Gartley pattern earlier this week, but if I weren’t I’d be all over the bull gartley that just completed & at the time of writing this is still hovering around those entry points. Aside from it being an advanced pattern this gartley also represents a pullback that is coming right back into a previous structure high & a zone that we were heavily watching in the Live Room yesterday. I’m not too certain about seeing a move all the way up to the bigger bat, but that’s where my initial targets are at for what I’m trading so trust me, I would not be upset it that happened. A little lower we have a potential cypher pattern as well.
Best of luck today gang, after killing the markets last week, it’s been a rough go for me over the past 4 days. Yesterday’s eurjpy trade played out well and like I said in my video, the worst case scenario in my Euro position is +80pips so that will help, but in general when you win big, you should always expect to donate some back.
Other pairs on my radar today are the gbpusd (currently long), gbpjpy, usdjpy, nzdusd (currently long) and the euraud.
See many of you in the live room at 8am eastern!
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos:
www.youtube.com
GBPAUD: Hopping On The Bullish Trend Could be the Perfect StormThe radar is light once again with only a few pairs (including yesterday’s NZDUSD idea) still in my sights, but this opportunity on GBPAUD looks like a pretty good potential. GBPAUD has driven straight up since…well early 2013 & although the momentum seems to be slowing down, there’s absolutely nothing on the charts as of yet that says we’re going to stop anytime soon.
When trying to hop on a bullish trend I look for reasons to buy on the pullbacks & in this scenario I’ve got a deep Gartley pattern coming in right at our previous structure lows.
Add to that, on the fundamental side of things GBP has been one of the strongest pairs with BOE expected rate hikes anytime from December ’15-March ’16 while Aussie may be cutting rates. Last week I was able to catch the perfect storm on USDCAD (Video: www.youtube.com) we’ll see if we can do the same this week.
News wise we have AUD CPI out tonight at 9:30pm NY Time & A Bank rate Vote for the GBP out Wednesday morning at 4:30am NY Time.
A BIG THANK YOU for the massive response you guys gave me after listening to my interview with Brandon Clay from www.TradingStory.com I had a lot of fun doing it and I’m glad it was informative. I’ll put the link below for anyone that didn’t get a chance to check it out. Also don’t forget about that Syndicate special deal we have going on. Take advantage of it before it’s too late.
Interview w/ Trading Story tradingstory.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst at www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
My Videos: www.youtube.com
NZDUSD: Ask 2 ?'s "Where Should Price Go & How Can It Get There"With Jason out of town I’ll be pulling double duties helping out with the morning War Room as well and today I had about six potential trades on my radar. I typically don’t actively trade on Monday’s but I will be keeping an eye on the NZDUSD for multiple trading opportunities. Bigger picture I’m still looking for a chance to short this pair once we retrace to our previous support level, but currently we put in a nice base, which was broken above and could provide as a good place to get long if the market were to retrace to that level. . Sort of like a 2618 type of move.
Whenever I make my predictions about the market I don’t just ask myself “where is price most likely to go?” I also asked myself “How is price most likely to get there?” These simple questions have often given me the opportunity to catch the move before the move.
Obviously a lot can happen, but I always like to start off my week with a plan of “what to look for” that way I’m dialed in. What now? Well now I sit back and see what the market has to do. Remember as traders it’s our job to react, not to tell the market what it “will” do.
If you get the chance check out my Interview on Brandon Clay’s Trading Story website talking about my trading story & setting up a plan of action for you trades tradingstory.com
Best of luck this week traders, and let me know what you think about the interview.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos:
www.youtube.com
GBPUSD: 1HR Potential Bullish Bat & Cypher PatternsTwo potential patterns here on the Cable this morning. A potential bullish bat pattern in blue and a potential bullish cypher pattern in pink. Both should be tradable unless you’re using a massive stop loss for the bat pattern. In that case it’s best to choose one over the other beforehand so that you don’t get yourself into a potential revenge trading situation. Obviously make sure you follow your rules as far as what you trade and how much you’re allowed to risk per trade. I know for me the cypher pattern doesn’t meet those standards so if price action moves down there I’ll need to look for an alternate reason for entry. Most likely using the CTS or Combined Technical Score type of analysis (a point system/checklist for evaluating trades).
Something to keep in is that this is a very heavy news day with USD & CAD CPI releases at 8:30am Also the Michigan report as well at 10am.
If you didn’t catch it last night here’s a link to my Weekend Review video, where I review where I walk you through the USDCAD trade from earlier in the week as well as discuss what I believe are the best times, days & months to trade. I’ve set out a goal to reach 10,000 subscribers by the end of summer so it would be MASSIVE if you guys should help me out by subscribing to my channel and spreading the word. *I apologize for the ads in this week’s video but that’s what they do when you use actual songs instead of free youtube music I guess*
“A Controversial Trade/The Best Time to Trade” www.youtube.com
Anyway have a great end of the week and an even better weekend!
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos:
www.youtube.com
EURUSD: Bull Gartley w/ Great Risk Reward*Just realized we have an ECB Press Conference Today at 8:30am NY. Be careful with this one up to that point* Great day of trading yesterday as I ended the day with a single win (usdcad) and a singles loss (eurjpy). For those familiar with those two trades, I'll take that any day of the week. For those looking for more information on yesterday's USDCAD trade make sure you subscribe to my youtube channel as I'll have a video up at some point today looking at it. (www.youtube.com)
Today's radar is thin, only the usdjpy, audusd and this eurusd trade (Dark Blue Gartley). This is a sloppy one (I'm watching it on the 4hr but wanted to show the bigger one as well) but it's a deep gartley pattern which if completed would provide an entry right near our X leg aka previous structure lows. Now, we know that FX data is often different depending on your broker so make sure you double check you "B" leg. Remember if it hits that 78.6 it's no longer a gartley pattern. Risk reward is great on this one 1:2 min for me and for some of you using less forgiving stops it's probably a lot more.
I've got some time before the Live Room kicks off so i'm going to do some reading and catch a little bit of the British Open before the opening bell. Good luck today traders and thanks again for all of the love shown yesterday.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos: www.youtube.com
NZDUSD 1HR: Bullish Potential Garltey & Bat PatternsNot a lot out there today, for me at least. We've got a handful of fundamental events coming out once the New York session starts so maybe the markets are waiting for them but keeping it short and simple we've got 2 potential advanced patterns that would complete at the exact same level here on the NZDUSD. Despite the underlying trend being heavily bearish, we are a a weekly support zone which may cause some relief and consolidation.
The only other trade I'm in is the USDCAD position from yesterday, but I know Jason Stapleton has a few ideas that he'll share with us when we do our morning Warroom meeting.
If you haven't done so yesterday make sure you check out my latest video "A 200+ Pip Trading Day" www.youtube.com and I wish you the best of luck as always in today's trading.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos:
www.youtube.com
USDCAD: Long at StructureVERY BIG DAY for me today (here's the video link www.youtube.com) and before I call it a night I wanted to share with you one more trade that I recently got involved in. Now I apologize for the short explanation but I'm a little tired after just recording video number 2 tonight, but here's a trade I just sent over to my Syndicate members looking at a bullish trade I just took on USDCAD.
This is a simple structure trade and hopefully my primitive drawing gives you enough info, but one of my main reasons for entry came from watching the reaction of the dollar after this mornings poor Core Retail sales release.
Have a great night gang, I've got a hot meal and a soft couch awaiting me!
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos:
www.youtube.com
USDJPY: CALL ME CRAZY but despite structure I'm looking longThe USDJPY has traded back into previous structure & is currently consolidating at the resistance level. To most traders this opportunity would have SHORT written all over it but I’m actually looking in the other direction.
For those of you who I work with on a regular basis you know how I feel about the personality of the USDJPY and how it moves and looking on the daily chart we’re currently coming out of one of those pullbacks looking to retest previous structure highs in my opinion.
The fact that we’ve come into resistance on the LTF is concerning for a buyer but I think it’s more concerning that the market hasn’t been able to move off of that level and as instead consolidated right at it. This tells me that the sellers aren’t too strong and this could be an area where the buyers are simply looking to grab some relief and involve themselves once again if the sellers can’t move this market down.
In order to trade this I’ll be looking for potential opportunities down on the 15 minute chart during today’s Live Room session. I see a potential gartley setting up already which would do the trick, but any chance I get to buy near those lows, I’ll be looking to take.
On the fundamental side of things we have the BOJ Monetary Statement coming out tonight/tomorrow morning which may play a role for those looking to take extended targets. Syndicate members we talked about this with the GBP in last night’s video and look how that played out. So we’ll see JPY doesn’t some tricky things and is usually comes with devaluing their currency.
Good luck in the markets today traders and as always, do me a favor and hit that like button if you enjoyed this post.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos:
www.youtube.com
EURAUD: Got the breakout, now Looking for the pullbackAlthough I don’t day trade on Monday’s I have a handful of pairs on my radar for my swing trading portfolio. Multiple patterns on the EURUSD, a few setups on USDJPY, NZDUSD and of course the chart above on EURAUD.
We were watching this pair last week for the bullish breakout and now that we’ve gotten it, the next chance to hop on would be at a pullback. Looking on the hourly we also have a potential bullish bat pattern setting up as well which lines up with what my top down analysis is telling me.
If the buyers want to maintain control over this pair then we shouldn’t see a dip below that 1.48 level as that even handled number would be a cheap price to reinvest.
I’m expecting a busy week in the markets so be careful out there. Lots of news coming out, especially between Tuesday & Wednesday.
Good luck this week traders and if you didn’t get a chance to this weekend, make sure you check out my latest YouTube video talking about market Psychology & why we see the movements that we do.
www.youtube.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos:
EURUSD: Potential Bearish Bat PatternIt's Friday...I'm feeling burnt out, so we're going to keep it really simple today. Potential Bear Bat Pattern. There you have it. It is pretty cool that we get some extra fibonacci confluence in the form of an 61.8 retracement & a 161.8 extension but at the end of the day the pattern is all that really matters to me.
Other pairs on my radar today are the GBPJPY, USDJPY, EURAUD (SHort) & USDCAD
If you didn't do so yesterday make sure you check out my latest YouTube video
"Simple Technical Analysis & Why Markets Move" www.youtube.com
Have a great weekend traders! And of course Live Room/Syndicate members I'll still see you today in an hour or so.
Akil
GBPAUD: Support Turns To Resistance (VIDEO LINK: www.youtube.com )GBPAUD has been a pair that I’ve swung and missed at all week with 2 losing trades & a trade that came half way to targets before getting stopped out for breakeven. The majority of the week has been focused around this same structure level & now that price action is trading below it, I may have my chance at a short opportunity.
As one of my clients showed me yesterday there was a chance to get involved in the initial break of support & retest yesterday, but with us being in a heavily bullish trend on the higher time frames, I wanted to make sure that this wasn’t just a simple retracement of the bigger move. Now don’t get me wrong, this particular setup can easily be a complex pullback as well, but I do have a much better potential risk to reward setting up here if I can play my cards right.
The presence of a new 3-legged bearish formation (SP-ISH-OR-NSL) gives me a little more confidence but I still want to be cautious and look for the right reason for entry. If we do continue bearish, I’m not expecting a full reversal, but with the trend looking as if it’s running out of steam on the daily, we may be in for a deeper retracement. See many of you in the Live Trading Room!
Do me a favor, if you actually read the write ups that go along with my charts please let me know by either giving the like button a hit or leaving a comment beneath. I always want to be as efficient as possible with my time so I want to get an idea of who’s reading and who’s not.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM /
Forex Weekend Review Videos:
www.youtube.com