Do we have an accumulation? But prices ask for correction!-A quick look at the current situation of BTC prices according to graphical analysis!
-Moderate upward monthly bias. First target at $29,187K successfully hit. Other targets: $34,421K (if not broken back to test $20.7K) and, finally, $37,655K (FIBO golden region) and region of second previous lost bottom.
-The bias of the weekly chart is bullish, however, the SETUP used is showing weakness, and that prices need to retreat to make a “pull back” in the region of $24K, top and pivot point of the most recent price rise ( 20%).
-On the daily chart, the so-called long average held prices and served as a springboard, where the “bulls” took advantage of the situation and pushed prices to the previous bottom, at $28.8K. At the moment, SETUP shows complete bullish weakness, suggesting that prices will have to correct. Do we have a continuation accumulation? But how can it be, if prices are faltering?
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Imagraphist
The "bulls" got excited!The bulls joined forces and pushed the SPX index with all their might. In a previous analysis, the American index was on the verge of pivoting downwards, in case it lost the region of 3919, however, that was not what happened.
-The volatility was so great that two days later there was a bullish pivot that was taking shape according to the SETUP used. Its target for the moment could be the 4122 region to try to pierce the long bearish trend line that has been dominating the index.
-Daily chart: The uptrend is losing strength and asking for corrections. In this time frame we have the region of 3840 being defended as the bottom of prices at the moment.
-Weekly chart: Moderate uptrend. We have a recent bullish pivot formed on this time frame. We can observe a decreasing volume.
- Monthly chart. A new bullish pivot is looking to form, as the first bullish pivot failed to continue, but served as support in the 50% FIBO region .
-Image of the first upward pivot on the monthly chart formed which did not hold but served as support for its 50% FIBO region.
-For now, what can prevent prices from advancing a few more yards is the downtrend line that is just above and, that's where prices stopped in the last trading session of 03/31/2023.
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Will it be India's turn?-We started another quarter and apparently it won't be much different from the first. In the first quarter of 2023 we had emotions from start to finish.
-Right at the beginning of the year, here in Brazil, the company AMER3 came with everything, giving Brazilian banks the biggest job with the possibility of billionaire defaults. All the big banks, without exception, had to provision their balance sheets for possible losses.
-To complete this one-note samba, we had the bankruptcy of two “important” American banks. We cannot forget that one of the biggest European banks, Credit Suisse, was bought by its biggest rival, UBS, in a “MEGA SUSPECT” transaction. This purchase, as reported by the Swiss central bank, was made to avoid the global banking meltdown, and cost around US$54 billion in credits/loans.
-Was it, or was it not, a quarter of emotions? But what now, how will it be?
-I believe that the thesis of “sustaining the broken banks” will generate a lot of turmoil throughout 2023, after all, the holders of the money printers are the main causes and, at the same time, the saviors of this possible “MEGA GLOBAL COLLAPSE”. That sounds a bit weird to me.
-With all this turmoil at the beginning of the year, we had the psychology of our IBOV index being tested (100K). To smooth things over for Brazil, we can observe that the dollar has been weak, even with the doses of interest injected by the FED at each new meeting, therefore, I observe that the North American currency has not shown all its courage before the Brazilian paper. Then I ask: Dollar, where is your strength?
-Now I ask again and in a more “leftist” tone (lol): “Has the world come to its senses?” Did the world discover that the “first world” never saved anyone, that the first world only bury the emerging ones? And which of the emerging ones can take the scene in the coming years?
-With the fight between the two protagonist countries of the global scenario, where, on the one hand, we have a first world country (USA) and, on the other, a country that has just left the emergency (CHINA), believe me (in my humble opinion) that the winner is INDIA.
-INDIA is a country that has been modernizing over the last decade, has made great advances, both in legal matters and in “civil rights” ( we can compare it to Brazil in the past, from this analysis ), as these advances, the Asian country put in the path of foreign investors, and the fight between the two giants will mean that many companies that are part of the supply chain and that are installed in Chinese domains, can go to the country in search of more security, and a business environment less inhospitable.
-So, it's only fair that BRAZIL starts to move and see the Asian country with different eyes, starting to make bilateral partnerships, both in the commercial fields (mainly agribusiness), and in the technological field, see the fight of CHIP's and semiconductors held back by the two greatest powers of today.
-Do we have any similarity between the two SPX's indices?
-Do your analysis and good business.
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Do we have bullish continuation accumulation?-I'll be quick!
-The monthly chart bias is bullish!
-The weekly chart is trying to form a bullish pivot, but I will only trust this bullish pivot if prices come to test the $24K region.
-On the daily chart, we have a confirmed bull pivot which could try to reach the region of $30.9K, where, if it has a lot of strength, it could also reach $35.2K.
-It is worth remembering that we have two important funds that need to be won: $28.7K and $34.1K.
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Give thanks to the FED, for now!-The FED has done its job to contain US inflation by raising its interest rate by 25 bp.
-The market, in my opinion, even digested this news well, but for now, the bad news could come from the banks! Let's wait, because that's all we have left!
-I think the 3700 region is a point where it will be defended tooth and nail by the market.
-For the SPX index to reach this level, some papers need to undergo further adjustments in their prices for investors to return to purchases.
-The daily chart is on the verge of making a bearish pivot with the loss of the 3919 region.
-If prices do not stay above the 3989 region, we can say goodbye to the 3900 region, and say hello to the 3700 region, with the right to a "SELL TRAP" at 3631. Let's wait!
-Do your analysis and good business!
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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The FED and the moment of truth!-The SPX index has valiantly withstood the test in the 3700 region theorized in previous analyses.
-Many of the assets that make up the index are already priced, with only a few companies missing that still need to be priced by large investors (after interest rate hikes by the FED), in order to finally go through their due corrections.
-If there are corrections, we can see the index making a beautiful sell trap when touching the 3631 region, because, as stated in previous analyses, I do not believe that the index will lose the 3700 region at the current moment, unless we have a recession like the one experienced in 2008.
-The monthly chart bias is still bullish, however, it is losing its strength day after day, where the loss of the 50% FIBO region could put this bullish pivot out of the game.
-The bias of the weekly chart is bearish, and the SETUP used indicates the strength of the bears to push prices up to the 3631 region, where it could form a trap for unsuspecting bears, since, just below, we will have the long average arriving to help prices as support.
-Going down a little further, on the daily chart, we have a timid high pivot formed (repeat), where, according to the SETUP used, its likely destination is the 4008 region, and prices will find resistance from the long average and the trend line of short-term low (yellow line) in this same price range.
-If prices fail to break this region, we can expect the worst, which is prices testing the 3700 region.
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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A nice hit!-I confess that a rise of more than 20% was not in my plans.
-In previous analyses, some scenarios were considered based on the current situation, and one of them would be prices testing the long average region at $19.8K on the daily chart, as well as the 50% FIBO region of the high pivot mounted on the monthly chart. A priori this is what happened!
-However, the following week, prices were strange suggesting that we would have a double top on the daily chart in the region of $25.4K.
-This did not happen, and caused prices to disengage from the long average (springboard) and rise more firmly, leaving a beautiful hammer on the weekly chart, which, with its break, served as an impetus to seek the region of $27.4K, leaving only the attempt to reach the upper region of $32.3K.
-The daily chart suggests corrections to the pivot point region at $24.4K, to form a “pull back” and look for the steepest target at $32.2K, which is a region of important bottoms lost.
-You will like this graphical analysis!
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Pepper for lunch!-One of the most promising companies and the largest chain of restaurants in the world (fast food), can it go through corrections?
-If the answer is yes, that means we really could have such a "recession" soon.
-Based on SETUP and graphical analysis, there are some indications that we may have sharper corrections in the asset.
-I believe that long-term investors will want more premiums to buy the asset, mostly due to high inflation and, mainly, due to the monetary tightening that the FED will introduce.
-But this is a controversial thing, after all, when there is a reduction in the purchasing power of the masses, companies like MC DONALDS manage to benefit a lot from the situation. Is this graphic analysis trying to play a trick on me?
-Using the monthly chart, it indicates that the stock is entering a downtrend. Or will it be a correction to the region of $245.37? Or do we have a flag? There are so many variables to consider!
-By the weekly chart and upward trend it lost its strength in December 2022, where it ended up forming a bearish pivot as shown in the image below. We have prices losing and gaining the critical zone of $264.23. If there is a loss in this region, the correction could be towards $241.49 at first.
-Going down a little further, on the daily chart, we have this beautiful bearish pivot almost forming, and its destination according to the SETUP used is much lower. We have the long average at 253.13. Will it be able to help hold prices?
-Honestly, I hope I'm totally wrong!
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Catastrophe ahead?- In a previous analysis, prices were considered to retest the $19.8K region as well as the long average of the daily chart. A priori, this is exactly what happened!
-For the next few days we have the long average served as support for prices, where we can see attempts of rebounds up to the region of $22.1K. If prices fail to stay above this level, it will unfortunately open up grounds for us to have a test in the $18.1K region.
-If prices do not respect the $18.1K region, it is wiser to expect us to aim for the $16.8K region
-On the weekly chart we have prices losing the long average (a bad sign) as well as having a symmetry of daily and weekly targets. Will we see a catastrophe soon for BTC?
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Let's think about it!-The world is undergoing a major transformation. The economic axes that previously dominated the global scene are now undergoing profound changes, among them, the most important of all, inflation.
-Everyone must remember that Inflation in the not so distant past, was a disease unique and exclusive to emerging countries, however, with the changes in macroeconomic rules, we started to see that countries considered “healthy” also contracted this inflationary disease.
-Phenomena such as trade disputes, wars and pandemics (which can become frequent), weakened economies considered strong, bringing significant impacts of demands.
-However, against the grain of this chaos, we have news emerging and others being resurrected.
a) Appeared: New developments were suggested in relation to the production/replacement of energies considered dirty thanks to constant technological advances.
-In past decades we had the space race in vogue, today, we have the technology race, and whoever comes out ahead will have the world vanguard in their hands, as well as the intellectual domain of new technologies.
-It is logical that this transitional process could take a few decades, but, with the pandemic and the "war", this process could be shortened by 50% of the time (a decade at most), given that energy and technology are the "Holy Grall" of the future of humanity, and great powers, will not give up dominating these two strategic/competitive fields.
-b )Resurrecting: Energies that use uranium as a base, may enter the “list” of most used energies for good, so companies linked to this sector will be able to benefit and much from the energy transition that is to come.
-Many still argue that the energy produced through this substance is highly dangerous, but, making a brief analysis, we see that such energy has been produced for years by humanity and, given the complexity, and mainly the number of existing plants around the globe, we had little, or almost nothing, of serious environmental damage if we compare it statistically, and, when there was, it was mostly due to natural causes, or due to human error (lack of maintenance), but today we have the technological advances that can contribute a lot so that this type of energy is used in a staggered way in the global energy transition in a much safer way.
-I believe these are humanity's next steps for design and news at the moment!
$Let's Go Graphics$
-For this week that is starting, I will continue to adopt the previous analysis as a parameter, and I do not rule out that we may have a test in the region of 3700, and who knows, a bear trap is being prepared in this most important fund?
-We have the FIBO targets below. Will 3700 sustain itself?
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Powell raised his voice! Finally!- Yesterday, Powell raised his voice against persistent inflation. Will 5% y.y be the next stop for the American rate? This will be the value to be pursued by the FED.
-In view of this new news, the 3700 region may be the target for the time being, as we will see investors looking for more discounts to resume shopping.
-The bull trend line formed at the bottom of 3494 at the moment seems to me to want to serve as resistance as well as the bear trend line formed at the last top at 4817
(In case prices miss the region of 3960)!
-We have the long average just below to try to help prices stay above 3900, but I believe it alone is not strong enough for that.
-Now we will have the financial instructionals poring over their spreadsheets to find the best point of purchase.
-At the moment we don't have much to do, we just have to wait for the big players and houses to analyze their perspectives so that we mere sardines can have our little private party.
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Stones in the middle of the way!The monthly chart formed a bullish pivot, so it is only fair that there is a correction to the 50% FIBO region for the crypto to continue its rise!
-If prices start working below the $19.8K region, the trend could be reversed, so I don't rule out that prices will even test the $19.8K region.
-On the weekly chart, SETUP is already suggesting fatigue on the part of the bulls, so it will be more difficult for them to keep buying and hold prices.
-Going down a little further, on the daily chart, things really seem to want to get more complicated, as we have a bearish pivot formed and confirmed, where, your tendency is at least to look for the support of the long average to keep in an uptrend .
-If the average doesn't hold, the $18.2K region could be the destination!
-The stones are in the middle of the road, will the bulls throw them up?
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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No salvation!It seems to me that the final destination of the asset in question will be its most remote bottom, at $13.12.
This asset scares me. The bears simply ruined this cute little bunny!
Or will he be a mouse given his never encouraging financial statements?
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Conscious, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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Money is getting expensive!With the shift in interest rates by the FED, money tends to become more expensive, so the economic contraction knocks the door.
Graphically speaking and in the short term, the AMZN asset has great chances of reaching the previous bottom again in the region of $84.15 on the daily chart as the SETUP used informs!
-On the hourly chart, SETUP suggests that prices will seek the long average to fall again.
Are long-term investors looking for more discounts to buy the asset again?
Will $84.15 be right around the corner!?
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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The first trigger has been hit!According to a previous analysis , prices came to test the long average, as well as the region of 3958 proposed by the SETUP used.
And now, what will happen?
If the SETUP is correct, it will be a rebound to the 4089 region, however, if prices reach the FIBO gold region at 3918, the likely target for the SPX index will be the 3746 region, better known as the previous bottom. This bottom is the most important part of the long climb experienced!
On the hourly chart, SETUP suggests that prices will test the long average in the form of a rebound at around 4024.
Can we trust bulls?
-Do your analysis and good business.
-Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
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