⁉️ What is an Imbalance?‼️ Imbalances are also known as inefficiencies or FVG (Fair Value Gaps) these are periods in price action whereby means of lopsided order flow, which create porous wakes or gaps in fills. The market will slip to the only available trade levels as a result of thin liquidity and these voids in liquidity will be revisited at a later stage. The market will seek to fill in any missing gaps or missed levels on a trade. Impulse price swings are typically seen with this voids in liquidity. In simple terms imbalances are gaps in the market and the market will always seek in to close or fill those gaps.
Imbalance
GBPUSD Intraday BiasGBPUSD
Aug 10 1145H GMT+8
Bias is still Bearish. I expect Dollar index to go higer after US Core Inflation release 0830H EST.
4H Descending Channel is still intact
NY Session yesterday produced a 1H SZ (Supply Zone) and FVG (Fair Value GaP). I'm expecting London Session to fill the gap.
I expect London to take out Sellside Liquidity (Sell Stops) before the rally up the 1H FVG.
If the RR for a long setup is good, take it. Otherwise, wait for a better shorting opportunity at the 1H FVG/SZ. Target is an Longterm Lower Low.
US 100 SHORT Hey traders
in today session We're monitoring us100 for a selling opportunity from the imbalance zone.
Formation of clean bullish Wolfe Waves on BitcoinBullish Wolfe Waves appear on Bitcoin's 1 hour chart. This could be an indicator for short term reversal. Point 5 having a relative increase in trading volume makes me more confident in this setup.
I would be using the 1-hour Fair Value Gaps / Imbalances as areas to take some profits with my last target being the local high marked with a green line. Golden pocket doesn't look that significant as it was visited with a reaction prior but we might see another retracement there or from an area close below it if we decided to dive a bit deeper with point 5.
Bear in mind that FOMC is really close (pun intended!) and an interest hike might mess things up for those longing.
Trade safe.
Continuation or sell off? US30 - Higher timeframe outlook:
Price coming into weekly downtrend supply along with filling a nice imbalance, good potential zone for a reversal, however price could continue bullish all the way towards the D point of the crab filling these imbalances before closing back below the weekly structure, (As daily and 4H are both bullish).
If we fail to break the 1H/4H lows i'm going to look for buys towards that D point as Crypto/stocks have been super bullish this week too, and the rally could continue, however if we start failing highs/breaking structure i'll look for sells, will keep an eye on structure and market sentiment!
This crab is quite probable though, one of my favorite harmonics to trade for reliability especially the C/D leg for direction, but if this pattern completes without any major pullbacks it will be a more or less guaranteed big swing back down, so 100% get alarms on that D point zone! (Probably for next week if it completes so no rush there!)
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Nas Intraday LongLQ above, asian sessions to be swept below, closing the imbalance/structure below to go higher
#Eth PullBack - Two Options that could Happen according to SMTSMT is Smart Money Theory - Please see my previous published posts for the definition.
We have the price coming back down to fill the 4 hour fair value gap void (1315-1288). If it happens to get below that The Second option would be the Fair Value gap below that (1182-1148). It could reach higher before it falls back to these areas. But price always seeks imbalances and liquidity.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
XAUUSD SHORT-TERM BUY(INTRA DAY DRILL)XAUUSD has been dropping targeting sell stops as of our weekly bias but still gives short-term opportunities for buyers on the market before a rebound of price towards the sell stops since price is has to neutralize its efficiencies to the upwards IMB so as SELLERS could attain good momentum to the downward