Get started

Imbalance

Potential Shark + BOS We have a potential shark forming, price just broke structure and has an imbalance to fill from a previous IFC along with liquidity trapped at the X point. The shark completes at .86 or 1.13 (.86 doesn't cover the in-balance) There will probably be a liquidity hunt if price reaches the X point and if so the 1.13 will be our target However, we have potential volatile news dropping for the EUR in 1h 20, which could send the EUR either way so I'm going to wait until then before dropping the signal.
Long
by benalistarfx
Smart Money LONG | AUDCAD Looking at the structure we have formed at a Daily POI With the descending kind of nature towards that level, we now have a break of major structure suggesting that price could be about to turn around and move to the upside. Waiting for some sort of lower timeframe structure to form in order to get in on this position, so we shall have to wait and see how it plays out. Any questions please feel free to ask in the comments or via a message Thank you Take Care Ben
Long
by BenFxLDN
A fresh week and fresh PAGood morning traders! Hope your weekend was good and your weekend reviews gave you insight into your trading last week. Looking at todays PA I still think we need to wait for further development. The large bullish move Friday left lots of imbalance behind and many unprotected orders. On the Daily TF we have now broken the downtrend and have moved to a daily buy range, this signifies a return to bullish momentum in the market. I will be waiting for further development before entering any trades. As always Trade safe EnvisionEJ.
by EnvisionEJ
BTC USD - currently neutral, overall longHello Traders and Analysts, A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged Neutral for the short term. Long term, bullish, due to purchasing further increments upon imbalances. Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. Master Key for zones Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Red = 4 Days Yellow = 16 Hours Orange = Daily Dark Green = 8 Hour Grey = 4hour Pink = 1 hour Please see the previous chart idea to understand where price was heading Monthly Imbalances Here are the latest imbalances for Bitcoin, where the point of interest had offered a weekly candle close from the peak high of $64,823.XX to $51,997.XX. This is a huge imbalance where price has offered a large change of hands to a critical price inefficiency. Sellers are now in control and created a low with a heavy drop where the weekly shows the rapid selling. This is due to the buying imbalance now changing to provide efficiency based up on the pivot point. Weekly Imbalances On the weekly - price has now created a mid zone where the low of $28,200 zone, price has tested this but created upon the monthly - an opportunity of this low saw multiple retests - this offers a high opportunity for price to assess the direction. Price has now created multiple indecisions and a 50% to $41,300 offering a $13000 est range. The upper zone between $64,7XX to $56,XXX has strong weekly selling. Reviewing the candlesticks shows a clear sell opportunity, but awaiting confirmations would be to see lower lows created and the retest of the candle. See below* See what happened from our previous analysis - From the $50,000, a trade hedge has been place to capture selling opportunities as price offered a opportunity to short term sell, but long term holding target - subject to pivot points. Trade is now in full profit and if stopped out, no losses will be incurred Here is the Daily, since the previous analysis - please ensure you read to understand why this was taken. Overall, yes the market is in a bullish structure using the inception and three month chart, conversely price will always return to the imbalance - when? This is the question. BTC USD Bitcoin is still the overall leader within the movement of the Cryptocurrency world, and there is a large area of movement for price to close lower and lower into the territory where price will look to reverse at two options; highlight on the monthly zone. See below for the analysis to show that imbalances repeat themselves. The weekly has applications for lower lows, with a large amount of room to the imbalance to the downside. This is a fresh structural cycle - where price has and will move to this level. BTC Line chart Price has the opportunity to falsify a move to the upside. BTC VS ETH USD As the two largest cryptos are both here and where the correlation of smaller alternative coins - the market is in "euphoria mode" but to prevent losing out. Paying attention to the critical levels highlighted below will assist. Where price breaks $2,000 on ETH "Rounded Psychological level", price will created a lower bearish channel formation - the opposite to See the capitalization of the two correlated pairs with respect to Ethereum Based Link. Key Bitcoin - BTC - Blue Ethereum - ETH - Purple Link - LNK - White See the secondary scale showing BTC price chart using the weekly to identify the zone to watch for. Volume analysis Using the Daily chart - Here shows the tight range of buyers and sellers by volume. The largest zone has been heavy between the $38,000 to $32,000 range. Current state, using volume analysis at the $50k Previous 50k mark Notice the same change of hands? Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Position and swing trades Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXI
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by LupaCapital
5
Gold - Another Drop Incoming?Currently, we have had a strong impulse followed by a slow retracement. The Impulse took out a major Low, showing Sign of Weakness (SoW) as the level couldn't hold. We also have an M - which is a bearish pattern where we can expect a bearish reaction at the mitigation block (MB). Additionally, the market is in an Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), where we can expect lower prices. Gold also just filled in the Fair value gap (FVG) that needed to be filled, and from here we can look at bearish pressure. We also have imbalance to the downside that also wants to get filled. Target? We have 3 perfectly equal lows, which is a goldmine for banks as retail traders have their orders here. And since it's GOLD, we all know gold loves to manipulate retail traders, so therefore I'm looking for a Sweep (Stop loss raid) below the line to take out retailers Stop losses, causing a so-called trapped market. Confirmation Summary: M formation, Impulse & Correction, SoW, We are inside OTE, FVG just filled, Imbalance, 3 Perfectly Equal Lows (SSL). Should the setup fail and gold starts moving higher, I'm looking at the level above the M formation where it says BSL @1833.43, and the nice equal highs @1903.77 higher up. The last Setup I posted on gold here on tradingview was a great success, as from where I posted the analysis it went straight to the pip of my target, with a downfall of 2300 pips. Now, I'm currently already in a sell position from 1791.525, and the trade is running nicely in 5R profit with stops at breakeven. Continuing to hold... This is just my perspective and idea, do your own research :)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Bastianelton
4
GBPCHF - Retracement then LongWe are currently inside a Discount Area, above a weekly bullish Orderblock and a daily Mitigation Block. A retracement should happen and it should test the mitigation block or Deeper into the Weekly bullish Orderblock. Targeting the Bearish Breaker (Our first PD Array), or the Weekly Orderblock area into Equilibrium. We also have a Liquidity Void (imbalance) to be targeted as extra confirmation. This is just my perspective on the pair. Do your own research and good luck!
Long
by Bastianelton
GBP/USD - Chart Mark Up -16th August 21Daily chart still showing a bullish market from what I'm looking at. I would rather price dropped in to the lower 50% based off the Bullish Structure break and previous broken supply zone and give a rejection with the upper untouched Supply zone as a potential area for price to climb. But I cannot predict and never will, I always react to what the chart is showing me and then trade based off that. These are areas to keep note of when you're down in the Lower Timeframes taking trades.
Long
by jp7fx
US Oil August update with USD CADHello Traders and Analysts, A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged long, due to purchasing further increments upon imbalances. Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. Breakdown 1. Note 2. Contents 3. Research breakdown 4. Education recap 5. Information on Lupa. Master Key for zones Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Red = 4 Days Yellow = 16 Hours Orange = Daily Dark Green = 8 Hour Grey = 4hour Pink = 1 hour Original Idea here: December 15th 2020. Updated Idea: April 30th 2021 Understanding where we are now with the imbalances. Price has tested on the weekly the $67.00 high, which was a critical double top move allowing a correction to take place bringing price back towards $61.50. This established a weekly imbalance where April 19th 2021, the previous bearish wick offered a pricing pivot point. The Sellers had "netted" where the lowest point of the candle matched the fractal, allowing the market to create structural imbalance to add long positions. The engineered lows lured sellers and buyers to add aggressively. . The imbalances have netted off on the weekly to the monthly candle of February, March 2021. Now refer to the Monthly - price of the wicks low, closed at the monthly close two months previous - resting on top - meaning, the bullish movements are still in clear progression. Fibonacci & Daily Imbalance Combination Above the weekly imbalance block, price had surpassed and created the buying impulses, price needed to fill the wick as at 8th March 2021, and build upon the high probability of extending higher highs. Based upon the Fibonacci pattern, price established its peak "0" and once forming a -0.27 extension high, a correctional retest of the imbalance was required. This aligns with the Daily and weekly imbalance blocks. Volume Analysis The battle around the reactive zone is strong as the hidden battle under a monthly imbalance is a weekly imbalance, where movements create opportunities for price filling of monthly wicks. Price needed to revert from the monthly zone above $68--> to recapture correctional moves and stimulate the buying structure in place. Where confirmations were measure above, buyers were still in control. The range of buying and selling upon a weekly bullish candle cancelled out allows range traders and short term speculators to join in the liquidity. Note how the top of the volume range - bulls and bears back off, leaving the buyers to take over. USD CAD vs WTI Inverse correlation, but interesting relationship overall, as the Loonie weakens, the opportunity cost for buying from imbalances from the monthly offers the Dollar to gain traction towards the next zone. Price also offers the WTI as the Canadian Dollar weakens, pressure of the commodity to rise. The relationship between looks to the output of barrels. Use the link below to look at the US table and CAD table. US www.tradingview.com CAD www.tradingview.com Fundamental Fans Here is the current cross examination of the UK Oil Vs WTI using the weekly chart. Both are approaching a critical point in the respective price zones which both happen to be monthly imbalance zones. The correlations are gearing to a highly reactive point, so watch with caution. Understanding the Fundamentals behind the Supply, Demand & Future Supply through inflation of cause and effect. Oil prices and levels of inflation are often seen as being connected in a cause-and-effect relationship. Simply put with oil current at $66.00 per barrel, as oil prices move up, inflation—which is the measure of general price trends throughout the economy—follows in the same direction resulting in a higher overall price. Keep in mind, as the price of oil falls, inflationary pressures start to ease. Producer Price Index This is a measurement of the rate of change in prices of said commodity , where the change in prices of the products sold is measured by the producer. The exclusion of Tax, trade margins and transport cost which are all variables a buyer of a physical will have to burden. The PPI is a average movement of price, which are subsequently tracked by the economic indicators dealing with the price fluctuations end users have to pay at the end of the supply line. Adding the inflation ETF into the mix, the commodity price is rising inline with both the UK oil and WTI - so again the rate of positive correlation here is showing highly probable further increments to long positions. See below for the weekly chart. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Position and swing trades Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXI
TVC:USOILLong
by LupaCapital
EURUSD Possible Long-Term Downside ObjectivesSeen on the Monthly Timeframe, we see that we have created an M pattern in the past, where we retested a strong Bearish Orderblock before melting to the downside. Now we have created this SAME M Pattern, and currently testing a big Bearish Orderblock once again. The market tends to repeat itself. We also have lots of imbalances to fill, as well as possible mitigation of the Bullish Orderblock where we could potentially have a rejection up again, and Sell-side liquidity all the way down as a double bottom which the market loves to come to, take out all the liquidity and then possible reverse. We may have a long-term bearish bias for the EU. + The USD will go to sh*t ... Targets: - imbalances - Sell-Side Liquidity - Order block
Short
by Bastianelton
2
(NZD/USD) Potential Long Term Move Down V2An alternative situation - we have a very well-respected Trendline that has a high chance of getting manipulated. The green area marked above also has a lot of orders laying above so we could see those highs get taken out as well as mitigate a bit more of that Orderblock ¨ (From my previous post) This is a Daily Timeframe perspective. The Market has just tested a strong Bearish Ordeblockwhich is supposed to hold the market down. We also made a deceleration, going from a bullish market which is now a bearish market. The black lines that are drawn on the chart, is Sell Side Liquidity which are attractive targets where the majority of Orders lay in the market, The yellow areas are imbalances, where the market has moved too fast, creating inefficiency, so the market should fill a lot of these yellow areas. Another attractive area which the market wants to mitigate. The blue area marked up all the way down is a bullish Orderblock, which could be a potential reaction point. I don't know how far the market will drop, but I do expect a lot of these areas to get filled.
Short
by Bastianelton
1