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Imbalance

GF Short Sell to BuyHigher high created on the weekly that price is currently retracing. I have labeled 50% of the weekly buy and the 78% OTE level. The weekly 50% level is like a magnet so I’m expecting price to buy up to the weekly 50% and then continue selling to complete the weekly retracement for buys at or around the 78% level. The weekly 50% is also at the exact level that caused the daily structure break. 4hr shows another BOS for the buy but I don’t expect price to go higher than the weekly 50% just yet. My buy entry is 50% of the daily FVG and stop loss is just below the 4h FVG, 30 pips. RR = 1:7, TP 1.1436 as a safe exit as I do believe that price can trade higher. Good luck!
by AlishaRenay
2
GOLD/XAUUSD BUY AND THEN SELL or BUY?🔰 Pair Name : XAU/USD 🔰 Time Frame : 1 HOUR 🔰 Scale Type : MID SCALE 🔰 Direction: BUY THEN SELL During the US 4th of July bank holiday, Gold experienced minimal price movement. On Monday, the price reached $1930.76, which corresponds to the Fibonacci level, and then spent the following two days retesting the 78.6% Fibonacci level within the range of $1922.64. If you are uncertain about trading within channels, it may be beneficial to analyze demand and supply zones, as well as Fibonacci tools. Currently, Gold exhibits a robust bullish momentum towards the Fibonacci level at $1938.99, precisely aligned with its recent one-hour key high. With the imminent release of the FOMC minutes later today, we expect the Gold price to continue rising towards the $1938.99 area, representing the Fibonacci extension level of 121.7%. However, there is a possibility of a false breakout occurring at the key high level, leading to the extraction of remaining liquidity that has accumulated over the past week and a half. Subsequently, we may witness a decline towards at least $1930.76, followed by $1926.43 at the Fibonacci levels of 100% and 88.6% respectively. Depending on market conditions, there is a chance that the price may either drop further to $1892 or rise to the Fibonacci extension level of 161.8% to address the significant market imbalance between the $1939 to $1950 range. The subsequent price action will heavily depend on the outcome of the FOMC meeting tonight and any significant news announcements expected tomorrow. We recommend staying updated with our team's insights and analysis.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Moon_SmartMoney
1
GOLD/ XAUUSD LONG/ BUY🔰 Pair Name : XAU/USD 🔰 Time Frame : 4HOUR 🔰 Scale Type : MID SCALE 🔰 Direction: BUY In our latest analysis, we have observed a significant market imbalance, indicating that Gold is poised to retrace and fill the imbalance area. Notably, a distinct order block has materialized on the daily chart. It is worth mentioning that institutional orders have entered the market, evident from the formation of a clear inverted head and shoulders pattern just above the Daily Buy order block. This price action coincides with the release of the Friday NFP news. Traders who may have missed the opportunity to enter the market at the order block can now exercise patience and monitor the 4-hour chart for a potential breakout above the neck line. Once the breakout occurs, it is advisable to wait for a retest of the breakout level before initiating a buy position. Our target price is set at the $1950 area, which corresponds to the location of the last unfilled imbalance. In our opinion should NOT be lower than 1912 area.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Moon_SmartMoney
My GBPUSD Buy Setup For Next WeekCheck out this Buy setup for GBPUSD projection for next week move. FOREXCOM:GBPUSD Thoughts Process Behind the Setup: Weekly Time Frame: Bullish plus FVG and bearish order block above price serving as a draw on liquidity. Also, price already retraced to fill the FVG below price. Which means price is now ready to push higher to fill the FVG above. Daily Frame: Price bouncing off daily bullish order block to fill an imbalance. The only setback on daily for now is the bearish order block where price is currently at. 2HR: Price took out sellside liquidity and dropped further into the weekly FVG and then created a shift in market structure leaving a clear FVG behind. Entry: I used my FIB to locate OTE around the FVG which is where i will be placing my limit order for entry. What do you see on your own chart?
Long
by Elijahenoch7
6
#EURUSD. 🔴 M15. Short. (#EuroUSDollar). The Entry Price is higher than the Market Opening Price.(✔️) M15 imbalance on the potential of the H1 range. (✔️) Below the level of the First Seller of stock options. (⚠️) ps since the price is in search of a new range, we can try to sell from this reversal structure in order to pick up the corrective movement. But perhaps there will be a change of trend in this place. We'll see. According to my entry point, the first target has already worked out, and now the imbalance is retested. input: 1.10066 (on imbalance test) stop: 1.10322 tp-1: 1.09799 tp-2: 1.09276
Short
by TrEKone
1
GBP/JPY SHORT/ SELL🔰 Pair Name : GBP/JPY 🔰 Time Frame : 4H 🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale 🔰 Direction : SELL GBP/JPY has experienced a bullish run in recent weeks, leaving significant liquidity and market imbalances in its wake. This week, the price broke above the upper trend channel on the daily chart, indicating a potential shift in direction. Currently, it appears that the price is preparing to retest the previous uptrend channel. As professional traders, we anticipate a retracement towards the 180.5 daily support level, followed by a move towards 179.03 to refill the market imbalance. By revisiting these levels, the price will potentially find support and re-establish a balanced market structure. It is important to monitor price action closely and evaluate any signs of a reversal or continuation during this retracement. Stay vigilant and adapt your trading strategy accordingly as the price retraces and seeks equilibrium within the established uptrend channels.
Short
by Moon_SmartMoney
#BTC 🟢 M15 Buy (Bitcoin). ImbalanceI planned to open buy positions near the lower border of the H1 range (30K). But since the imbalance formed a reversal pattern, he took advantage of the situation offered by the market. By the way, at the moment a short situation is brewing in the market. The price was below the market opening. (✔️) The price was below the level of the First Buyer of exchange options. (✔️) The price was at the lower boundary of the H1 range. (✔️) M15 imbalance. (✔️) Second target above H1 range (⚠️) input: 30435 (input on imbalance test) stop: 30175 tp-1: 30697 tp-2: 31221
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TrEKone
1
#BTC 🔴 H1 SHORT (BITCOIN). Possibly W1 PPR ⬇️Interesting developments in Bitcoin. It seems that they tried to break through 31k several times, but at the same time, the 30k resistance worked out many times. But the last powerful impulse on the background of FUD took out the stops of all the longists, who stubbornly gained their positions in the LONG for a long time. We have been moving in the H1 range for a whole week, and most likely, the last downward impulse predetermined the current situation in BTC. At the D1 resistance, and the upper limit of the H1 range, a Double Top has formed, a Global Imbalance Level, which the price has already tested. And this gives an excellent signal to open a sell position. A retest of the imbalance is still possible, after which, with a high probability, we will go into the long-awaited correction, to the lower border of the H1 range (29982) and up to the previous Impulse Level (28737) p.s. In addition, on W1 we have a hint of the formation of a Bearish PPR, the implementation of which will definitely send the price to the level of 28.8-28.6K. p.p.s. In addition, the current Bitcoin Futures Contract on the Chicago Exchange expires on 07/01/2023. Accordingly, there should be significant volatility in the market. input: 30605 (on unbalance retest) stop: 31227 tp-1: 29982 tp-2: 28737
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TrEKone
EURCAD SHORT TO 1.38000EURCAD have been on the rise since August 2022, and now approaching the highs of 2022, what are my expectations? We can see that above the 2022 highs, there is a weekly imbalance I labelled, so price might get to that highs before going bearish, remember that the first leg of the M formation, formed on December, so this will be our second leg. So we expect this move to flow to 1.38000 Why shorting? There on the monthly timeframe, there is a high resistance zone we are currently on and we expect continuation of trend to the downside. Please do share, and give a follow to support.
Short
by Superstarsony_05
13
BTCUSDT LIQUIDITY STRUCTUREBTCUSDT price has been experiencing upward movement toward the previous SELL IMBALANCE & LIQUIDITY VOID created by previous sharp SELL OFF , so it is wise to consider SELL around these levels Also price is reaching the BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY above previous EQUAL HIGHS at 32500 there are still strong UNMITIGATED SUPPLY LEVELS on the way and it is smart to consider SELL POSITION to the target of UNMITIGATED DEMANDS and FVG's around 24k$ to 20k$ If market want to become BULLISH it must clear the SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY first , which this HAS NOT HAPPENED yet , so I'm waiting for SELL ENTRY above previous EQUAL HIGHS to the target of DEMANDS from previous upward move that they pull the price down like GRAVIGY
by KiyanCapital
3
EUR/USD - Back to fair valueEUR/USD analysis for next week. Price currently reacted on the H4 fair value gap after a long bullsih push. We took out liquidity first on London open and then on NY open causing a market structure shift on the m15 timeframe. You can look for a potential setup to go short once price retraces and potentially fill the FVG + Imbalance on this m15 swing that caused the break. Wait for rejection on the zone for a potential short targeting fair value (50% of the swing).
Short
by andrefx24
2
USDJPY Short IdeaWe are Currently in Premium, testing a Bearish Orderblock in the form of PDA. Inside this Orderblock, we have a new orderblock from which price moved rapidly away from as well as it took out previous high, which validates the OB. Price Manipulated the Previous Highs with a long wick, making this a Smart Money Reversal. We have a lot of FVG and EQL (SSL) to fill in. As another confirmation, we expect a retracement down as we have an overextended W, which should attract the market to move downwards. If the price should reach there, I'm looking to scale off some profits at around 110.077. Two possible Scenarios, One entry (main setup), it's a lower entry so more likely to get triggered. One entry at Equilibrium (CE), which has way better Risk to Reward but is less likely to get triggered. (however, LTF created lots of imbalance inside the new OB, which could definitely get filled) --------------------------------------------------- Confirmations: - In Premium - Orderblock INSIDE bigger Orderblock - Manipulation of the High - FVG & SSL Targets - W formation Retracement --------------------------------------------------- My ONLY Concern for me is that we have a lot of News today which could impact price to move the other direction. This may fail, but at least I'm not afraid to show my risk to reward box BEFORE it happens, unlike 95% of everyone on this platform. If it fails, I still have a strong belief that these FVG and SSL level will get filled soon, and I'll still keep them as targets for future trades.
Short
by Bastianelton
⚖️ Auction Market Theory📍Auction Market Theory, developed by J. Peter Steidlmayer and expanded upon by Jim Dalton in his book Mind Over Markets, explains how financial markets function as auctions where buyers and sellers interact. The theory focuses on two main objectives: facilitating trade through a two-way auction process and determining the fair value of assets. Supply and demand dynamics and price discovery play a crucial role in this process. Auction Market Theory is represented using tools like Market or Volume Profile, which utilize bell-shaped curves to identify the value area, representing 68% or 1 standard deviation from the mean. 🔷 In a balanced market , buyers and sellers agree on prices based on their perception of fair value. This leads to lower volatility and prices that remain relatively stable, resulting in a ranging market. The fair value can be recognized using the Market or Volume profile, which appears as a Gaussian bell-shaped curve. However, financial markets rarely stay in balance indefinitely. New information, whether fundamental or technical, causes markets to move away from fair value and transition into a different environment. 🔷 Imbalance refers to the opposite of balance, where there is a disagreement about fair value. In this scenario, one side of market participants becomes more aggressive, leading to a trending market. Typically, markets tend to trend only about 20% of the time and range about 80% of the time. When the market is within the value range, it is more likely to remain in balance and explore within that range. However, in the case of an imbalance, the market often drifts higher or lower until it reaches a stop, typically within a previous value area. 💥Key Takeaways: 🔸 Auction Market Theory explains how financial markets function as auctions, focusing on facilitating trade and determining fair value. 🔸 Supply and demand dynamics and price discovery are essential in the Auction Market Theory process. 🔸 Tools like Market or Volume Profile use bell-shaped curves to identify the value area, representing 68% or 1 standard deviation from the mean. 🔸 In a balanced market, buyers and sellers agree on prices based on their perception of fair value, leading to lower volatility and a ranging market. 🔸 Financial markets rarely stay in balance indefinitely, as new information causes them to move away from fair value and transition into different environments. 🔸 Imbalance occurs when there is disagreement about fair value, leading to a trending market. 🔸 Markets tend to trend about 20% of the time and range about 80% of the time. 🔸 When the market is within the value range, it is likely to remain in balance and explore within that range. 🔸 Imbalanced markets often drift higher or lower until they reach a stop, usually within a previous value area. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
2