Impulse
USDCHF Sell Setup, Watch for bearish price action
Hello everyone:
Also eyeing USDCHF for bearish downside price action.
We can see price formed into an ascending channel, correcting the price up.
At the top, a Head and Shoulder pattern has formed, and reversed the price down, good indication of a bearish reversal price action.
Latest development shows price broke out of the ascending channel, and formed a bearish continuation correction.
Expecting further downside from the price, watch for correction complete and look for sell down to previous lows as a potential targets.
Thank you
How to analyze the market from scratch (Impulse & Correction)Hello everyone:
Many have asked me about demonstrating how to analyze the chart from complete scratch.
When looking at my chart and educational video, it all seems very simple, but many are telling me they are struggling to identify the market.
Today I will go over how I analyze the chart, from the Higher time frame down to lower time frame by using multi-time frame analysis, top down approach.
Specifically by identifying price action, impulse and correction phases of the market.
1. Start from the Higher Time Frame (HTF): HTF can be any time frame higher than the daily chart, such as monthly, weekly, daily.
Personally I like to use daily as a go to time frame as it is widely used by traders.
2. Identify the impulse phase of the market. Understand the impulse phase is a period of fast momentum,
price is either pushing up or down very aggressively, and not much consolidation visible on the HTF.
3. Identify a period of consolidations. Using trendlines, connect the swing highs and lows of the price.
This is to identify the correction/consolidation phase of the market.
Which is the most important aspect in price action analysis.
You will need to be very knowledgeable on the type of continuation, reversal correction patterns/structures the market usually will form.
(I will share many price action patterns/structures that I identify and use in the market below)
4. Once you identify the HTF phase of the market, you will then go down to the Lower time frames (LTF).
LTF can be anything under 2/1 HR, 30/15 Min charts. It's not a specific time frame, rather “Multi time frame analysis”.
You will also identify the impulse phases & Correction phases on the LTF and use trendlines to connect the swing highs and lows of the correction/consolidation phase, just like what we did on the HTF.
5. Now that you have both the HTF and LTF charts drawn out, the key here is to have both the HTF and LTF tell you the same direction/bias.
They should align up and have the same bullish/bearish bias. This will strengthen your probability of success.
I always make sure when I am about to enter any trades, I want the multi-time frames all telling me the same story. Same bias, same direction.
6. Now all that comes down to is forecasting the possible entries, which I have made many videos on this topic and I will share some below.
Understand you would always want to make sure you are either entering during the impulse phase on the LTF,
or the price is about to start the impulse phase to gain the upper hands in the market.
You do not want to enter when the price is in a consolidation which is why many traders end up losing money, stuck in the correction and price isn't moving too much, rather just sideways.
7. Continue to work on analyzing the chart from scratch, get comfortable at identifying the impulse phase in the market,
and do backtesting continuously so you identify the corrections in the market.
This will make you see the chart and the market completely different than before, and you will have a much better probability of entering trades that work out in your favour.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know.
Jojo
Below I will share many educational videos that will help you to understand more on price action analysis, impulse/correction phase, entry, forecasting, backtesting and more.
Continuation and Reversal Correction
Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis
Multi-time frame analysis
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending)
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Rising/Falling Wedge
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
Risk Management: 3 different entries on how to enter the impulsive phrase of price action
Risk Management: How to Enter and set SL and TP for an impulse move in the market
Risk Management: When/How to move SL to BE and to profit in a running trade ?
How forecasting can benefit your trading journey
Backtesting & Chartwork on Forex Market
Backtesting & Chartwork on Indices Market
Backtesting & Chartwork on Crypto Market
How & Why I backtest:
EURGBP Bottom of Structure, Watch for bullish reversal
Hello everyone:
Also on my watchlist is EURGBP for potential bullish reversal opportunities.
We can see after a strong bearish impulse phase, price falls into a larger, deeper correction.
With few evenly swing highs and lows, a parallel channel correction is formed.
These larger correction tends to be more neutral, and doesn't necessary have to continue that previous bearish price.
Instead, what we get here on the lower time frame is a possible reversal correction at the bottom of the larger correction.
If price can manage to reverse impulse up on the LTF, follow by bullish continuation correction, then expecting price to reverse to the top of the HTF channel correction.
thank you
CHFJPY Strong Supply Headed DownWelcome back!
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful.
*****
Price in strong supply zone that hasn't been tested since October 2015. Due for correction on weekly and bullish strength appears to be weakening at weekly/daily resistance.
Be sure to follow the entry criteria rules for your strategy and keep this on your watch list!
- BKH
Weekly Trading Recap: EURUSD ~(+4%), XAGUSD ~(+5%) Oct. 23 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
EURUSD: 2 positions running for +4% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
SILVER: 2 positions running for + 5% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know.
If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :)
Jojo
Tesla Supercharged ? Ready to go ?
Hello everyone:
Lets take a look at Tesla's overall price action.
We see price has manage to push up to all time high around $900, then fall down significantly.
However, the latest price action started to form into a bullish structure that we are familiar with.
A double bottoms, triangle like correction is giving us a higher probability to see it as a bullish consolidation,
and once the correction is complete, we can expect further upside potential.
I see 2 possible scenario, as price has managed to breakout,
so either look for a lower time frame continuation correction,
or
price may push down to the previous lows again, but still within the triangle like structure,
expect a bullish reversal from the bottoms.
Thank you
GBPNZD Bearish Impulse Down, Watch for Continuations
Hi everyone:
GBPNZD is also on my watchlist for potential bearish continuation opportunities.
We can see that the higher time frame has formed into a larger parallel channel structure after the strong impulse phase.
Naturally price will correcting within, and good to be patient here to wait for bearish confirmation.
Latest development shows a lower time frame double tops,
price then impulse out of the HTF channel structure, very good sign for further bearish continuation.
Now that price has formed a LTF bearish flag, good indication of continuation price action,
wait for the correction to complete, and watch for sell down to previous lows.
Thank you
EURUSD Impulse Up from Structure, Watch for Buys
Hi traders:
Finally we are seeing some bullish price action on the lower time frame of EURUSD.
WE can see that price has reach both the higher time frame and both lower time frame's bottoms.
A HTF double bottoms, bottom of the HTF parallel structure, bottom of the LTF expanding structure, and bottom LTF descending channel has all been reached.
This is a great indication that if price doesn't continue lower, a bullish reversal is very likely and higher probability.
Latest development shows the LTF has a clean impulse move up, breaking up the descending structure now.
To confirm the next bullish up move, price needs to develop a bullish continuation correction on the LTF and complete,
before we can set the entry order for the buy.
Thank you
AUDUSD Bullish Continuation Price Action
Hi traders:
Also eyeing AUDUSD for further upside potential.
We can see a higher time frame descending structure that the price is currently in.
At the bottom, a bullish reversal price action, giving us an inverse Head and Shoulder pattern,
and we saw a strong bullish up move follow by correction.
Now that price has confirm broken out and is in the impulse phase of the market,
be on the look out for further continuation correction on the lower time frame that can push the price up further to the previous highs,
and the top of the overall HTF structure.
Thank you
DXY My View on the USD and moving forward
Hi traders:
What can expect from the USD in the near future ?
As we can see here, price is once again at the top of the overall current price action structure.
Price spent much of the time since July correcting within the expanding structure. Not much bullish price action here.
Now, we can see a potential double tops, price formed a lower time frame ascending channel within the expanding structure, all clues leading to a bearish reversal price.
Now that we see some lower time frame bearish move down now, good to wait for a clear impulse down, follow by continuation before looking for sell entries down to the previous lows.
If price does indeed continue further, then LTF bearish continuation correction is likely to form and push toe price down to the higher time frame structure.
Thank you
SOLANA Looking for bullish continuation price action
Hi everyone:
Also eyeing SOL for bullish price action to continue.
We can see price has already made a strong impulse move to the upside, and formed a continuation correction.
Price then has a clear impulse up on the lower time frame, good sign of bullish continuation development.
Now that the price is forming into a lower time frame continuation correction,
be on the look out for price to complete this continuation correction, and look for buy entry to the all time highs.
If price can manage to continue after breaking all time highs, then further upside is certainly expected,
as long as bullish continuation price actions are form and complete.
Thank you
BITCOIN - Price prediction according to Elliott Wave TheoryHope you all are having a green PNL from this market. We are seeing a massive bull move to the upside after the correction happened in September. While seeing the recent impulse, correction and the next impulse, the price looks like it's moving according to Elliot wave theory.
Basic Principle of Elliott Wave Theory.
Simply put, movement in the direction of the trend is unfolding in 5 waves (called motive wave or impulse) while any correction against the trend is in three waves (called corrective wave). The movement in the direction of the trend is labelled as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. There is also a three wave correction wave, as of now it is not drawn in the chart. These patterns can be seen in long term as well as short-term charts. Ideally, smaller patterns can be identified within bigger patterns.
Currently, looking into the daily chart, we can see a motive wave to the upside first, which was from 29k to 52k, this is the first wave, and we can call it as wave 1. And it was followed by a correction wave, which was 50% of the first wave. According to Elliot Wave theory, wave 2 is typically 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, or 85.4% of wave 1. So this can be considered as a successful correction.
And after the correction wave 2 we are now seeing the third impulse.
If the price is playing out according to the theory, the third impulse wave is supposed to be 161.8% of wave 1, which comes around at 77500.
The third impulse is usually followed by a correction wave, we can call it as wave 4, and wave 4 is typically 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3. This can cause a pull back of price to around 62500.
After the fourth correction wave, there will be one more impulse to the upside, which is the final one. And this wave 5 is typically inverse 1.236 – 1.618% of wave 4, equal to wave 1 or 61.8% of wave 1+3. Which is around 85000.
And after the fifth impulse to the upside, price will form a 3 wave correction.
The first impulse and correction satisfies the theory, this does not mean that we will be seeing price following exactly in this path. All these are just probabilities. Market usually follows these wave patterns and I just tried figuring out what will happen if it is going to follow the same this time around. As you all know technical analysis won't be always completely true, and the price is never 100% predictable, if it was that simple, most of the traders wouldn't be losing money on financial markets. So take your own time to analyze and plan your trades before entering.
Thank you, and have a great trading day ahead.
CARDANO Watch for bullish price action to buy
Hi everyone:
Looking at ADA's current price action for another impulse phase to push the price higher.
We can see from the previous impulse phase that broke the all high, is follow by a consolidation correction.
This is what we generally want to see if price will continue the previous bull run.
Latest development shows signs of a bullish correction on the LTF. Watch this correction to complete and look for the buy entry to the top.
Thank you
USD Weakness ? Detail Price Action Analysis Breakdown
Hello everyone:
Many have asked me to do another in depth breakdown on the USD pairs.
Personally my bias and view is more weakness to come on them.
So I will break down all the potential USD pairs that are developing nicely for some opportunities.
Currently in EURUSD Long and watching out for other pairs as well.
DXY
Original Analysis and Forecast:
EURUSD
Original Analysis and Forecast:
AUDUSD
Original Analysis and Forecast:
USDCHF
Original Analysis and Forecast:
USDCAD
Original Analysis and Forecast:
USDSGD
Original Analysis and Forecast:
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDMXN
Any questions, comments, or feedback welcome to let me know :) thank you
JoJo
Elliott Wave Analysis: EURNZD Remains BearishHello traders!
Today we will talk about EURNZD currency pair in which we see nice and clean bearish impulse in progress with room for more downside pressure, while it's trading within channel range.
As you can see, we are tracking a higher degree wave (3) that can push the price much lower, especially if we consider an extended wave 5 of (3) with room down to lower channel support line and 1.58 - 1.55 area. So, be aware of more weakness this year, just watch out for a short-term pullback in subwave "iv".
Be humble and trade smart!
If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Silver Which way? Hi Guys, the XAGUSD is in a structure where it needs to tell us where it will go in the future. Structure is showing us two possible scenarios the wave structure could develop. I will wait for a correction before buying or selling it. I guess setup will be clear next week and we all will know which way it will go.
Thank you for your support.
Weekly Trading Recap: EURUSD, SILVER, GBPNZD, SOLANA Oct.17 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video.
Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
EURUSD:
First Entry: Closed down for -1% loss
Second Entry: Running about +0.7% profit
Third Entry: Running about -0.3% loss
Full analysis/forecast:
SILVER: Running about +1.3% profit
Full analysis/forecast:
GBPNZD:
3 Entries closed down for -1.5% loss
Full analysis/forecast:
SOLANA: Closed down for -1% loss
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know.
If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :)
Jojo
EURAUD Reversal Head and Shoulder Price Action, watch for sell
Hello traders:
EURAUD is looking very clean on the higher time frame as it is forming the right shoulder of the H and S pattern.
We can see after price hit the higher time frame double tops, a strong impulse move to the downside, hitting the previous lows.
Then we see price correctively move up in an ascending channel, good sign of a continuation bearish price action.
Latest development here is price is still within the correction, so best to wait for confirmation impulse out from the structure, a
nd lower time frame bearish continuation correction to get in on the sell.
Thank you
Elliott impulse waves are shapingAs you can see we are in the 4th wave.
I hope it'd be raised if Bitcoin let the altcoins move on.