Elliott Wave Outlook: S&P-500 E-Mini (ES) Looking to Extend HighShort Term Elliott Wave View on S&P 500 E-Mini (ES) below shows that the Index ended wave 3 at 4206.25 and pullback in wave 4 is proposed complete at 4062.25. This view will get validation if the Index manages to break above wave 3. Internal subdivision of wave 4 unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 3, wave (a) ended at 4176.25 and rally in wave (b) ended at 4191.50. Index resumed lower in wave (c) towards 4105.50 and this completed wave ((w)). Index then corrected in wave ((x)) towards 4167 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave ((w)), wave (a) ended at 4154.5 and pullback in wave (b) ended at 4130.75. Wave (c) higher ended at 4167 which completed wave ((x)).
Index resumed lower again in wave ((y)) with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((x)), wave (a) ended at 4075.5 and wave (b) rally ended at 4118. Index then resumes lower in wave (c) towards 4062.25 which completed wave ((y)) of 4. Index has since turned higher in wave 5 with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse. Up from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 4163.25. Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 4112.25 with internal structure of an expanded flat Near term, as far as pivot at 4062.25 low stays intact, expect the Index to extend higher.
Impulse
Elliott Wave Impulse Decline in XOM Suggests Further DownsideShort term Elliott Wave view in Exxon Mobil (ticker: NYSE:XOM ) suggests that the decline from 4.28.2023 high took the form of a 5 waves impulse. Down from 4.28.2023 high, wave (1) ended at 115.64 and rally in wave (2) ended at 117.30. The stock resumes lower again afterwards. Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 114.45 and rally in wave 2 ended at 115.22. Stock resumes lower again in wave 3 towards 109.29 and wave 4 rally ended at 111.39. Final leg wave 5 ended at 108.15 which ended wave (3). Stock then rallies higher in wave (4) towards 109.81 and then extends lower in wave (5) towards 105.5. This completed wave ((A)) in higher degree.
Wave ((B)) is currently in progress to correct cycle from 4.28.2023 high. Internal subdivision of wave ((B)) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((A)), wave A ended at 109 and dips in wave B ended at 105.80. Wave C higher ended at 110.97 which completed wave (W). Pullback in wave (X) ended at 108.1 and the stock has resumed higher again. Potential target higher for wave (Y) is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (W) which comes at 113.5 – 116.8. Near term, as far as pivot at 119.9 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
3 waves completed INJUSDTThis is my count for INJ/USDT, currently correcting for wave 4.
usually after a strong bullish move wave 4 is a shallow correction especially if consider the rules of alternation because wave 2 made a deep correction, I am expecting wave 4 to correct between .236 of fib or .382.
there's still a wave 5 I am expecting.
(i don't trade wave 4's personally, one of my trading rules)
EURCAD - The Perfect Impulsive Wave ✨EURCAD is showing us the perfect impulsive wave. As we can see, we are currently on the 4th wave correction which is an ABC wave. We are on Wave C now, which has 5 waves.
We're expecting the final 5th wave higher, which will be broken down into 5 subwaves.
4H Timeframe
Trade Idea:
- Watch for break of red trendline for confirmation that we've started the 5th wave
- Enter with stops below the lows
- Target: 1.463 (500pips), 1.49 (800pips)
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Exxon Mobil (XOM) Looking to End 5 Waves Elliott Wave ImpulseExxon Mobil (XOM) cycle from 3.20.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.20.2023 low, wave (1) ended at 107.35 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 100.68 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Up from there, wave 1 ended at 110.17 and wave 2 ended at 109.05. Wave 3 ended at 114.64, wave 4 ended at 112.20. Final wave 5 ended at 116.85 which completed wave (3) in higher degree.
Wave (4) pullback took the form of a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (3), wave A ended at 114.17, and wave B ended at 117.18. Wave C lower ended at 113.6 which completed wave (4). Wave (5) is in progress as a 5 waves diagonal structure. Up from wave (4), wave 1 ended at 116.59 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 114.16. Wave 3 ended at 117.56 and dips in wave 4 ended at 115.50. Near term, expect XOM to extend higher to complete wave 5 of (5) of ((1)) before cycle from 3.20.2023 low ends and the stock see a larger degree pullback. As far as pivot at 100.68 low stays intact, expect the stock to extend the final leg higher before ending cycle from 3.20.2023 low.
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Should Stay SupportedS&P 500 ETF (SPY) cycle from 10.13.2022 low is in progress as a diagonal 5 waves. Up from 10.13.2022 low, wave 1 ended at 410, and wave 2 pullback ended at 380.46 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Wave 3 is in progress with subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 402.49 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 389.33. The ETF rallies higher in wave ((iii)) towards 412.50, and dips in wave ((iv)) ended at 405.68.
Wave ((v)) higher is in progress with internal subdivision as a diagonal in lesser degree. Up from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 413.75 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 407.15. The ETF extends higher in wave (iii) towards 415.09, and dips in wave (iv) ended at 410.06. Expect wave (v) to end soon which should also complete wave ((v)) of 3. Afterwards, the ETF should pullback in wave 4 to correct cycle from 3.13.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 380.46 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
LINK accumulating for almost 300 days The position has been accumulating for over 300 days, the price has surpassed all lower zones and removed important external liquidity, the targets remain only higher in the form of EQH.
A good reaction to the FF imbalance can be seen, and now this reaction should lead to the removal of EQH.
Against the potential decrease in dominance and signs of strength in the ETHBTC chart, the LINK chart looks very good.
Crude Oil Looking To Complete Impulse Elliott Wave SequenceCL_F (Crude Oil) favors higher in 5 wave Impulse Elliott Wave sequence as wave 1 before pullback starts. It placed (B) at $64.12 low on 3/20/2023. Above (B) low, it placed ((i)) at $71.67 high & ((ii)) at $66.82 low. ((ii)) was 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of ((i)). It favored ended ((iii)) at $81.81 high on 4/04/2023 high as extended ((iii)). Within ((iii)), it placed (i) at $74.37 high, (ii) at $72.61 low, (iii) at $81.69 high, (iv) at $79.00 low & (v) ended at $81.81 high as ((iii)) as 2.0 Fibonacci extension of ((i)). It ended ((iv)) at $79.37 low as double as shallow correction on 4/11/2023. Above ((iv)) low, it favors higher in ((v)) of 1.
Above ((iv)) low of $79.37, it ended (i) of ((v)) at $81.85 high & (ii) at $81.28 low. It ended (iii) at $83.53 high & favors pullback in (iv) before upside resumes in (v) to finish ((v)) as wave 1. Impulse sequence expects to finish with momentum divergence in fifth wave against third wave before correction starts. So, if it erases the momentum divergence with more upside, then it can be the part of nest within impulse sequence before pullback starts. Once it finished wave 1 as impulse sequence, it expects to pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings against 3/20/2023 low before turning higher. It expects to remain supported at extreme areas in pullback.
EURJPY I Testing psychological levelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave Bullish Sequence Favors HigherGold (XAUUSD) broke above the previous peak on February 2, 2023 at 1959.74. It shows a bullish sequence from 9.28.2022 low favoring further upside. A 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from 9.28.2022 low targets 2148 – 2360 to the upside. Near term, cycle from 2.28.2023 low is currently in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 2.28.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 1858.33 and dips in wave 2 ended at 1809. The metal extends higher again in wave 3 towards 2009.75. The 1 hour chart below shows pullback in wave 4 ended at 1933.90.
Wave 5 higher is now in progress with subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from 4, wave ((i)) ended at 2003.28 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 1943.70. Up from there, wave (i) ended at 1987.57, wave (ii) ended at 1949.30. Gold then extends higher in wave (iii) towards 2032.13 and dips in wave (iv) is proposed complete at 2000.50. Expect Gold to extend higher in wave (v) to complete wave ((iii)), then it should pullback in wave ((iv)) before the rally resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 1933.64 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside.
Aussie Is Looking For Lower SupportAUD found some sellers this week and most likely after lower CPI figures reported from Australia which means that RBA is most likely going to be on hold. It's coming down from 0.68 after RBA did not change their rate decision.
The recent recovery on Aussie from 2023 low looks corrective, thus it can belong to a bearish trend, especially if we also see a break beneath 0.6654 level. That said, we see this as wave 4 within wave (A) so more weakness can be coming soon.
Silver (XAGUSD) Breaks Higher & Forms Elliott Wave Bullish SequeSilver (XAGUSD) broke above the previous peak on 2.2.2023 high ($24.62). As a result, it now shows a bullish sequence from 9.1.2022 low favoring further upside. A 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from 9.1.2022 low targets 26.91 – 31.23. Near term, cycle from 3.10.2023 low is in progress as a 5-waves nesting impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.10.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 22.71 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 22.12. The metal has resumed higher in wave 3 which subdivides into another 5 waves in lesser degree.
Up from wave 2, the 1-hour chart below shows wave (i) ended at 23.52 and wave (ii) ended at 22.8. Wave (iii) ended at 24.15, wave (iv) ended at 23.54, and wave (v) ended at 24.19 which completed wave ((i)). Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 23.78. The metal extends higher in wave ((iii)) and expected to complete soon. Afterwards, it should pullback in wave ((iv)) in 3, 7, or 11 swing before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 23.78 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
AUDJPY Same Sell, Choose The Best Pair
So similarly, AUDJPY has the similar sell price action like CADJPY.
Its important to understand currency correlation, and why we need to choose the best 1 or 2 pairs of the same currency to enter.
IF JPY is going to get stronger, then likely all the JPY will move. But if we are wrong on our analysis, all the JPY could reverse.
So its in our best interest to reduce our risk in trading, choose and focus on the best potential setup in the market.
Ideally, we need to wait for the bearish continuation correction on the lower time frame to confirm another move down.
CADJPY Clean Sell Setup
Hello traders:
CADJPY is looking very nice for some short term bearish continuation sell.
We can see on the mid time frame, price has created a double tops, with a bearish reversal ascending channel correction.
Indeed price has impulse down from the correction, and now on the lower time frame, is consolidating.
This is a good sign we can see more downside move from the price. Wait for bearish correction to confirm the sell.
Thank you
Silver Higher Time Frame Outlook
Hello everyone:
Most of the time I only focus on technical side of things, but this time I will go over both the fundamental and technical of Silver for the long term.
Silver was only trading around 8-9$ around the 2008 market crashed, and peaked at 50$ in 2011.
IT had slowly but surely dropped down to the lows again around 13$ in end of 2015.
Understand that the price of silver can not go lower as there are many cost associated with silver.
Whether is production, labor, inflations..etc. Price is not sustainable at low cost. Which leads to people understand the likelihood of price rising again.
On the other hand, purely from a technical perspective, we are see a period of consolidation phrase from 2015 - 2019.
If Covid didn't happen, price wouldn't test the lows of 2013 again. Regardless of the short term push down, we see price had the massive bullish push to the upside, clearly break all previous highs.
This can be the start of the HTF bullish run. Latest price action shows us a big potential consolidation in the making. Can be the next continuation correction to push the price up.
My approach would be wait for this HTF correction to complete tp give me more confluence that we are likely to resume the bullish move to the upside, and wait for LTF continuation correction for the buys.
Thank you
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Develops Elliott Wave Bullish SequenceGold Miners ETF (GDX) is close to breaking above the previous peak on 1.25.2023 high (33.34). A break above will open up a bullish sequence from 9.26.2022 low favoring further upside. Near term, cycle from 3.10.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.10.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 29.95 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 28.50.
Wave 3 is currently ongoing with internal subdivision as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 31.99 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 29.63. We can see wave ((i)) and ((ii)) in the 45 minutes chart below. The ETF then extends higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 31.80 and wave (ii) ended at 30.74. Wave (iii) ended at 32.80 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 31.95. Final leg wave (v) of ((iii)) is expected to end soon, then it should pullback in wave ((iv)) before turning higher again in wave ((v)) to complete wave 3. Near term, as far as pivot at 29.63 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
GBPCAD Short Term Bearish Possibilities
Hello everyone:
Similar like GBPUSD, we can see GBPCAD here is looking like there is one more short term move to the downside.
After the initial move up to the previous highs, price failed to continue higher, and formed a double tops, rising wedge reversal.
At the of the week, some bearish price action has begun on the lower time frame.
Be interesting to see if price can form bearish continuation price action, that can confirm one more short term move down within the larger, higher time frame correction.
thank you
GBPUSD Could Reverse, Watch For Bearish Price ActionHello traders:
GBPUSD is currently at the top of its higher time frame correction.
What's interesting is price is showing signs of bearish price action at the top, with bearish reversal development.
This week be on the look out for, bearish impulse phase on the lower time frame to kick off the reversal momentum, a
and wait for continuation correction to confirm the sell before entry.
Thank you
Ripple (XRP) Analysis: Understanding the Potential MovesRipple (XRP) has acquired significant attention from traders and investors recently, and it currently sits at a crucial point in its price action. I will analyze Ripple's recent performance and potential future scenarios from an Elliott Wave perspective. Additionally, I will discuss some of the factors that may influence Ripple's price, as well as its relationship with Bitcoin Dominance.
Recent Price Action and Elliott Wave Analysis
Ripple has experienced a strong move up to the resistance level of 56 cents, reminiscent of the spike in September 2022. This time, however, Ripple has managed to push slightly higher, reaching a current high of 58 cents. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that we have completed a wave 3 at this high.
Extended Wave 3 and Potential Short-term Targets
There is a degree of likelihood that Ripple will surpass its current high of 58 cents in the near future if the market decides that breaking the 56-cent resistance (the September 2022 high) is worth pursuing further. This would indicate that we are in an extended wave 3 move, with short-term targets at 70 cents.
Wave 4 Cool Down and Retracement
If Ripple reaches the 70-cent mark, we can expect a cool-down period of at least a few weeks as the market enters wave 4. During this period, Ripple is likely to retrace back to around 60 cents before resuming its upward trajectory.
Bitcoin Dominance and Optimistic Scenario
The associated chart displayed in this analysis presents the most optimistic scenario for Ripple's price, assuming that Bitcoin Dominance behaves as expected when it reaches 50%. In this case, Ripple could experience significant growth throughout 2023.
Upper Limit for XRP in 2023
However, it's essential to exercise caution when holding XRP at higher price levels. If Ripple reaches 85 cents or higher, it may be wise to reevaluate your positions, as the top for 2023 could potentially be between 85 and 88 cents. Keep in mind that this is the most optimistic scenario, and it's crucial not to become overly attached to a specific price target.
NZDCHF Same Bearish Outlook, Short Term Sell Setup
Similar like NZDUSD, we can also expect a bearish development on NZDCHF.
As usual, after an impulse phase, price formed a continuation correction to correct the impulse.
From the correction, there is a confirm impulse push down the price. This is good confirmation of bearish trend.
Now price has form another smaller correction,
watch for price to break out and look for lower time frame entries to sell to previous lows.
NZDUSD Bearish Development, Watch For Sell
Hello traders:
Here on NZDUSD, we can see price is currently consolidating in a possible bearish correction structure.
After the initial bearish impulse move, the price fails to break the previous swing highs, and begin to form the current correction.
This is usually a good sign that the bearish momentum is still strong and more continuation is very possible.
Wait for lower time frame development to confirm the bearish trend to the next swing lows.