Short Idea for BTCUSDT (bar pattern)
The impulse wave and megaphone on a higher candle TF is printing something similar on a smaller time frame, i pasted it down to scale for a better observation.
I think the 31st of march will determine trend direction based on if its going to play out the last part of the wave: the ABC leg down, see for reference the blue vertical line.
Weekend is notorious for baiting retail. Expect the opposite to usually play out tues-thurs when market makers come out to play.
I do think the head and shoulders seen below will play out, sending price to my target stated above, around 30-31k. An inverse head and shoulders pattern has a measured move equal to the distance from the lowest point in the pattern to the neckline projected from the neckline. see orange Xs and red vertical lines
Impulse
USD/ZAR Price Turns BearishUSDZAR Has been in an impulse phase and it has been completed with no rules violated. We are in the bearish phase of the market, we have two counts going on where it could be an impulse in the downside suggesting a long-term sell-off or a short-term sell-off as a correction meaning we are trading in a wave (C) instead.
The idea of an impulse is a little complex but the idea would be to trade a wave 3 looking at the retracement it would make sense to target the 2,618. Correlating this pair to USDCAD we are more likely to have long-term sells but keeping an eye on the price level where a Zig-Zag pattern completes will be very important.
AUDCAD, More downside possiblePrice action as been moving correctively towards a double top range which we could see another potential sell opportunity. I will be looking for a 3rd touch on this correction followed by a reversal impulse to validate another sell entry.
Thanks
Trade Safe
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GBPAUD Top-Down Analysis #29/50Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
on WEEKLY: Left Chart
GBPAUD is overall bearish trading inside the brown channel, and it is currently around the upper brown trendline.
Moreover, the zone 1.83 is a strong resistance zone .
So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance zone and upper brown trendline. (acting as non-horizontal resistance)
on H4: Right Chart
GBPAUD is bullish from a medium-term perspective trading inside the rising red channel.
🏹 Trigger => for the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the last low and lower red trendline.
Meanwhile, until the sell is activated, GBPAUD can still trade higher inside the green weekly resistance.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURUSD More USD Strength, Watch For Sell Setups
EURUSD is shaping up for more downside opportunities as the price action is showing very clean bearish development.
After the double tops, price begin to reverse from the ascending channel reversal. With bearish price in the lower time frames.
WE can see price has finally impulse out of the structure and formed a continuation correction, also formed a Head and Shoulder pattern as well.
All these are good confluences to wait for more sell setups to form on the lower time frames to give further opportunities to the downside.
NZDCAD Watch For Bullish Price Action
Looks like NZDCAD could potentially develop into the next bullish up move on the lower time frame.
From the previous, impulsive phase on the higher time frame, price begin to form into a larger consolidation, correcting the price.
With a few swing highs and lows, we see price finally create a smaller descending channel within the larger correction.
This is a good sign to show multi-time frames are in a bullsh favor.
Currently price has already push up, so wait for this current correction to complete to confirm the nex up side is ideal.
Alternatively, price can just make one more short move down to to bottom of the higher time frame correction before the next up move.
Impulsive Elliott Wave Decline in FTSE Calling More DownsideFTSE ended cycle from 3.16.2020 low with wave I at 8047.06. The Index is now in the process of correcting this 3 year rally in wave II. The internal subdivision of wave II is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. A zigzag structure is a 5-3-5 structure with ((A))-((B))-((C)) as the label. Wave ((A)) and ((C)) in this case subdivides into 5 waves impulse. In the 1 hour chart below, FTSE is still within wave ((A)) of II with subdivision as 5 waves. Down from wave I, wave 1 ended at 7978.61 and wave 2 ended at 8020.13.
The Index then resumes lower in wave 3 towards 7870.39, and wave 4 ended at 7949.97. Final leg lower wave 5 ended at 7854.82 which completed wave (1). Rally in wave (2) ended at 7976.48 with subdivision as a zigzag structure. Up from wave (1), wave A ended at 7950.69 and pullback in wave B ended at 7875.03. Wave C higher ended at 7976.48 which completed wave (2). The Index resumes lower in wave (3). Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 7897.45 and rally in wave 2 ended at 7959.77. Expect the Index to extend lower 1 more time to end wave 3, then it should rally in wave 4 and extends lower again. Near term, as far as pivot at 7976.48 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing.
EURAUD I Potential correction downward from supply zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUAD Analysis - Listen to video!
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NZDUSD, Potential Short to Double Bottom Price action has been moving within a falling wedge structure which as we know is a reversal structure in nature. We may get another leg down to a double bottom area before price climbs up as we can see a corrective movement after a strong impulse this past week.
I will wait to see if price is able to retest the upper boundary of the wedge structure to give a sell opportunity.
Thanks
Trade Safe
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USDCAD I It will fall from resistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
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USDJPY Bullish Trend ContinuesPrice is trading in a bullish direction as an impulse move, the 1-2-3-4-5 sequence is close to completing we just have to wait for the wave 5 make a new high. The are scenarios where wave five fails to make new high this scenario is called Truncation. The waves 1 and 4 are not overlapped making this a valid impulse pattern the wave 4 is completed and we seeing price make the wave 5 first leg we will continue moving in the bullish direction.
USDCAD Bullish Price Action, Wait For Buys
Hello traders:
Looking at USDCAD here on the higher time frame, I cant help but point out the bullish price action in nature.
The overall structure looks clean from the bullish move up, and a larger correction, with multiple swing highs and lows, forming the correctional structure you see right now.
From last year, during September 2022, we see a strong bullish impulse phase on the mid time frame, validates my forecast from the beginning of the year.
After the impulse phase, we can see a consolidation begin to form, and price is correcting for the next possible continuation up move.
What we can wait for is on the lower time frame development to confirm the next up move.
I would wait for some clean bullish continuation correction to form and complete, before consider entry.
Thank you
EURJPY - Top In Place! Catch This BIG Swing!EURJPY recently completed an ending diagonal where we had a truncated 5th wave. Now that we have the top in place, we can look for shorting opportunities below "The Top".
Please note that we could be making a complex ABC correction for wave 2. If we do, we'll have another chance to catch the move down from the place indicated on the chart.
Trade idea:
- Watch for breakdown of the current correction
- Entry on break of red trendline
- Stops above correction. Safer stops above "the top"
- Target the recent lows 138 (700pips)
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Possible complex correction:
NZDJPY, Retracement to gain momentum for buyersNZDJPY is looking to continue its growth after a short term retracement retesting the 84.50 level. As you can see price has created multiple higher lows indicating a bearish run may not be likely at this moment.
Price impulsively broke out of the upper trendline of a reversal structure surpassing previous highs which we should see further upside after a short pull back.
Be patient with your entry, ensure your criteria for entry is met.
Thanks
Trade Safe
NZDUSD, Bulls to take control from the weakness of DXY!NZDUSD has failed to push any lower as price was moving correctively In a falling wedge structure which we know in nature is considered a reversal pattern.
Price created a double bottom and impulsively broke upwards creating a bullish continuation.
Looking for more growth as DXY shows weakness.
Thanks
Trade Safe
GBPCAD I Potential buy from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**GBPCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
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Bounced out of area of confluence Identified.
There is a case for a completed impulse here, and it seems to be struggling with this level.
Watching these levels if break below, and of course, how PA gets there and reacts.
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CADJPY 2H, Bulls exhausted. Time to Sell.CADJPY had a strong push upwards recently yet started moving correctively which is failing to push any higher.
As we know this is indicating a reversal is shaping up, which looking at the lower time frames, price broke out of the reversal structure currently developing a bearish continuation.
Look for a sell entry that fits your trading plan.
Thanks
Trade Safe
AUDCAD 4H, Overall Bearish Trend AUDCAD has been in a downtrend as we can see price impulsively pushed downward which is now in a bearish correctional phase making lower highs but holding the 0.92 level firmly.
Looking at areas of interest, I would like to see price break upwards and complete a larger correction as we add other bearish confluences like a double top and a 3rd touch on primary trend line.
Price may continue to follow the secondary trend and continue to make another lower high and break below the 0.92 level to continue downwards.
What's your view?
Share your opinion by leaving a comment!
Thanks
Trade Safe
USDCAD 4H, How do you view the price action?USDCAD has been moving upwards within the last week which has shown strong signs of possibility further growth towards an area of interest or looking at it from a impulse/correction view, we can see a price created multiple swing highs/lows on a bearish correctional phase indicating the next bearish run is possible.
Find an entry that meets your trading plan.
Share your opinion by leaving a comment
Thanks ,
Trade Safe
SANDUSDT Int Daily S/R| Psfp| .618 Fibonacci| Price Action Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – SANDUSDT- trading towards a key resistance area where a rejection is plausible,
Points to consider,
- Price action impulsive
- Int-Daily S/R Resistance
- .618 Fibonacci Resistance
- Deviation
SANUSDT’s immediate price actin is trading towards a key region where there is resistance confluence with the int-Daily S/R and the .618 Fibonacci, this allows for a bearish bias.
Price action trading around the resistance will increase the probability of a potential deviation.
Overall, in my opinion, SANDUSDT is a valid short with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Trade the market in front of you, not the one you want!” – Scott Redler