update on $BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC rally is not finshed yet ) heading minimum to $100k, maximum see fibonacci levels on the graph.
Our educated guess based on the WA and other experts analysis is $104k.
Then a correction week or more long, that will most likely broaden the channel of a bigger impulse (wave 4) somewhere close to 87-88k.
Impulsewave
Range breakout | Impulse of bull starthi Traders,
1. The swing formation is solid
2. BEL has taken the ascending trend line support.
3. The the range bound is weekly has broke upward, leading to impulse wave of bull trend.
4. Projected Target 1 and Target 2 with 20% and 40% returns from the CMP with 1:81 and 1:4.01 risk reward ratio respectively.
Elliott Wave Outlook for RELIANCETechnical Analysis of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The provided chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) outlines a potential Elliott Wave pattern within a 1-hour timeframe. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that financial markets move in predictable and repeatedly patterns based on investor psychology.
Key Observations:
1. Impulse Wave: The primary uptrend appears to be an impulse wave, a five-wave structure.
Wave 1: The initial uptrend from the low point.
Wave 2: A minor correction or pullback.
Wave 3: A strong extension of the uptrend.
Wave 4: A smaller correction.
Wave 5: The final wave of the impulse, often ending with a climactic price movement.
2. Corrective Wave: The current downward movement was a zigzag corrective pattern.
Wave A: The initial decline.
Wave B: A minor retracement.
Wave C: The expected continuation of the downward trend.
Potential Scenario:
If the current corrective pattern zigzag finishes here or near, then further wave ((3)) is to start post completion of wave (C) of ((2)), and it would not go sudden upside, because any impulse wave unfolds in five subdivisions, so wave (1) of wave ((3)) can start any time post completion of wave (C) of wave ((2)).
Note: This analysis is based on a specific interpretation of the Elliott Wave pattern. Other analysts might have different interpretations. It's crucial to use multiple tools and indicators to confirm your analysis.
Additional Considerations:
Fundamental Analysis: Consider factors like company earnings, industry trends, and economic indicators to support your technical analysis.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to limit your potential losses.
Diversification: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your investments across different assets.
Remember: Elliott Wave analysis is a complex tool that requires practice and experience. It's essential to approach it with caution and always consider the potential risks involved in trading.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#Silver bearish counter trend opportunityAs seen in the chart, silver has formed a 5-wave bullish impulsive move and has since begun a bearish move, which could be labeled as wave A.
As we know, corrective waves typically occur in three waves. I believe we are nearing the completion of wave B, which could lead to another bearish leg to complete wave C.
This entire 3-wave bearish move could then form wave 2 of 5 on a higher degree.
Therefore, while we might be looking at a short-term bearish move, according to Elliott Wave theory, there is still significant bullish potential in the coming weeks.
MARA Bullish Outlook: Elliott WavesTechnical Analysis of MARA Based on Elliott Waves.
The following analysis is based on the provided chart and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Key Observations from the Chart
- Elliott Wave Theory: The chart appears to be using Elliott Wave Theory to identify potential future trends. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that markets move in predictable patterns, often referred to as "waves."
- Uptrend: The overall trend of the chart seems to be bullish, indicating a potential uptrend.
- Invalidation Level: A horizontal line is drawn at the bottom, labeled "Invalidation Level." This level could serve as a support level, and if the price breaks below it, the bullish outlook might be invalidated.
- Pattern Recognition: The chart seems to be suggesting a potential "5-wave impulse" pattern, which is often associated with an uptrend.
- Price Action: The price has recently shown a pullback, which could be a healthy correction within the larger uptrend.
Potential Outlook
Based on these observations, the chart suggests a bullish outlook for MARA. If the price can hold above the "Invalidation Level" and continue to follow the Elliott Wave pattern, there is a potential for further upward movement.
However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof.
Market conditions can change rapidly, and unexpected events can affect the price. Always stay informed about the company's fundamentals, industry trends, and broader market conditions.
Next Steps
1. Monitor Price Action: Keep an eye on the price in relation to the "Invalidation Level" and the Elliott Wave pattern.
2. Consider Other Indicators: Combine technical analysis with fundamental analysis to get a more complete picture of the company.
3. Risk Management: Implement risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to protect your investments.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
EURAUD I Impulse correction setup
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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#AUDUSD beginning of a bearish moveIt seems that the price has reached its peak, completing a 5-wave bullish impulsive wave in a higher degree. As a result, we could anticipate at least an ABC bearish corrective move to the downside.
A signal to take a sell position or close previous long positions could be when the price breaks below a lower timeframe low, indicating a shift in market structure to the downside.
#GBPUSD begining of a 3wave corrective moveAs can be seen, the price appears to be completing a 5th wave of 5, indicating the end of a bullish impulsive move that reached the upper channel line. Now, we could expect a bearish move in the form of an ABC correction or a reversal.
To open a position, we should wait for a bullish corrective move, which could be either wave B or 2, and then try to catch wave C or 3.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
The third wave of the largest gold price peakGreetings,
Dear friends, I hope you are well and have a week full of successful and profitable transactions.
My analytical view:
In the case of the gold market, the fourth wave concept was the triangle pattern I shared in recent weeks. Subsequently, we have seen the advance of the price action with an impulse pattern. Now, we have a completed zigzag pattern that has ended in a corrective channel, and waves 1 and 2 are labeled accordingly.
We are now waiting for the price movement and the B wave price to break through the zigzag pattern and show the green light for trades. However, this is only the beginning of the third wave. Confirmation becomes more reliable as it crosses the previous price ceiling and peaks at the same level to complete the fifth wave and at the level of the larger wave in the third wave.
Alternatively, a breakout after a triangle pattern may indicate the width of a triangle, while a triangle pattern in the commodity market may indicate the longest wave of that trend.
Note: I am an analyst in the world of principle wave, who has entered the fourth year of my work experience, and I am developing an analytical idea. In financial markets, there is no 100% certainty due to the complexity of different patterns that can change. However, I do my best to back up every analysis I share with you guys with everything I've learned so far.
A brief explanation of the three fundamental laws of the wave principle:
1. The second wave should never go beyond the beginning of the first wave.
2. The third wave should never be the shortest wave between waves 1, 3, and 5.
3. The fourth wave must never enter the territory of the first wave.
Ralph Nelson Elliott was the founder of this theory, and when asked about his view of the market, he always referred to five waves in the direction of a larger trend and three waves against the direction it was taking. After completing an eight-wave cycle, a larger cycle is formed in the future, simply.
May his memory be cherished, and may his soul rest in the shelter of God Almighty and the eternal world.
I am attaching the analysis of this market that I shared with you earlier to this current analysis.
The last word of my analysis text is repetitive, except to explain the current analysis because I also trade in the financial markets and I am active in my social networks, and I work hard to improve my skills in analysis and trading to reach my goal.
I apologize for repeating the text.
I welcome suggestions and criticisms, and I will respond, but a logical reason is important to me.
Thank you for taking the time to review my analysis.
First of all, I wish good health and success to all my dear friends and colleagues.
Mr. Nobody
Beginning of the AJ Bull's END?!Here I have AUD/JPY on the Daily Chart!
Beginning in March of 2020 to what seems to be the new High @ 109.372 in July of 2024, we have seen the end of the 5th Wave of Elliot's Impulse Wave!
With Prices steep decline to the new LOWER LOW @ 99.209, knocking out the Low of June and Testing the Low of May, these are the conditions needed for what could potentially turn into a Correction Wave!!!
The Sellings have BEGUN!
-You can see that the RSI after this enormous drop in price Breaking Lows ( Structure) is now operating under the 50 mark & Oversold!
-The BB Trend is now printing Red Bars showing signs of Bears in the vicinity!
Where might Price go??
-If 99.209 is our True Lower Low we will be working with, I suspect price will make a STRONG retracement!
*Potential Retracement Levels*
( 103.091 - 103.691 ) - Golden Zone
( 104.291 - 105.490 ) - 50% / 38.2%
-Fundamentals-
*Uncertainty of BOJ decision mixed with the suspected COOLING of inflation on AUD may be just the catalyst we need to see this pull off!
AUD - CPI q/q & y/y - Tuesday, July 30th
JPY - BOJ Policy Rate - Tuesday, July 30th
Charting with Elliott Waves & Technical AnalysisUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis.
Wave Rules:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is never the shortest wave.
Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles.
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts.
Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends.
Let's understand study of this chart
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The chart represents the Possible Elliott Wave counts for TATA STEEL, currently indicating the completion and projection of waves within an impulsive structure.
Wave Count Overview:
The chart demonstrates a five-wave impulsive structure labeled as:
Wave (i), Wave (ii), Wave (iii), Wave (iv), Wave (v)
The blue zone highlights a previous resistance area, which is now acting as a potential support zone.
The current wave structure projects wave (v) of ((v)).
Invalidation Level:
The nearest invalidation level for this wave count is at 155.00. A drop below this level would invalidate the current wave count.
Potential Targets:
The projected target for wave (v) of ((v)) is around level of 184.60 & more.
This target is derived from typical characteristics of the fifth wave in Elliott Wave Theory, often extending to new highs before the completion of the impulse wave.
Elliott Wave Principles and Characteristics of Wave (v):
Elliott Wave Theory posits that market prices move in repetitive cycles, consisting of five waves in the direction of the main trend (impulse waves) and three corrective waves.
Wave (v) in an impulse sequence is typically the final wave of the trend and often displays characteristics such as:
Completing the overall five-wave pattern.
Extending beyond the previous high of wave (iii).
Exhibiting momentum divergences (where price makes a new high but momentum indicators do not).
Sometimes driven by fundamental news or events, leading to sharp price movements.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: 160.31
Nearest Invalidation Level: 155.00
Potential Target for Wave (v) of ((v)): 184.60
Educational Note:
Students of Elliott Wave Theory are encouraged to practice drawing their own wave counts and verifying whether all subdivisions align with higher-degree wave principles. This practice will enhance your study, making it more accurate and practical. Always remember, in real markets, multiple possibilities exist, and this analysis focuses on one potential scenario. There is a risk of being completely wrong.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
EURAUD I Sellers will step in soonWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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#OIL possible move for the coming daysPrice seems like completed 3rd wave of lower time frame bullish impulse move and as a result we could expect an abc bearish corrective move. to set stage for another bullish leg to complete fifth wave.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
SHALBY LTD's Elliott Wave AdventureSHALBY LTD Technical Analysis
Hey, fellow traders! 🎉 Buckle up because SHALBY LTD is about to take us on a thrilling ride! 🚀
Elliott Wave Analysis:
First, let’s break down what the Elliott Wave Theory is telling us. The stock price has been dancing to the tune of these waves quite beautifully.
Wave (3): The party started with a powerful uptrend, marking the end of Wave (3) around December. The stock soared, leaving us all in awe.
ABC Correction: Then came the correction phase (like a brief rain shower at a sunny beach). We saw the price dip into an ABC correction, finding support around INR 210.35, completing Wave (4).
Wave 1 and 2: Recently, the stock broke out from the corrective phase, kicking off a new motive wave. The breakout from the resistance line (marked as Wave 1) was quite a spectacle! It faced a slight pullback (Wave 2), but that’s just the stock catching its breath.
Trendline Breakout:
Now, here’s where things get exciting! 🚀
Breakout with Volume: The price smashed through the resistance trendline like a champ, backed by strong volume – the kind that makes you sit up and take notice. This breakout suggests we’re gearing up for Wave 3 of the new cycle, which is typically the most explosive and profitable wave in Elliott Wave Theory.
Current Price: As we speak, SHALBY LTD is trading at a cool INR 310.50. The price action has shown strength, indicating that the bulls are in control.
Invalidation Levels:
No analysis is complete without some risk management:
Nearest Invalidation Level: Keep an eye on INR 264. If the price dips below this level, our bullish scenario might need a re-think.
Major Invalidation Level: The ultimate line in the sand is at INR 210.35. If the stock breaks below this, it would invalidate our current wave count, and we’d need to reassess.
Targets:
Let’s talk potential profits – the sweet part!
Short-term to Mid-term Targets: The next wave up (Wave iii) could see prices pushing past INR 340-370-380, and then might be small dip of (Wave iv) and then finally (Wave v) where the bulls really have their way, we’re looking at targets beyond INR 400! 🌟
Conclusion:
So, here we are, sitting at INR 310.50 with a bullish outlook. The trendline breakout, supported by strong volume, suggests we could be in for some exciting upward moves. Keep those invalidation levels in mind and let’s ride the waves to potential new highs!
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Happy trading! 🌊📈
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#oil bearish outlookIt seems like the price has formed a 5-wave bullish impulsive move and could now begin its bearish move.
For the bearish move to be confirmed, we need to see the price breaking below the bullish channel line and also closing below the VWAP.
Bearish confirmations:
Bearish divergence in the 4H timeframe.
Completion of the 5-wave bullish impulsive move.
Momentum oscillator in overbought (OB) territory.
If you’ve found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
Polyplex Corp: Analyzing Wave (5) Projection and SupportTechnical Analysis of Polyplex Corporation Ltd.
Elliott Wave Counts and Structure
The chart illustrates a possible Elliott Wave count on a weekly time frame, identifying key waves and corrective patterns. Here’s a detailed breakdown:
1. Primary Wave Structure:
- The chart shows an unfolding five-wave impulsive structure, with Waves (1) through (4) completed, indicating a bullish phase followed by corrective waves.
- Wave (1) is observed in November 2010, and Wave (2) is identified around September 2013.
- Wave (3) peaks significantly higher than Wave (1), indicating a strong bullish phase, and completes near April 2022.
- Waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 within Wave (3) are clearly marked, showing the internal structure of this impulsive wave.
2. Corrective Waves:
- After the peak of Wave (3), the chart illustrates a complex corrective pattern labeled as W-X-Y-X-Z.
- This correction appears to end at Wave (4), indicating the start of a new potential impulsive wave (Wave (5)).
- The corrective waves show significant price declines, characteristic of Elliott Wave corrections.
3. Current Scenario and Target:
- The current price action suggests the initiation of Wave (5).
- The target for Wave (5) is projected to be above the high of Wave (3), which is near 2880 INR.
- An upward arrow indicates the bullish outlook, projecting the price towards this target level.
4. Invalidation Level:
- An invalidation level is marked at 751. If the price falls below this level, the current Elliott Wave count and bullish scenario would be invalidated.
- This level acts as a critical support, below which the wave count may need to be re-evaluated.
Summary and Considerations
- Bullish Outlook: The primary analysis suggests a bullish wave (Wave (5)) is underway, targeting levels above the previous high of 2880.
- Key Support: The invalidation level at 751 is crucial for maintaining the bullish scenario.
- Risks: As noted in the disclaimer, Elliott Wave Theory involves multiple possibilities and inherent risks. It's important to consider this analysis as one potential scenario.
Investors and traders should consult with financial advisors and consider broader market conditions, as well as other technical indicators, before making investment decisions based on this analysis.
This analysis provides an educational perspective on using Elliott Wave Theory for Polyplex Corporation Ltd. and highlights the importance of monitoring critical price levels to validate the wave counts.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Elliott Wave (3) Awakening: Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd.Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd. has completed wave (1) in blue Intermediate degree on the weekly chart from its inception till the peak in September 2021. Wave (2) has completed at the bottom in June 2024. We are now possibly starting to unfold wave (3) in blue Intermediate degree on the weekly chart, which is generally a strong impulse wave.
Wave (3) Characteristics and Strength:
- Strong Impulse: Wave (3) is typically the most powerful and extended wave in the Elliott Wave cycle, characterized by strong price movements and high trading volumes.
- Fibonacci Extension Target: The ideal target for wave (3) is the 161.8% extension of wave (1). Using the Trend-based Fibonacci Extension tool, this projects a price target near 1000.
- Subdivisions: Wave (3) is expected to subdivide into five smaller waves (minor degree), each representing a smaller impulse move within the larger wave.
Current Price Action:
- Current Price: 265
- Key Levels:
- Invalidation Level: 220 (last swing low)
- Breakout Confirmation: 277 (a break and close above this level will confirm the start of wave (3))
Technical Indicators:
- Bullish Divergence: At the bottom in June 2024, double bullish divergence was observed, signaling potential reversal.
- Dow Theory Confirmation: We are waiting for the first higher high and higher low formation to confirm the bullish impulse. This pattern will strengthen the case for wave (3) initiation.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
- Risk: Very low, with the stop-loss set at the invalidation level of 220.
- Reward: Potentially huge, with a target of 1000 or more, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (1).
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Excellent, considering the low risk and high reward potential.
Trading Strategy:
- Entry Point: Consider entering a position now while the price is at 265, with a stop-loss at 220.
- Confirmation Entry: A more conservative entry can be made once the price breaks and closes above 277.
Conclusion:
Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd. appears to be in the early stages of wave (3) in blue Intermediate degree. Given the characteristics of wave (3) and the current technical setup, this presents an attractive trading opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Monitoring the price action for a break above 277 will provide further confirmation of the bullish impulse wave.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
TSLA Elliott Wave Insight: A Bullish Path AheadTechnical Analysis of TSLA Based on Elliott Wave Theory
Overview
Based on the Elliott Wave Theory, we observe that TSLA has commenced a fresh impulse wave from the bottom of January 2023. This new wave marks the beginning of wave I in the red cycle degree, which concluded at the peak of July 2023. Following this, wave II in the red cycle degree began moving downward and concluded at the bottom of April 2024. It is crucial to note that wave II did not retrace beyond the start of wave I, confirming that the Elliott Wave principles have been adhered to. The bottom of wave I was at $101.43, and wave II concluded at $138.86, which is within the acceptable range.
Now, wave III in the red cycle degree has started its upward journey, which is expected to show significant strength and momentum. Typically, wave III can extend up to 161.8% of wave I, implying a strong bullish trend.
Subdivision of Wave III
Within wave III in the red cycle degree, there are five subdivisions expected, labeled as wave ((1)) to ((5)) in the black primary degree. Currently, we have embarked on wave ((1)) in the black primary degree, which itself should also subdivide into five smaller waves labeled wave (1) to wave (5) in the blue intermediate degree.
- Wave (1) and Wave (2) in Blue Intermediate Degree: These waves have already been completed.
- Wave (3) in Blue Intermediate Degree: We are likely in the early stages of this wave now.
Characteristics of Wave III
Wave III is often the longest and most powerful wave in the Elliott Wave sequence. Here are some key characteristics and signs to watch for:
1. Momentum and Strength: Wave III usually exhibits the strongest momentum and covers the most distance in the shortest time compared to waves I and V.
2. Volume Increase: There is often a significant increase in trading volume, reflecting heightened investor interest and confidence.
3. Impulsive Nature: Wave III is impulsive, meaning it moves in the direction of the larger trend. This is often driven by fundamental news and investor sentiment.
4. Extension: It is common for wave III to extend, reaching up to 161.8% of the length of wave I.
5. Subdivisions: Within wave III, there should be clear five-wave subdivisions in lower degrees, following the typical Elliott Wave structure.
Roadmap and Invalidation Level
The roadmap for TSLA suggests a bullish trend ahead, supported by the structure of the waves and the characteristics of wave III. The key invalidation level to watch is $138.86. As long as this level is not breached, the bullish outlook remains valid.
- Wave III Target: Ideally, wave III could extend to around 161.8% of wave I.
- Key Invalidation Level: $138.86. If TSLA breaks below this level, it would invalidate the current wave count and necessitate a reassessment of the wave structure.
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis of TSLA indicates a strong bullish trend with the commencement of wave III in the red cycle degree. This wave is expected to show substantial strength and momentum, with a likely target near 161.8% of wave I. As long as the invalidation level of $138.86 holds, the bullish bias remains intact. Investors and traders should watch for the key characteristics of wave III and monitor the wave subdivisions closely to confirm the ongoing wave structure.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
USDCHF Corrected! DOWN to .8700 Range!!Here I have USD/CHF on the Daily Chart!
After USD/CHF finished its Impulse Wave May 1st with a High @ .92242 we see based on the Low or Point A @ .89879 followed by a LOWER HIGH or Point B @ .91587 ..
We are given all the Ingredients for a CORRECTION WAVE!!
Now based on the break of the NEW LOWER LOW @ .88809, using the Fibonacci Retracement Tool, we see price has made a perfect 61.8% Retracement!!!
On the initial Touch of 61.8% I took Sell Entries but we will certainly see this pair FALL!!!
Range Target is ( .87748 - .86842 )
UCAD Correction to 1.3300 Levels!!Here I have USDCAD on the Daily Chart!
Since its High in April @ 1.38461, we have made multiple attempts at breaking this Support Zone @ ( 1.3627 - 1.3615 )
Acting as a Roof, we have a Falling Resistance where Price tested a couple times then brought False Breaks the past 2 weeks with Price dipping down to this Support!!
Based off the High of April and the Failed Attempt at a Higher High @ 1.37434, we are potentially looking at a Correction Wave!!
Now, for this idea to play out, we need price to make a VALID Break Down below this Support Zone! To then find Lower Support making a LOWER LOW confirming price to continue DOWN!!
Upon which we should see price come up to the ( 1.3627 - 1.3615 ) Support Zone to test as RESISTANCE!! Which then will give us our Selling Opportunities!
Based on the Fib-Ext Tool, we could see price Plummet to the ( 1.33278 - 1.32295 ) Range Target!
#nzdcad Elliott wave analysisAs you can see in the chart, it seems like the price has completed the 3rd wave of wave 3 and is now getting ready for a bearish corrective move to form wave 4 of wave 3.
During this bearish correction, we could expect the price to retrace all the way towards the static support zone. However, based on the three basic rules of Elliott Wave theory, wave 4 cannot interact with wave 1. As a result, if this labeling is going to materialized, then the price cannot go below 0.82190. And that's where our stop loss could be placed.
UCHF on a Correction Wave!!Here I have USD/CHF on the Daily Chart!!
Now given its remarkable rise to its current HIGH @ .92242, followed by the strong drop to the LOW @ .9005 ..
This week we've seen Price make a Fibonacci Retracement back to the Golden Zone meaning price is CORRECTING AFTER THE IMPULSE ELLIOT WAVE!!
Now with Price working past our LOW, we could see price drop as low as the ( .87447 - .86612 ) Range!!