4H NZDUSD Elliott Wave CountLet's count waves.
Do you see the same potential upside for this pair?
I am a beginner in Elliott Wave Analysis and this is my sentiment.
The minor impulsive wave in RED has been completed and corrected via an ABC structure with 5-3-5 sub-waves.
The parallel lines connecting the end of wave B and the end of wave A usually forecast the end of wave C as shown.
Price is currently at a key level marked in the red rectangle which has shown to be resistance and in the past was support level.
Finally, the RSI indicator is currently at 31.20 as I type this and signifies that the price is oversold.
Comments, critiques, and anything else is accepted.
Impulsewave
TCS Dec Quarter result, but technically Let Us See the NSE:TCS Dec 2019 Q3 results,
Net profit rose 1 percent sequentially to Rs 8,118 crore in the quarter ended December, Actually met the estimate and Revenue rose 2.3 percent quarter-on-quarter to Rs 39,854 crore—in line with the estimate of Rs 39,836 crore. Operating profit, or earnings before interest and taxes, rose 6.5 percent to Rs 9,974 crore. And TCS have announced interim dividend to the shareholder (Source: Bloombergquint). Even the results are on positive side stock went negative side on today's trading day, as fundamental stock is looking good.
As per technically stock is completed third wave and formed a triangle wave in 4th wave correction, so far stock has to break for levels of 2274 to go long, if market goes on negative side then the targets are around 2000 and below. for long - target arrived through technically is 2800 around if it breaks the all time high. will wait and see what market has for us.
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Disclaimer: Stock updates are only for educational purpose.
What I'm seeing on COPPER!Good day Traders! Happy new trading year! Lately from the weekly TF, Copper has broken out of my long-term resistance. To further reinstate my now bullish bias, i looking forward to price retesting this broken resistance which should also tally with my Daily TL support. I'' further be watching H4 for further pattern confirmation. This is what im seeing. Lets see how this goes.
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Remember that proper risk management is crucial.
GBP/USD Shorting Opportunities We are seeing a corrective channel on this pair currently, with ascending price acting quite correctively
I can personally see a small move up before an overall bearish impulse to bottom of channel starting point
Confluence for this setup are as follows:
- ascending channel in the form of a correction
- pattern separation within the larger timeframe structure, hinting at a bearish move to come
Bullish Elliot Wave FormingLooks like an Elliott Wave is forming. The Fib didn't look right using that initial highpoint. But moving down to the next high placed everything where it made sense. I'm pretty sure the price was supposed to drop, but a whale entered the market and shook some things up. Sad. I was hoping to rebuy at 6800.
If wave point #2 should somehow fall below #1, the wave is invalidated.
If wave point #3 fails to rise above #1, the wave is invalidated.
If wave point #4 falls below #1, the wave is invalidated.
ORBEX: DXY Looking Impulsively Bearish After Golden RetracementThe US Index correction up to the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement of minor waves 1-3 missed the 98.66 low of wave 1. This means that the current structure can be still considered impulsive.
With bears pushing prices down sharply, the chances of reaching fresh lows for the completion of minor wave 5 are increasing.
This scenario could be validated below minor 3's low at 97.10. Should that be the case, the index could extend its losses anywhere down between 95.50 and 96.34!
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
ORBEX:SPX,DXY - Equities Upbeat As Phase-1 Agreed in PrincipleIn today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about China's comments on Phase-1 of a potential trade deal with the US and last Friday's #NFP numbers.
I look at the SPX and DXY as both are affected by the above events in a different way; the S&P500 remains upbeat on Friday's sentiment whereas the dollar index, although yields were seen ending the week higher, was a likely is going to remain under pressure on safe-haven outflows.
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: EURGBP - Ready to Take Break-even Stops Lower?EURGBP could move a tad lower to complete intermediate wave 2 near 0.8480 before continuing higher. The said level is the 100% FE of the first minute degree zig-zag and could be duplicated as minor X was somewhat dominant.
Look for a valid reversal above last zig-zag's minute b wave but expect minute c to complete first. Minute c should be truncated to support this outlook, otherwise, fresh lows can be expected.
Should prices move below minute a low the complex minor W,X,Y pattern could come to an end.
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
Ethereum's (ETH) price will retrace - Short ($140)Ethereum's (ETH) price tested the Weekly Candle Close in range of ($189 and $196). The Colored zone is playing the role of a strong resistance level that will stop the price growth and forced to retrace in a downward direction to find support to hold on.
Fundamentally last two weeks Ethereum's (ETH) price dropped more than 25% for a short time. BTC had a drop of more than 17%, those kinds of numbers are speaking of a new bearish trend coming. As I said in the last Ethereum's (ETH) prediction a bearish trend is coming. Historically diversification towards smaller assets indicates a future drop. The last few days altcoins had a growth of 10% shortly. To me, this is can be read as a signal for future drop and manipulation for the masses. ETH will retrace one way or another probably making new lows. Negotiations between the USA and China are taking place in those days. If a consensus isn't reached the stock market will drop 6 to 7%. The snowball effect will affect the crypto market as well. This will give more bearish momentum to the situation we are in right now.
In my opinion, there will be no deal between the USA and China at that current moment.
Technically Ethereum finished Five Impulsive Waves, calculated by Elliot Waves Theory on 29 of August. Price retraced more than 35% forming a 2nd wave up to $223. That means by Elliot Waves Theory that most likely we are in 3rd wave. An aggressive drop should take place. Last few days we had a retracment to $194. The retracement formed an ABC corrective movement which is a bearish sign. Ethereum's (ETH) price tested the Weekly Candle Close in range of ($189 and $196). The Colored zone is playing the role of a strong resistance level that will stop the price growth and forced to retrace in a downward direction to find support to hold on. On the other hand, on a 4H time frame, an Over Sold - Relative Strength Index (RSI) can be spotted. It means that the drastic movement has to retrace cause Over Sold condition is a bearish indicator. Ethereum's price is testing a 200-candle exponential moving average (EMA) on a 6H time frame. If the price can't reach above $198 at that moment a retracement is inevitable.
Conclusion
Ethereum's (ETH) price will retrace to find a solid support level. Strong support zones are price levels at $140, $137 and $125.
Good luck!
"If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody isn't thinking."
ORBEX: EURJPY - Successful Zig-Zag Could Validate ReversalIt looks like the corrective intermediate wave (C) of the corrective bearish Primary wave 5 ended at 115.87. As part of Cycle b, or 2, we can now expect prices to move higher medium and long-term with one of the medium-term upside stops laying at 122.54.
The current minute ii correction is likely to end as a zig-zag complex pattern w,x,y with minuette y potentially ending near 116.76, where the 78.6% FR of the minute impulse is. In case it turns up sooner, we should be looking that happening from next week onwards, if not today, Friday.
The current structure suggests that once this correction is done with, prices could continue up and end complete the 5-wave minute impulse at the 1.618% FE, where minor 1 is likely to form a corrective pullback pattern.
We could look for short-term sells and then a reversal to follow the motive minute wave iii.
Invalid below 115.88
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
ORBEX: GBPUSD - Should We Expect The Breakout To Continue?It looks like the corrective intermediate wave (C) completed its bearish course at1.1956. The recent attempt to push prices down brought the pair lower where it completed a corrective minor A,B,C at the round 1.22 level.
As part of intermediate wave (2), the minor three-wave corrected down to the 61.8% golden ratio of 1.1956 bottom and 1.2588 top at 1.21943 - to be more precise.
The current breakout could be the beginning of intermediate wave (3). Should the formation gets validated above 1.2588, the next stop for a breather would be near 1.2828 100% FE, then near 1.32. The structure suggests that once minor corrective low A and then B are taken out by bulls, chances of further upside would increase.
This opportunity would be invalidated below 1.1956 with short-term signs of failure appearing below 1.2194 (unless if this turns out as a double zig-zag or other corrective structure)
Expect short-term pullbacks for profit-taking
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
ORBEX EURUSD: Was This The End Of The Zig-Zag Correction?It looks like the primary W,X,Y zig-zag wave ended the longer-term bearish cycle correction starting on February 2018.
Minor 5 of Primary Y wave ended with a diagonal triangle at 1.09275 level, which is the 1.618% FE of the 1.14-1.12-1.128 triangulation.
Since prices broke outside the top of the triangle pattern and remained trading with a bullish rather than bearish bias (i.e. remained outside the pattern), the current structure could be a corrective minute wave 2. Should this scenario be supported by a higher break above 1.11, further upside could be seen, with next short-to-medium-term stops at 1.1285 and 1.1355.
The current structure hints to an ascending triangle correction, the top-break of which would suggest a continuation to the upside.
Although a decline to lower levels than the 61.80% FR at 1.0997 could weigh on bulls, the invalidation for the bullish scenario would come true only after a weakening of the 1.09275 market low.
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
HKEX:3306, potential profit 22%HKEX:3306 is in a forth wave of a impulse, which is a classic triangles correction with the volume decrease at the end. The direction should be cleared soon and we expected the direct will go up because recently it can stand with volume above the shooting star (red line). For the target of this trade, as we are not sure if it is the third wave or the final wave of the impulse, we set the target from both Fib Extension from the third and the fifth wave. Coincidentally, the 3.618 of the third wave and the 1.618 of the fifth wave are nearly overlapped.
Cut loss @14.58
Target @19.42
Buy in @current price