Impulsewave
Rally done or just pullback? Maybe bear trap: too soon to short?Caution is in order, this rally has faked us out twice already, looking near pivot, then jumping higher. Bears been expecting a double bottom formation and still are waiting.
On the daily chart Sand P has an Elliott Wave bullish impulse form developing, rather than the ABC many contributors have suggested. The segment labeled (3) is quite a bit longer than the (1). In an ABC countertrend, if these were A & C segments, we'd expect them to be nearly identical in length; these are not, and (3) has both broken above the 0.50 Fibo and exceeded the previous downtrend low price of higher order (1) from October, violating EW principles for an ABC.
If this pans out, we can expect a Fifth rally wave to touch the 0.618 Fibo. Today's price turned back from the TL reaching back to 3 Sep. A lower order TL from Nov suggests a Fifth wave could get to near 2712 price. Any positive news in a market pounded with worrisome tweets will do it. The EOD pivot on 1/22 also implies a bullish undertone.
Market index has closed the gap up from Friday's enthusiastic runup. Was this an exhaustion gap? It may have just a bit left to run, perhaps within 2-3% of the rally top now.
Still too early to short IMHO.
In my other idea on Dow I suggested the TL and Fibo both coincide at price $25040, just a bit over 2% above today's close. Let's see if the bulls can get it up there.
As always, this isn't advice, just another crackpot idea, trade at your own risk; GLTA!
PS I labeled this idea "Neutral" as it is a study of price near a pivot, which may have come, or may still be yet to come soon.
BITCOIN: Swing-Setup! Short down to 3k?'Market is a mess!#ChanceHey tradomaniacs,
welcome to another free signal!
Important: MARKET is a manipulated mess! No liquidity = hard volatility!
Make sure to place a sell-limit after the break through the 61,8% retracement and the trendline!
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Type: Swingtrade
Sell-Limit: 3.596
Stop-Loss: 3.800
Target 1: 3.376
Target 2: 3.217
Targt 3: 3.033
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LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
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Any questions? PM me. :-)
AURORA CANNABIS INC. (ACB): A Formed Cup & Handle Find Winning Trades In Seconds >> efcindicator.com (Special Discount)
AURORA CANNABIS INC. (ACB): A Formed Cup & Handle Preceding New Impulses Waves? It seems so.
EUR/USD: Swing-Setup! The BREAKOUT back to 1,17?#TEAMBULLHey tradomaniacs,
welcome to another free signal!
Important: Wait for the Breakout of the triggerline or for a Buy-Limit or place a Buy-Stop!
WATCH OUT - Markets are very uncertain and dirven by political events! Don`t risk too much!
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Type: Swingtrade
Buy-Stop: 1,15021
Stop-Loss: 1,142
Target 1: 1,15990
Target-Zone 2: 1,164 - 1,168
Targt 3: 1,170 - 1,173
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LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
NEM ($XEM): Triple ZigZag vs. Impulsive Wave-1 with extensionXEM is difficult to predict now.
I can see a few possible movements:
a) Impulsive Wave-1 with Wave-1
extension = I expect retrace to 1600sats zone.
b) Triple ZigZag Correction = retracement
to 1900sats zone
So, I'm going to wait how XEM manages
re-test of 1900sats zone.
Then the next price movements will be more clear.
Generally, I don't expect that XEM will go lower than 1400sats.
If you like my charts, pls. hit that "like" button, follow me or leave your comments.
Thank you!
Gbp Jpy ShortPrevious Day's Momentum is Bearish overall. I continue to think there is a need to push lower to fill a large wick @141.15. With this bias in mind i take a top down view to find clarity. Weekly- Support @ 140.52, Resist @143.00. Bearish overall on this chart. Daily- 141.34 seems to be a significant level for Bullish price interaction to the far left. 1 Hour- Double Top w/ multiple interactions @ 142.80 within the previous day. Yesterday, we also saw a failure to break the 141.50 Price level of short term support. I would like to see GBP JPY retrace to the 142.26/37 levels in an impulse before pushing lower to fill 141.15 level lower. At that point, we are likely to see a reversal in Bearish sentiment.
EUR/JPY 1HR SHORT We have a corrective pattern forming this looks to be a contracting flat however cannot confirm this as of yet so will watch closely for confirmation, with this is mind will be looking for the third wave down to complete a 3 wave pattern using the 1hr 270 fib as a target profit at a price of 126.819..
USO! when oil starts the bear move it's one of the easiest tradeI've been doing well buying puts once the corrections are developing. Usually about 3-4 weeks out to allow the correction to develop and so I dont get slammed by theta decay. Now eventually if we're in an impulse to go down, we will need to see a bigger correction to develop. Will we get a few more pushes down before that happens, or will it start right now? Either way I'm looking to purchase another put sometime within the next week (as long as we dont breakout past the downtrend line, this will signal a deeper correction/ reversal depending on how price behaves after that)
Longterm view in the comments. (not confirmed yet, just looking that way)US
thanks for looking, and trade responsibly!
Next Bearish Wave Down For ETSY1. Long term EMA (50), which supported the market since March 2018 has been broken. Now acting as resistance with latest reaction at 44.60.
2. Bearish wave structure, 5th Impulsive wave expected.
3. RSI is in bearish channel structure, with space for downside.
Conclusion:
Bearish move in the form of a 5th Impulsive wave expected towards 33.50.
Easy trading. POLYBTC for a quick +15% hit. Possible hold???While we wait, a nice entry for a quick 15% flip target.
Practice solid trading habits daily.
check the chart.
Zoom out far enough and see that this could be an impulse wave to something big.
Pour a little volume on it and watch her take off.
Expecting wave 5 to reach a new highinteresting facts:
wave 3 equals approximately 4.236 times the length of wave 1
wave 4 has retraced approximately 50% of wave 3 it also ended near the lower line of the blue trend channel (connecting end of wave 1, 2 &3 to draw)
Note
wave 4 could take a more complex formation such as triangle (very common structure for wave 4), but it probably won't stop bulls grinding for another new high in the next few months time
IQ are we ready for the next impulse?NASDAQ:IQ has been in a downwards correction for the last 90 days. Now it's starting to look like we might start trending again based off pattern, & divergence. Maybe this becomes a bigger correction in the middle to go down? Any fundamentalists have any input on this one?
There's a buy setup brewing on the lower TF
Let's see what happens!
NZD/USD (Zoomed in)When you draw your trendfibs considering the running flat for wave 2, NU should be in wave 4 retrace, which can be a flat or a triangle maybe. I would look for correction to 23-38%. Then... It may break the trend line and retrace back half the wave (50-62%) the total 5 wave if continuing trend. FOMC tomorrow. $ hr looks like sell, but you sell tonight, you could wind up in chop. Refer to my previous posts.