Impulsivewave
AUD/NZD update! potential long soon in accordance with my previous forecast where i took a BE and some profit out of the short from, price is now at the 90% rule of the structure, where i am looking for price to break the low before moving in the forecasted direction long. if price is to form an element of structure leading to the third touch breaking the low to the left (the 90% rule) i will be looking to play the area, and structure and enter on a 4H time frame, and will hold this position over the next coming weeks. - there will be scale ins along the way and this is something i will be looking at also.
have a good week everyone!
AMC Elliott Wave Analysis : AMC is Sitting on a Ticking Bomb
_____________________1 Hour__________________
The wave C of wave ((4)) is to complete and we are going to ride on an impulsive wave ((5)).
One can take safe entry when price breaks parallel channel or Enter at wave 5 of wave (C)
As per rule wave, 4 can never overlap the starting point of wave 1 so our SL will be high of wave 1.
Note: the retracement of wave ((3)) is 3.618% that’s why we May get truncated 5th.
Apple Testing Support Ahead Of EarningsBack to the basics & a reminder that I am a swing trader and I have bought my puts for this dip
Trend Analysis:
Candlestick analysis shows a sideways trend.
Will the impulsive high continue or will we see a decline to a higher low?
I free handed some trend lines and as you can see, X^2's high gave me X^1's level of support which is shockingly the level of support shown by the Kurotoga cloud.
X^2's level of support is possible but highly unlikely
However we should expect to see X^1's level of support tested as the Kurotoga Cloud backs it up.
I am shocked by this because I put the cloud script in after I free handed and am pleased with the accuracy
STELLAR IDEARecent price action from January shows that after an impulsive wave, prices drop.
This impulsive wave then acts as support for prices to push up to the next impulsive wave.
Currently, we are at the support level with signs of a bullish push through some bounces.
The next target will be the high of the last bullish impulse.
GBP USD - Risk on scenario Hello traders and analysts,
Here is our take on GBP USD - the trade is active, with FX it is a moving target so we will look for an additional entry upon a nice supply up coming but will it hold? the answer is yes, so price reacted at our 0.705 and resisted - now we have a long aiming to close into the purple zone.
COT report:
Long Short Total %Long %Short
GBP
Avg_13 32,923 49,892 82,815 40% 60%
Avg_20 41,245 43,918 85,163 48% 52%
Avg_130 43,323 68,286 111,609 41% 59%
AVG_50 43,547 67,458 111,004 41% 59%
USD
Avg_13 18,508 12,046 30,554 60% 40%
Avg_20 19,886 11,437 31,323 63% 37%
AVG 50 31,006 11,782 42,788 71% 29%
Avg_130 31,573 11,946 43,520 71% 29%
Technicals:
We have a good opportunity here to break the trendline as the triple top formation failed with heavy resistance at 1.265XX and weekly fibonacci level of 0.705 this could be a strong opportunity to sell again.
However, be aware of the above supply which is a full retracement from lows of 1.14 - 1.15 if price reacts and falls back into the range - look for a range sell, however if price shows a breakout and closes above with a weakened dollar. look long
There is bullish sentiment on the 4hour, but daily we can still a nice range here - it is shaking out a lot of investors which is good for liquidity grabs and flow of funds between the players.
We are playing the supply and demand here between bulls and bears. This is all that matters.
for this trade however we are in short.
Add sell positions if a fakeout of the retest of the breakout to create a lower low.
Fundamentals
Coronavirus in the EU and UK - both showing cases in respective countries,
Euro stimulus package has not been agreed so can show signs of strength of GBP if this fails to transpire.
Brexit talks - will send the pound with huge strength once a deal is reached - inverse will send EUR to almost parity if talks end and no deal is reached
Keep a watch for manufacturing orders in Germany and any causes for concern within France, Italy, Germany and Spain which can drag data components down.
Vaccination attempts to drive market sentiment.
USD safehaven upon tensions between HK move on China vs USA debate.
USA - cases in multiple states are high risk, the disconnect is unbelievable.
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Team Lupa
HAVELLS IND LTD. - FUNDAMENTAL VS TECHNICAL ANALYSISNSE:HAVELLS
First will have a look into the fundamentals of the stock on QOQ,
The Q3 result of NSE:HAVELLS is quite compromising to investors, the peoples interested in consumer sector line.
Net Sales - QoQ Growth in quarter ended Dec 2019 is 1.82% vs -17.82% in Sep 2019
Operating Profit (PBDIT) excl Other Income IS 14.5%
Consolidated Net Profit - QoQ Growth in quarter ended Dec 2019 is 12.09% vs 1.37% in Sep 2019
Latest dividend: Rs. 4.5 per share. Ex-Dividend Date: Jul-18-2019, DIVIDENS YIELD IS 0.73 % (Source: Bloomberquint)
As per technical the stock is almost completed the correction, but still we can wait to reach the zone to accumulate for positional or long term investment.
Q3 result might be quite impressive to invest in, but still technical side we could expect little bit down to complete the 5th wave in primary also completes the trendline (4th wave).
levels are to accumulate 545 to 575 stoploss level is below 510, for longterm targets have arrived through technical by elliotwave, the correction is happening now is the 4th wave of cycle and impulsive (5th) wave target
is 1150 to 1200.
let us wait and see, what market has for us.
for more details reach us through writetomonk@gmail.com or "9884344490"
Disclaimer: the posts are for only educational purpose.
#BQX[VOYGER] : Upto 65% Profits In The Mid Term. #Accumulation_Recomendation
Pair : #BQX / #BTC
RSI : 67
Note : #BQS is trying to build up the 3rd impulsive wave once again after showing some upward move on Mid February. We might need some time for a confirmation of short term profits but surely will be a very good entry point for a mid term trade. Both MACD and RSI looking bullish on favor of the bulls and EMA is also still looking bullish keeping below the current priceat 506 sats. Volume needs some energy though to see a good upward move but it is fairly in an averagly good momentum.
- Note that this call might take some time to build up and get specially our distribution targets of 2 and above that and consider it to hodl it for a week to a month time to get the most out of it. Otherwise targets 1 and 2 can be considered as our short term targets for a swing trading opportunity.
Accumulation Area : 550 sats - 640 sats
👉Distribution Area
👉Short Term:
📌Target 1 : 698 sats
📌Target 2 : 736 sats
👉Mid Term Targets :
📌Target 3 : 842 sats
📌Target 4 : 915 sats
📌Target 5 : 987 sats
👉Long Term Targets
📌Target 6 : 1193 sats
📌Target 7 : 1312 sats
📌Target 8 : 1455 sats+
🚫Stop Loss : 415 sats
Invest : 3%
ORBEX: Correction Could Have Ended At 1.2767 Low! What Then?GBPUSD could have ended the wave minor 4 correction at 1.2768 Nov 8 low.
This scenario sees the current structure as impulsive with minute waves 1,2 and 3 (perhaps 4 too) completed.
In case prices slide below 1.2886 we could see the end of minuette wave a, then receive a b and c lower as part of an a,b,c zigzag. However, if prices break above 1.2940 the chances that we will see minute wave 5 creating fresh highs could increase. This could be followed by a minute correction a,b,c, and then another bullish impulse to complete minor wave 5 (intermediate wave 3).
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
ORBEX: AUDCHF, USDMXN: Both Looking Bearish!In today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about FX Minors AUDCHF and USDMXN as they both seem to be moving down impulsively.
Added uncertainty amid the latest trade delay, and poor Chinese activity and Australian employment data all add pressure on the Aussie.
Mexican peso, on the other hand, weakened yesterday following Banxico's decision to cut rates! But technicals hint to a short-term rise only?
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
Elliott Wave View: DAX Extends Higher in Impulsive StructureShort term Elliott Wave view suggests the pullback to 11266.48 on August 15, 2019 low ended wave ((2)). Wave ((3)) is in progress and subdivides as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. The current move higher should eventually break above wave ((1)) high on July 4, 2019 at 12656.05. However, to validate the view and avoid the potential of a double correction, Index still needs to break above 12656.05.
Up from 11266.48, wave 1 ended at 11853.14 as an impulse in lesser degree and wave 2 pullback ended at 11557.42. Wave 3 is proposed complete at recent high at 12471.83. The last high at 12471.83 almost reaches 161.8 Fibonacci retracement of wave 1, which supports the bullish view that it’s a wave 3 of an impulsive structure from August 15 low. Wave 4 pullback is in progress to correct cycle from August 26 low before Index resumes higher again. Potential area for wave 4 is 23.6 – 38.2 Fibonacci retracement of wave 3 at 12120.8 – 12254.7 where buyers can appear for further upside. We don’t like selling the Index and expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 11557.42 low stays intact.