TSLA just goooooo alreadystill searching for 190s after 9 some days of bouncing right at the same spot. long two weeks out 180s 190s hopefully we'll see some action into this
Income
SMR approaching DCA opprtunityNYSE:SMR is approaching a potential entry point for the start of a DCA strategy for a long term hold.
SUMMARY
Wait to see where the price moves. Using a combination of RSI reaching 30 and the price falling to (with a 3 day filter) around $4 or if the price continues to fall then around $2 (another 3 day filter at this level too), begin entry with a DCA strategy. Alternatively, if the price rises above $6, after a 3 day filter, begin DCA. If the price starts forming a flag between $5 and $5.80, enter once RSI has reached 30 (for those with a higher risk appetite can just use the RSI as an indicator) or await a range breakout/down to either enter at the $4 or $2 or $6 level as described above with or without a three day filter.
The price was seeing exponential growth in the leadup to the latest quarterly earnings report and popped a few days after. However, the price has subsequently fallen back down and now seems to be forming a pattern.
It is unknown really what caused the price to jump. And there has not been any significant insider trading on the day (or lead up to the day) where the price recently peaked.
The company itself has a healthy balance sheet and debt/equity ratio. It is still in the growth phase as they build somewhat emerging tech (nuclear power is established but their approach to providing customers modular smaller power stations is unique) and a large part of their customer base is still a maturing market (power hungry data centres wanting their own onsite nuclear power source, particularly those now being setup for providing AI). The company's income statement reflects this as net income over the recent years remains negative and is also not showing an upwards trajectory.
With this in mind this would be a stock for a long term hold with a DCA investment strategy until, whichever comes first, either a total dollar figure invested is reached or the company becomes long term profitable (i.e. exits the growth phase).
With the recent price fluctuations it is crucial to not enter too early as due to the immature nature of the industry and company, the price also has a high likelihood of remaining at a low level for quite some time. However, a DCA entry opportunity is also forming based on one of the 3 of the more likely price trend scenarios described in the chart. Details on these are as follows.
Scenarios 1 and 2:
Wait to see which way the price begins to move and see if it falls to one of the two support levels identified, make use of the RSI to identify the optimum entry point. If the price falls to $4, add in a 3 day filter to see if the price doesn't fall further and likewise add in a 3 day filter if the price continues to fall from $4 to $2. If the RSI has reached 30, and the 3 day filter has shown that $4 or $2 were a support level begin DCA. If the price continues to fall below 2, halt the DCA to see where the price becomes stable and then restart once the RSI starts trending upwards again.
Scenario 3:
If the price begins ranging between $5.30 and $5.80, depending on risk appetite, begin DCA once the RSI reaches 30 or starts trending upwards. If the price breaks out above $6, then add in a 3 day filter to ensure the breakout wasn't a false dawn, and start the DCA investment independent of where the RSI is.
$TLT - 20 year US Treasury, possible support -I'm huge ultra BULLISH on US treasuries currently, so please excuse my bias.
Not in any specific order, however here are all the factors in this thesis...
1. Interest rates have dramatically increased since Jan 2021, and the overall bond market, including treasuries, had its worst 2 years on record, going back to 1915.
2. Since Nov 2022 just after Halloween, Jerome Powell, "top FED dude", has already said that interest will no longer get increased and that there's possibly three RATE CUTS this year 2024. Even if he said, "Rates will remain unchanged" is enough to make treasuries bounce back to even. (par value).
3. Looking at everything in Barron's most recent "Top Income Plays for 2024" from last week, US Treasuries now offer the most bang for buck interest rate 4.10% with the lowest risk, compared to every other income asset in that article. (i.e, Dividend stocks, muni bonds, REITS, preferred stocks, etc.,)
4. US treasuries are back by the full faith of the US Government.
5. There's now a website that tracks Congress women & men trades, capitol trades.com. And there's A LOT of them buying US Treasuries.
6. There's massive geopolitical risk right now and WW3 is now a word being used.
7. Bottomline: between the yield of +4% and the upside appreciation of treasuries being at the biggest discount in US History, I believe any pull back should bought.
8. COMPLIMENT OPTION STRATEGIES
A. You could buy 100 shares of TLT and the following are low risk option strategies to compliment your 100 shares of TLT.
i. Sell short term (30 days out) 1 call. If you buy 100 shares of TLT, then you can sell 1 covered call on TLT out of the money OTM, and take that premium and purchase another share of TLT. think "snow ball" effect. The strike I am selling on 1000 shares of TLT is Ten $98 strike TLT calls with 2/23 expiration. Then take that money and bought 10 additional shares of TLT.
ii. If you want to get fancy with this, you can also add to the above covered call BUY WRITE and do a VERTICAL PUT SPREAD, aka Credit Put Spread to add to the income (which adds to the "Income Snow Ball" of something that is appreciating. Mo Money Mo Money!
a. Sell $90 strike Put on TLT, 30 days out
b. Buy $87 stake Put on TLT,, same exp, to cover your short put.
c. This produces an extra $200 which you could spend on blow (or groceries) or you can buy 2 more shares of TLT. Weeeeeeeeeeeeee! thats capital generating income, that's generating income, being used to buy more of the thing that's appreciating in value, that's also generating income. THAT'S A LOT OF CHEDDAR!!
After one month, THEN REPEAT. :)
"Bitcoin Halving: Your Complete Guide""Hello everyone, I hope you are all doing well. Without further delay, let's proceed to the chart."
"The Bitcoin halving is a significant event in the cryptocurrency market, happening approximately every four years. It involves cutting the block reward for miners in half, reducing the new BTC supply by 50%. The next halving is expected in early 2024, occurring after 840,000 blocks, and will decrease the mining reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block."
"The hard-coded technical mechanism forms the foundation of scarcity, providing Bitcoin with its value proposition as verifiably finite digital gold. This comprehensive guide will delve into Bitcoin halving dates, their impact on price and mining, and why they hold significant importance."
What is Bitcoin Halving?
The Bitcoin halving refers to the periodic reduction by half of the block reward granted to miners for solving the cryptographic puzzle to add new blocks to the Bitcoin blockchain. This action effectively cuts in half the quantity of new Bitcoin introduced into circulation with each discovered block. Given the consistent reduction in supply alongside ongoing demand growth, these anticipated halving events typically trigger an increase in Bitcoin's market price over the subsequent 12–18 months.
Bitcoin was ingeniously designed with a fixed and capped supply of 21 million coins, gradually released through mining rewards. The periodic halving events are crucial to gradually diminishing new issuance until the total supply cap is reached. This systematic reduction in inflation enhances scarcity in a predictable manner.
Historical Significance and Market Impact
Each Bitcoin halving event has historically brought about significant market dynamics. Previous halvings have resulted in increased demand and subsequent price appreciation for Bitcoin. The decrease in block rewards directly influences the available supply, frequently creating a supply-demand imbalance that propels the price upward. After past halvings, Bitcoin has undergone remarkable bull runs, culminating in new all-time highs.
Implications for the Cryptocurrency Industry:
The Bitcoin halving event carries several implications for the broader cryptocurrency industry. Firstly, it reinforces Bitcoin's scarcity and limited supply, positioning it as a store of value akin to precious metals like gold. The halving also serves as an incentive for miners to secure the network by contributing computational power, as reduced block rewards can potentially impact mining profitability. Furthermore, the event heightens investor and public awareness, drawing attention to the innovative nature of cryptocurrencies.
Historical Bitcoin Halving Dates:
November 28, 2012 — Block 210,000 mined (Reward decreased to 25 BTC)
July 9, 2016 — Block 420,000 mined (Reward decreased to 12.5 BTC)
May 11, 2020 — Block 630,000 mined (Reward decreased to 6.25 BTC)
March 2024 (Estimated) — Block 840,000 mined (Reward expected to decrease to 3.125 BTC)
Halving Price Impact Patterns:
While various complex macroeconomic and sentiment factors contribute to Bitcoin's well-known price volatility, halvings have consistently preceded significant bull runs.
Following the initial two halvings, BTC experienced substantial increases within 12–18 months. For instance, Bitcoin was valued at under $12 during the first halving in November 2012, soaring over 100x to approximately $1,150 by December 2013.
The 2016 halving foreshadowed Bitcoin's remarkable 2017 bull run, reaching nearly $20,000. Just nine months after the May 2020 halving, Bitcoin reached new all-time highs surpassing $64,000 before retracing to a lower trading range.
This recurring pattern supports the notion that halvings shape Bitcoin's boom-and-bust cycles by significantly limiting new supply issuance while user adoption and demand continue to grow exponentially.
However, accurately predicting the timing and magnitude of peak prices following halvings remains challenging due to the multitude of variables influencing market sentiment swings.
Earn 18% While Waiting To Buy AMD At SupportHey guys! Today, we're looking at a Trade Idea in AMD, the popular semiconductor company that often plays second fiddle to Nvidia (NVDA).
Like most of our trade ideas, this post focuses on selling put options - this time, on AMD shares.
In case you're unfamiliar with options -> when you sell a put option, one of two things happens.
Either;
A.) The stock price finishes above the strike price of the put when the put expires, in which case you make money.
B.) The stock price finishes below the strike price of the put when the put expires, in which case you will be forced to buy the stock at the strike price.
With the trades we publish, if the stock goes up, sideways, or down a bit, you'll make money. If the stock goes down a lot, then you'll be forced to buy shares.
In other words- either make money, or buy the dip!
The trick is finding the right stock at the right time.
Right now, AMD seems like a great candidate for this strategy.
Selling the October 20th, 2023 $105 strike put options yields more than 18% on an annualized basis, and 105 is a decent support zone, as you can see on the chart above. This is also a popular pivot area if you zoom out further:
The stock has also been in a bullish uptrend, and the recent, flat price action is a solid consolidation that should be perfect for selling puts:
But what about fundamentals? All of this means scant little if you're forced to buy a stock that will go down over the long term.
Fortunately, AMD is growing its top-line sales and bottom-line profits at a steady pace on the back of increased demand for semiconductors:
While the company is diluting shareholders somewhat, the valuation, at only 8x sales, seems reasonable when compared with peers and to the company's own multiple historically.
Plus, the trade has a 76% chance of earning max profit by expiry.
Overall, we think selling the October 20th, 2023 $105 strike put options is a great win-win trade for income-seeking traders.
Cheers!
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Cutting Expenses and Increasing Income
There are steps you can take to get a handle on your finances – and your financial stress. The very first step is to figure out if your income covers all of your current expenses. An increase in expenses or a drop in income usually means a change in lifestyle. The sooner you look at your household budget, the more options you have and the better off you will be in the long run. Once you have a better understanding of where your money is going, it’s time to look at ways to make the best use of your hard-earned dollar.
Cutting Expenses
If you find that your expenses are more than your income, you can take steps to develop a spending plan and move toward balancing your budget.
Begin by listing your expenses, starting with expenses that provide basic needs for living. Some of these are fixed, such as rent or mortgage payments, car payments, or installment loan payments. Some are variable, such as clothing or consumer goods. These expenses have some flexibility.
It is important to know what you are currently spending to find ways to reduce spending and balance your budget.
After you have your list, the next step is think about what can be reduced or completely cut out. Think about how a repeating weekly or daily expense will add up over an entire year.
How can you save more?
Buy gently used clothing. Instead of spending BMV:60 or more on name brand jeans with holes, your teenager may find “cool” jeans for $6.
Save on energy costs. Turn down the thermostat 5 degrees. Turn off lights or a television when no one is in the room to save money on the electric bill.
Deferring on a repair or doing it yourself. If you don’t have the skills or the tools, perhaps there is a neighbor or friend that can help.
It is essential to stick to your spending plan. With less income, each spending decision is critical. Finding ways to pinch pennies can add up to dollars you can use to make ends meet
Even in good economic times, financial experts recommend a spending plan for effective money management. But good financial planning is an even more essential tool in tough times. Setting priorities for spending is a necessary step in finding a way to balance your budget-especially when you have less money available to spend.
What do you want to learn in the next post?
median home price to median family incomefollowing chart depicts the median home price to median family income using the FRED database. Current house price to income is at historical highs not seen since the end of WW2. The current housing market is one of the most unaffordable markets for the median house hold for the last 70 years.
The income statement: the place where profit livesToday we are going to look at the second of the three main reports that a company publishes during the earnings season, the income statement. Just like the balance sheet, it is published every quarter and year. This is how we can find out how much a company earns and how much it spends. The difference between revenues and expenses is called profit . I would like to highlight this term "profit" again, because there is a very strong correlation between the dynamics of the stock price and the profitability of the company.
Let's take a look at the stock price charts of companies that are profitable and those that are unprofitable.
3 charts of unprofitable companies :
3 charts of profitable companies :
As we can see, stocks of unprofitable companies have a hard enough time growing, while profitable companies, on the contrary, are getting fundamental support to grow their stocks. We know from the previous post that a company's Equity grows due to Retained Earnings. And if Equity grows, so do Assets. Recall: Assets are equal to the sum of a company's Equity and Liabilities. Thus, growing Assets, like a winch attached to a strong tree, pull our machine (= stock price) higher and higher. This is, of course, a simplified example, but it still helps to realize that a company's financial performance directly affects its value.
Now let's look at how earnings are calculated in the income statement. The general principle is this: if we subtract all expenses from revenue, we get profit . Revenue is calculated quite simply - it is the sum of all goods and services sold over a period (a quarter or a year). But expenses are different, so in the income statement we will see one item called "Total revenue" and many items of expenses. These expenses are deducted from revenue gradually (top-down). That is, we don't add up all the expenses and then subtract the total expenses from the revenue - no. We deduct each expense item individually. So at each step of this subtraction, we get different kinds of profit : gross profit, operating income, pretax income, net income. So let's look at the report itself.
- Total revenue
This is, as we've already determined, the sum of all goods and services sold for the period. Or you could put it another way: this is all the money the company received from sales over a period of time. Let me say right off the bat that all of the numbers in this report are counted for a specific period. In the quarterly report, the period, respectively, is 1 quarter, and in the annual report, it is 1 year.
Remember my comparison of the balance sheet with the photo ? When we analyze the balance sheet, we see a photo (data snapshot) on the last day of the reporting period, but not so in the income statement. There we see the accumulated amounts for a specific period (i.e. from the beginning of the reporting quarter to the end of that quarter or from the beginning of the reporting year to the end of that year).
- Cost of goods sold
Since materials and other components are used to make products, accountants calculate the amount of costs directly related to the production of products and place them in this item. For example, the cost of raw materials for making shoes would fall into this item, but the cost of salaries for the accountant who works for that company would not. You could say that these costs are costs that are directly related to the quantity of goods produced.
- Gross profit (Gross profit = Total revenue - Cost of goods sold)
If we subtract the cost of goods sold from the total revenue, we get gross profit.
- Operating expenses (Operating expenses are costs that are not part of the cost of production)
Operating expenses include fixed costs that have little or no relation to the amount of output. These may include rental payments, staff salaries, office support costs, advertising costs, and so on.
- Operating income (Operating income = Gross profit - Operating expenses)
If we subtract operating expenses from gross profit, we get operating income. Or you can calculate it this way: Operating income = Total revenue - Cost of goods sold - Operating expenses.
- Non-operating income (this item includes all income and expenses that are not related to regular business operations)
It is interesting, that despite its name, non-operating income and operating income can have negative values. For this to happen, it is sufficient that the corresponding expenses exceed the income. This is a clear demonstration of how businessmen revere profit and income, but avoid the word "loss" in every possible way. Apparently, a negative operating income sounds better. Below is a look at two popular components of non-operating income.
- Interest expense
This is the interest the company pays on loans.
- Unusual income/expense
This item includes unusual income minus unusual expenses. "Unusual" means not repeated in the course of regular activities. Let's say you put up a statue of the company's founder - that's an unusual expense. And if it was already there, and it was sold, that's unusual income.
- Pretax income (Pretax income = Operating income + Non-operating income)
If we add or subtract (depending on whether it is negative or positive) non-operating income to operating income, we get pretax income.
- Income tax
Income tax reduces our profit by the tax rate.
- Net income (Net income = Pretax income - Income tax)
Here we get to the income from which expenses are no longer deducted. That is why it is called "net". It is the bottom line of any company's performance over a period. Net income can be positive or negative. If it's positive, it's good news for investors, because it can go either to pay dividends or to further develop the company and increase profits.
This concludes part one of my series of posts on the Income statement. In the next parts, we'll break down how net income is distributed to holders of different types of stock: preferred and common. See you soon!
How much money in your account to bank your monthly income?“How much money would you like to bank a month?”
$3,000
$5,000?
$30,000?
To answer this question and to get you on the path of achieving this income, you’ll need just one tool.
Pull out your profitable trading plan
You and I both know that to set a monthly income goal for trading, you’ll need a solid, proven and easy to follow game plan.
If you do have a trading strategy that you’re happy with and works for you, then great.
You should already have a strong indication on how your portfolio has performed during an array of different market environments.
Obviously the more data you have on your trading, the higher the reliability that you’ll earn similar monthly returns in the future.
Once you have gathered your historical trading data, you’ll then need to jot down four important stats namely:
Four stats to create a desired income per month
Stat 1:
No. of expected winning trades per month.
Stat 2:
Average % gain in rands per trade.
Stat 3:
No. of expected losing trades per month.
Stat 4:
Average % loss in rands per trade.
To choose the monthly income you’d like to pocket per month, you’ll need to know how much you’ll need in your trading account.
Let’s say you want to bank an average $3,000 on average per month, with both winning and losing trades.
For this article, let’s use the metrics of the MATI Trader System that I’ve back and forward tested for the past 20 years.
Let’s plug the stats into the table to see.
Expected return a month: $3,000
Stat 1:
3 Winning trades per month.
Stat 2:
4% Average gain per winner.
Stat 3:
2 Losing trades per month.
Stat 4:
2% Average loss per loser.
We now have all the information to calculate how much money you’ll need, in order to bank an average monthly $3,000.
1 Formula to calculate how much you need in your trading account
Step 1:
Find out the total percentage gain you can earn per month
= (Winning trades X Gain % per winner)
= (3 Winners X 4% Gain)
= 12% gain.
Step 2:
Calculate the total percentage loss you can lose per month
= (Losing trades X Loss % per loser)
= (2 Losers X 2% Loss)
= 4% loss
Step 3:
Finally calculate the amount of money you can net on average per month
= (Total gain %) – (Total loss %)
= (12% Gain – 4% Loss)
= 8% Net gain
Step 4:
Know your trading account size to pocket a desired monthly income.
= (Expected amount to earn ÷ Net % return per month)
= ($3,000 ÷ 8% Return)
= $37,500
So to bank around $3,000 on average per month, with 3 winners and 2 losers, you’ll need to have a trading account of $37,500.
Don’t be fooled if you think you’ll bank $3,000 EVERY month!
As you know, my goal through sharing this information is to show you how realistic successful trading works
With pretty much every trading system, you can expect around three to four losing months a year. This year I had around 5 losing months - It's been a tough one.
Some months you may be down $2,000 and other months you’ll be up $5,000, we never know for certain how the future will pan out.
However, with a proven and a long back and forward tested trading system, with this formula will give you the edge of what the likelihood of your returns will be.
The formula works on any size portfolio or desired income - I am just giving you an example with banking a $3,000 a month...
If you enjoyed this article or would like to share feedback I'd love to hear it :)
Trade well, live free..
Timon
MATI Trader
Making MORE Money 🤑 Side Hustle Ideas Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Times are tough. With forever increasing inflation comes forever increases prices of gas, food and other inescapable living expenses. Although the cost of things keeps on rising, our salaries unfortunately, do not. So today I've done something a little different, and pulled up a table on things you can do part time to make additional money. Please remember to hit like to show your appreciation for the efforts that went into this post :-)
Let's break it down:
1) TRADING 📈 📉
Speculating markets can be challenging no doubt, but if you do it right and have the patience, you can most definitely make more than the basic savings cost the bank offers you (which is 3% - 5% per year, depending on your capital). Remember that these are ideas to make extra money . So don't go quitting your full time job and sell your house to trade, even the guys on Wall Street earn a basic.
2) TUTORING 📚
Tutoring can be a great source of additional income. The only catch with this, naturally is you would need some sort of education in the subjects that you are tutoring. The field for tutoring is wide. You could teach online, or at a student's house. Tutoring doesn't only mean math or science. Can you speak a foreign language apart form English? This could be an opportunity for you to tutor a foreign language!
3) HANDYMAN 🔨🔌
People need handymen for all sorts of reasons. Perhaps an old lady needs help putting up curtains, or the man next door can't figure out how to change his plugs. Maybe your cousin wants to paint the house, or build a shed... If you have a few tools, this could be a lucrative extra income.
4) MUSIC 🎭🎶📯
Can you play a musical instrument? Or sing really well? Many people would love to learn. Teaching them what you've learned can be a great additional income, and if you're good at it, high paying as well.
5) GARDENING 🌻🌼🌷🌲
Gardening is like pineapple on pizza - you either love it or you hate it. Luckily, this makes for an excellent opportunity if you enjoy gardening. If you're knowledgeable on plants, you could either offering landscaping advice or even put together a small team of workers to redo a garden. You could even stem plants, grow them and sell them... pure profit !
6) CLEANING 🧼🧺
I have a friend who started a cleaning company when her children left the house... she now makes more money than her husband, who has a corporate job. She has a team of ladies who clean houses before people move into a new place or as they leave. But the options are endless.
7) RETAIL ⌚🎁👓
Perhaps the most common way to earn a profit, is to hunt bargains and sell products on an online platform for a higher price. The options here are also endless, just keep in mind import taxes and fees for listing on the platform.
There are many more ideas to earn additional income on top of your salary, these are a few that came to the top of my mind. I hope you enjoyed this post today!
_______________________
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SPX 0dte Trading - Oct 26’22 3770/3775 3890/3895 Iron Condor💡 SPX 0dte Trading - Oct 26’22 3770/3775 3890/3895 Iron Condor
Credit: $85
The 1H has remained in overbought territory since last Friday and is overdue for pause/pullback.
$3,900 remains the key level on the upside and is considered our best case scenario this week. On the downside, $3,800 is now strong support. There is positive drift if SPX remains above the gamma flip line of $3,770 as dealer and systematic flows are supportive for price which adds liquidity and should reduce realized volatility.
DXY/UST yields continue their slide, however, as the US10Y yield tags 4% we could see a rebound attempt. The inverse correlation between equities and yields/DXY continues to hold true.
MSFT, GOOGL both down 7+% this morning. The combined weight of the two companies amounts to more than 14% of the Nasdaq 100. With growth underperforming this will likely cap the upside today.
From an internals perspective, ADD is in positive territory, volatility is getting sold and the further reduction in the PCC signals positive delta flows still the primary trade as it has been the past three trading sessions.
Overall many mixed signals. If needed will make adjustments defensive or offensive and as always will leg out of the IC using our momo process.
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💡 SPX 0dte Trading - Oct 10’22 3575/3580 3680/3685 Iron Condor💡 SPX 0dte Trading - Oct 10’22 3575/3580 3680/3685 Iron Condor
Premium collected: $95 per contract
A key level on the downside remains $3,600 and $3,700 on the upside. We don't see a reason for participants to get overly convicted one way or the other or sell volatility until there is more clarity on inflation and ultimately the forward path of monetary policy. Wednesday CPI will likely spark the next directional move.
We are seeing some put demand this morning, bidding volatility and forcing dealers to sell deltas - all which exerts downward pressure on price. With that being said, markets internals have a bearish tilt with the DXY moving higher. SPX, DXY inverse correlation continues to hold.
If required; I will make adjustments, likely turning the threatened side into a butterfly spread.
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BNY | Bond Income Anyone | Entry PointBlackRock New York Municipal Income Trust is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by BlackRock, Inc. It is managed by BlackRock Advisors, LLC. The fund invests in fixed income markets. It invests primarily in the investment grade municipal bonds exempt from federal income taxes and New York State and New York City personal income taxes. BlackRock New York Municipal Income Trust was formed on July 26, 2001 and is domiciled in United States.
Coinbase Posted over 1 Billion Losses in Q2 2022 TODAYCoinbase saw a 64% drop in retail exchange income. Coinbase crypto trade announced critical misfortunes in Q2. The trade posted a deficiency of more than £1 billion while missing investigators' estimates.
- Deficiency of £4.98 per stock versus a guage deficiency of £2.65
-Income of £808.3 million versus a gauge income of £832.2 million
The US trade income dropped by 64% with retail exchanges income at £616.2 million, down 66%. Exchanging volumes (in £B) were fundamentally lower across Ethereum and other cryptographic forms of money, be that as it may, Bitcoin's volumes have expanded as well as BTC income. Coinbase anticipates 7 - 9 million month-to-month exchange clients, down from the 5 - 15 million territory just 3 months prior. The organization has diminished its spending financial plan, less paid media, and different motivating forces as the center movements to nonpaid traffic.
In light of Ark's reproductions, institutional assets portions of between 2.5% to 6.5% may lift BTC cost by £200,000 - £500,000.
It is quite important that toward the finish of July, Ark Invest sold around 1.4 million loads of Coinbase that were valued at £79 million at that point.
SPX Weekly RangesHere are the past 7 weeks of PVI Volatility Ranges for SPX . The Ranges are computed every weekend from a myriad of data points and ratios (Index, Volatility variations, SKEW, HV, IV, etc...)
We compute the ranges on the weekend, along with our roadmap & Game Plan for the week ahead. Some of us enter their first tranche on Sunday nights or early Monday (depending on confirmation from Futures ).
We do NOT sell fixed Deltas for our credit spreads, but rather utilize the data driven from our volatility algo for the specific Index (primarily SPX ).
The PVI Weekly SPX Credit Spread portfolio is up just over 47% YTD with 20 straight weeks of profits and zero drawdowns. The ranges have been breached 3 times since the start of 2021 (by an amount greater than 10 SPX points). The system is NOT designed or programed to be perfect, it is to provide us with the most competitive SPX weekly Range with the highest VALUE between Premium & Expectancy
US 10-Year Yield PeakThe 10 year yield will not get to 3%. Since 1987 we have seen this downward trend in treasuries indicated by the channels on the chart.
As of today, the 2 standard deviation peak is at 2.2% and the 3 standard deviation peak is at 2.9%. In one year it will move down to 2.0% and 2.7% respectively. There's also a chance we already peaked and we don't see a 10 year yield over 2% for the foreseeable future.
There has not been a single time since 1985 that we broke out of the 3 standard deviation upper bound. It is safe to say 2.9% is a hard cap on the 10 year without a major meltdown in the US bond market.
Even the 2 std. dev. channel has only been broken twice (and only once significantly) since then. I think this will cause huge bond buying whenever it gets above 2.2% and realistically we won't see over 2.5%.
Eventually we'll start flirting with the 0% bound and the 2 std. dev trend will dip negative sometime in 2030. Until then, enjoy the roaring 20s.
Realty Income Corp (O): Looking for a Pullback Below 50% FibO has been slowly grinding higher since March 2020 lows topping out at $72.55. Price action since November has been stuck in a range with the January 2022 price action sweeping above the double top highs at $70.40 level. After the sweep higher, price action appears heavy at current pricing especially since the asset has not made any meaningful retracement lower. Currently I am bearish on O with downside objectives being 65.60, 62.50 and 54.50 levels.
ERIC 5G METAVERSEERIC is gapped up this morning, got filled yesterday during the downturn at a ridiculously low bid, & was up well before market close. As you can see the daily chart is what's used, it was easy to see the turning point on volume looking for swing trade type positions. ERIC is expected to give earnings today & is expected be positive. ERIC has huge upside potential as a Metaverse 5G play. Its low price and huge infrastructure make it perfect to capture the developing metaverse market. Ericsson may not be a "leading" metaverse brand like Facebook, but it's going to grow in the background as it provides the actual bandwidth for the metaverse. This is called the picks & shovels method. Watch this space for MACRO & supply chain plays. Please like & share this post if you want more content like this. *NFA, DYOR Please check the ERIC prospectus before investing real funds*
Dot geting big volume in near days and it will go upAre you ready to gain 2-x income with dot crypto. Because it is one of the top 10 projects in crypto world and has big chance to become top 5 in near years.
SPX a fairytale in the making1. The bomb does not fell twice in the same place, people must forget about Covid in their psyche, so a market crash is still out of question IMO. Everybody is waiting for it after all...
2. When ALL GLOBAL liquidity is gone then they pull the rug, hard cash is-becoming trash.
3. When 2 happens then the biggest BUY THE DIP trap in history happens
4. When 3 happens then we have long term pain and CBDCs introduction
5. When 4 completes we have Stocks Buy Back from Central Banks but no one will have any liquidity or courage left. (State-Capitalism)
6. Due to tech advancements we will see massive layoffs and Universal Basic Income will be introduced with the help of CBDCs (total control of money flow), together with VR and global cannabis legalization.
7. Middle class will no longer be a thing nor poverty as we know it today.
8. Study the Greek society and stock market from 1999-2015 and you will be surprised to discover that the world is now where Greece's was back in the millenia.
9. Stock picking will become a thing
10. All the above might be a fairytale in my head
Do not follow my or anyone else advice do your own research!
Look First / Then Leap
Real Personal Income - Coiling before new ATH?Real personal income looks to be coiling in a descending triangle within in a bullish trend.
Maybe Q1-2 next year we see real incomes reaching a new ATH (according to this data).
Pretty clear that overall peoples income haven't gone up in years.
XSN: Lightning DEX run by masternodes, 793x to match UNIFrom Stakenet:
"XSN is the first blockchain with Masternodes to ever be Lightning Network ready. This means XSN has instant, virtually feeless, and unlimited transactions per second, making it more valuable than most other cryptocurrencies whose only use-case is speed or scalability. It is also the first, next to Bitcoin and Litecoin, to ever perform Lightning Swaps. "
So, how is this any different from other DEX's/coins using the same buzzwords?
> Masternodes that actually provide value by running the DEX (and more)
> Lightning swaps: once your channel is open, high-frequency trading with fees a fraction of what other DEX's/CEX's charge
> Connext integration enables BTC/ETH crosschain swaps without wrapping/rollups
> Accessing DEX/trading done through XSN's multicurrency light wallet, or on the web-based DEX (Your keys, your coins)
MASTERNODE INCOME: Hosting the DEX
Owning a masternode will make users effectively partial owners of a cutting edge business. In addition to block rewards, MN's will receive orderbook hosting rewards for processing the DEX's transactions.
> Current XSN price: $0.16
> Current Masternode cost: $2,400
When XSN reaches #2 DEX SUSHISWAP's marketcap ($2.07b as of 10/7/21) each XSN Masternode will:
> Be worth $255,765
> Produce $7,500 monthly ($2,500 block / $5,000 orderbook hosting)
> Assuming $250m 24hr DEX volume
When XSN reaches #1 DEX UNI's marketcap ($13.6b as of 10/2/21) each XSN Masternode will:
> Be worth $1,665,000
> Produce $25,500 monthly ($16,000 block / $9,500 orderbook hosting)
> Assuming $890m 24hr DEX volume
XSN is delivering fully decentralized P2P Layer 2 trades. Masternode owners are the exchange owners.
