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Groupe S.E.B. SA (SK.PA) of France: EPS rising.S.E.B. SA (SEB) (Symbol SK.PA), is a global supplier of Kitchen and household equipment. (White goods) Brand names include include All-Clad, Krups, Moulinex, Rowenta, Tefal and WMF Group. They make non-stick cookware, bakeware, stainless roasters, coffee machines, tea machines, juice squeezers, meat cutters, food vacuum packs, bar-tender equipment, beer servers, blenders, bar-b-q equipment, food warming plates, cookers, bread-making machines, crepe and waffle machines, ovens, microwaves, boilers, kettles, coffee pots and servers, chip machines, electric cooking pots, toasters, vacuum cleaners, air filters, robotic cleaners, steam irons, electric razors, head, ear, and nose hair trimmers, soy-milk makers, air purifiers, pressure cookers, pans, saucepans, frying pans, table cookers snd warmers, cutlery, knives, cutters and slicing devices, weighing machines, scales, and hundreds of other practical household goods. Whilst the chart of the share price is not giving off any particular buy or sell signal, the shares do look attractive on fundamentals. Here are the things which I like: SEB has a Track-record of increasing turnover: organic sales growth in the three years to 31 Dec 2018 was +6.1%, +9.2%, +7.8%. In the Q3 2019 results the company said: “ Organic sales growth now expected between +6% and +7% vs. over 7% as announced at end-July” Rising dividends: the dividend has risen by 9% p.a. over the last 10 years. The 2018 dividend was EUR 2.14, vs 2017 of 2.00, an increase of 7%. Given the forecast of increased earnings for 2019, I am expecting the dividend will continue to be increased. Whilst the dividend of 1.57% is not high, it seems both secure and growing. Certainly it is attractive compared to the interest on cash deposits or bonds. The Dividend is well covered by earnings: the 2018 EPS were EUR 8.38, nearly four times the dividend of EUR 2.14. This leaves plenty of scope to keep increasing the dividend. SEB is Increasing its earnings per share (EPS): Reported EPS over the last 5 years have been as follows: EUR 3.45, 4.14, 5.15, 7.50, and 8.38. Given SEB’s own recent forecast of a 6% to 7% rise in sales for 2019, I think profits and EPS should increase again this year. The company said in its Q3 2019 report, Outlook section, that it expects an increase in “Operating Result from Activity” of around +6% for the full year. SEB has a Modest Price/Earnings (p/e) ratio: The share price (at the time of writing on Monday 30th December 2019) is EUR 133.50. With 2018 EPS of EUR 8.38, this gives us a trailing p/e ratio of 15.93, in line with the market and relatively cheap for a company with prospects of above average growth. That’s equivalent to an earnings yield of over 6%. Not bad considering alternatives like cash deposits in EUR. SEB is a Mid-size company. The market cap is EUR 6.8 billion. Mid cap stocks are often over-looked by analysts, until they suddenly have a spurt, and become large-cap. Despite the rises in EPS, the shares have not participated in the 2019 rise in share prices. The share price stands at around the same level as two-and-a-half years ago. In my opinion this means the shares are over-looked. Trading the shares is relatively easy. The average daily trading volume represents around EUR 8 million. SEB has hundreds, if not thousands, of products. I prefer companies with multiple products or services. If one goes out of fashion, then another may be coming into favour. It’s kind of a safety net, so you know that you are not going to find that a large competitor has suddenly made something better than its only product. It won’t turn out to be the next MySpace or AltaVista. The kind of products being sold by SEB are not going to go out of fashion. Housewives are not going to suddenly stop cooking their food or vacuuming the floor. We will always use toasters and coffee machines, ovens, trays and blenders. We will always need pots, pans, fryers, and so on. It’s relatively low tech stuff, but the demand is growing as the world becomes more affluent. Once you have used a Teflon non-stick frying pan, it’s hard to go back to the old style pan. Conclusion: SEB has a lot of attractive features for investors. If this was a larger company, the multiple would probably be over 20X. With growing sales and EPS, it has the potential to become much larger. You may need to be patient, but for long term investors it has the kind of features you should be seeking.
EURONEXT:SKLong
by Clive_Thompson
Wall Street Surprised by Dollar Tree NewsOn Tuesday, the news thundered, which surprised everyone, who has at least something to do with Wall Street. Dollar Tree stocks are falling. At the moment, shares have fallen by 13%, which is an unprecedented loss for the company. Forecasts for the near future are the most disappointing. Nevertheless, the level of the falling is kept at the indicated level, which gives hope for an improvement of the situation, but will this hope be justified? Today you can buy a share of this company for $1.08, which is a very low price. It was expected that in the same period, the value of the share will be at least $1.13. But the forecast wasn’t destined to come true. An interesting fact is that both company networks (Dollar Tree and Family Dollar) increased sales by as much as 2%. But despite the joyful indicator, the situation is not so unambiguous, because in Family Dollar the margin fell. The products of these networks have some differences. For example, Family Dollar also sells goods at lower prices, which accounts for a significant share of the presented products. But be that as it may, the total net income decreased by 1.7% year on year, which makes us think. Despite the fact that Dollar Trey isn’t so lucky this period, the revenue amounted to approximately $5.74 billion. At the same time, the expected revenue at better indicators should have amounted to $5.75 billion, which in fact isn’t such a big difference. Recently, distribution costs have increased. Following the direct, obvious logic, we can understand that it was the increase in transportation prices that caused an increase in prices for goods. For the same reason, sales of goods that have lower margins have increased in order to patch up financial holes in other areas. There have also been personnel shifts. The staff has been reduced, which isn’t a good sign. The company is forced to take drastic measures to stay in difficult times. However, in order to minimize financial losses and quickly return to the previous level, the company has everything that is needed. But if we look at the Dollar Tree and its successes over the past year, then we will see that the company is developing quite rapidly. This year its shares rose 24%. There is a pretty good result. But how did they do it? The secret is very simple. Dollar Tree investors supported all sorts of aggressive steps by the company, in order to maintain and increase the profit of the Family Dollar. Surprisingly, the aggressive strategy worked more than successfully, thanks to which we can observe tremendous growth in the company's shares. Some shops had to be closed, and some were rebranded, which benefited them. How did it happen? It attracted new customers and formed a new circle of interests that led to an increase in profits. At the end of this quartile, the company has more than 7.800 locations. This number does not allow full rebranding, but the process is already running. The first steps definitely brought excellent results, so the company further plans to adhere to this strategy, hoping for improvements in its own position. And the company has every chance to achieve its goal, despite the recent fall in stocks, which was also caused by the aggressive policy of the company. Surprisingly, the same strategy, under different circumstances, can lead to different results. It’s important to remember this when working on your own strategy. Nevertheless, it’s very difficult to predict the exact outcome in the modern market with its wars, because sometimes the income depends on factors that can hardly be predicted, so every businessman needs to be extremely vigilant. But all of us know that sometimes it’s impossible. A quarterly forecast from the company has recently been released. This forecast can be called very optimistic because an increase in the value of the share is expected from $1.70 to $1.80. And yet, Wall Street had expected stock prices to be significantly higher. According to their forecasts, the share price should be $2.02. As it turns out, it will become known very soon, and therefore you just need to be patient and wait for the opportunity, because the current situation was very ambiguous, which means it is too early to draw conclusions. And yet, in the fourth quarter of this year, an increase in the value of goods sold by $19 million is expected, which equals $0.06 per share. And yet the main event happened today at 8:46 a.m. at the premarket. It was at this moment that the shares of the company fell by 13%. Will the company continue to pursue the aggression strategy and will it help overcome difficulties? Will it continue to fall, and can one find profit in this fall? It’ll become obvious for most businessmen very soon. But while all this is only in the process, the most astute take risks and win, while others read about how others have achieved success.
NASDAQ:DLTR
by PaxForex
bullish pennant on CME BTC futures, impending breakoutCME's front month Bitcoin Futures are poised for a bullish breakout and steep positive movement. After a downtrend, the futures have consolidated and started to form a pennant shape, which indicates that there will be a breakout and then a substantial up-move. The pennant has been formed with a series of retested resistance on top of the candles and sequential tests of the lower support. Pennants are particularly poignant technical analyses for the BTC, as they are more suited to shorter time intervals, like this examination. The impending breakout will occur near the apex of the triangle, but usually in pennant patterns the apex is not reached because the breakout occurs often right before the apex would be reached. After the breakout from the "flat topped cone" the bullish movement is expected to be potent.
CME:BTC1!Long
by LaurenTrading
4
Ether poised to benefit from infrastructure spending?'8th Day' positive extreme projection here is carried forward on the combined trend line, terminating at the same price at the later date where that price is shown. What happens between now and then may be greatly influenced by news $30M spending will proceed on Ethereum infrastructure by concerned parties going forward. Tentatively, an increase is likely, hovering somewhere between today's price and the extreme presented, reaching a peak somewhere on the timeline. As to whether a new higher high will occur, solidifying Ether's USD valuation here on the digital currency 'backside' as a hedge against a possible late May BTC correction, and other factors of volatility in the market, is speculative. Ether has retained a good portion of its latest surging increase in BTC valuation following BTC's fabulous rise. And on the USD side did well during the mini-correction. It may be relevant to point out if digital currencies are to gain from their intrinsic value they will have to compete on market capitalization with the very currency which drags their present valuation all over the map; this may mean investors will benefit from Ether swallowing not just the tail of the whale, but a good portion of its body, making way for its intrinsic valued cousins to refresh the sea with services and economic opportunity by way of active developer and user communities, subsuming their progenitor for the good of all. If the whales are worried at all, investors in Ether may not see it unless they first present the challenge. It will otherwise probably be business as usual, which isn't bad, but doesn't really seem to deliver on the widespread promise of systemic change resulting in lower fees, greater access, and, as mentioned above, new economic landscapes carved out of information in cyberspace, the virtual and limitless real estate which continues to capture our imagination and innovation.
by latticephreak
[BTC Intra] another triangle within the yet-to-be-decided breakYes i know: "Again?". The breakout happened, it formed a triangle which led to an increase of positionsize when the next breakout came. And here we are again. an even more distinct triangle forming in BITFINEX:BTCUSD . Such patterns are often decisionpoints. its either pushing further, or retracing back. the risk is small, and stops nearly draw themself. Only thing one should really consider now: "do i really want to increase the position further" (in case one is long already). Since i am keeping the risk per trade low, i know my answer ;)
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by kuegi
Monero network hashrate just hit 1GH/s! I remember when it was at 16 Mh total. The primary evidence of ASICs would be a dramatic decrease in output from non-ASIC hardware (due to difficulty rising disproportionately with price). In the past year difficulty has increased by 13x (source: chainradar.com 1 year chart) and price has increased by 19x (source: coinmarketcap.com 1 year chart) while the block reward has decreased by 40% (source chainradar.com 1 year chart, also emission formula). Putting this together: 19 / 13 * (1-40%) = 0.87 Meaning revenue with constant hardware and power costs has dropped by 13%. Maybe significant but hardly 'dramatic'. That's probably consistent if not smaller than the rate of technological progress (better CPUs and GPUs), meaning there is no real decrease in profitability assuming regular hardware upgrades. This is frankly much ado about nothing. Hash rate of successful coins with increasing prices will always rise, and when the price rises a lot so will the hash rate.
Long
by Emperor_Penguin
EURUSD: Short Going well. Good spot to increase positions hereEURUSD This swing trade on the short side from 1.1893 kiss on the parallel is going well, so far. A neat pattern here, with a head and shoulders at the very top with an exact 200 pip downside target at 1.169 (met) and then a much larger, and more threatening head and shoulders forming over the following weeks with a downside of 420 pips from the neckline down to 1.124 minimum target, though this will take time to play out to consclusion. Right now EUR is testing old support, new resistance at 1,158 and should reverse lower from here again (good spot to increase shorts) and ride it further down (stops for new shorts need placing just above 1.1590). It should come back to the lower parallel quite soon and then make a good bounce before failing again. More as move develops.
Short
by sumastardon
1
DEUTSCHE BANK - technical analysisAfter the tough time, Deutsche Bank had last year, facing a U.S. lawsuit (...), the stock is finally recovering and we are likely to see a strong appreciation in value during 2017. As the price development suggest, Deutsche Banks's stock price usually follows trendlines for a fairly long time. Moreover, price movements most of the time follow a linear function and therefore do not change their direction very quickly, relative to the percentage of price change. Considering these two specific patterns of behavior, the current situation indicates that the price is going to move along with the ascending trendline below, towards the crossing point with the higher descending trendline. From there on, due to the restructuring over the last year and the in-depth change in strategy, cutting costs, reducing risk and focusing more on major clients, at Deutsche Bank, the odds for a breakout above the descending trendline and a continuing upwards movement are pretty good.
FWB:DBKLong
by Lucas_Aschenbach
3