INCY - Incyte Bullish BreakoutOn this 5 Month Daily Chart of Incyte you can clearly see the Bearish Trend that included the last 6 weeks of each daily candle trending below the 7 Day EMA until just the last 2 trading days where the bottom was made and INCY finally broke above the 7 day EMA on very good strenth with much higher volume than anthing seen during this downtrend. The RSI for the Trend Reversal is showing very good strength and the Money Flow Index has developed a Bullish Divergence to confirm this as well.
My confidence is Very High that Incyte will have a 10-15 % Gain over the next 3 weeks as it gradually moves back up to fill the Gap Down on May 2nd as shown on the Chart.
Incyte
Incyte Signals SELL On 5 Algorithms in 2 DaysIncyte is about to get exciting. Normally, my Precise algorithm signals a BUY or SELL by itself. Three other algorithms signaled SELL at the same time based on the closing price on 7 April and an additional algorithm signaled SELL today. Five of the algorithms signal overbought conditions, while the other signifies a continuation of downward movement. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move down, but sometimes it may continue to move up first.
I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the Daily chart after a SELL signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement upward before the stock finally moved downward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement upward, before the stock moved downward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential top in this instance.
The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final bottom.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
INCY: sold ahead of earnings, looking 4 re-entry after reassessmNot sure if the BLUE support is gonna hold this time around. Might eventually sets on ~9yr-old support (note chart is in Log scale). Monthly chart also showing massive MACD divergence. As a result, sold my position to see how is gonna play out in the ST. Also binary outcome drug data expected this year, with unknown timing. However, INCY is top pick at Credit Suisse and has bear case scenarios (considering other banks too) in the $65-70 range. But the massive MACD divergence on the monthly (although not showing up on the weekly..uhm?) + very long bull run made me reconsider the position I opened at $94.5 a couple of weeks ago, so I'll just sit aside for the time being. The thing is, where's there risk, there is opportunity: I am cognizant that by sitting aside I might be missing out on some upside here. I'll wait for a reversal of the downtrend to jump on, obv missing out on the first bit (provided it doesn't coincide with a spike up 100% any positive drug data released later in the yr).