Your Investing Alarm Just Went Off! Are You In?Hey, future wealth builders!
Today, I’m kicking off a new series where I’ll be your personal market alarm system! Think of me as the investing wake-up call you didn’t know you needed. Buzzing in your inbox to make sure you never snooze on your next investment.
We’ll regularly review stock indices so that you can invest consistently, with confidence and purpose. Every month. Little by little, building your wealth.
Goals:
Encourage consistent and regular investing.
Identify the strongest-performing indices at any given time.
Ensure that investment decisions are thoughtful and informed.
Avoid emotional, random, and blindly made purchases.
Why does this approach work?
In January , I tested whether smart index selection can outperform the market over 20 years. I analyzed three U.S. indices: S&P 500, Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100.
On the first trading day of each quarter, I bought the technically strongest index, the one showing the best price movement and trend. I made a total of 81 trades.
The results:
✅ I outperformed the S&P 500 (+233%) and Russell 2000 (+128%), achieving a +344% return.
❌ But I couldn’t beat the Nasdaq 100, which returned +570%.
Investing would be easy if we knew today which index to buy for the next 10 or 20 years but since time travel isn’t an option (yet), sticking to just one index could cost you tens of thousands over time. The solution? Make the best choice at each moment.
Which indices do I track?
After careful consideration and discussions with ETF expert Märten Kress, I have selected four key indices from different regions:
📌 S&P 500 – U.S. large-cap stocks
📌 Nasdaq 100 – U.S. tech and growth stocks
📌 EuroStoxx 600 – European large-cap stocks
📌 China Large-Cap ETF – China’s largest and most liquid companies
How does it work?
On the 1st and 15th of every month (or the next trading day), I analyze which index has the strongest technical “setup”. Why these days? Payday reminders! Invest in yourself first, build your portfolio , and then think about whether those extra expenses are really worth it.
You’ll find out which index is hot right now so you can invest more wisely.
Why am I doing this?
Actually, my main goal with this series is to be that friend who calls and says: “Come on, let’s hit the gym!” You may not feel like going, but once you do, you always feel better afterward. This is the same, except the workout is investing.
Investing must be consistent and strategic. Blind purchases can cost you thousands.
Smart diversification helps maximize returns and reduce risks.
You don’t have to analyze everything yourself. I’ll provide insights to help you stay on track and save you time.
Whether you invest every month, twice a month, or once a quarter, is up to you. I’ll be here, my posts will keep coming, and my technical opinion will always be available. The key is consistency and investing without emotions!
WHO WINS THIS MONTH?
Let’s get serious. Which index is the strongest this month? Which one has momentum, and which one should we wait on?
-----------
🚀 Want to know which index is leading this month?
I break it down every month (or twice a month) on my Substack, so you always stay ahead with the strongest setups.
⚡ No guessing. No blind moves. No sticking to just one index. Get the data, make smarter decisions, and grow your portfolio.
🔗 Find the link in my BIO (under the Website icon) , or if you're on mobile, just scroll down to my signature!
See you there,
Vaido
Indeces
S&P Kissed 5000 levelUSD: S&P 500 at 5000
US asset markets are having a good few weeks. Equity benchmarks are pushing up to fresh highs
and last night's US 10-year Treasury auction saw decent demand. Leading the charge in US
equities has been the big tech stocks. Just looking across the consensus price targets of the
'magnificent seven', the targets remain anywhere from 6% (AAPL) to 20% (AMZN) above last
night's closing levels. The only one of the seven with a lower price target is Nvidia, where this
year's 50% rally has overshot a price target largely there since last summer. Whether the
psychological 5000 level in the S&P 500 now proves something of a hurdle remains to be seen. But from the equity analyst community anyway, the consensus is that there is more to come.
After the Fed/Powell pushed back hard on a rate cut in March, and, the payrolls data
reinforced the message, the market's attention is shifting to the May meeting
probabilities.
We believe the Fed’s hiking cycle is complete and that the Fed will remain on hold at the current Fed funds rate range of 5.25-5.5% until the first 25bp cut in May,
after which we expect 25bp cuts in June, July, and September followed by quarterly
cuts until the terminal rate range reaches 3.25-3.5% in September 2025, although
the risks are skewed toward a June start to rate cuts. On balance sheet policy, we
expect the Fed to announce that it will start tapering the pace of balance sheet
runoff in May and to end runoff in 1Q25.
European Central Bank is holding rates untill Q3 Market Insight:
ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau has emphasized that the decision on rate cuts in 2024 will be data-driven, rejecting a fixed timeline. ECB President Christine Lagarde, while suggesting a potential rate cut in the summer, emphasizes the importance of data in timing the decision. Central bank officials are cautious about immediate easing but acknowledge a long-term trajectory of lowering borrowing costs.
Rationale:
Anticipating the likelihood of a delayed rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB), potentially impacting businesses' cost of borrowing and consumer spending, which could lead to lower revenues for companies in the European stock index.
Trade Strategy:
Short Position on European Stock Index: Consider initiating a short position in the European stock index (e.g., Euro Stoxx 50).
Entry Point: Look for technical signals indicating a reversal or weakness in the index.
Stop-Loss: Place above a recent significant peak to manage potential upward movements.
Take-Profit: Target the next support level, considering potential downward pressure on index components.
ES1! Whoa, bro! The SP500 and E Mini are totally gearing up for a radical ride! 🏄♂️ They're cruising towards some major stops, and if they start showing some gnarly price weakness, there might be a chance for a sick reversal to fill that daily liquidity void. Dude, that's like the perfect setup for a killer retracement trade against the wave!
And check this out, man, there's a potential long trade possibility from the liq fill around the $4327 region on ES1! 🤙 That's like catching a big wave right before it breaks, setting you up for a tubular ride to the moon!
Keep your eyes peeled, bro, 'cause this market's gonna be a wild one! Watch for those juicy setups and get ready to drop in on those sweet trades! 🌊 Stay chill, trust your instincts, and ride those waves like a true surfer of the market!
So, dudes, let's shred it out there, take those opportunities, and ride the markets like we're born to do! Cowabunga, my trading bros! 🤘😎
selling nas100Nas100 is around a strong supply zone right now. It has a good rejection indicating a potential sell coming soon, I will wait for this four hour candle to close and see how the next 4 hour candle closes then I will be looking to sell during London section and look to take my tp around 12000. you can always take your tp anytime you want.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Detailed Technical Outlook 📈
Price action analysis on US30 Index.
Key levels & the things to watch.
Your detailed trading plan.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Dow Jonex Index (US30): Your Trading Plan For Next Week
Dow Jones was nicely rejected from a horizontal key resistance.
The market is currently growing within a rising channel on 4H.
I would look for shoring opportunities after its support breakout.
Wait for its violation and then sell aggressively or on a retest.
Goals: 33570 / 33315
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
$QQQ Predictions through Feb 1/23We have been building in strength and have reacted positively to earnings thus far. Along with positive market news the push is continuing to trend upward. However we are approaching the 1 Year Resistance point at 295. This chart shows 3 possible options ending the month of January and going into Feb 1. My potential entry points for each trade depend on the Pre Market movement on 1/27.
Bullish -
Goal: 300
Entry: (Pre Market) Above 294.37 on 1/27 OR (Pre Market) Above 294.01 on 1/30
If you are bullish and believe we can break the 1 year resistance line we could potentially see a boost up to 300. We have to break the resistance with enough momentum to see this happening. Also continued positive earnings/interest rate news.
Neutral -
Goal: 292-295
The volatility caused by earnings would be a major factor in this target. This assumes we gap up/down based on earnings reports and then reverse a little throughout the trading days.
Bearish -
Goal 285
Entry: (Pre Market) Below 291.39 on 1/27 OR (Pre Market) Below 290 on 1/30
Due to the high RSI and high resistance from our 1 year resistance line we could see a strong downward move. I have this breaking out of the 30 day trend channel. If we start downtrending I believe we have a selloff. Depending on the Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting regarding the rate increases.
US30 is preparing for a breakdwon!!US30 has formed a reversal pattern and has broken out of local trends and retested with strong rejection. Price has created strong bearish price action and is likely to break down to the daily support as the market is over-extended.
A high probability setup is on the previous support as resistance.
Press like button if you enjoy this idea!!
US30 trading plan for next week!US30 (D) is moving in an uptrend and now the current price has broken weekly resistance. On the new trading week, it is highly likely that price will drop back to the weekly liquidity zone and daily 20EMA to test this previous resistance zone as support. And upon price action confirmation.
Press the like button if you enjoy this idea :)
US30 preparing for another wave up?US30 (D) has formed a weekly narrow doji which is a sign of strong bullish momentum in the market. As the monthly price action is still bullish, the daily trend is still up, there is a probability of another wave up on US30. On the test of the previous resistance as support, based on a lower timeframe bullish price action, a long trade is highly probable.
Thank you for visit this idea, press the like button if you find value in this idea:)
MONDAY LIVE: SPX500 AND FOREX - FEB21Hi Traders,
This is my view for this week on:
- SPX500
- XAUUSD
- DAX
- EURGBP
- EURJPY
- EURUSD
- GBPUSD
I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are.
Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected.
If you follow my strategy you will be able to identify the right filters and triggers to enter correctly the market and avoid fake signals.
I really hope you liked this video and I would like to know what do you think about this analysis, so please use the comment section below this video to give me your point of view.
Pit
———————
US30 bearishthe price trapped in a bearish zone We expect a rise from the support area to touch the trend line and complete the down trend
SENSEX (S&P BSE Sensex) Index Analysis 07/04/2021as earlier we had predicted an other impulsive wave for better shorting position and we shorted it at 50363
Fundamentals:
as we know the system is Forcing the Covid-19 Vaccination to the public so it requires to reshut the country for showing it some seriousness and let the Culprit capitalists gets more capitalize and some Retail Section to loos on some positions.
we are facing another lockdown and it will effect the economy and it stimulate the market to make some retracements.
Technical Analysis:
now we are getting our Bearish Divergence with MACDs confirmation with the Head Fall of the Bullish rally and retest of the immediate Support we can now specify 4 Targets by Fibonacci Retracement.
these 4 Targets are having strong confluences with the certain levels in Price Action analysis.
we can target the 3 TP as soon as we the 2TP gets Trigged followed by some retracement and Distribution