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DXY in 1 H timeframeDXY Analysis on RTM Style Here’s an analysis of the **U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1H timeframe** based on the **RTM (Read The Market) style** and your drawn arrows: Previous Trend & Break of Structure (BoS)** - The market has been in a strong downtrend, forming **Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH)**. - After breaking the **105.485 level (0.5 Fibonacci retracement)**, the bearish momentum continued down to the **103.5 support zone**. Liquidity Zones & Potential Reversal** - The price is currently consolidating around **103.5**, indicating a possible reaction from buyers. - A **Higher High (HH)** is marked, suggesting a potential shift in market structure. Possible Scenario Based on the Arrows** - A short-term **accumulation phase** is expected between **103.5 - 104**. - If the price breaks above **103.998**, bullish momentum may drive it toward the **105.5 - 106.7 zone (Fibonacci 0.5 & 0.786 retracement levels)**. - If this resistance is broken, the final target could be **107.27**, a strong resistance level. - The market is at a **key support level** and may form a bullish structure. - Confirmation of a **Higher High** and a break above **103.998** could trigger an upward move. - **Re-Accumulation** is expected before a strong bullish continuation. - **Bearish Alternative**: If the **103.5 support** fails, the price may drop further to **102.1**. This analysis is suitable for publishing, but I recommend adding an alternative scenario in case the support fails, giving a more well-rounded outlook.
TVC:DXYLong
by mehdi_kb
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Key Technical Levels & Market OutlookU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Monthly Chart Analysis 📊💵 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently navigating a critical price structure, with key supply and demand zones influencing market direction. Here’s a professional breakdown of the chart’s technical outlook: 📍 Key Technical Insights ✅ Supply & Demand Zones Supply Zone (Resistance): 109 - 114 📈 – A key area where selling pressure has historically emerged. A decisive breakout above this level could signal further upside potential. Demand Zone (Support): 100 - 103 📉 – A strong accumulation zone where buyers have stepped in previously. A breakdown below could indicate a shift in market sentiment. ✅ Market Structure & Momentum A Break of Structure (BOSS) has been identified, signaling a shift in trend dynamics. The market is currently ranging between major resistance (~109) and support (~100). ✅ 200-Month Moving Average 📊 The long-term moving average (red line) is acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish bias unless decisively breached. 📊 Potential Scenarios 🔹 Bullish Outlook: If DXY maintains support above 100-103 and breaks past 109, the index could aim for 114+ in the coming months. 🚀 🔹 Bearish Risk: A sustained drop below 100 may open the door for further downside towards 95-89, signaling a broader correction. ⚠️ 📌 Conclusion The DXY remains in a consolidation phase, with key inflection points around 103 (support) and 109 (resistance). A breakout or breakdown from this range will determine the next major trend. Traders should monitor these levels closely for potential trading opportunities.
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
18 Times, +2000%, 5800 Days - All About NASDAQ100 Corrections!Hi, all! I need to repost some of my recent ideas on TradingView due to issues with the platform's moderation. Let's start! The most up-to-date post is coming right away - one that serves as a timely reminder during these interesting times: never forget history. From November 2008 to February 2025, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index has grown by over 2000%! Yes, that’s a 20x increase! This tech giant, made up of the 100 leading technology stocks, has shown impressive strength. For comparison, the S&P 500 has risen about 820% in the same period. A great performance but Nasdaq 100 leaves it far behind. Has this been a straight-line rise? Not really. Looking back, it may seem like the perfect investment. But the road was not smooth. Nasdaq 100’s success came with painful drops, investor panic, and moments when it felt like the market would never recover. From the outside, everything looks great. But would you sit through a 30% drop, while the news is screaming about the "end of the world"? So, I decided to analyze every correction of 10% or more since the market bottom in 2008. - How long do corrections and recoveries last? - How often do they happen? - What should investors know? - Can this help you in any way? DATA ANALYSIS - 18 corrections in Nasdaq 100 (2008–2025), -10% or more. Retracement Stats: - Average drop: -15% - Median drop: -13% - Biggest drop: -37.72% - Smallest drop: -10% Correction Length (17 completed corrections): How many days does a correction last from the peak to the bottom? - Average: 60 days - Median: 35 days - Longest: 325 days - Shortest: 14 days Recovery Time: From bottom back to new highs. - Average: 165 days (~5.5 months) - Median: 119 days (~4 months) - Longest: 752 days (over 2 years) - Shortest: 42 days (~1.5 months) Correction Frequency If we take a rough estimate, in 5800 days, there were 18 corrections, which means a correction happens every 322 days (~10.5 months) on average. Total Time Spent in Corrections vs. Rising Markets - Corrections lasted 1016 days - Recoveries lasted 2801 days - Total time spent in "work mode": 3817 days - Total "smooth uptrend" days: 1983 days (~5.4 years) Basically, like a hardworking employee – the market spends more time struggling than rising! What Can Investors Learn from This? 1. Accept Volatility Knowing that market swings are normal, investors can keep a long-term perspective and avoid panic-selling during downturns. 2. Nasdaq 100 Has Always Recovered In the long run, Nasdaq 100 has always bounced back to new highs. Each recovery has been different, but so far, making new all-time highs has never been a problem. 3. Make Better Decisions Understanding psychological biases helps investors make rational choices and manage risks better. 4. Market Drops = Opportunities, Not Threats Most big market rallies started when most investors were too scared to buy. "A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett Market drops always feel unique and scary but history shows they follow repeating patterns. And those who keep their emotions in check have the best opportunities. "The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." – Baron Rothschild Final Thoughts: Is the current retracement a buying opportunity? No one knows for sure but history suggests - stay calm! So, that's all. Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀 Have great day, Vaido 💬 Before you leave... What’s your take on the current Nasdaq 100 correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by VaidoVeek
Index Investing: A Practical Approach to Market ParticipationIndex Investing: A Practical Approach to Market Participation Index investing has become a popular way for traders and investors to access the broader market. By tracking the performance of financial indices like the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, index investing offers diversification, lower costs, and steady exposure to market trends. This article explores how index investing works, its advantages, potential risks, and strategies to suit different goals. Index Investing Definition Index investing is a strategy where traders and investors focus on tracking the performance of a specific financial market index, such as the FTSE 100 or S&P 500. These indices represent a collection of stocks or other assets, grouped to reflect a segment of the market. Instead of picking individual assets, index investors aim to match the returns of the entire index by investing in a fund that mirrors its composition. For example, if an investor puts money in a fund tracking the Nasdaq-100, it’s effectively spread across all companies in that index, including tech giants like Apple or Microsoft. This approach provides instant diversification, as the investor is not reliant on the performance of a single stock. This style of investing is often seen as a straightforward way to gain exposure to broad market trends without the need for active stock picking. Many investors choose exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for this purpose, as they trade on stock exchanges like individual shares and often come with lower fees compared to actively managed funds. How Index Investing Works Indices are constructed by grouping a selection of assets—usually stocks—to represent a specific market or sector. For instance, the S&P 500 includes 500 large-cap US companies, weighted by their market capitalisation. This means larger companies like Apple and Amazon have a greater impact on the index performance than smaller firms. The same principle applies to indices like the FTSE 100, which represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange. Index funds aim to mirror the performance of these indices. Fund managers have two primary methods for this: direct replication and synthetic replication. With direct replication, the fund buys and holds every asset in the market, matching their exact proportions. For example, a fund tracking the Nasdaq-100 would hold shares of all 100 companies in that index. Synthetic replication, on the other hand, uses derivatives like swaps to mimic the index's returns without directly holding the assets. This method can reduce costs but introduces counterparty risk, as it relies on financial agreements with third parties. Because index investing doesn’t involve constant buying and selling of assets, funds typically have lower management fees compared to actively managed portfolios. Fund managers don’t need to research individual stocks or adjust holdings frequently, making this a cost-efficient option for gaining exposure to broad market trends. Advantages and Disadvantages of Index Investing Index investing has become a popular choice for those looking for a straightforward way to align their portfolios with market performance. However, while it offers some clear advantages, there are also limitations worth considering. Let’s break it down: Advantages - Diversification: By investing in an index fund, investors gain exposure to a broad range of assets, reducing the impact of poor performance from any single stock. For instance, tracking the S&P 500 spreads investments across 500 companies. - Cost-Efficiency: Index funds often have lower fees compared to actively managed funds because they require less trading and oversight. Passive management keeps costs low, which can lead to higher net returns over time. - Transparency: Indices are publicly listed, so investors always know which assets they are invested in and how those assets are weighted. - Consistent Market Exposure: These funds aim to match the performance of the market segment they track, providing reliable exposure to its overall trends. - Accessibility: As exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are traded on stock exchanges, this allows investors to buy into large markets with the same simplicity as purchasing a single stock. Disadvantages - Limited Flexibility: Index funds strictly follow the composition of the underlying assets, meaning they can’t respond to other market opportunities or avoid underperforming sectors. - Market Risk: Since these funds mirror the broader market, they’re fully exposed to downturns. If the market drops, so will the fund’s value. - Tracking Errors: Some funds may not perfectly replicate an index due to fees or slight differences in holdings, which can cause performance to deviate. - Lack of Customisation: Broad-based investing doesn’t allow for personalisation based on individual preferences or ethical considerations. Index Investing Strategies Index investing isn’t just about buying a fund and waiting—an index investment strategy can be tailored to suit different goals and market conditions. Here are some of the most common strategies investors use: Buy-and-Hold This long-term index investing strategy involves purchasing an index fund and holding it for years, potentially decades. The aim is to capture overall market growth over time, which has historically trended upwards. This strategy works well for those who value simplicity and are focused on building wealth gradually. Sector Rotation Some investors focus on specific sectors within indices, such as technology or healthcare, depending on economic trends. This strategy can help take advantage of sectors expected to outperform while avoiding less promising areas. For instance, in periods of economic downturn, investors might allocate funds to the MSCI Consumer Staples Index, given consumer staples’ defensive nature. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Rather than investing a lump sum, this index fund investing strategy involves putting money away regularly—say monthly—into indices, regardless of market performance. DCA reduces the impact of market volatility by spreading purchases over time. The Boglehead Three-Fund Index Portfolio Inspired by Vanguard founder John Bogle, this strategy is a popular approach for simplicity and diversification. It involves splitting index investments across three areas: a domestic stock fund, an international stock fund, and a bond fund. This mix provides broad market exposure and balances growth with risk. According to theory, the strategy is cost-efficient and adaptable to individual risk tolerance, making it a favourite among long-term index investors. Hedging with Index CFDs Traders looking for potential shorter-term opportunities might use index CFDs to hedge against broader market movements or amplify their exposure to a specific trend. With CFDs, traders can go long or short, depending on their analysis, without owning the underlying funds or shares. Who Usually Considers Investing in Indices? Index investing isn’t a one-size-fits-all approach, but it can suit a variety of investors depending on their goals and preferences. Here’s a look at who might find this strategy appealing: Long-Term Investors For those with a long investment horizon, such as individuals saving for retirement, this style of investing offers a practical way to grow wealth over time. By capturing the overall market performance, investors can build a portfolio that aligns with steady, long-term trends. Passive Investors If investors prefer a hands-off approach, index funds can be an option. They require minimal effort to maintain, as they simply track the performance of the market. This makes them appealing to those who want exposure to the markets without constantly managing their investments. Cost-Conscious Investors These passive funds typically have lower management fees than actively managed funds, making them attractive to those who want to minimise costs. Over time, this cost-efficiency might enhance overall returns. Diversification Seekers Investors who value broad exposure will appreciate the inherent diversification of index funds. By investing in an index, they’re spreading risks across dozens—or even hundreds—of assets, reducing reliance on any single stock. CFD Index Trading However, not everyone wants and can invest in funds. Index investing may be very complicated and require substantial funds. It’s where CFD trading may offer an alternative way to engage with index investing, giving traders access to markets without needing to directly own the underlying assets. With CFDs, or Contracts for Difference, traders can speculate on the price movements of an index—such as the S&P 500, FTSE 100, or DAX—whether the market is rising or falling. This flexibility makes CFDs particularly appealing to those who want to take a more active role in the markets. One key advantage of CFDs is the ability to trade with leverage. Leverage allows traders to control a larger position than their initial capital, amplifying potential returns. For instance, with 10:1 leverage, a $1,000 deposit can control a $10,000 position on an index. However, it’s crucial to remember that leverage also increases risk, magnifying losses as well as potential returns. CFDs also enable short selling, allowing traders to take advantage of bearish market conditions. If a trader analyses that a specific index may decline, they can open a short position and potentially generate returns from the downturn—a feature not easily accessible with traditional funds. CFDs can also be used to trade stocks and ETFs. For example, stock CFDs let traders focus on individual companies within an index, such as Apple or Tesla, without needing to buy the shares outright. ETF CFDs, on the other hand, allow for diversification across sectors or themes, mirroring the performance of specific industries or broader markets. One notable feature of CFD trading is its accessibility to global markets. From the Nikkei 225 in Japan to the Dow Jones in the US, traders can access indices from around the world, opening up potential opportunities in different time zones and economies. In short, for active traders looking to amplify their exposure to indices or explore potential short-term opportunities, CFD trading can be more suitable than traditional indices investing. The Bottom Line Index investing offers a practical way to gain market exposure, while trading index CFDs adds flexibility for active traders. With CFDs, you can get exposure to indices, ETFs and stocks. Moreover, you can take advantage of both rising and falling prices without the need to wait for upward trends. Whether you're aiming for long-term growth or potential short-term opportunities, combining these approaches can diversify your strategy. With FXOpen, you can trade index, stock, and ETF CFDs from global markets, alongside hundreds of other assets. Open an FXOpen account today to explore trading with low costs and tools designed for traders of all levels. Good luck! FAQ What Is Index Investing? Index investing involves tracking the performance of a specific financial market index, such as the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, by investing in funds that mirror the index. It provides broad market exposure and is often seen as a straightforward, passive investment strategy. What Are Index Funds? Index funds are financial instruments created to mirror the performance of a particular market index. They’re commonly structured as mutual funds or ETFs. At FXOpen, you can trade CFDs on a wide range of ETFs, including the one that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 index. What Makes Indices Useful? Indices offer a benchmark for understanding market performance and provide a way to diversify investments. By representing a segment of the market, they allow investors and traders to gain exposure to multiple assets in one investment. Is It Better to Invest in Indices or Stocks? It depends on your goals. According to theory, indices provide diversification and potentially lower risk compared to picking individual stocks, but stocks might offer higher potential returns. Many traders and investors combine both approaches for a balanced portfolio. Does Index Investing Really Work? As with any financial asset, the effectiveness of investing depends on an investor’s or trader’s trading skills and strategy. According to theory, the S&P 500 has averaged annual returns of about 10% over several decades, making index investments potentially effective. However, this doesn’t mean index investing will work for everyone. What Are the Big 3 Index Funds? The "Big 3" index funds often refer to those from Vanguard, BlackRock (iShares), and State Street (SPDR), which collectively manage a significant portion of global fund assets. For example, at FXOpen, you can trade CFDs on SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) tracking the S&P 500 stock market index and Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) which reflects the performance of the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXMEducation
by FXOpen
1
The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100. + This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run. + In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
TVC:DXYShort
by VectorAlgo
US30 - Clean and Clear!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per my last US30 analysis attached on the chart, it rejected the upper bound of the range and has been trading lower. What's next? 📦We will be trading the range as long as it holds. 🏹As US30 approaches the lower bound of the range around $42,000, I will start looking for bullish reversal setups. For now, we wait! ⏱️ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TheSignalyst
2
S&P500 - The 2025 Bullrun Just Started!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) will rally massively during 2025: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of years, the S&P500 has perfectly been respecting the trendlines of a rising channel formation. After the recent rally of +70%, it is quite likely that - following the 2020 cycle - we will see another final rally of about +20% before the S&P500 will correct itself. Levels to watch: $7.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
15
Will DAX go for another all-time high?It seems that geopolitics are the key driving force of the MARKETSCOM:DE30 bulls. The current news on a possible end of the war in Ukraine is helping boost trader morale. Let's dig in! XETR:DAX What are your thoughts on this? 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DE30
by Marketscom
DXY - 4H Bearish SignsTVC:DXY has shown an impressive rally from the 100 zone, forming three major bullish legs, each contributing approximately 4% gains. These bullish phases have now brought the index close to the critical 110 level. However, in the third major leg, we observe the formation of three minor legs, signaling some hesitation as it nears the resistance zone. While many expect the index to break through 110 easily, I anticipate price swings around the 109-110 range, and even the possibility of a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend. With the NFP data release today, we might see increased volatility, offering opportunities for a potential DXY decline before any further rise. Stay alert for sharp market moves! 📉
TVC:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading
9
S&P 500's Big Drop Raises Alarm: Is a Market Correction Looming?◉ Fundamental Rationale: ● US stocks fell sharply on Friday, with major indices like the S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI experiencing significant losses. ● The sell-off was triggered by a warning from Walmart NYSE:WMT , which raised concerns about weakening consumer demand, rising costs, or other challenges impacting its business. As a retail giant, Walmart's outlook is seen as a barometer for consumer health. ● The decline coincided with the release of consumer sentiment data, which dropped to a 15-month low, signalling growing pessimism among consumers about the economy. ● The market reacted to fears of inflation, rising interest rates, and the potential for a recession, which could further weigh on corporate earnings and economic growth. ● The sell-off was not limited to retail stocks but reflected broader anxieties about the economy and future market performance. ◉ Technical Observations: ● Following a significant sell-off of nearly 1.7%, the index is expected to find initial support at the trendline. ● If the index breaches this support level, the next strong support zone is anticipated in the range of 5,650 to 5,700.
SP:SPXShort
by NaranjCapital
$JPIRYY -Japan's Inflation Rate (CPI)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 4% (January/2025) source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - The annual inflation rate in Japan climbed to 4.0% in January 2025 from 3.6% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since January 2023. Food prices rose at the steepest pace in 15 months (7.8% vs 6.4% in December), with fresh vegetables and fresh food contributing the most to the upturn. Further, electricity prices (18.0% vs 18.7%) and gas cost (6.8% vs 7.8%) remained elevated with the absence of energy subsidies since May 2024. Additional upward pressure also came from housing (0.8% vs 0.8%), clothing (2.8% vs 2.9%), transport (2.0% vs 1.1%), furniture and household items (3.4% vs 3.0%), healthcare (1.8% vs 1.7%), recreation (2.6% vs 4.0%), and miscellaneous items (1.4% vs 1.1%). In contrast, prices continued to fall for communication (-0.3% vs -2.1%) and education (-1.1% vs -1.0%). The core inflation rate rose to a 19-month high of 3.2%, up from 3.0% in December and topping consensus of 3.1%. Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.5%, after December's 14-month top of 0.6% rise.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx