S&P500: Formed new bottom. Expecting a rise.The S&P500 index has hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level after a 4H Golden Cross that turned the 4H technical outlook bullish (RSI = 59.782, MACD = 9.210, ADX = 36.280). As mentioned before, this is the same fractal of December 2022 to January 2023. Holding the 0.382 was key to sustaining a rise to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. We remain bullish on S&P500, targeting the current 1.236 Fibonacci (TP = 4,670).
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Index
NASDAQ, Trading In A-T-H Conditions, These Are Important Levels!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis where we are looking at the NASDAQ, its 4-hour timeframe perspective, the recent price-action-events, what is important to look at now, and what we can expect from the index further in destiny. The last weeks the NASDAQ recovered from the heavy corona-breakdowns seen this year and is now trading in all-time-high-conditions where a correction when not a bigger pull-back is possible as the index is showing reversal signs in the range, by the way, it is the only index which moved strongly above all-time-high while the other indices trading still below or near this condition, in this case, I detected some meaningful and important signals which will determine the outcome of NASDAQ sustainable.
As you can watch now in my chart and what is really important in this whole environment the NASDAQ currently builds up are the established rising-support-lines which you see marked with the trendlines and the numbers 1,2,3, these are the preliminary trendlines holding the whole uptrend to the upside and therefore important to hold. Furthermore, you can watch that NASDAQ broke the first major trendline to the downside which can indicate a correction to test the next trendline as you can watch it in my chart, from there it is possible to back-up and move on when this is not the case it is overall highly important to hold the third major trendline in the structure because when this does not happen the index will show continuation downside in the bearish zone.
Overall we can take note that the NASDAQ provided some healthy and strong up moves but to hold this it is from high importance that the index shows stabilization in the range and do not falls to lower levels again because when this happens the possibility for a more protracted continuation is given as the S&P and other major market indices still trading below all-time-highs and there are still big differences between real economy which is damaged of the declines seen this year and the stock market where many stocks showing growth the bear market is not from the desk and confirmedly over which can come back again with increased pace, therefore, it is highly important to not lose this scenario out of mind to be prepared when it shows to take appropriate action.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, have a great day, and all the best to you!
The past, like the future, is indefinite and exists only as a spectrum of possibilities.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
DOW JONES, Short-Term-Gap Filled, This Levels Are Important Now!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis where we are looking at 4-hour timeframe of the major stock-market-index DOW JONES, what it is building up the last times, and what we can expect the next times. In a previous analysis, I gave a free signal for the index with the small-term-gap to be filled which now reached its targets fully and properly within the schedule, now this fact does not mean the index is completely bullish and will continue in this manner but it has some meaningful possibilities to do this when it manages to confirm given scenarios, there are some important levels and signals which I found which can affect the outcome substantially.
As you can watch in my chart the index is trading in this important descending channel formation building a coherent upper boundary from its all-time-high to the previous highs established which it is currently testing to the upside, as the gap was filled and some supply entered the market the index is now consolidating between 26500 and 27000 which is overall a good sign that the index still holds this level. Furthermore, it has some decent support between the 26350 and 26500 levels which is marked in orange and building the lower range support below this level the index has also lower range support between 24700 and 24900 where it can bounce given within a solid likelihood.
Now given these results we can come to the conclusion that the index has two possible scenarios to play out before it confirms the upper gap to be filled. The first scenario will play out when the index holds the current level and manages to move above the falling resistance to confirm above it therefore it is from high importance that the index does this with a decisive high volatile move, the other scenario is that the index firstly falls below the support in the range and confirms the overall lower support before it climbs up and sets up to fill the gap. As there is still some solid support in the range of the first scenario, scenario A is more possible within a given possibility of 65 % and scenario B with 35 %.
This technical situation of the index does not alter the whole dynamic of the stock market which is currently trading in a speculative movement where many retailers enter the market while smart-money staying on the side-line. This can go some time but sooner or later the differences between the real economy and stock-market will be to be that either an adaptation of the two factors occurs or a shift into the bearish perspective again which can increase to the downside as there are many retailers in the market since the corona-breakdowns seen this year. The bullish short-to-middle-term perspective does not alter this fact therefore it should definitely not be kept aside, it will be highly interesting how this dynamic will develop.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, have a great day, and all the best to you!
Even though fortune's destiny seems obscure in the present, it is actually beginning right now.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
SPX500-Index-Market-Status-UpdateHello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis about events since the last one, the current structural elements added to the environment, and what we can expect or nor expect from the SPX500 index. As mentioned in the previous forecast the index was and is trading in an important uptrend-channel which holding the whole bull-market construct to the upside since the corona-breakdown-lows seen this year, if you did not already see this analysis I highly recommend it to you when going on my account to have a full-depth-overview. As there increased the bearish pressure the last weeks due to new corona-fears and ongoing difficulties in certain fields which resulted in a swift down move with a gap developed and a piercing of the lower boundary the situation has altered to a shaky index right now, in this territory, we need to keep the possible scenarios coming upon us in mind to act accordingly when they happen and do not forget the still not recovered real economy.
As you can examine now when looking at my chart is that the index pierced the lower line of the channel to the downside which can certainly be a bull-trap before moving higher but the volatility with which this breakdown happened should not be ignored also the gap which provided during this speedy bearish breakdown was more bearish than bullish. This case shows one more time how events can affect the price in a fast and undetermined manner. For now, the index has found some support at the 30-EMA you can see marked in orange within my chart and now setting up to possibly fill the gap which confirmed downside when this gap-fill play out now we need to keep in mind that after such a mechanism the supply in the market can increase again as there are still sellers in the level who want to sell at certain prices.
Now when this overall scenario takes places it is from high importance for the index to hold the uptrend-channel to establish a solid base of support here because when this does not play out we will get bearish pressure to the downside for sure when confirming below. This will move the index to test remaining lower levels which will be the 100- and 500-EMA you can watch marked in green and black in my chart, in this case, the 500-EMA is extremely meaningful to establish support otherwise the index has a huge critical bearish zone below the EMA that is marked in red within my chart when the index confirms below that level it will increase bearishness to the downside and lower levels will be marked. On the other term when the index stays within the uptrend-channel it has to confirm above the established 3230 high to move higher and test the remaining all-time-high levels.
When comparing the technical situation with the fundamental real economic situation we can take note that the rally seen since the corona-lows this year was mostly driven by fresh money pumped into the market and was a recovery of the heavy breakdowns established this year which is a normal mechanism but the fact that the real economy does not grow together with the stock-market and is still damaged from the events happened makes the rally a more unhealthy environment because the real economy and stock-market should move together, therefore when considering the next weeks to come and a possible bullish continuation it is from high importance that the real economy grows together with the stock-market otherwise this bullish rally which will establish would be a speculative money-driven bull-market with no underlying fundamental base of growth, such a speculative rally can lead to more difficulties in the aftermath where bearish pressure can increase again, therefore, the rally should be seen with an critical eye to be on the track in case of possible upcoming volatility.
In that manner, thanks for watching, support for more market insights, and good day my friends.
Prospect is the ingredient of good fortune.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Analysis of BANKNIFTY index on Daily chart (1D)Looks beautiful on the daily chart... I'm happy to see the breakout candle of the H&S pattern trendline (pink line)... Now, we can see the higher resistance shifted to 45300 / 45900 and support is shifted to 44500 / 44100
It's just a view of what I observed on the chart. I'm sharing my observation on this platform purely for education purposes and It's not a trading idea. I'm not a SEBI registered technical analyst, so consult your financial advisor before trade and trade based on your own knowledge and risk management...
Will the #Dollar Index Rally Continue?Monday, September 10, 2023
In the weekly chart of the US #Dollar Index, the market structure appears #bullish. Recently, the market found support around the 104 level, and the Dollar #Index has reached the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level as part of a corrective move.
In this week's trading, if the current #uptrend continues, and the 38.2% resistance level at 105.45 is #broken, the market may find a clear path towards the 50% Fibonacci #retracement at the 107 level.
However, if the #resistance zone at 105.45 holds its ground, the #upward #momentum in the market may be limited, and the Dollar Index could return to the 104 #support level, marking a 23.6% #Fibonacci #retracement #correction.
So based on this analysis I suggests a bullish outlook for the Dollar Index.
SILVER: Free Trading Signal
SILVER
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long SILVER
Entry Point - 22.929
Stop Loss - 22.411
Take Profit - 23.974
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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DOW JONES: The Channel bottomed. Strong buy opportunity.Dow Jones is once more near the HL of the five month Channel Up. The neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.013, MACD = -68.570, ADX = 21.330) further suggests that this is a low risk buy opportunity. The HL on the 1D RSI is consistent with the trendlines of May 31st and March 22nd all of whom where bottoms. As long as the 1D MA100 holds, we will be on a long position aiming at a +6 rise in total (TP = 36,000).
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Time to Sell According to the falling trend that the market shows and the block order target is at the 15040 level, we can take trades from here to the lower high . Also, the candles of the above time frame show us a complete fall
It is possible that the market will move from here and not reach our entry point, and in this case, if the market reaches the floor of 15,200, the analysis is completely canceled.
#nasdaq #us100 #index
GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 1918.4
Stop Loss - 1910.1
Take Profit - 1934.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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DXY H4 - Long SignalDXY H4
So far the dollar playing out like poetry to start the week, we have seen the breakout following a smaller than expected correction yesterday, bullish bias confirmed nice and early in the week.
Not much US related data today, so let's see what unfolds as the overlap comes into play. Possible correction to retest the latest broken zone before taking off again.
SNP likely heading for ATH again!Before it heading to ATH could have something it needs to do before that.
To find out what is it, do check out my stream!
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The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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