S&P500: Channel Down bottom and HL Support cluster. Buy?S&P500 hit today the HL trendline from the August 18th Low, while approaching the bottom of the Channel Down pattern. Despite this short term weakness, the 1D timeframe remains on neutral technicals (RSI = 46.932, MACD = 8.582, ADX = 32.119). This indicates that it may be an opportunity for sideways trading until we see a clear long term trend.
Consequently, we are buyers on this level, expecting a rebound to the top of the Channel Down and the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 4,490).
Prior idea:
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Index
HANG SENG: Buy signal on the bottom of the Channel Down.Hang Seng got rejected on the 1D MA50 two weeks ago and is headed again to the bottom of the Channel Down pattern. The 1D timeframe turned red again on its technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -221.700, ADX = 20.498) and this is becoming a buy opportunity again. Every prior rise inside this Channel Down has been at least +10.90% so the one that started on the August 22nd low isn't technically completed. Buy and attempt contact with the 1D MA200 (TP = 19,400).
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Euro Currency Index: The Future of the Eurozone?The Euro Currency Index is following the price action that I talked about in my last analysis.
For now, not big changes when it comes to technical analysis.
Technical analysis
On the 30-minute chart, EXY is trading in a descending channel. This suggests that the bears are in control and that the index is likely to continue to decline in the short term. The next key support level is at 100.00, followed by 99.00.
On the 4-hour chart, EXY is also trading in a descending channel. However, the channel is starting to widen, which suggests that the bears may be losing momentum. The next key support level is at 100.00, followed by 99.00.
On the daily chart, EXY is trading below its 200-day moving average. This is a bearish signal, and it suggests that the index is likely to continue to decline in the medium term. The next key support level is at 100.00, followed by 99.00.
Fundamental analysis
The eurozone economy is facing a number of challenges in 2023. The war in Ukraine has caused energy prices to soar, which is putting a strain on businesses and consumers. Inflation is also at a multi-decade high, which is eroding household purchasing power. In addition, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates in the coming months, which could further weigh on economic growth.
Despite these challenges, there are some positive signs for the eurozone economy. The unemployment rate is at a record low, and consumer confidence is starting to rebound. Additionally, the ECB has announced a number of measures to support the economy, such as the new Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI).
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
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The US Dollar Index: A Symphony of StrengthOn a smaller timeframe, the DXY price direction is still not fully decided. According to the current analysis, we are currently in a Wave 4. The price will correct on the downside soon. I marked 3 potential levels where it can retrace. It is not mandatory for the price to touch them all, however, the price can go even lower than the marked levels - it's all up to the market in the end and we need to be careful to any potential sudden change.
On the daily chart, the DXY is currently in a descending channel that began in early 2023. The channel is defined by a resistance level at around 103.50 and a support level at around 100.00. The DXY is currently testing the resistance level and could break out to the upside if it can close above this level. However, if it fails to break out, it could fall back to the support level.
On the weekly chart, the DXY is also in a descending channel. The channel is defined by a resistance level at around 103.00 and a support level at around 98.00. The DXY is currently testing the resistance level and could break out to the upside if it can close above this level. However, if it fails to break out, it could fall back to the support level.
Fundamental analysis
The US dollar has been strengthening against other major currencies in recent months due to a number of factors, including:
Rising interest rates in the United States: The US Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. This has made US assets more attractive to investors, which has led to an appreciation in the value of the US dollar.
A strong US economy: The US economy is currently the strongest major economy in the world. This is due to a number of factors, including strong consumer spending, low unemployment, and a robust labor market. The strength of the US economy has also made US assets more attractive to investors, which has led to an appreciation in the value of the US dollar.
Uncertainty in other major economies: There is a great deal of uncertainty in other major economies, such as the eurozone and the United Kingdom. This uncertainty has led investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets, such as the US dollar.
The outlook for the US dollar is mixed. On the one hand, the factors that have been supporting the US dollar in recent months are likely to continue to do so in the near term. This suggests that the US dollar could continue to strengthen against other major currencies.
On the other hand, there are a number of risks that could derail the US dollar's rally. These include:
A recession in the United States: A recession would have a negative impact on the US economy and could lead to a decline in the value of the US dollar.
A slowdown in the global economy: A slowdown in the global economy would also have a negative impact on the US economy and could lead to a decline in the value of the US dollar.
A change in US monetary policy: If the US Federal Reserve were to reverse course and start cutting interest rates, this could lead to a decline in the value of the US dollar.
Overall, the outlook for the US dollar is mixed. The factors that have been supporting the US dollar in recent months are likely to continue to do so in the near term, but there are a number of risks that could derail the US dollar's rally.
DXY, Huge Drop Incoming, H-S-Formation Completion!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the DXY US-Dollar Currency Index and the 4-hour timeframe perspectives. In recent times the Index is forming important developments that should not be underestimated as inflation pressures on fiat and there is an inflation rate never seen since more than 35 years the DXY is setting up for a dump to the downside. Looking at my chart we can watch there how the Index is building this main head-shoulder-formation in the structure, with the left shoulder and the head completed and now in the right shoulder the Index is forming this bear-flag-formation-channel of which the right shoulder consists. In this case now when the Index finally breaks down below the neckline this will show the confirmational completion of this whole formation and the Index will set for further continuations as well as activate the target zone seen in my chart. Once the target zone has been reached it has to be elevated how the Index moves further and if there comes a potential reversal or just a devastating bearish continuation, it will be an important development ahead.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, it will be great when you support it with a like, follow and comment for more upcoming market analysis, all the best!
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DXY Bearish Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is heading up to retest
A strong supply level at 105.83
And the index is locally overboguht
So after the retest we will be
Expecting the price to make
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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SPX, Bull-Flag-Formation, Breakout Incoming!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about SPX, we are looking at the 4-hour timeframe perspectives. The S&P 500 Index in recent times is forming some interesting structures that can convert into a great breakout with increased volatility as I detected. When looking at my chart now we can watch there how the Index marked above the paramount support level of 4375 marked in my chart in blue, also corresponding with this support level are the 25-EMA in red and the 15-EMA in green building a coherent and solid support base together with the horizontal support. Furthermore, the Index above this level here is building a great bull-flag-formation that is already in the last stages of completion as the wave-count within already finalized the waves A and B in the structure and now with the wave C bouncing in the lower boundary and the main support base it is the likely source of the completion of this whole formation. The bull-flag will finally confirm and activate targets once the Index is marked above the upper boundary, such a movement will indicate further continuations to the upside and activation of the target zone within the 4550 level marked in my chart in black. Once this level is reached it has to be elevated if the Index manages to continue further bullishly or firstly reverses to come up with a pullback which is also not unlikely in this case, it will be an interesting and important development ahead.
In this manner, thank you for watching my update-analysis about the S&P 500 Index and the main bull-flag-formation with the upcoming breakout to consider, support the analysis with a like and follow or comment for more market insight!
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DXY Index, Bearish Reversal High Likelihood!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the US-Dollar Currency Index, we are looking at the 4-hour timeframe perspectives. As I detected recently the index is forming an important formation that has a high possibility to be the origin of a bearish reversal to the downside that should not be underestimated. As when looking at my chart now we can watch there that this is an ascending-wedge-formation which I have marked with the blue boundaries. Within this wedge, the index has its coherent wave-count with the waves A to E already completed and therefore technically the wave-count-basis of the wedge finalized. This is why the likelihood that the wedge confirms bearishly to the downside in the near future is higher, such confirmation will finally happen when the index closes below the lower boundary of the formation which will be the origin for further bearish downside price-action as it is marked in my chart with the final confirmation. Once the whole wedge-formation is completed bearishly the index will appoint the target-zone and when the targets have finally reached the situation needs to be elevated anew if the index manages to hold this zone or continues bearishly further.
In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about the DXY Index and the highly likely bearish reversal incoming in the near future, great when you support it with a like and follow or comment for more market insight!
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
DAX Index Is Forming This Decisive Ascending-Wedge-Formation!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the DAX Index in which we are looking at the 4-hour timeframe perspectives. In trading, it is always necessary to assess the market by a neutral perspective to come up with the most possible scenarios and move on with the opportunities resulting out of it rather than over-speculating the market into a one-sighted direction in which one does not have an exit plan and gets overwhelmed by circumstances when they show up. In this case, now I discovered a very interesting formation developing in the Dax Index and what are important factors, upcoming determinations, and aftermath-developments we should consider in this structure.
Structural Developments:
As when looking at my chart now we can watch there how the Index has emerged with this major ascending-wedge-formation in the structure marked in my chart with the black boundaries. Within this ascending-wedge the Index has the coherent wave-count with the waves A to E almost all already completed and now the index already showed up with an increased bearish pullback from the 15800 level in which it is testing and penetrating the lower boundary of the formation now again. Furthermore, it is necessary to register that the index moved below the 45-EMA marked in my chart in red which was previously support and is now a strong resistance by which a pullback is highly likely.
Upcoming Determinations:
Taking all these factors into the consideration the index is in a decisive situation now as when bearishness increases further in the near future this will lead to a breakout below the lower boundary and such a breakout, as it is marked in my chart, will complete the ascending-wedge-formation bearishly to the downside and the index will highly possibly move on with further bearishness to the downside. The final wedge-completion will activate the targets within the 14800 level marked in my chart in blue and when these targets are reached the situation needs to be elevated anew, it is also strong support therefore a stabilization in this structure has increased potential.
In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about the DAX Index and the important decisive ascending-wedge-formation currently forming, great when you support it with a like and follow or comment, all the best!
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Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Usd still bullish,but could see some headwindsUsd broke up higher into the green zone as shown on chart. Could face some strong R here. Just watch and act accordingly.
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QQQ: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the QQQ pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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NASDAQ, Penetrates Key Upper-Boundary, Upcoming Perspectives!Hello Traders Investors And Community,
the NASDAQ in recent times as I discovered is showing up with some interesting signs in the structure as there remain important resistances it can also not be kept from the desk that there is a potential to see a determined continuation of the previously established uptrend therefore however the NASDAQ needs to show decisive price-action in which it has the ability to breakout above this main ascending-channel-formation I discovered recently. When this is the case and the NASDAQ manages a sustainable breakout with an increase of spread and volatility this can lead to great upcoming potentials in the structure and activation of further targets, therefore I detected all the important levels and likely destinies we should consider.
As when looking at my chart we can watch there how the NASDAQ developed this massive ascending-channel-formation in which it has two significant zones, the first is the lower accumulation range and the second is the higher distribution range. Furthermore, the NASDAQ has the coherent wave-count within the channel in which it already completed the waves A to C in the structure and is now approaching the distribution range once again which is a very likely origin of wave D to the downside as the distribution will follow-up here. This wave D will then move on to test the lower accumulation range marked in green which is an important zone to hold and back up for the NASDAQ.
Taking all these factors into the consideration it will be highly important on how the NASDAQ continues within this channel-formation, when it moves on with the wave-count as expected and completes it to finally show up with further bullish demand-increase this can lead to a dedicated upside-breakout sooner or later in which NASDAQ will provide the right setup for a wave-E-extension to the upside with increased spread and volatility as it is seen in my chart. For now it will be important on how the NASDAQ moves on with the developments especially with the incoming distribution when this shows up as expected the further assumptions can be made, it will be an interesting journey to come.
In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about the NASDAQ and this massive ascending-channel-formation, the coherent wave-count, and what exceptional determinations we should expect in the upcoming times, will be great when you support it with a like and follow or comment, great contentment for everybody supporting, all the best!
Information is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
DOW JONES, Clean Breakout Of The Descending-Triangle!________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hi Traders, this is a signal I give to you for free today. The DOW INDEX has formed a clear triangle breakout
with volatility and completed above the 400-EMA where entry with pull back is possible.
________________________________________________________________________________________________
ENTRY: 27800-27300
MINIMUM TARGET: 28500
STOP LOSS: 26300
MINIMUM RISK REWARD: 1
REASON: Descending-Triangle Breakout
________________________________________________________________________________________________
In this manner, thank you for watching and support for more market insight.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
________________________________________________________________________________________________
SPX500, Testing Next Levels, Why Not To Underestimate It! Hello Traders Investors And Community,
Welcome to this analysis where we are looking at the SPX 4-hour timeframe perspective, the recent events, the current formational structure and what we can expect the next times, since the index provided like other major indices previously heavy bearish volatility we should not keep this by side and look what the market is doing now, it will be a precarious and crucial situation as the crisis is still not confirmedly over and the index is now trading below the pre-corona highs established this means the market has to stabilize any way and move together with real economy to get a healthy market environment at the end of the day, the established bearishness should not be underestimated in any case as could possibly also be fundamentally backed therefore I detected the important levels and possible outcomes we should consider on the technical side here.
Looking at my chart you can watch there the SPX now trading below several major resistance levels which previously held as a support are now broken to the downside, this is firstly the 90-EMA marked in black, secondly the horizontal resistance in grey and the middle line of the current channel the index is trading in, this means the index has a serious resistance cluster here which has potential to be the origin of further declines when it is not taken out substantially. When the index does not manages to move above this cluster and close above it near the next times the next leg to the downside follows likely as it is marked in my chart, considering this the index has next support at the rising trendline of its previously established channel and below this at the 600-EMA in green where it can stabilize, however, these levels are critical when they do not hold substantially and the index falls below the red level marked in my chart at 2980 this will invalidate the major bullish count firstly and will result in protracted bearishness to the downside as more highs are firstly invalidated, therefore the index needs to stabilize before considering any new highs to be measured.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, good day to you, and all the best!
Science is organized knowledge. Wisdom is organized life.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Patterns In The US Dollar Index!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis where we are looking at the US Dollar Currency Index 12-hour timeframe perspective, the patterns formed in its established downtrend, the current pattern forming which can alter the dynamic, what the index needs to show to alter the dynamic and how possible outcomes can look like. The index is still trading in a well-established downtrend forming one bearish formation after another, in such downtrends is a big question sophisticated traders should ask us when these downtrends ending because they can't go on forever as the relative strength dynamic getting in the oversolid region and the price normally reverses sooner or later such a possible reversal I detected also in the index now where I found the importances we should take into consideration for further possible outcomes and how they can show up like.
Looking at my chart you can watch there that the index is building a possible bullish reversal formation since a long time now which can possibility to reverse the dynamic and turn the established downtrend into bullish , in this case there are some importances which need to be fulfilled in order to show up with the complete confirmation, once it is the breakout of the upper boundary of the possible ascending channel to the upside which does not necessarily mean the index will completely continue bullish to the upside as there is still the primary resistance-line lying marked in blue within my chart, where the index has to show if it can move above the resistance or bounce back again, when the index shows up with this there is the secondary resistance-line which also needs to be taken out, when this happens the structure can be confirmed into the bullish range above the last resistance line.
Sometimes such formations can also invalidate to the downside, in this case, we are speaking of a fake descending-channel-formation, this will happen when the lower boundary is completely broken to the downside with a volatile bearish move, therefore it is from high importance to wait on the proper confirmation of the triangle before moving in the direction. When the index does not show up with the proper confirmations a higher possibility is given for continuation to the downside confirming into lower levels in the range, we will see how this will play out and how the index will develop next times, especially when considering new volatile movements entering the market regarding corona increase again which already provided high volatility this year this can lead to some volatility where the index goes into the opposite direction like other antyciclical assets like stocks.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, all the best!
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
D-JONES, Gap Will Fill Soon, Possible Reversal Ahead!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis where we are looking at the DOW JONES 4-hour timeframe perspectives, the upcoming decisive events in the structure, what we can expect after these events occurring and how possible outcomes can show up in the schedule. The DOW like other major indices recovered somewhat from the corona-breakdowns and lows seen this year where the SPX already made a new all-time-high the DOW is below it and although the indices recovered we should not ignore the fact that the rallies aren't necessarily fundamentally backed as many retailers rushed into the market smart-money staying outside and waiting on the sidelines, not to mention the divergence between real economy and stocks it is important that smart-money enters also where the question pops up if the breakdowns are already over or there is more to come, these facts also coming up in the technical picture of the DOW which is sending some interesting signals at the moment I detected how they possibly can play out over the next times.
Looking at my chart you can watch there that the index is just about to fill its gap which it still has lain there at around the 29.000 level, this gap-fill will highly possible play out the next times and this is also confirming on the smaller timeframes as the index is forming a triangle formation, this highly possible gap-fill can be traded in the long-side with overall targets at the 29.000 level from where the next moves are significantly important. Normally what happens often after such gap-fills reaching the gap and filling it is that supply entered the market as orders get filled and traders take profit, this is what also can show up here making the gap-fill-range around 29.000 a possible short-entry-zone as it is marked in my chart, what is supporting this preliminary pull-back is the fact that the index also ending with a wave-count in this level. This pull-back-scenario will be confirmed when the rising grey trendline is broken with a decisive volatile move to the downside the targets at the blue range can be expected where a support-cluster is lying in which the price can stabilize and back-up.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, all the best!
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Nas100 Bullish Possible break of Daily Zone
*Here we have a possible break of the daily zone.
*We are waiting for a pullback that comes from the key price level @ 15500.
*Stop loss is tight under Mondays low expecting this to be the low of the week
*If trade is missed, look for entries on the 1hr and 15m timeframes