Index
Commodities on the rise, but can they pull back?Commodities have been in a bull run since 2020, within an uptrend that can resume after the pullback observed in 2022. Analyzing the CRB Commodity Index, I believe that the pullback from that recent 2022 high isn’t over yet. There’s potential for a C wave that could retrace to 38.2% of the 2020 bull run. This may suggests that inflation might cool down, but much depends on the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions. Premature rate cuts could spur demand and drive prices higher, complicating the inflation scenario.
Market Gets Spooked, FOMC and INterest RatesEASYMARKETS:NDQUSD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Weekly - Potential Resistance Price TestSPY (S&P500 ETF) has been in an uptrend since 2023 and is approaching its all-time-high price resistance again.
$523.07 is the current all-time-high price resistance.
$497.83 is the current support level price, and also the 0.236 fibonacci level.
Bullish Scenario: If SPY price breaks out above $523.07, the next resistance price targets could be: $537, $550, $563, $575.
Bearish Scenario: If SPY price reversse back down, a potential lower-low in the price could be set over time. Support price levels could be: $508, $497, $489, $476, $466.
Note: corporate earnings, FOMC interest rate changes, government legislation, breaking news, and global events could override technical chart patterns.
Date created: 05/10/2024
S&P500: Wait for the ideal level to rebuy.The S&P500 index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.135, MACD = 2.270, ADX = 26.567) despite the fact that it made a new All Time High, in fact turning the former R level into S. The uptrend is being supported by the 4H MA50 since the May 2nd breakout and the Channel Up presents a new low risk buy opportunity close to the 4H MA100, ideally when the 4H RSI approaches the 30.000 limit. We will wait for the opportunity to go long and target the top of the Channel Up (TP = 5,400).
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DJI : Make or Break?- DJI is currently encountering strong resistance at 34500.
- The psychological significance of this resistance level adds to its importance.
- This could be one of those, Go Big or Go home scenerios
- In case the resistance holds, a potential psychological support level at 33000 may come into play. The support trendline intersects at a similar level.
What is your take on the price action of DJI? Feel free to comment. If it helped, Do Leave us a boost 🚀
Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are solely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. We like everybody else, have the right to be wrong :)
SPY S&P500 etf Bearish DivergenceIf you haven't already purchased SPY after the 2023 forecast: forecast:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/idea/l6U1M9dJ/
then it's important to be aware that there's a significant bearish divergence in the RSI of SPY, the S&P 500 ETF, which initiated at $469.
Anticipating a technical retracement to $495, given its prolonged period of being overbought!
Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures Short-Term Video Idea#DJIA EASYMARKETS:DOWUSD
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NASDAQ: Overbought and on a 4H Golden Cross.Nasdaq is almost overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 69.095, MACD = 114.290, ADX = 45.033) and even though it has entered a new long term bullish wave, a short term technical correction is needed. In addition, it has completed the first 4H Golden Cross since November 8th 2023. The index then crossed over the LH trendline. We are already above the new LH. Enter on the next 4H MA50 contact and target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 19,250).
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Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Formed & TargetWait for the Breakout, as it is Crucial in the Stock Market. Institutions and Professionals often Enter Trades based on PATTERNS & BREAKOUTS. After a Breakout, the Market significant BULLISH Trend.
I want to help people Make Profit all over the World throughout my entire life. Additionally, I am eager to Receive Money Worldwide because of my Potential.
Growth/Decline Index IndicatorAbout:
The Growth/Decline Index is a "parabolic sar" based indicator that mainly has two functions. The first function is to display when price growth or price decline will occur by displaying increases or decreases of the GDI and inflection points. The second function is to rate a stock's performance based on how high or low the digits display the GDI. If the digits read positively, high values then the stock is expected to have growth, and if the digits read negatively, low values then the stock is expected to decline. Remember when looking at the GDI you want to look at both long (yearly) and short(daily) readings to get a better confirmation of trend. The GDI also has short(orange), medium(blue), long(red), readings. The reason why there are three readings is to try to pinpoint buy or selling signals to try to maximize profit. Here is an example of ticker MSFT. As you can see MSFT is reaching long values up to 19! That means that the stock is still in long term growth.
Or how about PEGY having consistent negative values after 2021:
No matter the stock GDI will always be there to help you identify trends, and stock rating.
Want to trade short term? Easy, look at you short values and determine if they are increasing or decreasing.
Be advised:
Please stay in caution when reading the GDI.
Be advised:
The GDI is a new indicator and further behavior analysis such as concave up/down, inflection points, cross over points, divergence/convergence, and minimized/maximized points has to be taken into consideration in order to confirm more precise trends. Also remember that the GDI is a trend tracker and cannot pre identify sudden, large jumps or drops.
-Recommendations/estimates
values for buying: -15 and above
values for short selling -15 and below
What to look for:
Good dips can be found when the medium (blue) line cross from the top downward to the long (red) line and short (orange line) is minimized. (Please keep a look for long term trends)
Or when the short (orange) line has crossed from the top downward to both medium(blue) and long(red) lines.
Remember that this may not be 100% of the case looking for convergence and divergence between the blue and red lines also helps as well as the stock rating and also checking for both long term and short-term readings.
Good peaks can be found when the orange line has greatly exceeded the blue line and has peaked. (also looking at the trend of the blue line helps)
More things can be added and modified to the GDI to make it a cutting-edge indicator.
Have fun. :)
DOW JONES: Two levels to buy.Dow Jones is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.964, MACD = 188.520, ADX = 55.476) and has completed three green 1W candles in a row. Having reached the 0.786 Fibonacci level, the last confirmation left to see in order to call for a continuation of this uptrend is for the 1W RSI to cross over its MA. The moment it does, we will buy again and target the Channel's top (TP = 42,000). Until that moment, we will wait for a more comfortable buy lower at 38,550 (TP = 42,000 again).
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DXY - Bearish => Bullish!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our previous analysis, DXY rejected the upper bound of the red channel and traded lower.
What's next?
📉 DXY is undergoing a correction phase , trading within the rising channel in red, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone highlighted in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #DXY approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
DXY observations (short term bearish trend)DOLLAR OBSERVATIONS
As price continues its downward trajectory, it has shifted its trend to the downside, leaving behind clear supply zones. One of these zones was previously identified and respected as per last week's forecast. I anticipate this short-term bearish trend to persist until it reaches the 104.200 mark. At that point, I expect a bullish reversal to occur, especially considering the presence of an imbalance just above this level.
Additionally, with price currently in a downtrend, my bullish biases on GU and EU align accordingly. This correlation is logical until either of them reaches the supply zone on the daily chart, which should coincide with the same daily demand zone marked out on DXY.