Indexes
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Important Breakout & Bearish Continuation 💵
Have you seen that bearish move on Dollar Index yesterday?
The price formed a high momentum bearish candle and closed below a major rising trend line.
I believe that the index will keep falling now.
Next support - 104.0
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S&P500 Index (SPY) Your Trading Plan For This Week 📈
S&P500 index is currently trading on a key daily structure resistance.
On focus is a rising parallel channel on 4H. If the price breaks and closes below its support,
chances will be high to see a bearish trend continuation.
Initial target will be 4080 level.
Alternatively, bullish breakout of the underlined yellow area will push the market higher.
Next resistance will be 4290.
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EURUSD Daily Outlook | August 09Hi All,
1. For Bulls: The plan today is pretty simple, if price breaks 1.02007, i expect to buy until 1.02227 and 1.02472.
2. For Bears: Sell below1.01862 for targets at 1.01666 and 1.01502 respectively.
Note: Kindly use proper risk management to avoid regrets.
Join me at London Open for top down analysis on EURUSD and Ger30 index. If we see the opportunity, we are gonna take trades as well.
Yours Truly,
Kings.
SPY in a downtrend? Where's Top? THE ANSWERS!Chart: SPY 2 week TF. The answers are both in the chart and below. SPOILER: If SPY rallies to $800, the downtrend is still valid.
Interesting:
A downtrend is defined as LOWER lows (LL) and LOWER highs (LH). Uptrend? as HL's and HH's. **
A single HIGHER high (HH) invalidates a downtrend trend in that TF.
Trend is relative to TF and can be valid in one TF but invalid in another.
A HH is established when the previous HH is superseded by a new candle's _____________ (fill in the blank).
Answer: It's the new candles **close** that takes out a previous high, **not** its own high. Once that condition has been met the new High is promoted to the status of HH.
Important:
SPY's 1 week down trend was invalidated when the HH of $393.16 established on the 28th of June, 2022 was taken out by the close of $395.09 on Friday, July 18th, 2022.
Chart: 2 week downtrend is still valid and the current 2W candle closes in 5 days. (8/12/22)
The trend remains valid if that close is below the previous HH of $417.44 established on June 2nd 2022.
Very important:
*** The high of (this) week is not relevant to the 2W downtrend. Only the candle Close on Friday (8/12/22).
Implication (not opinion):
If SPY rallies to $420, the downtrend is still valid.
If SPY rallies to $500, the downtrend is still valid.
If SPY rallies to $600, the downtrend is still valid.
If SPY rallies to $800, the downtrend is still valid.
... *as long as* price falls back to $417.44 by EOW.
The point: ... idk. Ask me in 2 weeks.
Where is "top"?:
It's the price where the last bear goes long (aka covers). In other words when there is not a single buyer left.
** Starting with Homma Munehisa, (1755) The Fountain of Gold—The Three Monkey Record of Money.
to the more contemporary: Al Brooks, (2009) "Trading Price Action Trends"
.. and everyone in between.
S&P500 Index (SPY) Your Trading Plan For Next Week 📈
Hey traders,
S&P500 is approaching a key daily structure resistance.
To catch a bearish move from that, watch a rising wedge pattern on a daily time frame.
Wait for a daily candle close below its support.
Then short aggressively or on a retest.
Initial target will be 4015.
Good luck!
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Nasdaq-100 Index (US100) Structure Analysis & Important Update
So it turned out that US100 index managed to break and close above a key daily supply area.
Now the broken structure turned into a strong support and the index will most likely keep growing to the next key level.
Here are the key structures on focus:
Resistance 1: 13500 - 13600 area.
Resistance 2: 14200 - 14300 area.
Resistance 3: 15100 - 15300 area.
Support 1: 12500 - 12950 area.
Support 2: 12050 - 12180 area.
Support 3: 11040 - 11180 area.
Consider these structure for pullback/breakout trading.
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Detailed Video Analysis 📈
Technical outlook & trading plan for Dow Jones.
Price action, key levels and potential scenarios.
Trading recommendations & thoughts.
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$DXY onward 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Key Support Ahead 💵
Hey traders,
Dollar Index is retracing from a new daily high.
Ahead is a very peculiar zone of confluence:
we see a perfect match between a horizontal demand area and a rising trend line.
I will expect a bullish move from a blue zone.
Initial target - 107.18
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SPX ~6000 if this time is not differentThe SPX chart has 2 goals and one constraint:
Demonstrate the VIX / VVIX ratio as an inverse momentum indicator for SPX. The VIX is risk adjusted" by VVIX and the ratio is more useful than VIX alone. "Useful" is similar to 'Statistical Power' and means less data required to identify smaller changes amidst higher volatility.
Suggest that an ATH of SPX 6000 is "not unreasonable" considering the pattern and magnitude of prior large moves (corrections, bear markets, and very large dips)
. . . Unless this time is different.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Key Levels to Watch Next Week 📈
Hey traders,
Here is my latest structure analysis for Dow Jones.
The index keeps growing, and here is the list of resistance to watch for occasional retracements:
Resistance 1: 33270 - 33500 area.
Resistance 2: 34000 - 34270 area.
Resistance 3: 35280 - 35520 area.
Consider the following supports for pullback trades:
Support 1: 31390 - 31900 area.
Support 2: Falling trend line.
Support 3: 29670 - 30166 area.
Good luck next week!
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Possible Bearish Continuation For Stocks
Following on from my previous stock ideas, I'm expecting a further downswing after the consolidation bounce on most stocks for a Wave 'C' once the bearish continuation symmetrical triangle breaks down
Waiting for directional break currently
DJ:W1DOW
SP:SPX TVC:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD
OANDA:NAS100USD
NASDAQ:NQGM NASDAQ:NQGI
Nasdaq-100 Index (US100) Your Trading Plan For Today
This morning with my students we spotted a very bearish setup on US100.
The price reached a key daily structure.
Analyzing the reaction of the price to that on lower time frames, we spotted a double top formation on 1H.
Our confirmation to short is its neckline breakout. We need an hourly candle close below 12850.
Target will be 12688.
If the price sets a new high, the setup will be invalid.
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Detailed Technical Outlook 📈
Weekly/daily time frame analysis on Dow Jones.
Price action, key levels.
Potential scenarios explained.
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S&P500 Index (SPY) Breakout & Bullish Continuation 📈
Hey traders,
S&P500 finally broke and closed above a resistance line of a falling channel on a daily.
I expect a bullish continuation to 4075 / 4175 resistance now.
For entries, consider an occasional retest.
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US100: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Here is our today's forecast for US100.
Our analysis is based on current market fundamental sentiment.
According to our drawing US100 is trading within a support area.
Based on our view the price will rise
to the underlined supply zone.
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S&P500 Index: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 📈
Hey traders,
This week, I have nicely predicted a bullish move on SPY.
Ahead is a strong vertical resistance now.
The price is trading in a falling parallel channel and it is approaching its upper boundary at the moment.
I would suggest looking for a breakout trade next week:
wait for a daily candle close above the trend line and then buy on a retest expecting a bullish movement at least to 4072.
Good luck!
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