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Indexes

Indexes vs M1 & M2 Money SupplyM1 = coins and currency in circulation + checkable (demand) deposit + traveler’s checks. M2 = M1 + savings deposits + money market funds + certificates of deposit + other time deposits. We are looking at the major US Indexes Dow 30, SPX 500, Nasdaq 100, & Russell 2000 vs each of these types of money supplies As we print more we expect these money supplies to increase, so we can start to see the 'real growth' in terms of how much $ is 'out there' In the more liquid M1 Money supply it looks like we may have bottomed here on the indexes by testing the 'all time' trend line But in the less liquid M2 Money supply we /could/ expect a fall further if things really go south here. We never tested the 'all time' trend line. No /need/ to but if we did it would be within reason. I examine lots of these 'composite' charts as I call them, but let me know your thoughts as well! Manage your own risk Much Love GL HF xoxo snoop
DJ:DJI
by 420snoop
We are in an unprecedented fiscal experimentEconomic downturns are usually accompanied (and perhaps prolonged) by a tightening of private credit, as you can see on this chart of S&P 500 performance vs commercial and industrial loans from all commercial banks. Lending significantly lags stock market performance, but a downturn in lending generally confirms a recession, and an upturn in lending generally confirms a new bull market. This time, however, is different-- at least in terms of the initial response. The rapid downturn in stocks was met with a huge spike in new private lending, encouraged by massive Fed liquidity, and the recovery of stocks was as sharp as the initial selloff. Now, however, lending has turned back downward, and it's possible that over the next year we could see the same tightening of credit that usually accompanies a recession. The Fed can increase bank reserves, but it can't increase borrowers' collateral or their appetite for risk in a difficult economic environment. Does this downturn in private lending, like the previous ones, confirm that we're in a recession and that stocks will slide from here? Will the next upturn in private lending signal that we're back in a bull market? Only time will tell, but the results of this experiment will have huge ramifications for both policymakers and investors for decades to come. Hat tip to @TayFx for help constructing this chart. Also check out his cool charts of SPX vs. M2 money supply and Fed balance sheet:
F
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
17
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Update & Important Decision Ahead!!! DXY is retesting summer's structure low. the price is currently consolidating within a narrow horizontal decision range. because the current trend is bearish, I am bearish biased on greenback. in case of a violation of the range to the downside, bearish rally will most likely continue. next goals will be: 95.4 - daily resistance 94.8 - year's low in case of a bullish violation of the range, USD may start recovering. 96.9 will be the first goal. for now it is hard to predict with high accuracy the next usd move, so let the market decide first and then just act accordingly.
TVC:DXYShort
by VasilyTrader
15
S&P 500 Index Full Analysis (Still Bearish Here)I would like to give a full analysis of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) chart... Let's get started! We will look at my classic signals and then a general view. The classic bearish signals coming out of this SPX chart are as follow: The first thing to notice here is a lower high compared to the 8-Jun. I shared a chart on this date mentioning that the S&P 500 Index had peaked. The next thing we have is a test/challenge of EMA10 as support (meaning, from up to down). Since we have a lower high, the test of EMA10 signals lower prices. We follow with a bearish cross on the MACD. The RSI remains above 50 but trending lower, while the STOCH is showing a strong curve pointing down. We also had a rising wedge pattern, another classic, which broke already a few weeks back. The trading volume is going lower. Notice that the green volume was lower than previous days/weeks on the latest bounce that produced a lower high. General view (SPX Bearish) Don't get caught up in the noise, the hype, the news or \whatnot... Just look at the chart. I haven't read a piece of news about the SPX basically ever, for Bitcoin or anything else for a long while, yet, I can continue to read the charts are produce a high accuracy rate... Everything is here... Everything is on the chart. Keeping it simple... Trading below the "LAST PEAK" is bearish. If prices move and close below the "LAST PEAK", it opens the door for additional bullish action but still, there are many factors that keep the bearish view present since the All-Time High is still intact. So, we can see prices moving above the LAST PEAK which gives us a more bullish view but still remain cautious until the last high is taken out. As for the initial analysis... We are bearish based on all the signals we just shared above. What is your take my dear reader/follower/supporter? Thanks a lot for your amazing and continued support. Namaste.
SP:SPX
by AlanSantana
17
CATERPILLAR (CAT) Flag Breakout & Bullish Continuation hey guys, on a mid-term perspective caterpillar is trading in a bullish trend. at the beginning of June, the correction started and for the last two weeks the price was steadily going down within a falling channel but NOW it looks like the market is returning to a trend. the price broke above a resistance line of a bullish flag formation. the breakout is considered to be confirmed and we now can expect a further bullish continuation. target levels: 128.8 131.5
NYSE:CATLong
by VasilyTrader
8
DAX Index: How to Sell Wisely??? Dax index set a lower high today on 4H. now the price on its way to 12160 - 12200 support cluster. let's see the reaction of the market to that level. bearish breakout (4H candle close below) of support will be a perfect trigger for us to short the market. you can sell aggressively or on retest. Target levels: 11914 11623 Stop: 12450 (if the market sets a new lower high again, you can adjust your stop to it) in case of a bullish breakout of 12430, setup will be invalid.
XETR:DAXShort
by VasilyTrader
5