Indexes
DXY | Going To Retest Horizontal ResistancePlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price retraced of the Support node (Mid line of the Ascending Channel, 50 MA dynamic support and Ichi Cloud support zone). We already passed the 100.20 horizontal resistance so we can go and retest the horizontal resistance, also the higher boundary of the Ascending Channel.
In case we break the horizontal resistance it will be more upside
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable.
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Critical view at world economyFinancial planners and news tooted alot of news in the last weeks, which are novel to anyone of us.
Not playing devils advocate here, one could generally assume planners would like to keep clients funds and news are overselling events emotionally, to create attention.
Taking a critical look might give clarity in troublesome times.
Ive developed two rather simplified scenarios, namely bull (green) and bear (red).
To be fair, each should be called bear, because its highly unlikely to see growth this year (sp and other index ratings seem to be slashed by analysts on the daily now).
Regarding to the bull scenario, we could likely bounce back into ema region.
pro
-goverments are finaly mobilizing accordingly (looking at you, trump, johnson)
-china seems to be getting back on track again
-effective medication might be available soon, who knows
The bear told me however, we cant comprehent real damage today
pro
-banks wont offer credits to small businesses as promised by governments (germany for example), because they dont want to risk credit default
-people underestimate dangers and stop preventing virus care, second huge outbreak
-fed , european central bank already blew their ammunition - more cash does not cure infections, unfortunatelly - they are not dry, but just creating more money is unreasonable- "bad" companies need to die one way or the other in captialistic systems
-ripple effect accumulated to sum of those events
-ripple scenario : people go full anarchy, recognising their real estate is dilluted, tax payers have to pay all this mess, over 11 years of bullrun flipped into massive wealth-burn (full bananas bear scenario, just a thought exercise)
keep in mind however:
-these are some of the best companies overall, technology and such, high margin, lowish maintenance - the rest will dump much harder
In case 1, I would really consider cashing out and reinvesting at a cheaper point in time, as a long term investor - we hopefully not reach bottom again, but recovery above the next high will take its time - lower overall bip is not priced in yet
In case 2 ? Idk, guns are pretty illegal in europe, so I rely on your opinion on how to survive this mess!
However Id have an eye on cryptos, gold and funding local business or such!
Trade save and keep diamond_handz!
SPX500 INDEX (SPY) LES'T SCALP US SESSION!
hey guys,
I bought spy from 2500!
reason - double bottom formation and breakout of a minor resistance!
entry based on the retest of the broken structure.
my target levels: 2562 / 2640
stop to breakeven after T1 is reached!
good luck!
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thank you!
RENAULT (RNO) Cheaper Than Ever
hey guys,
I know that many of you are looking for cheap stocks.
pay attention to Renault.
though I already hear the voices of skeptics out there,
look what history tells us:
stock is clearly trading in aprox. 13-year cycles.
the stock was trading on current lows two times already and each time it showed a perfect performance
with a sharp and quick drop at the end of the cycle.
chances are high that this time we may see the same picture.
moreover, our reward is very high in comparison with the risk that we take.
so why not at least to pay attention?!
good luck!
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DXY | H&S and Ascending Broadening WedgePlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price formed a Head and Shoulders pattern. In case there is a breakout of the support trendline or better of the Ichi Cloud support zone the price will go down (possible retest the 200 MA).
Nevertheless we are sitting on the 50 MA support and there is also an ascending broadening wedge pattern, which can work out if there is an upward breakout of the formation.
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable.
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
UK 100 | Bearish FlagPlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price formed a Bearish Flag and was rejected of the higher boundary of the Pattern. In case there is a breakout of the Mid line of the pattern we can initiate a short position.
Also if there is a breakout of Bearish Flag to downward we can initiate a short position
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable.
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
SPX500 INDEX (SPY) CATCHING MARKET RECOVERY!
hey guys,
pay attention to this falling wedge pattern on 4H.
currently, we see an attempt of bulls to break above it.
we need 4H candle close to confirm a breakout, then we are free to buy the market expecting a retracement at least to 2690.
good luck!
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NASDAQ 100 | Bearish EngulfingPlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price formed a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern. There is a high chance to close market with a Gap to downward.
Thank you for reading this idea! Hope it's been useful to you and some of us will turn it into profitable.
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
SPX500 - O Crap! Are we in for the mother of all corrections?From a Elliott Wave Theory perspective it looks like the monthly S&P500 has completed 5 waves up - so the theory dictates we need to correct the 5 waves up with three waves down. The prior 4th wave low is usually the end of the retracement. However, retracements can go all the way back to the prior 2nd low !!!
SPX500 INDEX (SPY) KEY LEVELS
These last few days spy is relatively slow.
This is the calm before the storm.
Currently, the market is accumulating volumes and we are preparing for the next wave.
I don't know whether we will go lower, or finally, we will see a pullback.
No matter what is gonna happen, here are key levels to consider:
in case of a bearish breakout below current support, 2140 is the next strong support.
then goes 1850.
in case of a pullback, 2620 is the first resistance to consider.
adjust you trading plan accordingly.
good luck!
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Correctional Movement
DXY reached a current structure high yesterday.
technically index is back to bullish trend and our long term bias is strictly bullish
but chances are high that we will see a pullback from an underlined resistance and only then continue to new structure highs.
adjust your trading plan accordingly and good luck!
DAX INDEX: 3 REASONS TO PAY ATTENTION
DAX index is like a waterfall:
no pullback, no correction during the entire short rally.
though fundamentals are still depressing, here are the reasons why we should be focused on dax and expect a pullback soon:
first of all, the market is clearly oversold and sellers will soon start profit-taking,
secondly, the market is close to a key historical level and I truly believe that a lot of pending orders are placed there,
thirdly, I think there are a lot of folks out there sitting on piles of cash waiting to start buying, the underlined level gives a perfect opportunity to them.
be prepared and let's watch the lower timeframes for confirmation!
good luck!
Bank Of America (BAC) Will Drop Hard (90%+ Crash?!)The chart for Bank Of America (BAC) is looking bad long term, there are many signals pointing to a very strong drop.
The last time this company had a crash, it shredded over 95% of its value... The same might happen again.
Let's take a look at some of the signals:
Let's start by looking at Divergence , you can spot this marked with a light blue line on both the MACD and RSI. These divergences work strongly on conventional assets, they always confirm. We have bearish divergence on both indicators.
I marked a rising wedge in purple which is also bearish. You can expect the asset value to move a bit longer within the wedge before breaking down; if it does. Probabilities are really high...
EMAs are going to be challenged now, this is our main support (22.33).
The RSI is super bearish.
Volume has dropped massive while price moving up.
If you were to use this information to trade, a break and close above 28.45 would be a great stop loss. As for the way down, 13.62 can be your main target and more after/if this level breaks.
...
This one is about to crash really hard... Just like it is happening with Apple, Google, SPX, DJI and the rest.
Thanks a lot for reading.
Namaste.
S&P 500 Index (SPY) Still Not Too Low!
I noticed that some traders and investors have already started buying spy on discount assuming that the market has finally found its bottom.
BUT
Look at a daily chart:
key 2330 level still is not reached!
I still believe that the market can go lower and at least the underlined level will be tested, and who knows, pullback and next wave to the downside.
too early to change bias, folks. pay attention to inside bar formation on daily and look for a side of a breakout.
then act accordingly.
+ if you are still short biased, sell from the candle open of the last mother's bar. perfect trend continuation entry!
good luck!
How To Hedge Short Rallies??
What to do when all stock market falls apart???
The easiest option I guess is to short the market of course, but if you are a mid.term or long term portfolio investor, never forget about bonds.
The main concern that I constantly hear is a low yield that barely covers inflation. Of course during the massive market expansion bonds do not appear solid. But everything can change quickly as it happens this year.
On the chart, I have gathered spy and dow indexes and 10 YR US treasuries.
A negative correlation is clearly perceptible. Next time designing your portfolio, remember where all the money goes in the dark times. Never neglect bonds because of its low yield and remember about its main hedging function!
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Thank you!
S&P500 Index (SPY) Time For The Next Decision
SPY is stuck in a decision range between two key structure levels.
if you still don't have an active position, the best strategy is to wait for a breakout.
the side of the breakout will show you the future market direction with a high degree of accuracy.
of course, we still stick to a bearish bias and bearish scenario is highly probable,
but in our age of uncertainty, everything can happen!
our first goal for bearish breakout will be 2600 level.
for bullish breakout - 2970
good luck and be patient!
#SP500,The declines to where?The SP500 dropped last week and stopped just above the average moving line 100 on the weekly graph, if we look at history in the last two serious price correction, The SP500 fell and did not stop at the 100 moving average line, but continued to the 200 moving average line
According to Stochastic and RSI, the declines have not yet come to an end.
Right now the SP500 is still very technically bullish
Our target will be above the 200 moving average line: $ 2686