JSE 40 Index | Daily | Speculation Looking at the JSE 40 all-share Index on the daily chart we can take note that the index has been trading downwards since peaking sometime during Feb 23, now looking to the left again we can take note that after the release of the 1st quarter Dividend & Earnings release the JSE drop on both accounts.
Now looking to the right, we can take note that the JSE has been hovering/consolidating on our 8,988 level for the past few days ahead of this weeks CPI, PPI & SARB Interest Rate announcements.
Looking further to our right we can expect the JSE to push up from 8,988 to around 9,843 or 10,017 before heading down to 8,229.
Else we can expect the JSE to just tumble down to 8,229 if it closes below 8,988.
Potential Market Movers:
CPI (MoM) - Apr :: 24 May 2023
PPI (MoM) - Apr :: 25 May 2023
SARB Interest Rates :: 25 May 2023
Indexes
Dow Jones Index (US30): Confirmed Bullish Signal?!
Dow Jones retested a recently broken horizontal resistance.
After a test of structure, the market bounced and violated the upper boundary
of a bullish flag pattern.
The violation may trigger a trend following movement.
Goals: 38050 / 38100
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Dow Jones Index (US30) Does the Bullish Trend Continue
Dow Jones index is trading in a strong bullish trend.
After the market set the all-time high at the end of December,
the market started to consolidate within a horizontal range.
Bullish breakout of the resistance of the range is a strong trend-following signal.
It may push the prices to 38400 level.
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BTC EFT Update and US30 Analysis. Today's focus: US30
Pattern – Consolidation / ascending triangle pattern.
Support – 37,400
Resistance – 37,770
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update.
Crypto had a mainly higher but, in some cases, muted response to news that BTC ETFs will become a reality. We have run over some of the news and moves since yesterday.
The US30 is today's chart, and we are seeing a similar situation to what we discussed in yesterday's ETH update. ETH was one of the better-performing majors after the news hit yesterday.
The US30 sits in a continuation pattern that's inside a consolidation pattern. Buyer momentum remains firm today after yesterday's rally, and we are looking at tonight's CPI data. If CPI remains unchanged or surprises the downside, we will look for further upside on the US30. If it comes in hotter than expected, this could turn the price lower from resistance or above, depending on where price is later tonight.
US CPI data is due at 12:30 am ADET Friday.
Good trading.
$DXY -Ballads of the Dollar *W (11 Consecutive Green Weeks) Its time for a Dollar Story !
(previous lin echart idea 100-105 Range; before & after to the current spot)
The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has managed to print 11 Consecutive Green Weekly Candlesticks,
rallying up as much as 8 % from its July/2023 99.580 Low.
A low violating all Technical aspects, which got us into a Short Idea but not
for long before changing bias
(idea's live chart)
TVC:DXY tried to close in Green its 12 Consecutive Candlestick Print, but failed to do so.
However,
during this up-rally time of Dirty Mighty TVC:DXY for the past 11 Weeks,
heavy negatively correlated assets like $EUR/USD and other major FX pair got
slapped on the face mercilessly,
as well so did the US Major Financial Markets and other Indexes and Equities,
but when comparing them with the Fiat Currencies market,
their blood shed was less.
Is about time for The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) to cool down for a while and correct ?
Fundamentally no,
as fear and troubles looms for a US Recession being just around the corner.
Technically (TA) speaking yes,
it is time for a brief correction,
would be totally fine for someone looking in to longing the Financial Markets or
exchanging their Fiat Dollars for other Major Fiat Currencies.
We can see TVC:DXY on line chart having broken the Range's Ceiling of 100-105,
as well retesting it (so far).
Holding it as Support or finding itself below again facing it as Resistance
shall be proven on upcoming week(s)
US Financial Markets facing CPI after US Down-Graded to AA+- Emerging Markets are in a paranoid state due to Major US Financial Markets nearing
scheduled date of CPI numbers releasing day.
Consensus forecasts are anticipating Inflation to steadily
go up for the rest of 2023 and entering '24
10'th of August/23 will be a very important day for The Global Financial Markets.
Casualties might follow soon due to the turbulence of this frenzy economic environment created.
Is US about to enter a recession ?
Or do you believe Powell's joke of 'Soft Landing'
How about another joke Powell ...
Note that US technically had entered recession by two negative consecutive Quarters,
however, it got 'saved' by promising growing employment numbers.
Seems like Feds are masters at postponing cascading tragedies,
great tricksters filled with riddles.
With Euro-Zone being officially in Recession for a while now,
it's just a matter of time for US fate to be sealed.
Why learn economics !?
Broader and clearer pictures to strategize your investing/positioning and smaller
time frames trading decisions, be it swings, intradays or scalps.
Seems like it is enough today for a good poker player and a gambler to trade the markets.
How many times can you get lucky in repetitive motion and consider making in to trading
for a living ?!
Not long .
Open your horizons and explore financial literacy to be more in touch with
Facade of Financial Markets.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100) Bullish Rally Continues
US100 successfully violated a resistance of a horizontal range on a daily.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a strong bullish trend,
such a breakout confirms a highly probable trend continuation.
Next resistance - 16500
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Dollar Index (DXY): Important Key Levels to Watch 💵
Here is my latest structure analysis for Dollar Index.
Resistance 1: 103.86 - 104.20 area
Resistance 2: 104.40 - 104.55 area
Resistance 3: 104.87 - 105.08 area
Resistance 4: 105.90 - 106.11 area
Support 1: 102.57 - 103.08 area
Support 2: 101.40 - 102.01 area
Support 3: 100.47 - 100.57 area
Support 4: 99.55 - 99.75 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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S&P500 INDEX (SPY): Bullish Outlook
Update for S&P500.
We have spotted earlier a confirmed structure breakout.
The market is preparing to test the broken structure one more time.
4520 - 4543 is the area from where we will anticipate a bullish reaction.
Goal will be 4596
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Bullish Outlook Explained
Dow Jones broke and closed above a key daily horizontal resistance.
We see a positive bullish reaction after its retest.
The index will most likely keep growing to the next key level.
Next resistance - 35470
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Outlook For Next Week Explained 💵
Dollar Index broke and closed below a key horizontal daily support this week.
After the violation, the price was coiling for some time within a narrow horizontal
range on a 4H time frame.
The release of US housing data on Friday was very bearish for the Greenback.
The price violated a support of the range, giving us a strong intraday confirmation.
We may anticipate a further bearish continuation now.
Next support - 103.1
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Top-Down Analysis & Trading Plan
Dow Jones Index is consolidating on a key daily horizontal resistance.
Analysing an intraday price action, we can spot a horizontal range on a 4H.
I would suggest waiting for a breakout of the support of the range -
4H candle close below 34760 - as a solid bearish confirmation.
A bearish continuation will be expected at least to 34500 then.
Bullish violation of the resistance of the range will make the setup invalid.
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