Dollar Index (DXY): Price Action Analysis & Bearish Outlook 💵
Dollar Index formed 2 bearish patterns:
First, the price started to trade within a rising wedge pattern,
Then, a cup and handle formation was formed within its boundaries.
With a single 4H candle, the price violated both the neckline of the pattern
and a support line of the wedge.
I expect a bearish continuation to 105.45 now
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Indexes
Dow Jones Index (US30): Bullish Continuation is Coming?!
Does a price action on Dow resembles a cup & handle formation on a daily?
34000 - 34450 is a huge resistance - the neckline of the pattern that the index is currently approaching.
Its bullish breakout - a daily candle close above - will be a strong bullish signal
that will push the prices much higher.
Next goal will be 34950.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Top-Down Analysis & Trading Plan 💵
Dollar Index is currently approaching a solid horizontal resistance.
The market formed a head and shoulders pattern formation on that on a 4H time frame.
Monitor the reaction of the price to its neckline.
If a 4H candle closes below 105.43, a bearish movement will be expected.
Targets will be 105.16 / 104.97
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Dollar Index (DXY): Top-Down Analysis & Bearish Outlook 💰
Dollar Index reached a confluence point based on a recently broken
horizontal support and a trend line.
Approaching that the price formed a tiny double top pattern,
violated its neckline and a support of a rising wedge then.
We can anticipate a further decline.
Goals: 105.5 / 105.17
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bad NFP & Bearish Outlook Explained 💵
It turned out that we got very bad NFP release, yesterday.
Dollar Index immediately reacted, and the market formed a huge bearish candle on a daily.
With one single candle, the Index successful broken a support of a wide horizontal range.
It is a sign of a confirmed bearish reversal.
The index will most likely drop to 104.5 support soon.
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Dollar Index (DXY) Under a Bearish Pressure 💵
Dollar Index keeps falling from a solid horizontal intraday resistance,
as I predicted earlier.
As an extra bearish signal, we can spot a confirmed breakout
of a neckline of a descending triangle formation, with a strong bearish
reaction to that after its retest.
The index may keep going lower.
Next support: 105.65
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Important Structure Breakout
US30 Index dropped heavily on Friday.
The market successfully violated a major horizontal demand area.
The broken structure 32570 - 32970 turned into supply zone now.
I will expect a bearish movement from that at least to 31850 level.
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Consolidation & Bearish Bias Explained 💵
Dollar Index is trading within a horizontal trading range on a daily.
The price tested the resistance of the range yesterday
and formed a doji candle on that.
As an extra bearish confirmation, I spotted a double top formation
on an hourly time frame.
I think that the Index will most likely retrace from the underlined
red resistance.
Targets: 106.35 / 106.17
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Indicator idea " USX "USX is the average of NAS100 , SPX500 and US30 (all from BLACKBULL data provider).
( average of the 3 Open = O ),
( average of the 3 High = H),
( average of the 3 Low = L),
( average of the 3 Close = C),
Plotted as candles using thoses OHLC, making a chart representing the average price action of indexes.
It is preferable to use on 15m TF (read the ORB part below).
Usage and inputs :
- An important part is the ORB box (Opening Range Breakout) sometime reffered as OPR (Opening Price Range).
This plot a box based on market opening candle (NY time, 15m) high & low.
This box will be colored green if close is above the half value of the box and red if below.
A basic strategy for Stocks and Indexes traders is to wait after open that the price break that 9h30 to 9h45 range an enter accordingly for a scalp in the dominant direction.
( Doesn't work everytime, even less for crypto, but i've been using this tool on each separate index for some time and let me tell you, at NY open the world is always somehow correlated to what happen in Wall Street. )
- Additionnal sma21,55,89 and AMA (the average of the 3 sma).
Optionnal trend confirmation based on the position of close relative to the 3 sma (simultanously above or below) and colored background assiociated.
- The possibility to use VERY lengthy (tweakable) RSI rather than standard average $ values but it's not very effective as the candles look awful (on any big timeframes)...
- In the input you can adjust the % of each of the 3 index in the total from 0% to 100%, so you can, for exemple put NASDAQ % IN INDEX more important than S&P % and DOWJONES even lower (as Crypto-currencies are generally more related to Tech sector).
That's it for now,
Don't hesitate to ask question, even if I've already said too much...
PS: That only an idea, yes the indicator is created and functionnal. Maybe i'll publish it, probably free + open source as i anyway explained everything ;)
Peace, may the profit be with you all
Dow Jones Index (US30): Breakout & Important Zone to Watch
Last week, we saw 2 important structure breakouts on US30:
first, the market violated a major rising trend line,
then, on Friday, a key horizontal support was also broken.
The broken trend line and a horizontal structure compose the expanding supply zone now.
I will expect a bearish reaction to that and a bearish movement to 33750 support.
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Important Breakout & Bearish Outlook
An important thing happened on US30 Index.
First, the index broke and closed below a major rising trend line
and closed below that on a daily.
Second, a key horizontal support was also broken yesterday.
The broken support and a trend line compose the expanding sell zone.
I suggest shorting the Index from there, expecting a fall to 33700 support.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Important Resistance Ahead! 💵
Dollar Index is currently testing a significant resistance cluster 104.85 - 105.50.
The reaction of the price to that area will determine a further direction of the Index.
Bullish breakout of that and a weekly candle close above will confirm a long-term bullish reversal, with a highly probable consiquent bullish rally.
Alternatively, watch a rising parallel channel on a daily.
Its support breakout will initiate a correctional movement.
I will post the update once I spot a solid confirmation.
For now, stay patient and wait for the reaction.
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