$DXY -Ballads of the Dollar *W (11 Consecutive Green Weeks) Its time for a Dollar Story !
(previous lin echart idea 100-105 Range; before & after to the current spot)
The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has managed to print 11 Consecutive Green Weekly Candlesticks,
rallying up as much as 8 % from its July/2023 99.580 Low.
A low violating all Technical aspects, which got us into a Short Idea but not
for long before changing bias
(idea's live chart)
TVC:DXY tried to close in Green its 12 Consecutive Candlestick Print, but failed to do so.
However,
during this up-rally time of Dirty Mighty TVC:DXY for the past 11 Weeks,
heavy negatively correlated assets like $EUR/USD and other major FX pair got
slapped on the face mercilessly,
as well so did the US Major Financial Markets and other Indexes and Equities,
but when comparing them with the Fiat Currencies market,
their blood shed was less.
Is about time for The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) to cool down for a while and correct ?
Fundamentally no,
as fear and troubles looms for a US Recession being just around the corner.
Technically (TA) speaking yes,
it is time for a brief correction,
would be totally fine for someone looking in to longing the Financial Markets or
exchanging their Fiat Dollars for other Major Fiat Currencies.
We can see TVC:DXY on line chart having broken the Range's Ceiling of 100-105,
as well retesting it (so far).
Holding it as Support or finding itself below again facing it as Resistance
shall be proven on upcoming week(s)
Indexes
US Financial Markets facing CPI after US Down-Graded to AA+- Emerging Markets are in a paranoid state due to Major US Financial Markets nearing
scheduled date of CPI numbers releasing day.
Consensus forecasts are anticipating Inflation to steadily
go up for the rest of 2023 and entering '24
10'th of August/23 will be a very important day for The Global Financial Markets.
Casualties might follow soon due to the turbulence of this frenzy economic environment created.
Is US about to enter a recession ?
Or do you believe Powell's joke of 'Soft Landing'
How about another joke Powell ...
Note that US technically had entered recession by two negative consecutive Quarters,
however, it got 'saved' by promising growing employment numbers.
Seems like Feds are masters at postponing cascading tragedies,
great tricksters filled with riddles.
With Euro-Zone being officially in Recession for a while now,
it's just a matter of time for US fate to be sealed.
Why learn economics !?
Broader and clearer pictures to strategize your investing/positioning and smaller
time frames trading decisions, be it swings, intradays or scalps.
Seems like it is enough today for a good poker player and a gambler to trade the markets.
How many times can you get lucky in repetitive motion and consider making in to trading
for a living ?!
Not long .
Open your horizons and explore financial literacy to be more in touch with
Facade of Financial Markets.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100) Bullish Rally Continues
US100 successfully violated a resistance of a horizontal range on a daily.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a strong bullish trend,
such a breakout confirms a highly probable trend continuation.
Next resistance - 16500
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Dollar Index (DXY): Important Key Levels to Watch 💵
Here is my latest structure analysis for Dollar Index.
Resistance 1: 103.86 - 104.20 area
Resistance 2: 104.40 - 104.55 area
Resistance 3: 104.87 - 105.08 area
Resistance 4: 105.90 - 106.11 area
Support 1: 102.57 - 103.08 area
Support 2: 101.40 - 102.01 area
Support 3: 100.47 - 100.57 area
Support 4: 99.55 - 99.75 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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S&P500 INDEX (SPY): Bullish Outlook
Update for S&P500.
We have spotted earlier a confirmed structure breakout.
The market is preparing to test the broken structure one more time.
4520 - 4543 is the area from where we will anticipate a bullish reaction.
Goal will be 4596
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Bullish Outlook Explained
Dow Jones broke and closed above a key daily horizontal resistance.
We see a positive bullish reaction after its retest.
The index will most likely keep growing to the next key level.
Next resistance - 35470
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Outlook For Next Week Explained 💵
Dollar Index broke and closed below a key horizontal daily support this week.
After the violation, the price was coiling for some time within a narrow horizontal
range on a 4H time frame.
The release of US housing data on Friday was very bearish for the Greenback.
The price violated a support of the range, giving us a strong intraday confirmation.
We may anticipate a further bearish continuation now.
Next support - 103.1
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Top-Down Analysis & Trading Plan
Dow Jones Index is consolidating on a key daily horizontal resistance.
Analysing an intraday price action, we can spot a horizontal range on a 4H.
I would suggest waiting for a breakout of the support of the range -
4H candle close below 34760 - as a solid bearish confirmation.
A bearish continuation will be expected at least to 34500 then.
Bullish violation of the resistance of the range will make the setup invalid.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Huge Imbalance 💵
Dollar Index formed a huge bearish imbalance yesterday after a release of a CPI report.
With one single candle, the market violated a significant demand cluster.
It turned into resistance now.
I will anticipate a bearish movement to lower levels.
Next goal - 103.1
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Dollar Index (DXY): Price Action Analysis & Bearish Outlook 💵
Dollar Index formed 2 bearish patterns:
First, the price started to trade within a rising wedge pattern,
Then, a cup and handle formation was formed within its boundaries.
With a single 4H candle, the price violated both the neckline of the pattern
and a support line of the wedge.
I expect a bearish continuation to 105.45 now
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Bullish Continuation is Coming?!
Does a price action on Dow resembles a cup & handle formation on a daily?
34000 - 34450 is a huge resistance - the neckline of the pattern that the index is currently approaching.
Its bullish breakout - a daily candle close above - will be a strong bullish signal
that will push the prices much higher.
Next goal will be 34950.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Top-Down Analysis & Trading Plan 💵
Dollar Index is currently approaching a solid horizontal resistance.
The market formed a head and shoulders pattern formation on that on a 4H time frame.
Monitor the reaction of the price to its neckline.
If a 4H candle closes below 105.43, a bearish movement will be expected.
Targets will be 105.16 / 104.97
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Dollar Index (DXY): Top-Down Analysis & Bearish Outlook 💰
Dollar Index reached a confluence point based on a recently broken
horizontal support and a trend line.
Approaching that the price formed a tiny double top pattern,
violated its neckline and a support of a rising wedge then.
We can anticipate a further decline.
Goals: 105.5 / 105.17
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