SPY has bullish bias after a day downtrending LONGSPY on the 15 -minute chart is shown to be in a megaphone or broadening wedge pattern since
March 5th. Price is now at the lower support ascending support trend line. The Gaussing
regression line forecast indicator an example of predictive modeling confirms with a prediction
that price will trend up inside the pattern and head toward the upper resistance trendline.
The mass index appropriately has signaled a reversal with a signal line that topped 32 and then
fell below the trigger. I found two long bottoming wicks in the prior two days at nearly the
same bottom level. The line /ray connecting them comes to a value of 512.75 which becomes
my immediate-term target. I will enter a trade of shares along with call options. The call
options are for a next-day expiration striking 513 ( OTM just a little). TEXT BOX correction:
The regression line forecast by Luxalgo's algorithm suggests a reversal and trend up into the ascending resistance.
Indexfunds
DXY H4 - Bearish SignalDXY H4 - Big dump on the dollar seen yesterday during the overlap session, big data points causing the dollar to fall off, in line with softer inflation figures, PPI figures and retail figures, yet again. Certainly going to be an interesting one at the next FOMC Press conference. Hoping to grab some more ***USD longs this week.
weekly picture at crossroadseither we hit this weekly sss demand zone and bounce, or we blow through it and make new lows. we are at bottom of envelope, and it appears to be turning. if sss signal stays red and we break 362.17 i thikk were in for 350.77 if not much lower around 320. if we bounce off that 363 level, and we get over the 377 range ithink were in for 396 maybe 405. horizontals dont align exactly with fib but thats because were in the middle of the retracement and havent found a bottom. the chances are low that we finish the week strong and start next week with a bounce, but i bet that when we do get a move with clairity its either a reversal around double bottom or a bearish continuation of trend.
need green sss for long term buy nasdaqrecent data suggesting the bottom is probably not in for the nasdaq means we need to see sss signal green on the monthly and cross above pivot for upper horizontals to be in play. till then were not averse to lower horizontals, or even touching the sss supply zone. qqe going long monthly would mean a long term entry averaging up into nasdaq funds would be profitable.
is this daily rejection from resistance or a bear trap?SPY and emini es1! futures have signaled the start of daily consolidation for the S&P500, and a rejection from the monthly trendline. this idea is simple. if we confirm a lower monthly high, and the beginning of a reversal by remaining below the pivot i would aim for sss supports and lower horizontals. if we remain rangebound, and break out above pivot i would aim for upper horizontals. this resistance is stiff, and it would not be surprising to see SPXL a good 4-8% lower here. im tracking the underlying index with SPY, but the instrument i would use is SPXL. if we gap up id wager intraday turns bearish, and if we gap down i would look to close that gap with bearish activity to follow.
6/1/22 IWMiShares Russell 2000 ETF ( AMEX:IWM )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts.Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $$--
Current Price: $184.26
Breakout price: $187.85
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $183.95-$168.15
Price Target: $189.60-$204.00 (1st), $249.20-$278.80 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 172-180d, 412-422d
Contract of Interest: $IWM 12/16/22 200c, $IWM 6/16/23 210c
Trade price as of publish date: $7.86/contract, $9.41/contract
VOO VANGUARD S&P500 ETF- IS IT GOOD FOR A LONG TERM HOLD? VOO AMEX:VOO is showing promise. Markets have very slowly begun to correct since the Russian Invasion into Ukraine Feb 24th, 2022. Since then, you see some recover on this chart. While things are still uncertain with the overall health of the economy and markets the S&P is gaining some slow momentum. However is VOO a good long term hold ? Well, I'm gonna be opening a position with VOO for my portfolio and increase with dollar cost average new positions to protect me from any volatility.
Hope you enjoy this TA and don't forget to like and subscribe and show your support.
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post. AMEX:VOO
we should see a bounce some time in the following week (SPXL)i really want to stress that i am not saying the daily/weekly trend is going to change right back to bull.
with that said, i think there is money to be made long over the next week, as long as futures sunday dont have the craziest bear session since corona.
some shorts are going to cover on the next drop, and this is going to cause a small squeeze.
i dont think all time highs are in the cards yet for broader market bulls. i do think 106 and 119 are reasonable targets. rsi is diverging bullishly, and dipping into the high teens would signal oversold conditions.
i realize this differs from my SPY forecast. that is a long term forecast on an unleveraged asset. i am using different strategies for different instruments.
qqe long entry signal should be due soon, although there have already been 3 signals that only led to small bounces, and not a return to a bull trend since the top.
DXY D1 - Short Correction ExpectedDXY D1
Like we mentioned, non-farm payrolls, average earnings and unemployment figures are coming out this afternoon 1:30pm UK time, so as the NA session comes into play. We can expect some nice volume.
This may be the trend setter for the month ahead. We are obviously hoping to see the USD correct and pull down towards that 94.500 region, which would compliment our cable longs.
Additionally, this would give us confidence in looking for resumed USD bull continuations from the 94.500 price.
Low Cost Index Funds and the "bubble"As the majority of the investment community is aware, low cost index funds such as the iShares CSPX are a great way of investing your money in such a way that it will beat inflation and any other factors that will reduce the overall value of your money. Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) is notorious for recommending low cost index funds to those who are inexperienced in the stock market and even long term investments. There have recently been many arguments that made me question the integrity of this seemingly flawless investment ideology. Even Buffett said the "only" downfall to index funds is that they are, and I quote, "boring". These arguments that have sparked up across the internet are by those who fear that the inherent price of these index funds are far beyond their actual value despite them holding the top performing stocks in the market. Thus removing the need for investors to investigate individual companies and rather stand at the sidelines and say "Just buy them all and see what wins". This attitude towards index funds and the ludicrous prices/growth (in comparison to any other listed entity and their own past) has sparked major concern. I have provided a link to a video below that discusses the 2 opposing ideas presented by Warren and Michael Burry (Famous for his prediction of the stock market crash of '08) and what each of them mean. From my view point (albeit mildly inexperienced) has led me to believe that in the long run despite the concerns, there will be crashes, like every other market ever, but these crashes will be shrunk by the overall growth in the following years and or decades, therefore making it worthwhile to invest in such index funds while dedicating at least 5% of your portfolio in individual stock.
TL;DR: It is inevitable that there will be a crash in all index funds at some point or another (that cannot be changed) but in the far longer term view, it will still be worth your time, money and effort to invest in such equities.
Comparing stock index trackersFor a long time now i've been investing in VWRL (FTSE All World Index) as a way of keeping my portfolio diversified and allowing me to take more risk when it comes to individual stocks as most of my money is within this fund. When talking to a friend the other week he has a similar approach but instead of VWRL he's been investing in VUSA (S&P 500 Index tracker) he swears but it and said the returns are better than VWRL.
My curiosity kicked in, as a long term investor i want to get the most value out of my investments as a few pounds now could cost thousand later. With this in mind i decided to do a comparison. My friend was right, long term returns are better on VUSA but it's more heavily weighted to America and also the top Tech Companies taking up 25% of the funds total investment.
Depending on your risk tolerance etc you need to work out what is the best option for you. In terms of historic performance VUSA might be the better play, but more risk involved with all exposure in America.
Crypto20 Performing twice as well compared to bitcoinCrypto20 is an index fund of the top 20 tokens rebalanced weekly. In a bull market it seems to be performing at least twice as well compared to bitcoin with the potential to go higher. Why you may ask? Because alts have a lot more room to grow than bitcoin. In a bull market, the top alts are typically backed by bitcoin on the downside but on the upside the sky is the limit! On the other hand in a bear market we can assume that that theory will be reversed. Index funds are an easy way to be exposed to the wider market without having to manage a complicated portfolio yourself.
This is not financial advice.
Go Long on Video Games!Sorry for the lack of ideas yesterday; there were some issues with my OmniBands indicator. But everything has been resolved, so it's time to get back to work! Here's a great index fund that you should definitely consider adding to your portfolio:
GAMR® provides pure-play and diversified exposure to a dynamic intersection of technology and entertainment.
The first ETF to target the video game tech industry.
The video game industry is enjoyed by over 1 billion loyal users and influences many other tech industries such as virtual reality software and cloud-based services.
Captures a $127B global industry est. to grow 49% by 2025.
The EEFund Video Game Tech™ Index provides a benchmark for investors interested in tracking companies actively involved in the electronic gaming industry including the entertainment, education and simulation segments. The Index uses a market capitalization weighted allocation across the pure play and non-pure play sectors and a set weight for the conglomerate sector as well as an equal weighted allocation methodology for all components within each sector allocation.
This is a fantastic ETF to long, as you're exposing yourself to an industry that will last forever (especially with the prevalence quarantining).
Happy trading!
Possible S&P 500 Long, via 4-HourAs we can see, price failed an attempt to finalize a head and shoulders pattern to the downside. Price pushed back up and closed above the neck line. Price also made a three inside out bullish candle reversal at demand. Price shall break and close above my 1 hour inverse head and shoulders in attempt to go back into previous supply zone.
Is there any hope left? Let's look at the BIGGER pictureLet's take a look at the long term logarithmic scale to view the long term trend of the S&P 500. We have completely broken past the monthly support and broke the .382 fib support level. Having analyzed the daily RSI we could be looking to form a bullish divergence that could lead us to a miniature relief rally to retest our old support and confirm it as resistance. If that is the case, then my downside targets are between 1500-1700 and I expect buyers to step in. That area is the .618 fib level as well as the multi year resistance from 2000-2007 and from a bullish technical perspective, you would want your old resistance to become new support. If that level is lost then our global economy could take YEARS to recover. If you like my analysis please give it a like and a follow for more. Thanks :)