S&P500: Aiming at 6,000 before the elections.The S&P500 index is on a very healthy bullish technical 1D outlook (RSI = 64.688, MACD = 69.140, ADX = 44.589) which indicates that the rebound that started on the September 6th low should be extended. The volatility on the 4H RSI indicates that as long as the 4H MA200 supports, we will see a rally similar to June's and in fact we should symmetrically be on a same level as the June 14th consolidation. We are aiming for the -0.618 Fibonacci extension like June's rally (TP = 6,000) before the U.S. elections.
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NASDAQ: Clear path to 21,150. Checked all bullish signals.Nasdaq is on very healthy bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 60.054, MACD = 172.430, ADX = 25.087) as not only it crossed and closed over the LH trendline of the previous Top but kept the 4H MA50 as support and formed a 4H Golden Cross. The driving pattern seems to be yet again a Channel Up and this is its second bullish wave structure. Keeping the 4H MA50 intact should technically push the price to a HH. The previous wave topped a +15.55%, which is the basis for our target (TP = 21,150).
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DAX: Aggressive uptrend for the rest of the year.DAX maintains a very healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.112, MACD = 108.800, ADX = 23.465) as it is extending a rebound aon the 1D MA50, after an August 5th rebound on the 1D MA200 as well. Successive holds of those levels suggest that the index has already started the new Bullish Wave of the 2022 Channel Up. We can target at least the 2.0 Fibonacci level (TP = 20,250) as it was the level that priced the last HH.
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NASDAQ: Critical breakout ahead that can send it to 22kNasdaq is almost overbought on the lower time-frames but just turned bullish on 1D (RSI = 55.402, MACD = -62.050, ADX = 25.952) and the main reason is that it closed over the 1D MA50 yesterday. This can't be considered a bullish signal on its own as the LH trendline is right over it and is being tested today. If broken, it is very likely to see the next bullish wave of the Channel Up. The previous two waves confirmed the uptrend after a candle closed over the LH.
If that happens, we will aim for a new Channel Up HH at the end of the year, almost at +31% from the bottom (TP = 22,000) like March's High.
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"DAX Index Rises Ahead of ECB Meeting"In the U.S., the consumer price index increased by 0.2% in August, while the annual rise was 2.5%, aligning with forecasts. Following the drop in inflation, the likelihood of the Fed implementing a 25 basis point rate cut next week has risen to 85%. After this data release, market risk appetite increased, leading to intensified buying activity in the DAX index.
Today, there is an expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting.
Technically, on the upside if the price holds above the 18,500 resistance, buying could push the index first toward the 18,700 resistance and then to 18,900. if the 18,500 level is broken to the downside, a pullback could extend first to the 18,285 support and then to 18.075.
DAX Index Recovers Its Losses!Following the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report, which came in below expectations, market risk appetite weakened. The DAX index also accelerated its decline, targeting the 18,257 support level. Expectations for a Fed rate cut have strengthened to 50 basis points, while the ECB is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this week.
Technically, if the 18,285 level is broken on the downside, a pullback could extend first to the 18,075 support and then to 17,920. On the upside, if the price holds above the 18,500 resistance, buying could push the index first towards the 18,700 resistance and then to 18,900.
S&P500: Rebounding on the 1D MA100.The S&P500 is recovering Friday's lost ground and turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.331, MACD = -24.550, ADX = 22.750). Even though it needs to overcome the Resistance pressure of the 1D MA50, this rebound gives a very positive note as it is being performed on the 1D MA100, which last time was a bounce point on April 19 2024. If the August 5th rebound was a HL of a Bullish Megaphone, then now the index is starting phase 2 of the new Bullish Wave, much like the 1D MA50 bounce of May 31st. We are bullish with TP = 6000, on the -0.618 Fibonacci level for a HH.
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Flag pattern Breakout in Pharma IndexIndices are far more reliable during technical analysis as compared to the individual stocks.
The pattern is a clean one in Nifty Pharma Index.
This is to spread the awareness about technical chart patterns and not a buy/sell recommendation.
Always do your own research before making any financial decision.
Resistance is ahead! Can the Dow Jones make a break through?
The index is clearly demonstrating a strong upward trend, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows.
During this upward movement, it previously established a bullish Pole & Flag pattern, and after breaking out, the index has continued to rise.
At present, the index is trading just beneath its next resistance level.
If the Dow Jones manage to break through and hold above this breakout point, it is likely to initiate a new rally.
ViewHello, Traders. It's been a while since my last post. A lot has changed in my life: I received a promotion, got married, and traveled extensively across India, as well as to one international destination. While I kept an eye on the markets, I wasn't actively trading for the past year and a half. However, I'm back in action now, having resumed active trading over the last four months. I plan to share my insights whenever I anticipate market movements. Here’s my perspective for tomorrow.
The markets have undergone significant changes in recent years, so it's essential to be cautious with your position sizes. The volatility is high, and algorithmic trading is prevalent, leading to unexpected spikes almost daily. In the past six trading sessions, the markets have been stagnant, often trapping traders with false breakouts in both directions. I believe we are due for a significant move of at least 500 to 600 points in one direction. You can consider going long if a 30-minute candle closes above 50792.90, with the first target set at 51133 and the second at the yellow trendline. Make sure to hold on for at least 350 points on the index before booking profits. You can opt for futures or purchase the 14 Aug 50700 CE, though I recommend futures since expiration is just a day away. It’s also advisable to short the 50700 PE and 50800 PE, keeping a stop-loss at 50% of the premium paid on the call side. If the premium on the 50700 CE reaches 50%, set a stop-loss on the futures. Given the market's volatility, it's best to tread carefully on the downside.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(14/08/2024)Today, Bank Nifty is expected to open with a slight gap up, with an opening level around 50000. After the opening, a possible reversal to the downside is anticipated. The downside target for today’s session could be around 49,550 if Bank Nifty does not sustain above 49950. Any upside rally will only be possible if Bank Nifty starts trading above 50050; this rally could reach up to 50450, which will act as a strong resistance level for today’s session.
SP500 1D | PlanThe reaction and closes of the price in the current area are very important. A close above the 200 EMA and DO within a few days is crucial. If the price fails to recapture the dark blue box as I indicated, I expect to see the price action, brush movement I have drawn below. The area of the purple box where MO and pMO are located will be the target.
Happy Trading
QQQ Intraday $100 to $2500 with options RECAPQQQ is shown here on the 15 minute time frame. Overlaid are a HMA 7 and SMA 5 to provide
moving average crosses. QQQ made a "M" pattern. Options charts are shown in the updates.
First Trade SQQQ is opened at 9:48 for $ 6.00 per call contract times 16 contracts. It is closed
at 10:05 less than 20 minutes later at $20.00 per contract. $96 dollars the only risk in the trade
is waiting to settle as is the $ 224.00 in profit. ( This is a same day expiration intraday trade)
Second Trade QQQ as QQQ has topped and is pivoting down. The second trade of the day
is not a same day expiration as it is now Friday afternoon, a put option in the direction of the
trend is taken for Tuesday the 20th, there being no puts for the Monday holiday.
The floating profit is $ 224 and the strike is set for below the money in the current direction of
the trend. A strike of $ 429 selected. The options chart is shown in the updates.
The premium was 0.37 so $37 per contract so six contracts were taken for a total of
which is $222 or slightly less than the profit on the first trade. The trade is taken at 14:47
market time and closed about 90 minutes later at 15:52 before the close.
The contracts sold at close for $ 1.41 each yielding $ 141 per contract or $ 2256 overall.
Between the two trades $100 was risked and $ 233 + 2256 or 2489 overall.
The Reward to Risk ratio was about 25. The profit and the initial $100 into the trades
awaits settlement after the holiday.
This trade was made to teach a mentee about the power of options leveraged with narrow
expirations to optimize profits and not spend a lot of time in the trade to minimize risk
in the market from any number of potentials. Alerts and notifications centered on moving
averages and rise or fall of intraday low time frame relative strength are used to lessen
screen time. Twenty baggers may not be everyday but then again with practice and patience
they can come along often enough.
Nasdaq - (Bullish) Clarity in two days!TVC:NDQ is now retesting a very important inflection level and maybe attempting a breakout.
Parabolic rise or -20% correction over the next couple of months. So far there is a lot of uncertainty as to whether the Nasdaq will manage to break above the current resistance trendline. We simply have to wait for this monthly candle closure as well as the monthly candle closure of July until we can make a clear prediction. So far, everything is still possible!
Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Urgent Market Alert: Potential Coordinated ReversalIndian stock market started showing reversal signs.
The upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data at 8:30 AM EST (6:00 PM IST) is a pivotal event with the potential to trigger a reversal in the US market. This data point will provide crucial insights into inflationary pressures, which are a primary concern for the Federal Reserve and investors alike. In case the reversal doesn’t happen, follow technical levels.
Nasdaq - Soon heading to $30.000?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Nasdaq .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than a decade, the Nasdaq index has been trading in a rising channel formation with the last retest of the support trendline being back in the end of 2022. At the moment, Nasdaq is retesting the upper resistance trendline and if we actually see a breakout over the next 2 months, we might see a similar rally of +50% compared to the one which we saw back in 2020.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
HK50 HongKong 50 Bearish Robbery plan To Make moneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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NASDAQ: Perfect pullback execution. Bullish reversal next week.Nasdaq delivered the expected pullback which was validated when it crossed under the 4H MA50. Today it almost reached the 1D MA50, which is also where the 4H MA200 sits, turned momentarily bearish on the 1D technical outlook (now neutral/ RSI = 47.140, MACD = 151.030, ADX = 59.182) and the 1D RSI achieved symmetry with the December 6th 2023 Low. We still expect the 1.5 Fibonacci extension to get reached before the next pullback (TP = 19,250).
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S&P500: Don't expect any sizeable correction any time soon.The S&P500 index is on very healthy bullish levels on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 63.385, MACD = 146.190, ADX = 48.596) showcasing in the best possible way the bullish bias of the long term trend and pattern, which is a Channel Up. This month's pullback is perhaps the best buy entry we can have as in relative terms based on the 1W CCI, the index is printing a consolidation phase similar to August-October 2020.
As long as the 1W MA50 is in support, we expect the Channel Up to gradually rise in the same manner as then and by early 2025 possibly hit the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (TP = 6,800).
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DOW JONES: Correction completed. Time for a new High.Dow Jones may have turned red on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.469, MACD = -17.010, ADX = 38.217) but it is only neutral on 1W (RSI = 52.498) suggesting that on the long run, these are strong buy levels from a R/R perspective. Two weeks ago we called the current pullback to 38,550 as a possibility but now it is time to turn bullish again. As you can see, on the 1W timeframe, there are striking resemblances with the Channel Up of March 2023 and in today's terms we are on the May's 2023 corrective wave. We expect at least a +13.67% rise from the recent bottom and our target sits slightly under that level (TP = 42,000).
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S&P500: Wait for the ideal level to rebuy.The S&P500 index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.135, MACD = 2.270, ADX = 26.567) despite the fact that it made a new All Time High, in fact turning the former R level into S. The uptrend is being supported by the 4H MA50 since the May 2nd breakout and the Channel Up presents a new low risk buy opportunity close to the 4H MA100, ideally when the 4H RSI approaches the 30.000 limit. We will wait for the opportunity to go long and target the top of the Channel Up (TP = 5,400).
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NASDAQ: Overbought and on a 4H Golden Cross.Nasdaq is almost overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 69.095, MACD = 114.290, ADX = 45.033) and even though it has entered a new long term bullish wave, a short term technical correction is needed. In addition, it has completed the first 4H Golden Cross since November 8th 2023. The index then crossed over the LH trendline. We are already above the new LH. Enter on the next 4H MA50 contact and target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 19,250).
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Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Formed & Target.Wait for the Breakout, as it is Crucial in the Stock Market. Institutions and Professionals often Enter Trades based on PATTERNS & BREAKOUTS. After a Breakout, the Market significant BULLISH Trend.
I want to help people Make Profit all over the World throughout my entire life. Additionally, I am eager to Receive Money Worldwide because of my Potential.