QQQ Intraday $100 to $2500 with options RECAPQQQ is shown here on the 15 minute time frame. Overlaid are a HMA 7 and SMA 5 to provide
moving average crosses. QQQ made a "M" pattern. Options charts are shown in the updates.
First Trade SQQQ is opened at 9:48 for $ 6.00 per call contract times 16 contracts. It is closed
at 10:05 less than 20 minutes later at $20.00 per contract. $96 dollars the only risk in the trade
is waiting to settle as is the $ 224.00 in profit. ( This is a same day expiration intraday trade)
Second Trade QQQ as QQQ has topped and is pivoting down. The second trade of the day
is not a same day expiration as it is now Friday afternoon, a put option in the direction of the
trend is taken for Tuesday the 20th, there being no puts for the Monday holiday.
The floating profit is $ 224 and the strike is set for below the money in the current direction of
the trend. A strike of $ 429 selected. The options chart is shown in the updates.
The premium was 0.37 so $37 per contract so six contracts were taken for a total of
which is $222 or slightly less than the profit on the first trade. The trade is taken at 14:47
market time and closed about 90 minutes later at 15:52 before the close.
The contracts sold at close for $ 1.41 each yielding $ 141 per contract or $ 2256 overall.
Between the two trades $100 was risked and $ 233 + 2256 or 2489 overall.
The Reward to Risk ratio was about 25. The profit and the initial $100 into the trades
awaits settlement after the holiday.
This trade was made to teach a mentee about the power of options leveraged with narrow
expirations to optimize profits and not spend a lot of time in the trade to minimize risk
in the market from any number of potentials. Alerts and notifications centered on moving
averages and rise or fall of intraday low time frame relative strength are used to lessen
screen time. Twenty baggers may not be everyday but then again with practice and patience
they can come along often enough.
Indextrading
Nasdaq - (Bullish) Clarity in two days!TVC:NDQ is now retesting a very important inflection level and maybe attempting a breakout.
Parabolic rise or -20% correction over the next couple of months. So far there is a lot of uncertainty as to whether the Nasdaq will manage to break above the current resistance trendline. We simply have to wait for this monthly candle closure as well as the monthly candle closure of July until we can make a clear prediction. So far, everything is still possible!
Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Urgent Market Alert: Potential Coordinated ReversalIndian stock market started showing reversal signs.
The upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data at 8:30 AM EST (6:00 PM IST) is a pivotal event with the potential to trigger a reversal in the US market. This data point will provide crucial insights into inflationary pressures, which are a primary concern for the Federal Reserve and investors alike. In case the reversal doesn’t happen, follow technical levels.
Nasdaq - Soon heading to $30.000?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Nasdaq .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than a decade, the Nasdaq index has been trading in a rising channel formation with the last retest of the support trendline being back in the end of 2022. At the moment, Nasdaq is retesting the upper resistance trendline and if we actually see a breakout over the next 2 months, we might see a similar rally of +50% compared to the one which we saw back in 2020.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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NASDAQ: Perfect pullback execution. Bullish reversal next week.Nasdaq delivered the expected pullback which was validated when it crossed under the 4H MA50. Today it almost reached the 1D MA50, which is also where the 4H MA200 sits, turned momentarily bearish on the 1D technical outlook (now neutral/ RSI = 47.140, MACD = 151.030, ADX = 59.182) and the 1D RSI achieved symmetry with the December 6th 2023 Low. We still expect the 1.5 Fibonacci extension to get reached before the next pullback (TP = 19,250).
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S&P500: Don't expect any sizeable correction any time soon.The S&P500 index is on very healthy bullish levels on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 63.385, MACD = 146.190, ADX = 48.596) showcasing in the best possible way the bullish bias of the long term trend and pattern, which is a Channel Up. This month's pullback is perhaps the best buy entry we can have as in relative terms based on the 1W CCI, the index is printing a consolidation phase similar to August-October 2020.
As long as the 1W MA50 is in support, we expect the Channel Up to gradually rise in the same manner as then and by early 2025 possibly hit the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (TP = 6,800).
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DOW JONES: Correction completed. Time for a new High.Dow Jones may have turned red on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.469, MACD = -17.010, ADX = 38.217) but it is only neutral on 1W (RSI = 52.498) suggesting that on the long run, these are strong buy levels from a R/R perspective. Two weeks ago we called the current pullback to 38,550 as a possibility but now it is time to turn bullish again. As you can see, on the 1W timeframe, there are striking resemblances with the Channel Up of March 2023 and in today's terms we are on the May's 2023 corrective wave. We expect at least a +13.67% rise from the recent bottom and our target sits slightly under that level (TP = 42,000).
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S&P500: Wait for the ideal level to rebuy.The S&P500 index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.135, MACD = 2.270, ADX = 26.567) despite the fact that it made a new All Time High, in fact turning the former R level into S. The uptrend is being supported by the 4H MA50 since the May 2nd breakout and the Channel Up presents a new low risk buy opportunity close to the 4H MA100, ideally when the 4H RSI approaches the 30.000 limit. We will wait for the opportunity to go long and target the top of the Channel Up (TP = 5,400).
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NASDAQ: Overbought and on a 4H Golden Cross.Nasdaq is almost overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 69.095, MACD = 114.290, ADX = 45.033) and even though it has entered a new long term bullish wave, a short term technical correction is needed. In addition, it has completed the first 4H Golden Cross since November 8th 2023. The index then crossed over the LH trendline. We are already above the new LH. Enter on the next 4H MA50 contact and target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 19,250).
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Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Formed & Target.Wait for the Breakout, as it is Crucial in the Stock Market. Institutions and Professionals often Enter Trades based on PATTERNS & BREAKOUTS. After a Breakout, the Market significant BULLISH Trend.
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DOW JONES: Two levels to buy.Dow Jones is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.964, MACD = 188.520, ADX = 55.476) and has completed three green 1W candles in a row. Having reached the 0.786 Fibonacci level, the last confirmation left to see in order to call for a continuation of this uptrend is for the 1W RSI to cross over its MA. The moment it does, we will buy again and target the Channel's top (TP = 42,000). Until that moment, we will wait for a more comfortable buy lower at 38,550 (TP = 42,000 again).
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S&P500: Bullish trend confirmed.S&P500 has turned bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 58.980, MACD = 2.870, ADX = 28.757) as today it is trading and will most likely close over the 1D MA50 for the third day in a row. Having crossed over the LH, the index has invalidated the bearish sentiment of April and a new Channel up is emerging. If it capitalizes on the 1D MACD Bullish Cross, we expect the 1D MA50 to hold from now on as the medium term Support, just like the 1D MA100 held on the April 19th bottom. Buy and target the R1 level on the short term (TP = 5,275).
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CHINA 50 INDEX Bearish side money heist planMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of CHINA 50 index Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned with target in the chart focus on Short entry, Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous area market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic resistance level, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next target.
support our robbery plan we can make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
NVDIA: bottomed but may consolidate for a while. Massive upside.NVDA is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.860, MACD = -7.940, ADX = 34.317) as it corrected to a respectable extent, a correction that we have been expected as pointed out on our latest idea. The Channel Up is intact, the price crossed under the 1D MA50 and like the September-October correction, it may consolidate until it catches up with the 1D MA100. Whatever the case, this is most likely NVDIA's bottom, a symmetric -21.33% correction with an enormous upside on the 4.0 Fib extension, like the two Highs prior. For the time being our target is a more modest one on the 2.0 Fib (TP = 1,250).
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DOW JONES: Pattern worked like beauty. Technical rebound.Dow quickly turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.651, MACD = -238.11, ADX = 37.915) not staying for long on its previous bearish state as after hitting our TP = 37,300 it rebounded emphatically and is about to test the 1D MA50. The pattern was the same as the prior corrections inside the Channel Up: pullback to the 0.382 and -6.95% in particular like on December 20th 2022. Now the price should at least retrace to the 0.786 Fib on this bounce. Long TP = 39,350.
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S&P500: 1D MA100 hit. Short term rebound at least to be expectedS&P500 is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.601, MACD = -44.800, ADX = 58.528) as it touched the 1D MA100 on Friday after more than 5 months. This calls for a short term rebound at least as every previous corrective wave inside the multi month Channel Up that approached the 1D MA100, it rebounded to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Following our last short call, we are now turning long again (TP = 5,115).
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DAX: Almost on the 1D MA100. Has it bottomed?DAX effortlessly made a -6.50% decline from the top and hit our 17,450 TP, crossing in the meantime under the 1D MA50 for the first time since November 10th 2023. Naturally its 1D technically outlook turned bearish (RSI = 41.378, MACD = 14.500, ADX = 36.627). In our view, it has or is very close to the new technical bottom as the 1D MA100 is just right under and the 1D RSI is inside a Channel Down bottom similar to March 20 2023. We don't expect the price to drop much lower than 17,300 next week, if it does then the ultimate long term buy entry will be on the 1D MA200. Our target by June is the HH Zone again (TP = 18,750).
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NASDAQ: This is a short term correction leading to 21,500.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.414, MACD = -64.490, ADX = 50.187) but the 1W RSI is still bullish (RSI = 56.510). You can see the reason on this chart. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that is supported by the 1W MA50 for the past 13 months. The current pullback can be seen as a phase similar to the consolidation of August-November 2020 that resumed the uptrend afterwards almost as high as the 4.0 Fibonacci extension level. The RSIs are very much alike as well, under LH trendlines. Consequently our long term target is slightly under the 4.0 Fib (TP = 21,500).
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S&P500: First 4H Death Cross since August 14th 2023!S&P500 has formed today a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe after 8 months (August 14th 2023), turning bearish on the 1D technical outlook as well (RSI = 37.122, MACD = -81.00, ADX = 53.782) as yesterday it crossed under the 1D MA50 for the first time since November 3rd 2023. Both are technically very bearish developments and according to the last 4H Death Cross, we remain bearish until we complete at least a -5.87% decline (TP = 4,980). Observe how the symmetry among the two fractals is very strong, both the Death Cross and the 1D MA50 breakout were done around the same Fibonacci levels.
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DOW JONES: Close to our Target. Is it a buy after?Dow Jones is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.431, MACD = -279.330, ADX = 39.462) and is approaching our TP = 37,300 that we called nearly one month ago. The target will be a direct hit at the middle of the long term Channel Up and approach the 0.382 Fibonacci. As long as the 1D MA200 supports, we will then reverse to buying, at least on the short term, expecting a rebound to the 0.786 Fib (TP = 39,350) like on January 16th 2023.
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Stocks Put A Top In This Week! Further Downside to Come!ES (US 500) Fibs, Hourly: ES is our main index that provides helps us determine trend. You will notice that this week had a change of character. The market had taken the stairs up, but is now taking the elevator down, with sharp moves coming in a few hours to the downside. Expect more of this. ES pattern at the top is more head and shoulders like. And, unlike YM, we got a FULL All the Way Half Way Back Short this week, going back to the 50% line on Friday and selling off from there. Look for a gap up on Sunday night/Monday and a sell into strength of a 2nd test at the 5272.50 level. Our Target is all the way down at the 5158.25 level, over a 100 points away.
####TRADE ALERT####
ES (US 500- S&P500)
Call: Short
Entry Type: Limit, ideally better than 5262.50 no worse than 5245
SL: 5290
TP1 / TP2: 5158.25
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