What's Going On With ITC?NSE:ITC has had a recent de-merger which let to a price decline of more than 5% last week. However the stock was already in a retracement phase as seen on weekly timeframe and it went down all the way to 430 rupees which was the 71.8% retracement level.
The current BB range is 400 to 500 which is a 20-25% volatility range in the 3 Standard Deviations. The price is almost in middle of it. It is above the 21 EMA which serves as the basis.
The RSI is above 50 and just above the MA.
Anything can happen. It can fall down all the way to 400 or it can shoot up all the way to 500 in just a couple of days.
I have a buy position already but I need to be cautious and continuously monitor it as the volatility is high.
It would be better to monitor it on an hourly basis and focus on the RSI Channel.
Once its broken, We can move to a daily time frame and make hold vs exit decision.
India
DELHIVERY INTRADAY TARGETS DONE!Delhivery on the 15-minute timeframe delivered a stellar intraday performance, achieving all predefined targets with precision. This long trade was executed using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , ensuring a well-timed entry and a disciplined approach.
Delhivery Key Levels:
TP1: 340.80 ✅
TP2: 346.20 ✅
TP3: 351.60 ✅
TP4: 354.90 ✅
Delhivery Technical Analysis:
The trade was initiated at an entry price of 337.45, with a stop-loss positioned at 334.75 to limit downside risk.
Delhivery exhibited strong bullish momentum, crossing the Risological trend line early in the session.
The stock maintained upward movement, achieving all take-profit levels in this intraday trade. This setup highlights the power of the Risological indicator in capturing quick and profitable opportunities in volatile markets.
All the best and do follow me for more success stories, insights, tips and profitable stock calls.
Namaste!
Can a Corporate Titan Withstand the Tremors of Allegations?In the high-stakes arena of global business, few narratives captivate the imagination quite like the meteoric rise and sudden turbulence of an economic powerhouse. The Adani Group once celebrated as a paragon of Indian entrepreneurial success, now finds itself navigating treacherous waters of legal scrutiny and market skepticism. What began as a remarkable journey of a diamond trader turned infrastructure magnate has transformed into a complex tale of ambition, power, and potential corporate misconduct that challenges our understanding of success in the modern economic landscape.
The allegations against Gautam Adani—ranging from securities fraud to a purported massive bribery scheme—represent more than just a corporate challenge; they symbolize a pivotal moment of reckoning for corporate governance in emerging markets. With U.S. prosecutors indicting Adani and a damaging report by Hindenburg Research accusing the group of "the largest con in corporate history," the conglomerate has witnessed a staggering $68 billion evaporation of market value. This precipitous fall from grace serves as a stark reminder that even the most seemingly invincible corporate empires can be vulnerable to the harsh light of forensic scrutiny and legal investigation.
The unfolding saga transcends the individual narrative of Gautam Adani, touching upon broader themes of economic development, political connections, and the delicate balance between entrepreneurial ambition and ethical conduct. As the Adani Group confronts these unprecedented challenges, the world watches with bated breath, understanding that the outcome will not merely determine the fate of one business empire, but potentially reshape perceptions of India's economic credibility on the global stage. The resilience, transparency, and response of the Adani Group in the face of these allegations will serve as a critical case study in corporate accountability and the complex interplay between business, politics, and regulatory oversight.
Ultimately, this narrative invites us to reflect on the fundamental principles of corporate integrity and the thin line between visionary entrepreneurship and potential systemic manipulation. As investors, policymakers, and global observers, we are compelled to ask: Can reputation, built over decades, withstand the seismic tremors of serious allegations? The Adani Group's journey offers a compelling, real-time exploration of this profound question, challenging our assumptions about success, power, and the intricate mechanisms that govern global business ecosystems.
Crypto VS Equity : Which you will Choose for 3rd Qtr 2024This chart is very interesting for those who are struggling to find the investment opportunities. We have technical charts, And you can see 4 windows, upper two are cryptos and lower two are Indian Equity index.
Now, if we look at the charts, you can easily understand that cryptos are running for this month whereas the equity part is falling , as we all are quick learners, so we can understand what's happening here.
In simple words money is going out of various asset classes, even the gold, Fd's ,equities and being invested or traded with cryptos.
After the US President election Crypto coins are running in optimism. As Donald Trump have positive stance towards cryptocurrency.
And Nobody wants to be left out And so money is getting out of other investment assets.
I love to here your views on this ... use Comment box
Reliance has formed H&S & seem to be in process of making a top!NSE:RELIANCE seem to have formed H&S formation. Structure is tilted on the left and has formed over a long period (~10 months). Finally the structure seem to have completed though the price is still trying to bounce from the neckline. Today we have an evening star kind of formation which might push the price towards neckline in a breakdown attempt this week.
I can see similar formation across charts and when you see such formations in multiple charts, it typically suggests a top formation is occurring. It has been a slow process and might take some more time before these H&S start materializing so some amount of patience is needed. I guess we are close to making a near term top in Indian markets.
Nippon India Nippon India is seen following 6 week down trendline and we have fresh Trendline breakout above 680,
also stock is trading above 20, 50, 100 and 200 EMA.
Stock bounced back from 20 EMA on weekly time frame
This stock can hit all time high in 2-3 weeks as per my analysis. Looking for 810, then 925 in 5-6 months.
Stock is having strong support at 640.
This is not a buy recommandation.
IREDA IS READY TO BURST WITH FULL ENERGYNSE:IREDA is slowly storing energy to give huge breakout and give New ATH.
Currently IREDA is wave 5 candidate in weekly chart and wave 3 candidate in daily charts.
As all we know what happens when these two combines there is high probability the charts can go up.
The view is applicable until the chart stay above 220, The view is invalid when it is below 215, any movement below 215 is a bearish view.
Otherwise the upper targets are
245
265
280
300
325
350
Disclaimer
The above analysis is just sharing of knowledge and not an investment advise, we are not sebi registered and please DYOR before taking any trade as our trade idea is not entitled to your profit/loss. Please take advise from your financial advisor before investing your valuable and hard earned money.
If you like my analysis do comment and give a boost. It boost our energy to do more analysis.
#EURUSD: +300 pips buying opportunity one not miss! FX:EURUSD
We have an excellent opportunity to buy a swing entry on eurusd, our previous few setups has hit the target, now since the price is in correction zone, we think it is right time to identify the area where we think price can reverse from. This is the perfect and most ideal zone for buying, if price does not respect our zone then it will confirmed that trend has changed and we will no longer buy EURUSD. Good luck.
SEQUENT SCIENTIFIC - Multi Year Breakout StockINVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN BREAKOUT STOCK FOR SWING TRADING
> 2 Years of Inverse head & shoulder breakout
BUY PRICE : 155
SL : 125 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 202, 250, 305 (100%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
[Bullish] Long term wave 5 in progressNSE:NIITLTD caught my attention last week due to multiple bulk deals and then today the stock skyrocketed to UC with 20% move.
We seem to be in last wave (5th) of current major cycle that started in 2013. Right now, we seem to be in minor wave 3rd of larger 5th. Ideal entry point would be >=155 though the stock may not give that opportunity if it's gaps up tomorrow and keeps moving up.
As per wave equality (1=5), target for wave 5 should be around 500. Note that this is 6M chart.
Multi-year Trendline BreakoutNSE:LOVABLE has broken out from a multi-year downward sloping trendline.
Structure looks like inverted H&S though I would avoid calling it as I prefer to go by strict technical definition of H&S which says inverted (or bullish) H&S should form after a decline since it's a trend reversal pattern. Decline is there but the whole decline is in form on H&S instead of H&S formed after a decline. Anyhow it's just a technicality and we can treat it as a breakout. Feel free to call it a trendline BO or H&S BO.
As for target, technical target should be above 700 as per the height of structure. However, I would prefer to trade it with multiple smaller targets. I would look for 300 as the next major then will wait for price action to confirm if it would go further and target would be 400. Next would be 550 and then 700.
[Bullish] BBOX in minor wave 3 of larger 3NSE:BBOX seem to have started minor wave 3 of larger 3. Volumes are looking good and as per equality, larger wave 3 should go above 3000.
Nearly half of wave 3 is done so the remaining move should occur relatively quickly, within next 1.5-2 years. Having said that, estimating time is always tricky so take it with a pinch of salt.
CMP is 517 which gives a potential of nearly 6X move.
[Bullish] GOKULAGRO starting major wave 3NSE:GOKULAGRO seem to have started long term wave 3 as per this monthly chart after a textbook clean wave 1 from Elliott Wave perspective.
Currently trading at 235 and wave 3 conservative target (as per equality principle) is around 2000. Wave 1 took nearly 2.5 years so we can expect similar time as wave 3 are usually the fastest. Even if we keep some margin, 3 years sounds a reasonable timeframe for wav 3 to complete.
Volumes also support the current move.
NIFTY Doing exactly what is expected from it.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) continues to offer us some of the most effective trading opportunities as it continues to replicated the 2023 price action. Last time (June 13, see chart below), it broke as we expected above its Megaphone (imitating the December 04 2023 bullish break-out) and hit our 24650 Target, making a symmetrical +15.67% rise:
This time we are presented with another buy opportunity as following the recent drop, the index managed to find Support on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), exactly at the bottom of the short-term Megaphone. This is another remarkable symmetric structure with the January 24 Low. On top of that, the 1D RSI rebounded on its 5-month Support Zone.
That Jan 24 low initiated a slow rise that completed a +6.64% uptrend before the 1D MA50 broke. As a result, we consider this a strong medium-term buy opportunity, with a 25500 Target (+6.64%).
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India's Nifty 50: A Rising Star in a Geopolitical StormIn 2023, the Indian stock market, represented by the Nifty 50 index, has emerged as a standout performer. Outpacing its U.S. counterpart, the S&P 500, by a significant margin, the Nifty 50 has captured the attention of global investors. Several factors converge to explain this impressive performance, with geopolitical tensions playing a pivotal role.
The Great Manufacturing Shift: India as a Prime Beneficiary
One of the most compelling narratives driving India's economic ascent is the global shift in manufacturing. As the world grapples with heightened geopolitical risks, particularly the escalating tensions between the United States and China, businesses are seeking to diversify their supply chains. India, with its vast market, skilled workforce, and government's "Make in India" initiative, has emerged as a compelling alternative to China for many multinational corporations.
Diversification of Supply Chains: Companies like Apple and Google are actively exploring manufacturing operations in India to reduce their reliance on China. This trend extends to various sectors, including pharmaceuticals, automobiles, and textiles.
Government Support: India's government has proactively created a conducive business environment through infrastructure development, tax incentives, and ease of doing business reforms. These efforts have boosted investor confidence and accelerated the country's industrialization process.
India's Economic Characteristics and Domestic Consumption
India's strong domestic consumption and the rise in manufacturing are major factors in the country's economic expansion. The demand for goods and services is increasing due to the growing middle class and increased disposable incomes. The approach of consumption-led growth enhances the resilience of the Indian economy by acting as a buffer against external shocks.
India's economy boasts several key characteristics:
Rapid Growth: India has consistently been one of the fastest-growing major economies globally.
Large Domestic Market: With a population of over 1.4 billion, India offers a vast consumer base, driving domestic consumption.
Young Population: A large and young workforce provides a demographic dividend, fueling economic potential.
IT and Services Dominance: The IT and services sector is a major contributor to India's GDP, with companies excelling in software development, outsourcing, and business process management.
Agricultural Importance: Agriculture remains a crucial sector, employing a significant portion of the population, although its contribution to GDP is declining.
Challenges and Opportunities
While India's economic trajectory is promising, it faces challenges such as:
Infrastructure Gaps: Improving infrastructure, including transportation, energy, and digital connectivity, is essential for sustained growth.
Poverty and Inequality: Addressing poverty and reducing income inequality remains a priority.
Education and Skill Development: Investing in education and skill development is crucial to enhancing human capital.
Environmental Concerns: One of the main challenges is balancing environmental sustainability with economic growth.
Despite these challenges, India offers immense opportunities for businesses and investors:
Large Consumer Market: The growing middle class presents a lucrative market for consumer goods and services.
Favorable Government Policies: The government's focus on economic reforms and ease of doing business creates a conducive environment for investment.
Digital Transformation: India's rapid adoption of digital technologies presents opportunities in e-commerce, fintech, and digital payments.
The Road Ahead
While the Nifty 50's performance has been impressive, challenges remain. Inflationary pressures, global economic uncertainties, and the potential impact of a prolonged geopolitical standoff could pose risks. However, India's demographic dividend, its digital transformation, and its focus on renewable energy offer promising avenues for long-term growth. Continued focus on infrastructure, education, and skill development will be crucial for realizing its full potential.
In today's complex geopolitical environment, India seems well-placed to take advantage of the opportunities arising from global supply chain disruptions. The performance of the Nifty 50 index reflects India's increasing economic influence and its potential to emerge as a global manufacturing and consumption hub.
SWING IDEA - ICICI LOMBARD GENIn this analysis, we will explore key technical indicators and chart patterns that suggest ICICI Lombard GEN may be poised for a favorable uptrend. We'll delve into the factors contributing to the positive sentiment surrounding the stock.
Reasons are listed below :
The 1410 levels underwent multiple tests before the price eventually broke through. Currently, the price is in the process of retesting those levels.
Hammer candle (positive sign) on a very crucial support zone.
50EMA support on daily timeframe.
0.382 Fibonacci support.
Stock price is above 50 and 200EMA i.e the trend is intact.
Target - 1490 // 1611
StopLoss - Daily close below 1370
NSE:CERA India toilet boom 🚽 get set go..Half of India couldn't access a toilet 5 years ago. Modi built 110M latrines
Incorporated in July 1998, Cera Sanitaryware Ltd is headed by Mr Vikram Somany; the company manufactures sanitaryware and faucets and outsources wellness products and tiles. The sanitaryware and faucet plants are in Kadi, Gujarat, with capacity of 36 lakh and 18.5 lakh pieces per annum, respectively.
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The Company has been constantly launching new designs in Sanitaryware, Faucets and Tiles. The new designs are indigenously developed by in-house teams, after feedback from the market. This helps the Company to be seen a leader in product offerings. #
NSE:CERA
SGX: CY6U Capitaland India Trust AnalysisDisclosure: As of 07/12/2024 I have no open position in SGX: CY6U
Capitaland India Trust is a REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) that invests in commercial real estate across India.
They invest in office, data center, and logistics properties. Their portfolio is diversified across 5 major cities in India. In order of exposure: Hyderabad, Bangalor, Chennai, Pune, and Mumbai.
One risk to be aware of is the currency fluctuations of INR to SGD as well as the currency in you home country may affect returns. The company is highly profitable and looks to have manageable debt positions. Their debt is based in both SGD and INR.
The largest tenant of CY6U is Tata Consultancy Services, making up a total of 12% of base rents. The next largest are Infosys and Amazon at 6% and 4% respectively.
The company has a strong record of performance both in terms of profitability and return on investment. Debt levels appear to be manageable and management very competent.
***Please Note: Debt to equity shown in the chart is out of date. Check most recent reports on CY6U investor relations for current debt levels***
The company is currently trading below book value and has a P/E of less than 10. With a dividend yield of 6% you have an earnings and dividend return of 15%. This is not including any potential growth the company may experience in its earnings or asset value.
Summary: Capitaland India Trust seems to be a quality company that is likely undervalued. Potentially due to the fact it is listed in Singapore as opposed to in India. Considering the growth in India buying this high quality assets below book value looks very appealing. I will update with further research and if I open a position.