India
US-China Rift: India's Golden Hour?Heightened trade tensions between the United States and China, characterized by substantial US tariffs on Chinese goods, inadvertently create a favorable environment for India. The significant difference in tariff rates—considerably lower for Indian imports than Chinese ones—positions India as an attractive alternative manufacturing base for corporations seeking to mitigate costs and geopolitical risks when supplying the US market. This tariff advantage presents a unique strategic opening for the Indian economy.
Evidence of this shift is already apparent, with major players like Apple reportedly exploring increased iPhone imports from India and even accelerating shipments ahead of tariff deadlines. This trend extends beyond Apple, as other global electronics manufacturers, including Samsung and potentially even some Chinese firms, evaluate shifting production or export routes through India. Such moves stand to significantly bolster India's "Make in India" initiative and enhance its role within global electronics value chains.
The potential influx of manufacturing activity, investment, and exports translates into substantial tailwinds for India's benchmark Nifty 50 index. Increased economic growth, higher corporate earnings for constituent companies (especially in manufacturing and logistics), greater foreign investment, and positive market sentiment are all likely outcomes. However, realizing this potential requires India to address persistent challenges related to infrastructure, policy stability, and ease of doing business, while also navigating competition from other low-tariff nations and seeking favorable terms in ongoing trade negotiations with the US.
Infosys Vs Nifty IT The markings on the chart are based on the Elliott Wave theory.
The IT index has lagged in strength over the last 1+ year and now seem to enter the next wave C down. While the index made a new high, the internal moves are corrective and divergent on the RSI which makes it a better wave (B) candidate.
The next few weeks should be a sharp fall in the IT stocks as wave (c) tend to be quick and less time taking.
QUICK LOOK AT A FEW INDICATORS AND INTEREST IN A SERIES?Quick overview testing out the upload from a browser on a ethernet connection computer vs wifi with the desktop downloaded app. Do you find value in this and want to make a regular series? Contact me if so and follow. Esp if your a developer and want to add some videos to your products, free, locked or paid. Im game. Platforms, customization and breaking down analytics is the life. Its what i enjoy and maybe you will too!
Thank you All,
DrawDownKing CME_MINI:ES1!
Omnichart presents - NIFTY/(USDINR) long term trend Nifty's performance when compared to US dollar (vs its base currency i.e. Indian Rupee) broke above a long term since 2007 resistance through Dec 2020. As you can see it broke above the blue line in Dec 2020 and has been outperforming the dollar - to -rupee. What this means is that investing US dollars to buy Nifty started becoming more profitable in Dec 2020 vs just keeping the wealth in US Dollars (not converting to INR). This is in a long term uptrend - what this means is that investing US dollars in NIFTY long term is a profitable strategy.
MY Call sept 2024 SUPER CYCLE TOP Last sept I talked about The wave structure for India The world strongest Market and stated we would see a blowoff thru the monthly channel to END the bull market . We so far have had a Nice 5 down then a ABC up and now another 5 waves down And NO it is NOT an ABC decline .Reason The 4 wave low went thur the long term channel for a typical 4 wave which always forms a blow off thru the Top of that channel to END the long term Bull market. So so We should see a very choppy a ABC rally for a few weeks at most Before The REAL BOTTOM FALLING OUT . into OCT 10th week But That is NOT the Final low That comes OCT 11/oct 16th 2026 The CRASH LOW WORLDWIDE END of THE DEFLATION CYCLE .THERE IS NO WHERE TO HIDE OUTSIDE of the US $ Best of trades WAVETIMER
$GAIL REVIVES US LNG PLANS POST-TRUMP BAN LIFTNSE:GAIL REVIVES US LNG PLANS POST-TRUMP BAN LIFT
1/7
Good morning, energy traders! ☀️⚡️
Major shake-up in the LNG world: India’s GAIL is back on the hunt for a US LNG stake or long-term deals. What’s fueling this move? Let’s break it down!
2/7 – THE BACKSTORY
• Trump administration lifts the ban on new LNG export permits.
• GAIL had plans on ice since 2023—now they’re back in action.
• Sandeep Kumar Gupta (GAIL’s chairman) says: “We’re reviving our plans to buy a stake or sign long-term LNG contracts.”
3/7 – WHY IT MATTERS
• LNG Prices: Expected to soften post-2026 as supply ramps up.
• Impact on India: Cheaper energy imports, eye on boosting gas to 15% of energy mix by 2030. ♻️
• US Benefit: Strengthens position as a global LNG exporter—hello, bullish signals for Cheniere Energy (LNG) and Venture Global!
4/7 – MARKET IMPACT
• Prices: More supply could translate to downward pressure on LNG prices.
• Investment Angle: US LNG producers & infrastructure might see capital inflows. Keep an eye on relevant tickers!
• Energy Security: India aims for a cleaner, more reliable energy mix—this is long-term strategy at play.
5/7 – STRATEGIC ANGLE
• Aligns with India’s push to expand natural gas usage from ~6% to 15% by 2030.
• US Gains: Jobs, economic boost, and stronger foothold in global energy markets.
• Trade Partnerships: Could deepen economic ties between US & India.
6/8 What’s your take on GAIL’s US LNG strategy?
1️⃣ Bullish on US LNG exports 🐂
2️⃣ Bearish on LNG prices post-2026 🐻
3️⃣ Waiting for more clarity ↔️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – YOUR TRADING PLAYBOOK
• Short-Term: Watch for volatility in LNG stocks (like LNG, Venture Global). GAIL might see a spike on renewed interest.
• Long-Term: Growing LNG supply + India’s energy push = potential contrarian bet on energy stocks before the broader market catches up.
BAJAJHFL Short term IdeaBAJAJHFL is at breakout level. It has tested the TL 2 times and now the swing broke.
People who are looking for low risk and High reward can look this.
This is not a call, please analyze and consult your financial advisor before investing.
Entry can be at Spot(115.29) or safe players can enter above 120, your Risk will be 110(Stoploss) and Targets T1 - 145, T2 - 180.
Estimated Holding time - 3 to 6 months, maximum - 1 year
What's Going On With ITC?NSE:ITC has had a recent de-merger which let to a price decline of more than 5% last week. However the stock was already in a retracement phase as seen on weekly timeframe and it went down all the way to 430 rupees which was the 71.8% retracement level.
The current BB range is 400 to 500 which is a 20-25% volatility range in the 3 Standard Deviations. The price is almost in middle of it. It is above the 21 EMA which serves as the basis.
The RSI is above 50 and just above the MA.
Anything can happen. It can fall down all the way to 400 or it can shoot up all the way to 500 in just a couple of days.
I have a buy position already but I need to be cautious and continuously monitor it as the volatility is high.
It would be better to monitor it on an hourly basis and focus on the RSI Channel.
Once its broken, We can move to a daily time frame and make hold vs exit decision.
DELHIVERY INTRADAY TARGETS DONE!Delhivery on the 15-minute timeframe delivered a stellar intraday performance, achieving all predefined targets with precision. This long trade was executed using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , ensuring a well-timed entry and a disciplined approach.
Delhivery Key Levels:
TP1: 340.80 ✅
TP2: 346.20 ✅
TP3: 351.60 ✅
TP4: 354.90 ✅
Delhivery Technical Analysis:
The trade was initiated at an entry price of 337.45, with a stop-loss positioned at 334.75 to limit downside risk.
Delhivery exhibited strong bullish momentum, crossing the Risological trend line early in the session.
The stock maintained upward movement, achieving all take-profit levels in this intraday trade. This setup highlights the power of the Risological indicator in capturing quick and profitable opportunities in volatile markets.
All the best and do follow me for more success stories, insights, tips and profitable stock calls.
Namaste!
Can a Corporate Titan Withstand the Tremors of Allegations?In the high-stakes arena of global business, few narratives captivate the imagination quite like the meteoric rise and sudden turbulence of an economic powerhouse. The Adani Group once celebrated as a paragon of Indian entrepreneurial success, now finds itself navigating treacherous waters of legal scrutiny and market skepticism. What began as a remarkable journey of a diamond trader turned infrastructure magnate has transformed into a complex tale of ambition, power, and potential corporate misconduct that challenges our understanding of success in the modern economic landscape.
The allegations against Gautam Adani—ranging from securities fraud to a purported massive bribery scheme—represent more than just a corporate challenge; they symbolize a pivotal moment of reckoning for corporate governance in emerging markets. With U.S. prosecutors indicting Adani and a damaging report by Hindenburg Research accusing the group of "the largest con in corporate history," the conglomerate has witnessed a staggering $68 billion evaporation of market value. This precipitous fall from grace serves as a stark reminder that even the most seemingly invincible corporate empires can be vulnerable to the harsh light of forensic scrutiny and legal investigation.
The unfolding saga transcends the individual narrative of Gautam Adani, touching upon broader themes of economic development, political connections, and the delicate balance between entrepreneurial ambition and ethical conduct. As the Adani Group confronts these unprecedented challenges, the world watches with bated breath, understanding that the outcome will not merely determine the fate of one business empire, but potentially reshape perceptions of India's economic credibility on the global stage. The resilience, transparency, and response of the Adani Group in the face of these allegations will serve as a critical case study in corporate accountability and the complex interplay between business, politics, and regulatory oversight.
Ultimately, this narrative invites us to reflect on the fundamental principles of corporate integrity and the thin line between visionary entrepreneurship and potential systemic manipulation. As investors, policymakers, and global observers, we are compelled to ask: Can reputation, built over decades, withstand the seismic tremors of serious allegations? The Adani Group's journey offers a compelling, real-time exploration of this profound question, challenging our assumptions about success, power, and the intricate mechanisms that govern global business ecosystems.