BANKNIFTYBANKNIFTY is showing 5 waves down from the top. Considering this as an impulse move, the current upward structure can only be corrective. This may retrace 50-61.8% fibonacci level where it could reverse with a sharp decline. Currently, an invalidation level can only be considered at the 46,300 top, i.e start of wave 1.
This idea is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. Manage your own risk while investing/Trading.
India
WRX quick tradeHello again!
So, besides the longer charts, let's see what Fractalic one can bring to us.
Few days ago I've seen BINANCE:OGUSDT forming the exact same pattern as it has shown in April, now with BINANCE:WRXUSDT i see the same formation either from July (better scenario) or June (meh but still ok).
If we're at June's formation:
- Quick buy at 0.102-0.103
- Sell at 0.112
Profit: 9%
If we're at July's one:
- Enter at 0.098-0.1
- Sell partly at 0.112 / 0.12 / 0.132
Overall profit: 17% - 32%
Don't forget to use Stop Loss, however with CRYPTO:WRXUSD we're very close to the bottomish bottom of the bottom. This coin has served as a lifechanger for some giving a ridiculous 10500% in 2021. Dumped hardest 98,85%, accordingly. And still is always performing pump/dump scenarios here and there even being this low.
So, let's see what will it bring to us in a longer term, too. Giving a shot that it's mostly Indian market and I believe India to hop on its exponential growth very soon, we can make that lifechanger candle great again.
Potential Buy / set Take Profit in the sky / and Forget if we'll ever go to 0.08 or if we will surpass this long support line and move further to 0.05-ish.
POSITIVE MOOD FROM MOON LANDING SAVED INDIAN RUPEE, FOR NOWWe love sentimental trade ideas. There is nothing better trade than those stemming purely from sentiments. We shared timely long USDINR pair and we have attached the link below.
The positive sentiments from Moon landing drove INR higher yet on macro level, this changes NOTHING .
Congratulations to India and all Indians!
-Signalwyse Team
TATA CHEMICALSTATA CHEMICALS - There is a bearish cycle forming on the stock. As long as the price stays below the invalidation of 1084, bearish pressure could remain and could move towards the 800 level with a strong resistance.
This idea is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. Any trade/Investment should be managed with proper risk management.
ADANI PORTSADANI PORTS has made a diagonal structure after the drop. As wave 1 completes, there would be 38.2-50% correction on the stock which are important fibonacci levels. These levels also coincide with a strong resistance area where a bullish reversal can be found (wave 3).
This idea is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. Trade/Invest with your own risk management.
SENESEX SENSEX - has formed an ending diagonal like most indices in the Indian market. This concludes a correction point for the markets. Price should remain bearish below the invalidation level (on chart).
Corrections can be seen up to 38.2 fib level (at 51,000 mark). Or lower.
This idea is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. Any investment/trade should be made with your own risk management.
HDFCBANK HDFCBANK - The stock has a bearish wave downwards and could continue to further lower levels. A consolidation below the trendline is a possibility. However, the moves are quite strong when in wave 3.
This idea is based on the Elliott Wave theory. Manage your own trade/Investment with proper risk management.
NSE:TALBROAUTO - Weak hands out ?? ready for next leg upTalbros Automotive Components Limited is an India-based company that is primarily engaged in the manufacturing of automotive components. The Company offers a range of products, including multi-layer steel gasket, exhaust manifold gasket, rubber molded gasket, cylinder head gasket, gasket with electrical controls, edge molded gasket and heat shield. It also offers a range of products, including kingpins, gear blanks, housing and yoke shafts, power transmission parts for hybrid and electric drive, and vehicle structural parts. Its auto component has its presence across automobile categories in two-wheelers, passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles and farm equipment. It offers manufacturing capabilities, including three-dimensional (3D) modeling, dies and tool design, and 3D design. Its gasket manufacturing facilities are located in Faridabad, Haryana; Pune, Maharashtra, and Sitarganj, Uttarakhand. Its forging manufacturing facilities are located in Bawal, Haryana.
Source Bloomberg
USDINR Go ShortUSDINR is at the resistance zone, if manage to close below, we can see a potential downside.
This is purely a technical view. Any change in sentiments can affect the price adversely.
Please do like and subscribe. Any suggestions or advice is humbly welcomed.
Disclaimer:I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst, and the views expressed here are solely my own and for educational purposes only. Make sure you consult your Financial advisor before investing, as I won't be responsible for any losses incurred.
NIFTY - Structures and CorrectionsA follow up on the previous idea:
The market seem to have completed the structure. As long as the price remains below the Invalidation level, the bearish view remains active. The monthly candle also seems to be closing inside the structure which supports this idea.
This is only an idea based on the Elliott Wave Theory. Manage your own risk while trading/Investing.
SOLARA is ready to breakout channel patternNSE:SOLARA is ready to break channel pattern in upside.
Financials is moderate and debt is relatively high.
Key note : Always follow proper risk management to avoid losing capital from false breakouts as this is common.
Caution : This is a knowledge sharing analysis, not a call.
Profits are not made from following ideas, but by following Risk Management .
NIFTY - A Speculative IdeaThis idea is based on the Elliott Wave Theory - involving the use of ending diagonal pattern. An ending diagonal suggests an end to the ongoing trend (in short-medium term). It involves 5 sub-waves and is mostly broken downwards (or upwards) with a heavy momentum. Overall the market seems to be completing its 5 waves structure too (wave count mentioned in brackets). This calls for a correction where the market retraces back to a previous support level. The Monthly RSI has also moved downwards while the price made a higher wave (inside the diagonal) - this is considered a confirming indicator for an ending diagonal pattern.
However, the idea is derived after ignoring some 'noise' on the chart (wicks). The price is also showing a breakout upward, which could right now be considered a 'false' one. Closing of the price inside the structure is what's important.
Most technical analysis would point to a bullish scenario at this point as the market has been soaring for the past few months. So this is clearly a biased analysis which first assumes that the market needs to be in a correction now.
Any investment or trading based on this needs to be managed properly with appropriate risk/money management.
CESC is ready to breakout channel patternNSE:CESC is ready to break channel pattern in upside.
Technically volume levels are good as up move is with high volume and down move is with less volume.
Financials too looks good.
Key note : Always follow proper risk management to avoid losing capital from false breakouts as this is common.
Caution : This is a knowledge sharing analysis, not a call.
Profits are not made from following ideas, but by following Risk Management .
BankNifty Analysis: Indecision with Bulls and Bears in ControlBased on the provided chart analysis, here is a revised summary of the current market situation:
On the daily timeframe, the market formed a perfect Doji candlestick, indicating indecision among market participants. It opened within the previous day's high and fell to 45000, where it found support and staged a recovery in a V-shaped pattern. The market then rallied to 45651 but subsequently fell again in a V-shaped pattern. This double reversal suggests both bears and bulls are strong, seizing control when opportunities arise.
The market has established major resistance levels at 45651 and a minor resistance at 45475. Major support levels are seen at 45000 and 44906, with a minor support at 45135. On the 1-hour timeframe, an inside candlestick pattern has formed.
Open interest data reveals that the 45300 strike price has a significant straddle of around 20L, while the 45200 and 45400 strike prices show a decent amount of put and call short positions, respectively. The major support level at 45000 has 41L puts, and the major resistance level at 45500 has 37L calls. The PCR (Put-Call Ratio) is 1.45, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Analyzing FII (Foreign Institutional Investor) data, it shows that they have a higher number of long positions in calls (7.78L) compared to short positions (4.76L). In puts, FII data shows more long positions (10.1L) compared to short positions (7.6L). FII Futures Data suggests a bullish sentiment with a value of 1173cr, and FII Stock Data indicates a bullish sentiment with a value of 2134cr.
Considering the analysis, the market is likely to be range-bound between 45000 and 45500, resulting in frequent reversals. Potential trades can be initiated if the market breaks above 45651 or below 43906. Alternatively, a break above 45364 could lead to an upside trade with a target of 100-120 points, while a break below 45223 could lead to a downside target of 45118.
Please note that this analysis is based solely on the information provided and does not constitute financial advice. It is recommended to consult with a qualified financial professional or conduct further research before making any investment decisions.
Navigating Bank Nifty's Tides: Breakouts, Halts, and Sideways MaBased on the daily timeframe chart, it is observed that every time Bank Nifty has attempted to break its all-time high, it has either halted or formed an inside bar. Furthermore, the recent volume levels are the lowest seen in months. When comparing the trendline drawn from the last low of 16 march to the volume, it is evident that the volumes are decreasing. This could be an indication of a sideways market since the participants' involvement is limited. However, it's worth noting that the candle formed on Friday was bullish, which adds some confusion.
On the 15-minute timeframe, Bank Nifty has formed a double top around 44,800. Additionally, the VIX (Volatility Index) is currently at one of its lowest points. Based on these factors, it seems unlikely that the VIX will experience further downside movement. On the contrary, it is anticipated to move upwards.
Looking at the open interest data, it is observed that there is significant put writing at 44,500 (53L) and 44,600 (23.3L), with relatively lower call writing. The only notable resistance is at 44,800, with 24L in call writing and 12.4L in put writing. Surprisingly, there isn't much call writing at the 45,000 level, which is unusual (24.4L in calls and 5.24L in puts). The PCR (Put Call Ratio) is at 1.45, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Analyzing the FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) options data, there are 7.48L contracts in long calls and 4.76L in short calls, while for puts, there are 9.37L in long contracts and 7.74L in short contracts. This change in open interest indicates a bullish sentiment. Additionally, the FII futures data shows a positive value of 1539.9 crores, suggesting a bullish outlook. The FII stock data also supports this sentiment, with a positive value of 6397.1 crores.
In conclusion, based on the available data, the market appears to be bullish with no significant resistance ahead, except at 44,800 and 45,000 levels. However, historical patterns indicate a tendency for a halt after breaking the all-time high. Hence, it's important to keep this historical behavior in mind.
Regarding trades, if Bank Nifty opens flat and breaks the day's high, one can consider going long directly. In case of a gap-up opening, it is advisable to wait for a retest or at least for the gap to be filled before looking for long positions. If the market opens with a gap down, it is recommended to refrain from trading as it may lead to a sideways market.