Nifty 50 Ready For A Rally? Medium Term Analysis + Trade Ideas ---> Is Nifty 50 (Indian Markets) Ready for a rally? Will Markets stop correcting? Has the short/medium term bottom been made in the market at 15700?
Nifty has been in a downtrend for the past few months due to a variety of factors like FII Selling, Geopolitical Tensions, etc. The market has corrected nearly 16% from All-Time High and now it is looking to bounce back after touching 15700.
As the problems look to ease across the globe and as all international markets are recovering. Nifty50 has rallied from the bottom and has broken out from the trendline it has tested multiple times. This breakout is a crucial factor for the bulls to stay. This breakout can cause a rally in the near term but for the bulls to continue we need fundamental factors to be positive or at least neutral. It looks to also take out the 200 EMA which will also act as a support in the near term.
Therefore it's time to go long in Nifty. Check out my other stock ideas too.
LONG @ 16870
SL @ 16400
TARGET @ 17680
RISK REWARD RATIO -1.75:1
If This Rally Sustains, Fundamental Factors like Geopolitical tensions, Rate Hikes, crude prices, etc. Get Resolved and other resistances are taken out, we can expect 15700 to be the bottom and get ready for another bull run for the next few years. The Valuations of many stocks have also cooled down and are now fairly or undervalued.
So it is wise to deploy money into investing in good quality companies.
But any negative news or deteriorating economy or fundamentals can trigger a further crash. As for now, markets are bullish and bears might exit after a long time. Even if the markets go down by a bit. Quality Stocks will find their way back up.
Note: Views are personal, Not Responsible for P & L. DYOR before trading/Investing.
Kindly Checkout my view on the current bull run in S&P 500 which I have attached below in related ideas.
Indianstocks
LINDEINDIA - Momentum Play - Target 2670, 2756, 2945LINDEINDIA had a massive run up in last 18-20 months and has formed a bull flag pattern. Currently its consolidating with in the Flag Pattern. Momentum has picked up for this stock and getting ready to breakout of the upper trend line, with short targets 2670, 2756, 2945 by end of Jan 2022 or even earlier. If it fails to close above the upper trend line 2-3 consecutive days, it might pull back and further consolidate. Momentum has picked up, I expect breakout, let's see.
Nifty 50 Short Term Analysis + Options Trading StrategyNifty has been in a downtrend for the past few months due to a variety of factors like FII Selling, Geopolitical Tensions etc. So even though overall trend looks negative.
As the problems looks to ease across the globe. Nifty50 has rallied from the bottom and is looking to breakout. This is the only hope for bulls to stay dalal Street and the market to gain some bullishness in the near term. If not bears would be back in the market will undergo correction and continue in the overall downtrend.
Note: Views are personal, Not Responsible for P & L. DYOR before trading.
Options Strategy for a bullish Stance expecting Breakout:
-1x 17MAR2022 15500PE - ₹ 100.85
-1x 17MAR2022 17100CE - ₹ 18.25
-1x 17MAR2022 17100PE - ₹ 1010.15
-1x 17MAR2022 15500CE - ₹ 766.1
+2x 17MAR2022 15400PE - ₹ 85.1
+2x 17MAR2022 17200CE - ₹ 12.75
+1x 17MAR2022 17150CE - ₹ 25.45
Max. Profit ₹ Undefined
Max. Loss ₹ -6,285
Estimated Margin/Premium ₹ +190,428
Options Strategy for a bearish stance expecting reversal:
+1x 17MAR2022 17200CE - ₹ 62.9
+1x 17MAR2022 16700PE - ₹ 217.7
-1x 17MAR2022 17450CE - ₹ 31.6
-1x 17MAR2022 16000PE - ₹ 47.85
Max. Profit ₹ +24,942 (74.60%)
Max. Loss₹ -10,058 (-30.08%)
Max. RR Ratio 1:2.48
Estimated Margin/Premium ₹ +33,435
PURE PRICE ACTION SERIESPOTENTAIL MOVES FOR COMING DAYS AS MARKET IS CONCERN ITS IS MOVING IN NARRO RANGE YOU CAN HEDGE YOUR POSITIONS & DONT GO FOR NAKED OPTIONS BUYING
As i have also suggested a stock which i am seeing as a potential for upside is IEX it has came in far oversold zone funda,entally very good stock upto 30% upside is possible
(ONSE:RHIM) RHI Magnestia India Capital Cycle Play?RHIMagnestia India ltd earlier known as Orient Refractories Limited (ORL) is in the business of manufacturing and marketing special refractory products, systems
and services to the steel industry in India and Globally. It is a market leader for special refractories in India and has many global customers for its international quality products.
KEY POINTS
Revenue Breakup
Presently, the company earns 74% of its revenues from manufacturing of refractories and 22% from trading of refractory items.
Dependent Industries
Demand for refractory is primarily dependent on steel industry, which accounts for 75% of total sales. Refractory products are also used glass, cement, non-ferrous, petrochemicals, etc.
Manufacturing Facilities
The company has 2 manufacturing facilities located in Bhiwadi, Rajasthan and Tangi, Odisha for its manufacutring operations.
Capacity Expansion & Investment
In FY20, The company purchased certain assets of Manishri Refractories & Ceramics Pvt Ltd's plant situated at Cuttack, Odisha for ~44 crores. The plant has capacity of 10,000 tonnes of MGU bricks which will be increased to 18,000 tonnes post capex.
It also acquired 100% stake in Intermetal Engineers India Pvt Ltd for 10 crores for manufacturing of steel plant equipments which are exported to its customers in Gulf and African Region and caters to 400 plant customers in India.
Merger Scheme
The company proposed a merger scheme to merge RHIIndia and RHIClasil (promoter group entities) with the company.
The merger would issue ~4 crore equity shares to the shareholders of RHIIndia and RHIClasil which would have increased the equity capital of the company to 16 crores.
The scheme was rejected by the NCLT in March 2020. However, the NCLAT directed NCLT to approve the scheme without any delays January, 2021.
Acquisition by RHIMagnesita
RHIMagnesita acquired 43.6% stake in the company from the core shareholders in March, 2013.
It further acquired 26% stake through an open offer in April 2013.
RHIMagnesita is a global leader in refractories with largest number of manufacturing locations around the world.
Disc: Not invested as yet , might add a tracking position next week.
Why Laxmi Organics is a strong Short to Medium term BUY NSE:LXCHEM
TEN POINTS
1. Laxmi Organic Industries is a specialty chemical manufacturer, focused on two key business segments - Acetyl Intermediates (AI) and Specialty Intermediates (SI)..The company is currently among the largest manufacturers of ethyl acetate in India with a market share of approximately 30% of the Indian ethyl acetate market. Laxmi Organic exports about 25% of the manufactured products.
Additionally, it is the only manufacturer of diketene derivatives in India with a market share of approximately 55% of the Indian diketene derivatives market in terms of revenue in FY21 and one of the largest portfolios of diketene products
2. Stock gained 50% in one month only after listing -hitting a high of 628 and reported a significant jump in its net profit to ₹98.68 crore in the quarter ending June as compared to ₹18 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal. Its revenue from operations also witnessed a massive jump to ₹689 crore from 354 crore in the year-ago quarter.
3. However massive rainfall in Pune factory forced the company to close one of its factories for some time during the SEP 21 quarter and Net profit tumbled from ~98 cr in SEP 21 to 10.3 cr in SEP 21 qtr.
4. Coupled with profit booking the stock tumbled to 385 levels.
5. After a 3 month consolidation the company seems to be turning around its limitations shown in the previous quarter.
6. On the positive side- India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has upgraded Laxmi Organic Industries Limited’s (LOIL) Long-Term Issuer Rating to ‘IND AA-’ from
‘IND A+’. The Outlook is Stable, the ratings agency quoted
7. Despite 60% decline in SI volumes on qoq basis on account of 45 days shut down at SI Unit (Mahad) which caused heavy loss, Laxmi’s H1FY22 profits were close to FY21 performance led by rapid growth in specialty business and higher spreads in acetyl business during the first quarter and normalised acetyl spreads during the second quarter. There is a strong visibility on SI order book for H2FY22. Laxmi has acquired significant international accounts during Q2FY22, as 24% of SI sales were from exports as against 5% in Q2FY21.
8. Buying at current levels is recommended for a short to medium term target of 500-520 for the short term and 620 for the longer term.
9. Maintain stop loss around 430
10. Risk reward ratio of 1:3