$NSE:TATAELXSI Learnings - Time correction/opportunity costNSE:TATAELXSI
🔰Analyzing Tata Elxsi: A Case of Valuation & Earnings Stability ⤵️
🔰 PE Ratio Halved: From 100 to 50
✅ The PE ratio dropped from around 100 to 50, signaling a shift in market sentiment or correction from an overvalued state.
🔰 Timewise Correction, Not a Price Drop
✅ The stock has gone through a timewise correction with sideways movement instead of a steep decline.
↳ This often indicates consolidation after a significant rally.
🔰 Earnings Stability
✅ Despite the PE decline, EPS (Earnings Per Share) remains stable or slightly increasing.
↳ A positive indicator that the company’s earnings capacity is intact.
🔰 Market Sentiment vs. Fundamentals
✅ The PE ratio drop without a corresponding decrease in earnings shows a recalibration of growth expectations.
↳ Remember, valuation and market sentiment can diverge from a company’s actual performance.
🔰 Timing is Key
✅ Entering when valuation is high can lead to modest returns, even if the company performs well.
↳ Patience and strategic timing are crucial.
🔰 Long-Term Perspective
✅ Tata Elxsi’s stable earnings during a timewise correction show the benefits of holding strong fundamentals over short-term volatility.
🔰 Strategic Takeaway
✅ Look beyond PE ratios—understand the business, sector dynamics, and macroeconomic factors.
↳ Align your investment strategy with market conditions and company performance.
Indiastocks
Multiyear breakout- going steel strong !!BSE:RUDRA
Research Report: Rudra Global Infra Products Ltd.
1. Company Overview
Rudra Global Infra Products Ltd. (RGIPL) is a significant player in the Indian steel manufacturing sector, specifically focusing on TMT Bars production. Incorporated in Bhavnagar, Gujarat, RGIPL began as M.D. Inducto Cast Pvt. Ltd. in 2013, initially producing MS billets. By 2014, the company expanded into TMT Bars manufacturing, leveraging the rising demand for steel products in Gujarat. Rebranded in 2016, RGIPL has consistently grown, both in scale and scope, enhancing its capacity from 1.2 lakh tons to 2.4 lakh tons annually in its Steel Melting Shop (SMS) and Rolling Mill (RM) divisions.
Strategic Expansion:
Backward Integration: RGIPL has successfully implemented backward integration by using scrap from its ship recycling business to produce steel billets, minimizing environmental impact and reducing costs. This vertical integration provides RGIPL with a competitive edge, ensuring a steady supply of high-quality raw materials at lower costs.
Forward Integration: The company has also engaged in forward integration, expanding its product offerings and enhancing its market reach. The launch of the "Rudra TMX" brand in 2014 marked a significant milestone, positioning the company as a premium TMT Bars manufacturer.
Recent Developments:
RGIPL has diversified into aerospace and defense sectors through its subsidiary, Rudra Aerospace and Defence Pvt. Ltd., which focuses on precision and investment casting solutions.
The company has also been actively involved in sustainable practices, integrating renewable energy sources into its operations and adopting a circular economy model in its scrap processing activities.
2. Industry Outlook
Global and Indian Steel Industry:
The global steel industry is poised for moderate growth, driven by infrastructure development, urbanization, and government initiatives in emerging economies. According to the World Steel Association, the demand for steel is expected to grow steadily, with non-flat products like Bars & Rods, particularly in high demand.
India, being one of the largest steel producers globally, has seen significant growth in crude steel production, with an increase of 13.6% in 2023-24. The Indian government’s infrastructure projects, such as the National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) and PM Gati Shakti, are set to fuel the demand for steel products in the coming years.
Gujarat Steel Industry:
Gujarat, one of India’s most industrially developed states, contributes significantly to the country’s steel output. The state’s robust infrastructure, policy support, and strong industrial base make it a favorable location for steel manufacturing.
3. Technical Analysis
The monthly chart for Rudra Global Infra Products Ltd. (NSE: RUDRA) indicates a strong bullish breakout from a multi-year resistance level around ₹64.25, with the current price surging to ₹69.00. This breakout is accompanied by a substantial increase in trading volume, suggesting strong buying interest and potential for further upside.
Key Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages: The stock price is trading well above the 20-month and 50-month moving averages, indicating a sustained bullish trend.
Volume Analysis: The surge in volume during the breakout reinforces the strength of the move, suggesting that the stock is under accumulation by institutional investors.
Resistance and Support: Having broken through the previous resistance level, the next potential target could be ₹100, with strong support at ₹64.25.
4. Financial Highlights
Revenue Growth: RGIPL has seen consistent revenue growth, with a sales figure of ₹557.03 crores in FY 2024, up from ₹452.51 crores in FY 2023.
Profitability: The company has maintained a healthy EBITDA margin, reflecting efficient cost management and operational efficiency.
Leverage: With a debt-to-equity ratio that has decreased over the years, RGIPL is well-positioned to manage its financial obligations and fund future expansions.
5. Strategic Growth and Sustainability
RGIPL is focused on sustainable growth, integrating renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power into its operations. The company’s commitment to a zero-liquid discharge policy and efficient scrap processing highlights its dedication to environmental stewardship. These initiatives not only reduce operational costs but also enhance the company’s reputation as a socially responsible entity.
Key Milestones:
2019: Installation of a 20 MT induction furnace, doubling billet production capacity.
2023: Commencement of a continuous stand rolling mill, further increasing TMT Bar production capacity.
Future Plans: The company aims to become entirely energy self-sufficient by 2029, relying solely on renewable energy sources.
6. Conclusion
Rudra Global Infra Products Ltd. is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for steel in India, particularly in Gujarat. With its integrated operations, focus on sustainability, and recent technical breakout, RGIPL presents a compelling investment opportunity. The company’s strong financials, continuous capacity expansion, and diversification into new sectors like aerospace and defense further bolster its growth prospects.
Investment Thesis:
Bullish Outlook: The recent technical breakout and volume surge suggest a strong bullish outlook, with potential targets in the ₹100 range.
Long-Term Growth: RGIPL’s focus on backward and forward integration, along with its sustainable practices, positions it well for long-term growth in the Indian steel industry.
Recommendation:
Buy: Given the technical setup and strong fundamentals, RGIPL is a recommended buy for long-term investors looking to capitalize on growth in the Indian steel sector.
Disc: no investment as of now , however may add position if breakout sustain , if closes below previous month - exit sign
No recommendation
Source: Investor's presentation
NSE:CERA India toilet boom 🚽 get set go..Half of India couldn't access a toilet 5 years ago. Modi built 110M latrines
Incorporated in July 1998, Cera Sanitaryware Ltd is headed by Mr Vikram Somany; the company manufactures sanitaryware and faucets and outsources wellness products and tiles. The sanitaryware and faucet plants are in Kadi, Gujarat, with capacity of 36 lakh and 18.5 lakh pieces per annum, respectively.
#
The Company has been constantly launching new designs in Sanitaryware, Faucets and Tiles. The new designs are indigenously developed by in-house teams, after feedback from the market. This helps the Company to be seen a leader in product offerings. #
NSE:CERA
BSE ltd - what's my trade plan 📈💡NSE:BSE
Performance: BSE LTD's performance in the market has been stable with significant growth in its key business segments.
Market Dominance: BSE LTD continues to dominate as one of the leading stock exchanges in India, dealing with a wide array of asset classes.
Technological Advancements: BSE LTD has made significant technological advancements to provide efficient and robust trading systems.
Revenue Streams: BSE LTD has diverse revenue streams such as transaction charges, depository charges, membership fees, and listing fees, contributing to its stable financial performance.
Regulatory Compliance: BSE LTD operates under strict regulatory compliance, ensuring the interest of investors.
Partnerships: BSE LTD has formed strategic partnerships globally, enhancing its market reach and influence.
Investment Opportunities: With a high potential for growth, BSE LTD presents promising investment opportunities for traders and investors.
disc: Invested , will look for averaging up
DALBHARAT has 55% upside open from CMP...15% in near term.Another day another Cement stock!
The cement sector does not seem to have any shortage of upside potential even in 2024.
Another stock with a good trading setup is DALBHARAT.
The stock is entering into wave III of Wave III of Wave 3(i know it sounds crazy but that's how the extensive sub-division of cement stocks has been)
INR 2260 which happens to be reversal point today intraday for the stock will act as a crucial support for the stock.
INR 2600 could be the very near-term target on the stock while INR 3500 will the target for those who wish to hold this for a bit longer duration.
The Risk-reward from current levels can not really get better.
Wave 3 in JTEKTINDIA can kickstart a 60% rally in the stock!The stock had witnessed a five wave impulsive rise in March 2023 which went on till Aug 2023.
The impulse drove the price of the stock up by 76% from March bottom.
This phase was then followed by a three month long correction(zig-zag or ABC) leading to a 50% retracement of the gains made during the impulsive wave.
Now that the corrective phase is over, the stock has slowly started making minor waves to the upside to unfold a major wave 3 that can be projected going towards the INR 210-220 zone(55-60% from CMP).
The stock closed at a +4.26% gain on Tuesday's session alongside massive uptick in volumes - signs of fresh buying.
CMP - 138
SL - 127
TARGET - 220
Wave 3 in AARTIDRUGS can push price up by 80%!!The Stock witnessed a five-wave impulsive rise beginning in March 2023 and ending in July 2023.
The impulse move led to a 105% rally in the stock in a matter of just 5 months.
Since the completion of the wave 1 in July however, the stock went into the corrective wave 2 structure between July-October. The corrective phase can be marked as an Elliot wave Zig-zag(ABC) and led to a 50% retracement of the wave 1.
This phase ended in October and between October-November the stock displayed a slow moving leading diagonal as the first sign of reversal from the bottom of INR 444.This tiny diagonal is the only starting piece of the massive leg that is yet to unfold in the stock, taking it towards the INR 900 mark. The diagonal and its correction can be labeled as wave i&ii of 3 respectively and
now the stock has "jump-started" the wave iii of 3 on 18DEC with a +4.2% closing alongside uptick in volumes.
Upon successfully surpassing INR500 level, the stock shall be at the INR550 in 'very quick move'.
INR 900 is the projected target region for the Wave 3.
On the downside INR 470 can be used as 'SL'.
Note*- The views expressed are based on personal opinions and observations. Please do your own research before making any trading/investing decisions.
MAHLOG is on the verge of breaking out of 2.5years old trendlineThe stock is attempting to breakout from a major trend line resistance that has kept the stock in a 'downtrend' for almost 2.5years now.
A close above INR 400 could mean a quick run for the stock towards INR 420 level.
Above INR 420 however is the region where the stock would almost 'fly' towards INR 500.
But since 420 is a prior supply zone one could expect some congestion in the 400-420 zone before the stock takes out 420.
INR 360-420 can also be considered as a long term accumulation range in the stock. The stock has spent almost 10-11 months in this range giving ample time to the interested parties to accumulate it for the future.
A breakout above the trendline and also above 420 could provide some great momentum to the stock in coming weeks/months to scale up to INR 500 mark.
Note*- The explanation of chart is based on personal opinions/observations. Please do your own research before making any trading/investing decisions.
TDPS preparing for a zonal breakout and 15-20% rally!!The stock had given a successful breakout from a major resistance/supply zone of INR263-270 in Nov 2023 and subsequently formed a one month trading range right above the breakout zone.
INR 285-290 is now the new resistance zone that the stock is now eyeing to breakout out from in order to go past the INR 300 mark.
On Wednesday's trading session the stock broke out from a minor trend line resistance with a slight uptick in volume. This minor breakout can provide the necessary fuel for the stock to clear the INR285-290 zone with some momentum.
CMP - 278
SL - 264(5%)
TARGET - 320(15%)
RR - 1:3
Note*- Not a suggestion to buy/sell but a personal opinion on the stock. Please do your own research before taking any investing/trading decisions.
A new wave began in BIOCON _35% upside The bio pharma company is on its way towards the 320 in a wave 3 structure according to the Elliot wave. That shall be a 35% jump from the CMP.
The biologics major had set out an impressive impulse wave from march 2023 - Sep. 2023 and rallied around 45% during this period.
Upon the completion of the wave 1 however the company slid down in wave 2 structure(Elliot wave zig zag in this case) and completed a crucial 61.8% retracement of the Wave 1 rise.
The stock is making a move right from this crucial 61.8% retracement support level.
The Wave 3 target is projected to be around 320 zone.
It is also important to note that Biocon posted a 168% year-on-year rise in its consolidated net profit for the September quarter to Rs 126 crore. Biocon's revenues grew by 50% to Rs 3,462.3 crore. The results were declared on Friday after the market hours and the stock gained a little over 3% on Muhurat Day trading(Sunday evening).
Note*- This chart is based on personal observations/opinions. Please do your own research/analysis before making any financial decisions.
NSE : UJJIVANSFB - Train of this small finance bank left NSE:UJJIVANSFB
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Limited is a mass market focused bank in India, catering to financially unserved and underserved segments and committed to building financial inclusion in the country. It started its operations as Ujjivan Financial Services Limited, a Non-Banking Financial Company in 2005 with the mission to provide financial services to the ‘economically active poor’ who were not adequately served by financial institutions.
disc: Invested , do you own research .
Keep your trades simple_ZYDUS_TRADE_SETUPWhen a stock gives you a clean breakout, you take it!!
INR 650 level had been providing a strong resistance to this particular stock for more than 4 months now. The stock, in an attempt to go past this resistance made few dips and rallies which led to formation of an inverted head &shoulders pattern on the chart.
INR 650 was the neckline of the pattern and the stock broke the neckline and closed above it with vol expansion on Thursday's trading session.
The target pattern projection suggests an upward target of around INR720-730 for the stock.
INR 650 should be a major support now.
CMP - INR 657
SUPPORT - INR 650
TARGET - INR 720
SL - INR 635
Note*- The views expressed are based on personal observations/opinions. Please do you own research before making any trading decisions.
TRADE SETUP_25% Target in NRB BEARINGSNRB Bearings Limited, engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of ball and roller bearings for original equipment manufacturers(OEM's) in India and internationally.
The stock is displaying clean(without overlaps) Elliot waves since March 2023 bottom. Wave v of the current structure is now kicking in with a projected price of around 330-340 zone.
In the even bigger picture this anticipated wave v would become the wave v of a bigger wave 3 bringing the wave 3 to a pause.
From current levels however the stock offers good risk/reward for a short term trade with possibly 25% gains to be made.
CMP 268
SL 253
Target 330-340
Wave V of 3 in INDIGOThe airline company is seen trying to begin the wave iii of V of 3 in an attempt to go past previous ATH and then towards the 3K mark.
It should also be noted that Indian airlines will operate a total of 23,732 flights every week during the winter schedule( approved by the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA). As per the new order, the said number of departures is an 8 per cent rise in the number of flights compared to a year ago period.
Since indigo is the largest Indian passenger carrier it will benefit from this upbeat schedule.
It presents a good trading set up with excellent RR
SL- 2390
TGT- 2790
TRADE SETUP_LIC HOUSINGFIN_10% upsideThe stock was seen rising in march 2023 in wave 1 all the way till June 2023. The retracement to this wave came in next 1month through the month of July.
Then from July till late September the stock was seen advancing up in wave 3.It spend the month of October subsequently in wave 4 corrective phase and now towards the year end, the stock is ready for wave 5 take off and can move towards 500 mark in November-December.
It should be noted that since the wave 3 was shorter than wave 1 it should be presumed that wave 5 will be the shortest and therefore a modest target of 500 is projected for this stock.
The stock is currently near a strong support area of 450.
440 can be used as a SL.
Please note the wave counts have been studied and marked on a 3hour chart.
Note*- Views expressed here are my personal observations/opinions. Always do your own analysis/research before taking up any financial position.
ULTRATECH CEMENT- PATHWAY TO 12K AS PER WEEKLY WAVE COUNTSThe largest and most prosperous cement company of India- Ultratech Cement is expected to have more upside of 30-40% from current levels as the weekly wave counts suggest.
To put it in very simple words without using too much of Elliot wave jargon, the next leg up is unfolding now which can be projected going somewhere closer to 9200.(the current wave structure technically should be labeled as 1-2-I-II-i-ii-iii-iv-v, which is simply read as Wave v of Wave III of Wave 3).
The inner rising channel boundaries can be used as a pathway until the bigger wave 3 does not complete.
I hope the chart is self explanatory and would not require too much of decoding as to what i am trying to convey.
Note*- this is not a buy/sell recommendation. this post is for educational purpose only.
Apex Frozen Foods Ltd (Apex) 🫳🏿 time now ??? Apex Frozen Foods Ltd (Apex) is an integrated producer and exporter of processed shrimps based in Andhra Pradesh, South India. The company has a capacity of 29,240MT.
In Q3-FY23, Apex experienced a 1% year-on-year decline in revenue due to reduced demand in key export markets such as the US and EU, as well as a supply shortage of specific-size raw materials.
Despite the decline in export prices, the company managed to maintain stable realisation year-on-year, helped by rupee depreciation. This is because the decrease in the export price in dollars was offset by the depreciation of the rupee.
Apex's future growth will be driven by its backward integration (hatchery), an increase in the newly-added capacity, and a larger contribution from value-added products.
The company has expanded its ready-to-eat (RTE) capacity from 5,000MT to 10,000MT and anticipates starting commercial production in Q4-FY23.
Apex is currently awaiting approval to sell RTE products from the new capacity in the European market. Europe currently contributes to only 18% of total revenue.
The company's earnings are expected to grow at a 45% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over FY22-24.
Apex is currently trading at 9x 1Yr Forward Price to Earnings (Fwd P/E). The company is valued at 10x (3Yr Average=10x) on FY24 Earnings Per Share (EPS)
disc: Invested , first trance taken
NSE : JBMA - JBM Auto for next rally for over 100%??NSE:JBMA
JBM Auto Ltd is an automotive company engaged in the manufacturing and sale of sheet metal components, tools, dies & moulds, and buses, including spare parts and maintenance contracts. 🚗💡🔧🚌
The Auto Components Segment: 🚘
Manufactures auto systems and high-level assemblies such as chassis & suspension systems, aesthetical parts, and BIW parts & assemblies. 🛠️🔩
The OEM Segment: ⚡🚌
Focuses on manufacturing technologically superior buses customized for different operating patterns. 📈
Developed and delivered electric buses, with an order book of around 1500 buses, including 200 electric ones. ⚡🚌
Tool Room Division: 🔧💼📐
Manufactures tools and dies for turnkey projects.
Major focus on safety critical items like chassis & suspension systems and key aesthetical parts.
Customer Base: 🌐🤝
Includes major OEMs like Ashok Leyland, Daimler, Nissan, Renault, Ford, Toyota, Volvo, Tata, and more.
Manufacturing Capabilities: 🏭📍🚚
15 manufacturing facilities strategically located near major OEM hubs.
Amalgamation of Subsidiaries: 💼🤝🔄
JB MA Automotive Pvt Ltd and JBM Auto Systems Pvt Ltd amalgamated with JBM Auto Ltd.
(Note: Please consult the original source for more detailed and up-to-date information)
Disc: Invested , second trance added today ,
Godfrey Phillips Possible BreakoutThe idea here is about Godfrey Phillips:
Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. operates as a holding company. It engages in the manufacture and marketing of tobacco related products. The firm operates through the following segments: Cigarette, Tobacco and Related Products and Retail and Related Products. Its cigarette brands include Marlboro, Red & White, Cavanders, Four Square, Stellar, and North Pole and Tipper.
My view is bullish short term(Swing trade) for the below observed technical factors.
Points as per TA on a Weekly Chart:
1.Contracting or Symmetrical Triangle formation on a weekly chart as per below:
2. Double Bottom formation on a weekly chart as per below:
3. Possible Bearish Gartley harmonic pattern in progress at the time of publishing as per below:
4. Ichimoku cloud Senkou Span A support established on weekly chart as per below:
5. Support established on 20 EMA & trading way above 200 EMA on a weekly chart as per below:
6. Trading above 20 & 200 EMA on daily chart.
7. Ichimoku Cloud analysis: Kumo Breakout & Kumo Twist on a daily, weekly & monthly chart is Strong for an upward momentum at the time of publishing.
8. RSI is at 52.44 on a weekly Chart and 53.73 on daily chart at the time of publishing.
9. MACD above signal line on weekly & daily chart.
10. Hull Moving average and other moving averages on a daily,weekly & monthly chart is a strong buy.
11. ADX (Average directional index ) trend strength is at 10.69 on a weekly and 8.70 on a daily chart which indicates a absent or weak trend ( ADX between 0-25 is a Absent or weak trend).
Projected Target: provided in the chart.
Stop Loss: Provided in the chart.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
Do you like my TA & ideas!!
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Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Cheers.
JPPOWER Wait for Bulls & Trend ReversalThe idea here is about Jai Prakash Power Ventures:
Jai prakash Power Ventures Ltd. engages in the generation of power. It operates through the following segments: Power and Transmission, Coal, and Other. The Power and Transmission segment includes generation, sale, and transmission of power. The Coal segment refers to the coal mining for captive use in energy generation. The Other segment consists of cement grinding.
My view is short term bearish & long term Bullish for the below observed technical factors.
Points as per TA on a Monthly, Weekly & daily Chart:
1. Contracting or symmetrical triangle formation observed with ABCD completed and expected move towards E on Elliott’s triangle pattern on a weekly chart as per below:
2. Cup & Handle formation observed on a Monthly chart & under ranging market at the time of publishing as per below:
3. Bearish Anti Butterfly Harmonic pattern completed swing target 2: A Swing = 6.45 which is also contracting or symmetrical triangle support zone as per below:
4. Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern CD leg in progress, min & max XD distance on Fib is 0.786 for Gartley which is 6.30. Which is also approx to contracting or symmetrical triangle support zone & Target 2 on Bearish Anti Butterfly Harmonic Pattern as per below:
5. Possible Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern observed & price to be rejected @ 8.50 due to resistance zone & Bearish Anti Butterfly B point on a weekly chart as per below :
6. Elliott’s Bullish triangle ABCD points completed and Price direction towards E point on a weekly chart as per below:
7. Possible Head & Shoulder pattern observed on daily chart with support zone @ 6.75 as per below:
8. Trading way above 20 & 200 EMA on a weekly chart & 20 EMA cross over expected soon.
9. Trading above 200 EMA & 20 EMA Support on weekly chart.
10. Ichimoku Cloud analysis: Kumo Breakout & Kumo Twist on a daily & weekly is strong uptrend & monthly chart is consolidating at the time of publishing.
11. RSI is at 54.17 on a weekly Chart and 49.44 on daily chart at the time of publishing.
12. MACD above signal line on weekly & daily chart, However it is converging towards signal line on weekly chart.
13. Hull Moving average on daily is a sell and other moving averages on weekly & monthly chart is a strong buy.
14. ADX ( Average directional index ) trend strength is at 23.43 on a weekly & 11.70 on daily chart, which indicates a absent or weak trend ( ADX between 0-25 is a Absent or weak trend).
Projected Target with %: Wait for bulls to take over once the price hits 6.60 to 6.45 and enter long since the Risk to Reward looks damn good(Final % provided in chart), since the Earnings report which was on 22nd Oct 2022, looks good this week will give more clarity on Entry points,
Stop Loss: Entry only once we have confirmation for long.
Note: Any dip can be considered as accumulation.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
Do you like my TA & ideas!!
Want to keep yourself updated with current market action? Then don’t forget boost & to subscribe for more analysis.
Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
Cheers.