Dollar Index Needs Some Rest, Exhaustion Signs on Daily ChartI said in my previous analysis that DXY can reversed down or goes up to bull channel line.
Bulls pushed price up to the channel line. Also we can see a climatic bar that is sign of exhaustion. Usually we have 2 legged pullbacks after these climatic moves.
Another bull channel is clear on daily chart. We see a channel line price overshoot that is another sign for exhaustive moves. These movements will be reversed after maximum 5 bars into channel area. (Already reversed into channel zone.)
I think DXY needs rest and some downward correction in next week (or weeks).
What do you think about this chart? Feel Free and Comment Below!
Indicates
Fundamental vs. Price Action on DXY, which one wins?This analysis is on weekly and daily chart of DXY before Wednesday FOMC.
I think index is so over bought and needs some correction.
Needs correction but don’t lose your sight on overall trend.
Strong bull trends, bulls will buy first trend line break, any pullbacks.
S&P500 Decision PointBulls were strong enough to break the first bearish TL on July 19, 2022.
They pushed price up to the next major bearish TL and then reversed down from there.
Daily prior high and low are marked up. Now this indicate is near the prior low so we have to see what will happen tomorrow.
Bulls will try to create HL and then go up and test the TL. Bears also try to break below bear trend extreme and tests the weekly prior low.
NASDAQ Weekly Cycle / Breakout of Bull Channel / DailyI mark up NASDAQ weekly cycle below:
Breakout phase started in March 2020 and after first pullback, NASDAQ started its movement within bull channel.
Recently it broke its channel from downside with strong bear candle closed near its low and no lower tail. Also the close of this candle is below prior major low. Altogether tells us that we are not longer in bull trend. Bull trend is now ended!!
After breaking bull trendline and close below prior major low we have 2 scenarios:
1. Trading Range Phase 2. Reversal Down Phase (2nd Leg Down)
Checking daily chart for more details. We see series of bear bars with no deep pullbacks that broke bull trendline. Buyers enter the market at 13880-14067 and push price higher but as you see bears sell again at 50% PB meaning that bears still in power.
Strong legs usually have 2nd legs, like here we can expect 2nd leg down to happen if bulls couldn't push price higher. So I thick 13880-14067 will be tested again by bears and they will try to break it. Watch this zone to recognize what will the next market cycle phase, trading range or reversal down.
**This is not an investment/trading advice. Your capital might be at risk.**
Give me your idea on comments...
Good Luck...
Update of NASDAQ Trading Range Breakout / Wait for Buyers / H4I was waiting for buy setup to get long at bottom of trading range but NASDAQ break the TR from bottom.
A 3 pushes down as a wedge is clear on daily timeframe so if price wants fall more,
it needs to retraces back to the trading range and then continue to move down.
So I expect NASDAQ to moves up and then continue falling down.
**This is not an investment advice. Your capital might be at risk.**
Give me your idea on comments...
Good Luck...
NASDAQ Arrived at Bottom of Trading Range / Look for Buy / H4Best strategy in trading range phase is to buy at bottom and sell at top of the range.
US100 is now at 1/4 bottom of trading range and you have to look for buy setups. ( Small Unclear Wedge )
Also remember that 80% of trading range breakout attempts fail. No matter how strong bears pushed price down.
US100 strong bull legs / Higher levels expected / H4After retracement got stopped at the key level + Fibonacci level,
bulls enter the market and broke the trendline.
If price retraces more and tests lower prices,
I will get long and expect 16771.1 to be tested by bulls.
**This is not an investment advice. Your capital might be at risk.**
Give me your idea on comments...
Good Luck...