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#NFP. Win big or feel the pain! Analysis from 11/19/24Currently, the coin is in a sideways trend, where asset distribution is taking place. A breakout above the resistance level will indicate buyer strength and the potential for further growth. Exiting such accumulation zones, especially in this market, will most likely result in an upward impulse, so it makes sense to try and catch this movement. However, if the $0.2350 level is lost, we will most likely head straight for a support test, after which we will have a clearer understanding of where the price is likely to move next (probably working from sales rather than purchases, as we are doing now). DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
1
#DOGE 1H. Sideways movement and potential entry point. 11/20/24Elon Musk continues to actively support and promote this cryptocurrency, mentioning it in various contexts (e.g., tweets, interviews, news, etc.), which can influence the coin's price. After a sharp price increase (a strong impulse), I expect its value to stabilize and remain at the same level for some time (sideways movement, as we see now). Personally, I will wait for the right moment to open a long position around $0.322, which is considered a key entry zone due to its high-volume level (many pending orders, strong buyer presence).
Long
by trendbooster
The Overlooked Indicator Outstanding SharesThe Overlooked Indicator: How Changes in Outstanding Shares Impact Long-Term Investments When evaluating a company for long-term investment, most investors focus on familiar metrics such as revenue growth, earnings per share (EPS), and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios. However, one crucial indicator often overlooked or misunderstood is the change in a company's outstanding shares over time. This variable plays a significant role in determining the market capitalization and, ultimately, the shareholder's stake in the company. Understanding Outstanding Shares and Market Capitalization Outstanding shares represent the total number of shares a company has issued and are held by all shareholders, including institutional investors, retail investors, and insiders. These shares are a key component in calculating a company’s market capitalization, which is simply: Market Capitalization = Outstanding Shares × Share Price Market Capitalization=Outstanding Shares×Share Price While market capitalization is widely referenced, changes in outstanding shares are often neglected, even though they can significantly influence the per-share value of a company. Issuing and Repurchasing Shares: A Tale of Two Strategies Companies can increase or decrease the number of outstanding shares for various reasons: Issuing New Shares: When companies issue additional shares, often to raise capital or fund growth initiatives, they dilute existing shareholders' ownership. This dilution can have a material impact on the value of each share, as the same company’s equity is now spread over a larger number of shares. Share Buybacks: Conversely, when companies repurchase their own shares, they reduce the number of outstanding shares, effectively concentrating ownership among the remaining shareholders. This often boosts metrics like earnings per share (EPS), making the company appear more attractive to investors. Case Study: Microsoft and MicroStrategy To illustrate the impact of changes in outstanding shares, let’s examine two contrasting examples: Microsoft (MSFT) and MicroStrategy (MSTR). Microsoft (MSFT): In 2020, Microsoft had 17.8 billion outstanding shares. By 2024, this number had been reduced to 15.2 billion—a 15% reduction. This significant buyback program demonstrates Microsoft’s commitment to returning value to shareholders. Reducing outstanding shares enhances per-share metrics and can indicate confidence in the company’s financial health and future. MicroStrategy (MSTR): In stark contrast, MicroStrategy increased its outstanding shares from 100 million in 2020 to 197.2 million in 2024—a staggering 97% increase. This massive share issuance reflects a dilution of shareholder value. While the additional capital raised might have been used to fund growth or acquisitions, existing shareholders now own a smaller percentage of the company. The accompanying charts vividly illustrate these trends, highlighting how these strategies can dramatically alter the ownership landscape over time. Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors As a long-term investor, it’s essential to look beyond surface-level metrics and consider how changes in outstanding shares affect your investment. For example: Dilution Risk: A company that frequently issues new shares may struggle to generate sufficient internal capital, signaling potential financial challenges or aggressive expansion strategies that could dilute shareholder value. Share Buybacks: While buybacks can enhance per-share metrics, they are not inherently positive. Investors should ensure the buybacks are funded by strong free cash flow rather than debt, which could jeopardize the company’s financial stability. Impact on Valuation: Adjusting for changes in outstanding shares provides a more accurate picture of a company’s valuation and its ability to generate returns for shareholders. Conclusion Changes in outstanding shares are a critical but often overlooked factor in evaluating a company’s long-term potential. By understanding the implications of share issuance and buybacks, investors can make more informed decisions and avoid common pitfalls in their investment journey. The examples of Microsoft and MicroStrategy serve as a reminder that not all changes in outstanding shares are created equal. For long-term investors, keeping an eye on this overlooked indicator can be the difference between a growing stake in a thriving company and an increasingly diluted piece of the pie.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by controllinghand
Last Time XRPUSD Will Be Under $1! Raise the "Flags"!BITSTAMP:XRPUSD - Bull Flag Prediction Based on lack of Volume and price falling into a Descending Channel. The suspected Flagpole from the Low @ .4860 before the Rally to the current High @ 1.26541, suggest a potential 160% increase in price once a Bullish Break confirms the Bull Flag! First, Price will make a Retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci Level, testing the July 2023 Highs and the Support of the Descending Channel around .94 - .92 cents. Added confluence is the Retracement would also be testing the 200 EMA since the appearance of Golden Cross across all Timeframes! This could be the Last Time BITSTAMP:XRPUSD sees below $1!! Rallies come in waves, if you missed the first, don't miss this one!!
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
My HIGHFIVESETUP Indicator in action on HIMS. Massive gains!My HIGHFIVESETUP Indicator in action on $HIMS. Massive gains! Check out my HIGH-FIVE SETUP trading strategy indicator in action on NYSE:HIMS stock over the last two years! Over 200% gains based on a $10k starting account. - $10k into $31.5k+ - Almost a 90% accuracy based on the buys and sells. - Almost 100% accuracy when we only buy off charting pattern breakouts and retests. As most of my followers know, I've already been using my personal HIGHFIVESETUP trading strategy, and it's been very successful. So, to work smarter, not harder, I decided to create an indicator and trading strategy with my HIGHFIVESETUP to make my charts less cluttered and focus on fewer items. I'm still backtesting across a wide variety of stocks to prove the success of my data-backed strategy. I'm also tweaking some of the script to make sure everything is how I want it, along with the backtesting and trading side of things. What do you think about my HIGHFIVESETUP strategy and my new indicator?
NYSE:HIMSLong
by RonnieV29
10
XRP Short Term Price TargetIf you haven`t bought the dip on XRP: Now you need to know that Ripple’s XRP is showing bullish potential, buoyed by its partial legal victory in July 2023. The court's ruling that only institutional sales of XRP were unregistered securities offerings, while programmatic sales to retail investors were not, has given the token a significant boost in confidence. This ruling marks a crucial milestone for Ripple, alleviating some of the regulatory uncertainty surrounding XRP in the retail market. One factor that adds further optimism is the slow nature of the appeals process. With any higher court ruling unlikely before 2025 and a potential Supreme Court decision not expected until 2026 or beyond, Ripple has time to build momentum and solidify its market position. From a technical perspective, XRP has been forming higher lows, suggesting a strong bullish trendline. With this upward momentum in play, I expect XRP to target $0.64 in the short term. As regulatory clarity continues to develop, XRP could be poised for further growth in the broader crypto landscape.
Long
by TopgOptions
BTC Bitcoin Potential Retracement Soon If you haven`t bought BTC before the recent rally: Now you need to know that Bitcoin’s meteoric rise to an all-time high of $93,434 has reignited excitement in the crypto markets. However, as the euphoria peaks, warning signs suggest that the king of cryptocurrencies might be due for a pullback. Currently trading at a Relative Strength Index (RSI) level of over 86—a threshold signaling overbought conditions—Bitcoin appears overstretched in the short term. Historically, RSI readings above 70 often precede market corrections as buying momentum wanes and profit-taking sets in. While Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals remain strong, its price trajectory has repeatedly shown susceptibility to sharp reversals after rapid ascents. A retracement to $80,000—a key psychological and technical support level—could provide a healthier foundation for Bitcoin’s next leg upward. Traders and investors should remain cautious, especially as Bitcoin consolidates at overheated levels. A correction to $80K might not signal the end of the bull run but rather a necessary recalibration before the next rally.
Short
by TopgOptions
CADJPY / SHORT / M15CADJPY may fall from the Bearish Order Block . Bearish Order Block :- 111.522 and 111.439 CADJPY is approaching a bearish order block between 111.522 and 111.439, where we may anticipate a potential reversal and bearish momentum. Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), this zone aligns with an institutional supply area, suggesting it could act as strong resistance. Additional Analysis: I've incorporated other indicators to confirm bearish bias and identify potential rejection signals within this range. Monitoring price action here may provide further confirmation for a move downward if sellers defend the order block. CADJPY / SHORT / M15 LOT :- 0.1 Entry Price :- 111.440 Take Profit :- 111.252 Stop Loss :- 111.628
Short
by PraveenTrader1
2
Grab Your XAUUSD Scalping Chance!Market Analysis Summary: Buy Opportunity: Targeting the 2620 zone from the 2606-08 level. Sell Opportunity: Market Structure: Overall bearish trend, indicating potential downward movement. Upcoming Events: CPI report is on the horizon, which could introduce market volatility. Key Points to Consider: Monitor the 2730-27 zone for entry signals. Watch for price action around 2690 for potential reversals. Be prepared for fluctuations around the NFP release. Stay informed and adjust your strategies accordingly!
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by bluechipfx
SPY S&P 500 ETF End of the Year Price Target If you haven`t bought the recent dip on SPY: Now with Goldman Sachs lowering U.S. recession odds from 20% to 15% and raising their 2024 year-end S&P 500 target to 6000 from 5600, the outlook for the market appears increasingly optimistic. The reduced recession risk suggests stronger economic stability, and the upward revision in the S&P target points to continued growth potential. Given these factors, I agree that a year-end price target of 600 on SPY is achievable.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
1
DOGE Dogecoin BreakoutIf you haven`t bought DOGE before the previous breakout: nor sold the top: Now you need to know that is primed for a new rally! Dogecoin appears poised for a new rally after breaking out from a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical indicator. The wedge typically signals a reversal from a downward trend, suggesting upward momentum. As the breakout solidifies, Dogecoin could target the $0.22 price level, a significant resistance zone. Strong buying volume following the breakout could fuel the rally, supported by renewed interest in the meme coin and broader market sentiment.
Long
by TopgOptions
Never HODL at the highest point even if the profit is small Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I used TradingView's INDEX chart to see the overall flow of BTC. ----------------------------------------- Let's take a look at the section that showed a big movement. (1M chart) - 13888.32 - 57789.06 - 71320.68 The three points above are where the BW(100) line was created. The fact that the BW(100) line was created means that a high point section has been formed, so there is a high possibility of a decline. Therefore, based on the previous two experiences and looking at the current movement, we can see how important the 71320.68 point is as a support and resistance point. Therefore, we should sell when it falls below 71320.68 in order not to HODL in the high range. In the big picture, the stop loss point has been confirmed. - (1W chart) From the 1W chart, we can see that the 68376.06 point is an important stop loss point. Therefore, we should decide to sell depending on whether there is support in the 68376.06-71320.68 range. - If the BW(0) line is created after the price falls, then it is a strong buying period. Therefore, we should check whether there is support and see if we can buy. The reason is that after buying at the 37929.90 point, there is a possibility that it will fail to rise above the MS-Signal indicator and continue to decline. Therefore, you should not forget that you need to cut your loss when it falls below 37929.90 after buying. If you have a lot of cash left after distributing your investment weight well, you can buy more when the next BW(0) line is created to lower the average purchase price. However, since it is a 1W chart, such a transaction is not easy, so I think it is better to buy again after cutting your loss. - (1D chart) Since BW(0) and BW(100) lines are often created on the 1D chart, it is recommended to use the BW(0) and BW(100) lines created at the current price position for trading. As mentioned earlier or in the chart, you can see that the BW(100) and BW(0) lines appear after the arrows are created, and there is a decline and rise. Therefore, since the arrows are created near the current price, you can see that the BW(100) line is likely to be created soon. Therefore, if you are trying to make a new purchase now, I think it would be better to lower the investment ratio or not to make a transaction at all. In any case, when the BW(100) line is created, you have to stop the transaction in progress or sell some of it. - It is not much, but I think it can be a good reference for trading. If you look at the StErr Line, HA-High, HA-Low, BW(0), and BW(50) indicators together to make this judgment, I think it will be a great help in your trading strategy. Since these indicators can be used on all time frame charts, I think they can help you get an eye for selecting support and resistance points. If you use too many indicators, you can trade incorrectly. Therefore, you should think about how to use the indicators, which indicators to apply to which trading strategy, and think about how to use them accordingly. I hope that this time, you will trade without HODLing at the high point. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by readCrypto
8