005. More evidence of multidimensional market structureWith this video I intend to close my argumentation of a multidimensional market structure
Tools that casts Fibonacci shadows and limits on price movements can be plotted in so many places! Where to plot them?!
This is a common doubt traders have. When we gain experience from market we understand it doesn´t matter. Price will eventualy hit the targets of a chosen set up - if the trend alows it!
This proves my point that there is in fact many more axis of information beyond price movements, and although they cannot be plotted in a 3D chart, we can get those extra dimensionals
And here comes indicators:
This indicator you see is called 'DTM DETONATOR B', really, the best tool I have found to this day. As it dissects through several extra dimensions of price structure, we can forsee direction changes of price trend
This indicator can be found as a paid indicator through the link in my profile and it is free if you sign up to the trading course
I have personaly attended to the the Day Trade Masters couse, definately the best trading course you will find out there as will you leart how to master this increadible tool too, the Detonator.
If you found this information useful, be kind to use my referal link above, thank you!
Indicators
📈MANA Analysis: Identifying Entry Points❗️🔍Today presents an opportune moment for opening positions as the market structure offers potential entry points upon breaking support or resistance lines. Bitcoin's rejection from $64,437 yesterday prompted altcoins to establish lower resistance levels. One such altcoin is MANA, representing the Decentraland project, which, despite previous bullish rallies, now offers a favorable entry opportunity. While the project's fundamentals are significant, our focus lies solely on pinpointing entry points for futures trading.
🎯In line with my preferred strategy, the classic technical analysis approach of identifying breakouts serves as the cornerstone. Personally, I've found this strategy combined with prudent capital management to be remarkably effective. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that each trader must develop their own tailored strategy, as no two traders' nuances can be identical.
📉For a short position, the breakout below the POC fixed range volume profile, while overlapping with short-term support, could provide a low-risk entry. Nonetheless, the primary entry point remains at $0.4056. If entering a position following the POC breakdown, I recommend aiming for risk-to-reward ratios of 2 or 3, aligning with previous analyses' emphasis on lower ratios until major triggers for long or short positions emerge.
📈Patience is key for a long position, waiting for the breakout of the descending trendline and activation of the trigger at $0.4557. In this scenario, a short-term scalp position can be taken. However, refrain from expecting high risk-to-reward ratios until breaking out of the primary box, focusing on ratios of around 2-3 until $0.4977 is surpassed.
🎲Maintaining minimal exposure within the $0.4056 to $0.4977 range is advisable. When entering positions, particularly during the breakdown of major triggers, closing positions upon signs of price reversal is prudent. In case of box breakdowns, the initial low-risk target is $0.3325, followed by $0.5662. However, it's paramount to exercise patience and observe price signals before closing positions post-trigger breakdown.
💥While RSI may not be applicable in a ranging market, it can serve as a helpful tool for setting targets and securing profits. Avoid closing positions if major triggers are breached and RSI enters overbought or oversold territory, as significant price movements may follow.
📊During position entry, monitor candlestick volumes, ensuring alignment with the intended position direction, and avoid entry during divergence.
📝In conclusion, today's analysis underscores the importance of a strategic approach tailored to individual trading styles. By adhering to well-defined entry and risk management protocols, traders can navigate market fluctuations effectively.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
Navigating Gold DynamicsDive deep into the intricate world of gold trading with our comprehensive analysis and forecast. Our expert examination not only uncovers the latest trends in the gold market but also provides valuable insights into the factors shaping its price dynamics. From technical indicators to fundamental analysis, we dissect every aspect influencing gold prices. Stay informed and empowered to make strategic decisions with our actionable recommendations for capitalizing on the ever-evolving gold landscape.
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 175usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $12.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought QCOM on this support:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $6.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BRIEFING Week #18 : Short term Ranges maturing, Patience..Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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004. After many years of search and research, I understoodAfter consulting with experts on fields of math and physics, I wanted to know if there is some kind of mathematical transformation to get those information out of the price movements
To be clear, although we observe a point or a line on a two-dimensional (2D) graph, these elements may be projections or sections of more complex forms in three-dimensional (3D) spaces or even higher dimensions. This perspective can be very useful where transformations and representations in higher dimensions provide insights that are not visible in lower-dimensional projections
Fields of knowledge like multidimensional data and differential geometry can help us
As these areas of mathematics provide the basic tools for working with spaces of various dimensions, including transformations such as rotations, translations, and scaling. These transformations help to understand how lower-dimensional objects (like points and lines in 2D) might be representations of objects in higher-dimensional spaces
In multivariate analysis, for exemple, it deals with data that have multiple dimensions (variables). For example, principal component analysis (PCA) can be used to reduce the dimensionality of a dataset, identifying the directions (principal components) that capture the most variance in the data. These components can be visualized as new dimensions that provide insights into the underlying structure of the data
And finally, data visualization, our main goal here, to plot representation of multidimensional data in a way that allows us to capture additional information
The answer lies on... INDICATORS.
Indicators can serve as multidimensional information that plots extra-dimensions for us in a 2D form.
As an exemple, here is an incredible indicator that plots A LOT of extra-dimensions. Note that the data set indicated by the arrow goes up, almost together with the data set indicated by the blue arrow. And this happens when price goes down or remain almost stable.
And although those indicators show a down trend, they can represent a going toward the computer screen, and when those indicators plot a upward trend, we can understand the price is coming foward to us from the computer screen.
Because is impossible (yet) to have a 3D screen in front of us, we must dissect the 3D information in many 2D plots and interpret them
The vertical red doted lines '1', '2' and '3' shows the points of divergence between price movements and the indicators
002. Price movements are multidimensional in natureHere you can have an idea of what I´m talking about:
That price movements are multidimensional in nature
Although this may be kind of obvious to some, if we could just unlock those movements that are coming from the screen, or are coming in the direction of the screen, maybe this hidden information could help in trading?
In this description of the DGB price movements, we can project the graph inside a 3D cube, but as a projection, we are plotted in 2D
AAPL Apple Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AAPL before reaching all time high:
or sold the beginning of the retracement:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 177.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-3,
for a premium of approximately $2.36.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
HERE ARE 10 COMMON TRADING INDICATORS MADE SIMPLE Chart has all 10.
Hope this helps.
Hope it's simple to understand if you still struggle with indicators.
Remember, no one indicator is good on its own.
Think of an indicator as a sign that you should pay attention to a possibility. For example, if I go to the ocean, maybe I have an indicator that says you're closer to sharks than in the great lakes, will I be eaten? Probably not, but also, there are more sharks and my indicator confirms that. I can't use this one indicator to say, I'm probably about to be eaten. BUT.. Let's say I have multiple indicators that I use to give me a better idea if I'll be eaten. Maybe an indicator tells me there is an oddly higher than avg number of a sharks number 1 food source within the area. Can I say I'll be eaten? No, but I could say, maybe due to the increased food supply, there may be more sharks. What if I have a few more indicators, one of which says there are 30 great whites within 10 miles, and another that says, usually at this time of the year, there are only ever between 2 to 7 great whites. Can I say, Yes, I'll be eaten? NOPE, not yet.
What if I have another indicator that says, across the globe, shark attacks are increasing by a certain percentage, and another that says, there is blood detected within the water you're swimming in, which is lower than the threshold for human's to detect, but higher than the threshold needed for sharks to smell. What if I combine that with an indicator that says, on avg there are 1000 swimmers here, but now, there are under 30. Can I say I'll be eaten? Nope, BUT, I can say, hmm. Something is up and if one of us were to get eaten, I'm more likely to be picked out of 30 people than 1000.
When can I say I'll be eaten? Probably if you build an indicator that can detect bite force and compare to known bit forces of sharks that could sense you're actively being eaten, but at that point, the stock moved already... err I mean, the shark ate already, and you're late to the show..
My point being, use them, but don't always assume when it comes to indicators. Take in all the data and then make a decision. Some indicators fit your style, some won't. Do I need 30 stacked indicators for sharks if I'm swimming in Lake Michigan? Probably not, it would make everything a mess.
So, here there are.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Ah, the RSI, the “I’ve had too much” indicator of the stock market. When it hits above 70, it’s like your stock had too much to drink at the party and is likely to come crashing down. Below 30? It’s been left out in the cold and might be due for a warm-up (a.k.a. price increase). Remember, it’s not foolproof, but then again, neither is your weather app.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): This one’s all about following the crowd. If the volume is increasing, it’s like everyone’s rushing to get the latest iPhone. But remember, even if everyone jumps off a bridge, it doesn’t mean you should too. Always double-check before you follow the herd.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): The SMA is like that reliable friend who’s always a bit behind on the latest trends. It gives you the average closing price over a certain period. It’s simple, it’s moving, it’s average. It’s the SMA.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The EMA is the SMA’s hip younger sibling. It cares more about what happened recently than what happened way back when. It’s great for short-term trading, but remember, even the coolest kids can get things wrong.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): This one sounds complicated, but it’s not. It’s like watching two rabbits on a race track. If the fast rabbit (the 12-day EMA) overtakes the slow rabbit (the 26-day EMA), it’s a bullish signal. If the slow rabbit overtakes the fast one, it’s a bearish signal. Just remember, rabbits are unpredictable!
Fibonacci retracements: Ah, Fibonacci, the Da Vinci of math. These horizontal lines indicate where support and resistance levels might be. It’s like trying to predict where you’ll meet your ex at a party. It could be useful, but don’t rely on it too much.
Stochastic oscillator: This one’s a bit like a pendulum. When it swings one way, it’s likely to swing back the other way soon. It’s great for spotting potential reversals, but remember, even a broken clock is right twice a day.
Bollinger bands: These are like the elastic waistband of your favorite sweatpants. If the price hits the upper band, it might be time to sell (or stop eating pizza). If it hits the lower band, it might be time to buy (or hit the gym).
Average Directional Index (ADX): This one tells you whether the price is trending strongly or just wandering around like a lost puppy. Above 25 is a strong trend, below 20 is weak. But remember, even lost puppies find their way home eventually.
Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) line: This one’s all about supply and demand. If the line is going up, the stock is being accumulated. If it’s going down, it’s being distributed. It’s like tracking whether more people are buying or selling fidget spinners.
Remember, these indicators are like tools in a toolbox. Don’t try to build a house with just a hammer. Use them in combination, understand their limitations, and always do your own research. Happy trading! 📈
VOLUME INDICATORS, PART 2. SEVEN COMMON VOLUME INDICATORS.Understanding Volume Indicators:
Volume indicators are essential tools for traders and analysts, providing insights into market activity and sentiment. In this guide, we'll explore seven common volume indicators and how you can use them to enhance your trading strategies.
1. Volume
Volume is the simplest volume indicator, representing the total number of shares or contracts traded over a specific period. It's like the crowd size at a Super Bowl game—when the stadium is packed and roaring, it indicates a lot of interest and activity. Similarly, high trading volume suggests significant buying or selling activity in the market. Traders often use volume to confirm the strength of price movements and identify potential trends.
Volume, the bedrock of volume analysis, represents the total number of shares or contracts traded over a specific period. Common parameter values range from 20 to 50 periods for short-term analysis and 100 to 200 periods for long-term trends. Remember, volume precedes price movements, so significant changes can hint at impending shifts in direction.
2. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
On-Balance Volume (OBV) adds a cumulative total of volume when the price closes up and subtracts it when the price closes down. It's akin to keeping score of how loud each team's fans are cheering during the Super Bowl game. If one team's supporters get louder as the game progresses, it suggests growing momentum for that team. Likewise, OBV helps traders gauge buying and selling pressure, providing insights into potential price movements. A rising OBV indicates bullish momentum, while a falling OBV suggests bearish sentiment.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) tracks cumulative volume based on price movements. Set your period length typically between 14 to 20 periods for optimal results. A rising OBV confirms bullish trends, while a falling OBV suggests bearish sentiment. Divergences between OBV and price often foreshadow reversals.
3. Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line)
The Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line) combines price and volume to show how much of a security is being accumulated or distributed. It's like a tug-of-war between the two teams during halftime at the Super Bowl. The team with more supporters pulling harder gains ground. Similarly, the A/D Line measures the battle between buyers and sellers. If it's trending upwards, it suggests that accumulation (buying) is outweighing distribution (selling), indicating potential upward price movement.
The Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D Line) gauges the flow of funds into or out of a security. Optimal period lengths range from 14 to 30 periods. Rising A/D Line values signal accumulation and potential price appreciation, while declining values indicate distribution and possible downturns.
4. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures the flow of money into or out of a security based on both price and volume. It's akin to checking the enthusiasm of the fans after each touchdown at the Super Bowl. If the fans are still hyped and buying team merchandise, it suggests sustained enthusiasm and support. CMF helps traders assess the strength of buying or selling pressure. A positive CMF suggests buying pressure, while a negative CMF indicates selling pressure.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) measures buying and selling pressure relative to price movements. Common period lengths vary from 10 to 30 periods. Positive CMF values indicate buying pressure, while negative values suggest selling pressure. Look for divergences between CMF and price for early reversal signals.
5. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculates the average price a security has traded at throughout the day, weighted by volume. It's like a buffet at a Super Bowl party where each dish is labeled with the average popularity rating from all the guests. The more popular dishes have a higher average rating. Similarly, VWAP gives traders a sense of the average price level where most trading activity has occurred. Traders use VWAP to assess whether their trades were executed at favorable prices relative to the day's average.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculates the average price weighted by volume. Period lengths typically range from 20 to 50 periods. VWAP acts as a dynamic support or resistance level, guiding traders on optimal entry and exit points. Monitor deviations from VWAP to identify potential trend shifts.
6. Money Flow Index (MFI)
The Money Flow Index (MFI) measures the rate at which money is flowing into or out of a security based on both price and volume. It's akin to fans at the Super Bowl game exchanging team merchandise and tickets. The more transactions happening, the more money is flowing between fans. MFI helps traders gauge market sentiment. A high MFI suggests strong buying pressure, while a low MFI indicates selling pressure. Traders often look for divergences between MFI and price movements to anticipate potential reversals.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) evaluates the rate of money flow into or out of a security. Optimal period lengths usually range from 10 to 20 periods. High MFI values indicate overbought conditions, while low values suggest oversold conditions. Watch for divergences between MFI and price for reversal signals.
7. Volume Rate of Change (VROC)
Volume Rate of Change (VROC) measures the rate of change in volume over a specific period, showing whether volume is increasing or decreasing rapidly. It's like measuring the acceleration or deceleration of the crowd's excitement level during different parts of the Super Bowl game. If the crowd gets louder and louder as the game progresses, it indicates increasing excitement and momentum. Similarly, a rising VROC suggests increasing buying or selling activity, while a falling VROC suggests waning activity.
Volume Rate of Change (VROC) measures the rate of change in volume over a specific period. Common period lengths vary from 10 to 20 periods. Rising VROC values signify increasing volume momentum, indicating potential price continuation. Falling values may precede price reversals.
GME and VOLUME? Let's go back and see GME on the Weekly
In conclusion, volume indicators provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential price movements. By understanding and incorporating these indicators into your trading strategy, you can make more informed decisions and improve your overall trading performance.
REMEMBER, no one indicator on it's own tells you much, but a lot of different indicators all telling you the same thing at the same area... pay attention to that kind of confirmation.
Hope this helps!!
I've linked PART 1, 10 COMMON INDICATORS.
This post is all Volume related.
You can go in depth with all of these, I don't find it necessary for most traders, but the option is there, however, you'll need someone more advanced than myself to help you through that.
XAUUSD Long Setup: Bullish Reversal PotentialXAUUSD presents a compelling long opportunity, supported by confluence at key levels and oversold conditions. Geopolitical tensions and inflation worries add bullish tailwinds. Entry near support, stop-loss strategy, and target levels outlined. Exercise caution, manage risk diligently. #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
FSLY Fastly Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold FSLY on this head and shoulders chart pattern:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FSLY Fastly prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 12.50usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $1.81.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BRIEFING Week #17 : After the Volatility, the Rotation ?!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD on the strong buy rating:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-3,
for a premium of approximately $2.39.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Unboxing Profits: A Modern Twist on Darvas's Strategy with VWMAIn the mid-20th century, Nicolas Darvas turned a modest investment into millions, all while traveling the world as a professional dancer. His secret? The Darvas Box Theory—a trading method that identifies stocks exhibiting strong upward momentum confirmed by increasing volume. Fast forward to today's digital trading world, and we find that Darvas's principles are still relevant, but they're now supercharged with advanced indicators like the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA).
Reviving a Classic with Modern Tools
Our "Darvas Box Strategy with Visual Signals" leverages the simplicity of Darvas's boxes and pairs it with the insights of a VWMA. This strategy script for TradingView is designed to illuminate clear buy and sell signals on your chart, providing you with a compelling visual cue that marries price action with volume.
The Anatomy of the Strategy
At its core, the strategy is built on two primary components:
Darvas Boxes:
These are virtual 'boxes' that capture the 'high' and 'low' of a stock within a specified period. As per Darvas's original concept, a new box is formed when the stock hits a new high. The top and bottom of these boxes serve as the resistance and support levels.
VWMA:
The VWMA provides more than just an average price level—it integrates volume into the mix, offering a weighted average price based on the amount of activity. This gives traders a sense of whether the price movement is supported by the market's conviction.
Bringing the Strategy to Life
Using the script, traders can set their preferred 'Length' for the Darvas Boxes and 'VWMA Length' to tune the strategy to their trading style. The strategy plots:
VWMA Line: A smooth purple line that trails the price, adjusting with the volume flow.
Darvas Boxes: Visualized by green circles for the tops (resistance) and red circles for the bottoms (support).
Signal Flares for Entry and Exit
What sets this script apart is its ability to provide distinct 'Buy' and 'Sell' signals:
Buy: When the price ascends past the bottom of a Darvas Box and stands above the VWMA, it's an indication of potential upward momentum.
Sell: Conversely, a dip below the top or bottom of the box suggests a possible change in tide, prompting an exit signal.
Custom Alerts for Timely Execution
Recognizing the right moment to enter or exit a trade is crucial. Therefore, our strategy includes built-in alert conditions, ready to notify you of emerging opportunities as they happen.
In Summary
This Darvas Box Strategy with Visual Signals is more than just a nod to a bygone era of trading—it's a dynamic tool that integrates historical wisdom with contemporary analysis, aimed at helping modern traders navigate the markets with greater clarity and confidence.
Remember, while this strategy offers a strong foundation, it's vital to engage it within a broader trading system that accounts for your risk tolerance and market conditions. May your trades be as graceful and deliberate as a dancer's steps, much like Nicolas Darvas himself.
SNAP Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on SNAP:
nor sold SNAP before the previous earnings:
Taking into account SNAP's post-market decline following META's selloff and examining both the options chain and SNAP's chart patterns before this week's earnings report, I'd contemplate acquiring the $10 strike price calls expiring on April 26, 2024.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WDC Western Digital Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WDC before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WDC Western Digital Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 67.50usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $9.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on IBM:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $2.29.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GE General Electric Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GE before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GE General Electric Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 155usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $8.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SPOT Spotify Technology Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t entered SPOT in the buy area:
nor before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SPOT Spotify Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 270usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $20.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.