XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone?📊 XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup
🔹 Market Structure: Gold has been in a strong uptrend, with price currently consolidating near a key demand zone.
🔹 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance: $3,050 - $3,060 (Potential target)
🟣 Demand Zone: $3,030 - $3,035 (Support area)
🟠 Deeper Support: $3,025 (Break below weakens bullish bias)
📈 Potential Trade Setup:
1️⃣ A possible pullback into the demand zone could attract buyers.
2️⃣ Price may wick below liquidity before reversing.
3️⃣ If support holds, we anticipate a move toward $3,050+.
✅ Entry Zone: $3,030 - $3,035
🎯 Target: $3,050 - $3,060
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $3,025
⚠️ Watch for price action confirmation before entering. A strong bullish candle from support could signal entry. Let the market show its hand! 🚀✨
Indicators
BTCUSD 15MINUTES. SHORT TRADE SETUP, CHECK CAPTAIN..This is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 15-minute chart from TradingView, showing a trade setup. Here’s what it means:
1. Resistance Level (Black Line at $84,355-$84,457): Price tested this zone but failed to break above it.
2. Short Trade Setup:
The red arrow indicates a sell entry at the resistance level.
The red box above represents the stop-loss area ($85,223), meaning if the price moves above this, the trade would be invalidated.
The green box below is the take-profit area, with a target around $81,956.
3. Price Rejection: BTC/USD attempted to break resistance but was rejected, suggesting a potential move lower.
4. Liquidity Zone (Blue Box): A previous demand zone where buyers stepped in, indicating a possible support level.
Overall, this chart suggests a bearish trade setup, where the trader expects Bitcoin to decline from the resistance zone.
Chart Analysis and Trading Strategy (2)
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If you look at the candle that the finger is pointing to, you can see that it is a bearish candle with Open > Close.
If you look at this on a 30m chart, you can see that it moves as follows and forms lows and highs.
These candle movements come together to form a candle arrangement, and by looking at this, we ultimately set support and resistance points.
As your understanding of candles deepens, you will study charts in various ways.
The reason is that you may know it when you look at the chart, but you cannot when you trade.
That is, because the understanding of candles is not clear.
As you study the charts over and over again, you will learn that charts tend to converge to the median and average values.
You learn that they converge to the median and average values while studying various indicators, but you end up not knowing what you can learn from them.
What is important in the arrangement of candles is that the arrangement of the Open and Close bodies and the Low and High tails that make up the candles play an important role in setting support and resistance points.
I recommend that you understand this explanation through the Internet or a book.
The reason is that it is something that requires a lot of time investment to acquire.
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The HA-MS indicator was created to quickly display support and resistance points as objective information.
Therefore, you can see that when the channel composed of the HA-Low indicator and the HA-High indicator is broken, a trend is formed, and if not, a sideways movement is shown.
The HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created by combining the arrangement of candles and the RSI indicator on the Heikin-Ashi chart.
Therefore, the trading strategy is used to create a trading strategy depending on whether there is support near the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
The other indicators, BW(0), BW(100), DOM(-60), and DOM(60), are used as support and resistance to create a detailed response strategy.
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Based on this information, trading should be divided into trading in the sideways section and trading in the trend to create a trading strategy.
This trading time is created based on whether there is support in the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
Since it is made of indicators, I think it provides objective information for chart interpretation with others, reducing the room for controversy.
This is the fundamental reason for using indicators.
It is because we can share objective information with each other.
-
In trading within the sideways section, information about the trend is not particularly necessary.
If you set the sideways section with your own indicator or support and resistance points, you can trade based on whether there is support at the end of that section.
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However, when you leave the sideways section, information about the trend is necessary.
That is why we use the M-Signal indicator and Trend Cloud indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts as indicators for the trend.
For short-term information, you can use the M-Signal indicator and Trend Cloud indicator on the 1D chart.
If the Trend Cloud indicator is displayed in green and the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility of a turn to an uptrend.
If not, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility of a downtrend.
The mid- to long-term trend can be identified by checking the arrangement status of the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
That is, if the M-Signal on the 1W chart > the M-Signal on the 1M chart, it can be interpreted that the mid- to long-term trend is maintaining an uptrend.
Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend from a long-term perspective, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, it is recommended to make short trades if possible.
-
To better set the support and resistance points, look at the 1M chart > 1W chart > 1M chart in that order and draw a horizontal line on the indicators (HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), BW(100), DOM(-60), DOM(60)) displayed on the chart and mark them on the chart.
Mark the support and resistance points on the chart as above.
This marks the support and resistance points with the low and high points.
-
It is not easy to start trading at the low or high points every time.
Therefore, as I mentioned earlier, it is important to create a detailed response strategy based on the median and average values.
For this, the StochRSI 50 indicator is displayed.
In addition, the Close of the Heikin-Ashi chart of the 1D chart, which can be usefully utilized when trading below the 1D chart, is added.
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The information I mentioned above is ultimately information that can be obtained through chart analysis.
You can create a trading strategy by deciding whether to check it directly with your eyes and indicate support and resistance points, or to use an indicator that can be checked more quickly.
Chart analysis is about understanding the movement of the chart, and actual trading is conducted according to the trading strategy.
You may think that chart analysis is the trading strategy, but it is not.
No matter how well you analyze charts with your eyes, if you analyze charts when your psychological state is unstable due to subjective thoughts based on various information other than the chart, as I mentioned earlier, you may end up trading in the wrong direction.
To prevent this, it is necessary to use indicators so that subjective thoughts are not applied.
Even if you start trading at the support and resistance points created by the indicator, and it goes in the opposite direction and you suffer a loss, the influence will be weak.
The reason is that you created a trading strategy with the support and resistance points created by the indicator in advance.
Things to consider when starting a trade in a trading strategy are:
1. When to buy or how to buy
2. When to cut loss or how to cut loss
3. How to realize profit
For this reason, it is important to set support and resistance points through chart analysis.
-
It is better to do chart analysis briefly.
If you spend too much time analyzing charts, you may end up being trapped in your own subjective thoughts, so be careful.
I think you can tell whether you will do chart analysis in an analyst-like manner or in a chart analysis necessary for trading by looking at how the support and resistance points are marked on the chart.
The ideas of chart analysis often do not include things that need to be considered when starting a trade.
Therefore, in order to apply them to actual trading, you need to create a trading strategy through chart analysis.
The chart analysis for trading reduces the need for separate chart analysis because the information necessary for the trading strategy is displayed on the chart.
However, it may need to change depending on your investment style or the time frame chart you are actually trading on, but it can be advantageous for trading because the support and resistance points are marked.
To ensure this, you need to create an indicator and receive support and resistance points as objective information.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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QQQ Nasdaq 100 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound SetupIf you haven`t bought the previous oversold area on QQQ:
Now the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), which tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq, has recently entered oversold territory, suggesting that a technical rebound may be imminent. Similar to the Russell 2000, QQQ has experienced significant selling pressure, driving key technical indicators into oversold zones and creating favorable conditions for a bounce.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30, a level that typically signals oversold conditions and the potential for a reversal. Additionally, QQQ is trading near key support levels, with a large portion of its components underperforming their 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a classic setup for a mean reversion rally.
From a historical perspective, QQQ has shown a tendency to rebound strongly after similar oversold conditions, particularly when macroeconomic factors stabilize and buying pressure returns. Given the current technical setup, my price target for QQQ is $550 by the end of the year. This represents a recovery of approximately 8-10% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index.
While downside risks remain — including potential volatility around Federal Reserve policy and broader economic data — the technical backdrop suggests that QQQ is well-positioned for a recovery in the coming months.
Russell 2000 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound OutlookIf you ahven`t bought the Double Bottom on RUT 2K:
Now the Russell 2000 Index (RUT), which tracks small-cap stocks, has recently entered oversold territory, signaling that a potential technical rebound could be on the horizon. Oversold conditions typically occur when selling pressure becomes excessive, driving the index below its fundamental value and creating an opportunity for a corrective bounce.
Several technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), have fallen below the 30 level — a classic oversold signal. Historically, similar setups have led to strong short-term recoveries as buying interest returns once the selling momentum exhausts itself.
Additionally, market breadth indicators suggest that the recent pullback has been broad-based, with a high percentage of RUT 2K components trading below their 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This type of widespread weakness often precedes a period of mean reversion, where prices bounce back toward key resistance levels.
Given these technical signals, my price target for RUT 2K is $2,450 by the end of the year. A rebound toward this level would represent a recovery of approximately 10-12% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index. If broader market sentiment stabilizes and small caps benefit from improving economic conditions or easing rate hike pressures, the path toward this target becomes increasingly plausible.
While downside risks remain — including ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions — the technical setup suggests that RUT 2K is primed for a recovery in the coming months.
NKE NIKE Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NKE before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NKE NIKE prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 73usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
FDX FedEx Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold FDX before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FDX FedEx Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $12.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BRIEFING Week #11 : Are we done ? (nope)Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
TRUMP/USDTFundamental Overview of TRUMP/USDT:
Official Trump Coin (TRUMP) has gained attention due to its association with former President Donald Trump. With a current price of $11.86 and a market capitalization of approximately $2.37 billion, TRUMP ranks among the notable digital assets in the market. (coinmarketcap.com) Its popularity and volatility attract both investors and traders seeking new opportunities.
Technical Analysis:
We see that TRUMP coin is currently trading within a descending channel, respecting two trendlines that form a falling wedge pattern. If the downward momentum persists, we expect the price to drop into the $4.5-$5.0 range, where we anticipate strong buying pressure to emerge.
Key VWAP levels, highlighted with green circles, act as price magnets, making them crucial points of interest for a potential reversal. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels indicate significant resistance around $21.15 (0.618 Fib) and $24.22 (0.786 Fib), which could serve as key breakout targets if the price initiates an upward move.
If the price successfully reclaims these resistance levels, a bullish scenario could unfold, potentially targeting $30+ in the mid-term. However, failure to hold support around $4.5-$5.0 could lead to further downside exploration.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis: Resistance Test & Potential BrPrice Trend:
The chart shows a steady upward movement in the price of gold, starting from late February into March 2025. The price is currently around $2,917.25 and has reached near the resistance level marked on the chart.
Resistance Zone:
The resistance area, located between $2,911 and $2,920, seems to be a crucial level. Gold has faced difficulty breaking through this level multiple times, as seen in the sideways movement after hitting the resistance.
Target Level:
The target above this resistance zone is marked around $2,960, indicating the potential for further price appreciation if gold can break above the current resistance.
Price Action and Potential Breakout:
There's a potential for a breakout as the price appears to be forming a bullish structure near the resistance, indicating that if gold manages to break above this zone, it could continue its upward trajectory toward the target area.
Volume and Market Sentiment:
The volume indicators on the lower part of the chart are not heavily discussed here, but there might be a correlation with market strength. The chart suggests potential consolidation before a move upward if the resistance breaks.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently testing the resistance area, and if it successfully breaks through, it could aim for the target level around $2,960. Keep an eye on this price level as it could signal further bullish movement.
XAU/USD Bullish Outlook: Wyckoff Accumulation & Breakout PotentXAU/USD (Gold) - 2H Chart Analysis 🏆📈
🔹 Wyckoff Structure Insight
The chart shows signs of a Wyckoff Accumulation phase.
UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) at the previous highs suggests a liquidity grab.
Test of the resistance level before a strong rejection downward.
SOW (Sign of Weakness) was observed, but buyers regained control.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Fair Value Range marked below, showing a potential area of demand.
Unfilled Imbalance (EMB unfilled) signals an area where price might revisit before continuing upward.
Gap below indicates a previous liquidity sweep before the bullish reversal.
🔹 Trend & Price Action
The 200 EMA (red line) is holding as dynamic support.
Current price action is showing higher lows and bullish structure development.
Projected bullish move 📈 is expected to test the $2,940+ region.
🔹 Trading Bias: Bullish ✅
A retracement to the EMA or minor pullback could offer re-entry opportunities.
Invalidation level: Below $2,900, where momentum could shift bearish.
🚀 Gold remains strong; watch for breakouts above $2,940!
BTC/USDT Price Analysis: Reversal or More Downside?:
📊 BTC/USDT 2-Hour Chart Analysis
🔻 Current Trend:
BTC is in a downtrend 📉, trading below the 30 EMA (🔴 84,270 USDT) and 200 EMA (🔵 88,644 USDT).
The price is currently 82,406 USDT and approaching a key support zone (🟣 ~80,000 USDT).
Support & Resistance Levels
🟣 Support Zone (~80,000 USDT) – Possible bounce area ⬆️
🟣 Mid-Resistance (~86,000–88,000 USDT) – First hurdle 🚧
🟣 Major Resistance (~96,000 USDT) – Final target 🎯
Possible Price Movement (🔵 Blue Line Projection)
✅ Bullish Case:
If BTC bounces off support 🏋️, it could move towards 88,000 USDT 🚀 and then 96,000 USDT 🎯.
❌ Bearish Case:
If BTC breaks below 80,000 USDT, we might see more downside ⚠️.
💡 Trading Tip:
Watch price action 📊 at support & resistance.
Look for confirmation signals ✅ before entering trades.
🚀 Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 🔥
SPY S&P 500 etf Oversold on the RSI ! 2025 Price Target ! The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is flashing a major buy signal, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sitting at 28.33 — firmly in oversold territory. Historically, every time SPY has entered oversold levels on the RSI, institutional buyers have stepped in aggressively, driving sharp rebounds in the following weeks and months.
The last time SPY dipped below the 30 RSI threshold was during market pullbacks in 2022 and 2023 — both of which were followed by significant rallies as institutions capitalized on discounted valuations. The current setup is no different. With earnings growth stabilizing, inflation cooling, and the Federal Reserve signaling a potential shift toward rate cuts in the second half of the year, the backdrop for a recovery is aligning perfectly.
Technically, SPY is also approaching key support levels that have held strong in past market corrections. The combination of an oversold RSI and strong institutional appetite at these levels creates a compelling case for a bounce.
My price target for SPY by year-end is $640, representing over 15% upside from current levels. With sentiment stretched to the downside and technical indicators flashing green, SPY looks primed for a sharp and sustained rebound. Now could be the perfect time to position for the next leg higher.
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & PredictioDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis – Daily Chart
🔹 Recent Downtrend:
The DXY has been in a strong decline ⬇️ after breaking key support around 104.5 📉.
The price dropped sharply, showing bearish momentum 🚨.
🔹 Key Zones Identified:
Resistance Zone (104.0 – 105.0) ❌📊 (Previously support, now acting as resistance)
Support Zone (100.5 – 101.0) ✅📉 (Potential target for further downside)
🔹 Expected Price Movement:
A possible short-term bounce 🔄 back toward the 104.0 - 104.5 resistance ⚠️.
If rejected ❌, the downtrend may continue toward the 100.5 – 101.0 level 🎯📉.
🔎 Conclusion:
✅ Bearish Bias – Trend favors further downside unless the price reclaims 105.0.
📌 Watch for a retracement before another drop 📉.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: 104.0 – 105.0 🚧
Support: 100.5 – 101.0 🛑
BTC/USD Breakdown? Bearish Target at $70K!🔥
📉 Bitcoin Downtrend Alert! 🚨
📊 BTC/USD (4H Chart) - BITSTAMP
🔻 Bearish Structure!
📉 Lower highs & lower lows – trend is down!
📏 Descending trendline keeping price under pressure.
📌 Resistance Zone (~ FWB:83K - $85K)
🛑 Price struggling to break past strong supply area (purple box).
📉 Support Levels:
🟡 $77,500 🏗️ – Weak support? Possible break!
🔴 Target: $70,000 🎯 – Major support level ahead!
🛠️ Possible Price Action:
1️⃣ Retest resistance 🚀?
2️⃣ Rejection & drop to $77,500 ❌
3️⃣ Break below = CRASH to $70K 💥
⚠️ Warning: Bulls need to reclaim trendline for reversal! Otherwise, bears in control! 🐻💪
📢 Conclusion:
Trend = BEARISH! Until a breakout happens, shorting may be the best play! 🎯
🔥 What do you think? Bullish or Bearish? 🤔👇 #BTC #Crypto
XAUUSD 4H Analysis: Rejection at Resistance – Drop to $2,850?📉 XAUUSD (Gold) 4H Analysis – March 5, 2025
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $2,920 - $2,940 (price is testing this zone)
Support: Around $2,850 - $2,860 (marked as a demand zone)
Market Structure & Projection:
Gold is currently at a resistance level, which has previously acted as a strong supply zone.
The price is showing signs of rejection at resistance, indicating a potential bearish move.
The chart suggests a drop towards the $2,850 support level if price fails to break above resistance.
Indicators & Confluence:
200 EMA (Red Line): Located below the price, showing an overall bullish trend, but short-term correction is possible.
Bearish Structure: The recent push to resistance followed by rejection hints at a potential sell-off.
Liquidity Grab? If price briefly spikes above resistance and then reverses, a deeper drop could be confirmed.
Trading Bias & Strategy:
📉 Bearish Scenario: If rejection at resistance holds, price could head towards $2,850 support.
📈 Bullish Breakout?: If price breaks & closes above resistance with strong volume, upside continuation could be possible.
⚠ Watch for price action at resistance before taking trades. A breakout or rejection confirmation is key.
🔥 What’s Your Take? Bullish or Bearish? Let me know! 🚀📊
XAU/USD 4H Analysis: Key Support, Resistance & Breakout TargetsKey Levels Identified:
Support Zone (~2,875-2,885) 🟣
This is a strong area where price previously bounced.
If price falls below this level, it could drop further toward the next support.
Resistance Zone (~2,915-2,925) 🟣
Price is currently consolidating around this level.
A breakout above resistance could push the price toward the target.
Target (~2,950) 🎯
If the price breaks above resistance, the next key level is around 2,950.
Potential Scenarios:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks above resistance, expect an upward move toward the target (2,950).
Confirmation would come with strong volume and bullish candlestick patterns.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold above support, a drop toward 2,825-2,835 is possible.
A strong bearish candle closing below support would confirm this move.
Current Trend:
The price has been moving in a sideways consolidation between support and resistance.
Watch for a breakout in either direction for the next big move.
AUD/USD at Critical Support – Breakout or Breakdown? 🔍 AUD/USD Daily Chart Analysis – March 9, 2025
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel 📈
The price is moving within an upward channel, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
Support & Resistance Zones 🟦🟥
Support: Around 0.6231 - 0.6200 (blue zone). A breakdown below this could push the price lower toward 0.6129 (orange zone).
Resistance: The 0.6460 - 0.6584 level is the next major hurdle for bulls.
200-Day Moving Average (Red Line) 🔴
The price is currently below the 200-MA, indicating a long-term bearish sentiment. However, a breakout above this level could signal a trend reversal.
Potential Scenarios 📊
✅ Bullish Case: If the price sustains above 0.6231, we could see a bounce towards 0.6460 - 0.6584 in the coming weeks.
❌ Bearish Case: A break below 0.6231 could push the price toward the 0.6129 - 0.6100 region before finding support.
Trade Plan 🎯
Buy Zone: Around 0.6231 with a stop-loss below 0.6200.
Sell Zone: If price rejects 0.6460, a short position could be considered with a stop above 0.6584.
📊 Conclusion: AUD/USD is at a key decision point. Bulls need to hold support for further upside. A breakdown could trigger a bearish move.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would wait for the 2847-50 level to confirm support, and if it did the opportunity to long the market following KOG’s bias level targets would be available to traders. This worked well during the early part of the week as we managed to complete all targets by Tuesday! Once price confirmed encroaching the resistance we decided not to attempt the swing short, instead, trade the choppy range on the indicators which also worked well for traders.
Pre-NFP we released the KOG Report giving the idea to watch the support level 2910, if given the opportunity to long could be available into the higher levels on the boxes. Although we got the pinpoint long, the move did not complete after a 200pip+ capture, not a bad week at all, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse in Camelot hitting a phenomenal 32 Take profit levels.
Well done again to the community.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
It’s a difficult one to decipher this week with the previous weeks range holding into the close on Friday. We have support below at the 2895 with extension into 2885 and resistance at 2930-35 with extension into the 2945 region. We also have the range high and low which you can see on the chart with a slight incline! For that reason, we would suggest best practice for market open is to wait, wait for price to break out of the range with the key levels here being 2920 which needs to break upside to start the move into the 2935 level and above that 2950-55 which is where we may get that potential swing short opportunity from. Please note, here we need to see a daily close above the 2935 region to continue the move upside, ideally, we want to see tap and bounces from these higher levels.
On the flip, if we see resistance at that 2920 level and get a close below our red box support level 2907-10, we can consider the level to level short trades downside targeting the 2885 and potentially below that 2970-75 for now.
As above we'll keep it simple for now, we can’t magic up an idea and hope for the best, when price accumulates like this, we have a fair idea of what it can do, but we need that set up to pull the trigger. Until that comes we can we'll just simply play the range.
You can see from past KOG Reports how extremely powerful the red boxes we share for free are, they almost play price to perfection. So, lets stick with them and let Excalibur lead the way for this week.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2898 with targets above 2920, 2934 and above that 2945
Bearish on break of 2898 with targets below 2895, 2880, 2874 and below that 2868
RED BOXES:
Break above 2916 for 2920, 2925, 2929, 2933 and 2941 in extension of the move
Break below 2900 for 2885, 2876, 2870 and 2868 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
$AFRM $70-$80 target, cup and handle WEEKLY, pt. 2 chartYes, I used the brush and drew that juicy cup and handle. I don't know, friends, this one looks really good for setup to long. Part 1 was posted just before this give it a glance. The EMA and SMA used here was the 50 and in the previous chart was 200.
WSL
BRIEFING Week #10 : Dollar reversed, WTI may be nextHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
XAU/USD Weekly Outlook: Potential Pullback or Breakout?XAU/USD Weekly Chart Analysis 🏆📉📈
1️⃣ Current Price: $2,919.35
2️⃣ Key Observations:
Distribution on H4: Potential sign of a short-term reversal. 📉
Divergence: Suggests weakening momentum at the highs, increasing the probability of a pullback. ⚠️
Multiple Unfilled Mitigation Blocks (MB): Areas of interest where price may retrace for liquidity grabs. 🧐
Fair Volume Ranges: Notable levels around $2,700 - $2,500, where price might stabilize if a correction occurs. 🔄 3️⃣ Potential Scenarios:
If price breaks down from the H4 distribution, expect a retracement toward the nearest MB unfilled levels (~$2,700).
If bulls hold momentum, breaking above current resistance (~$3,000) could push prices into price discovery. 🚀
💡 Conclusion: Watch for price action around the unfilled MBs and fair volume ranges. A correction seems likely unless buyers step in aggressively.
🔥 Trade Wisely & Manage Risk! 🔥