BRIEFING Week #5 : Markets Anticipated, Will Reality Confirm ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
Indicators
Educational (divergence + volume)Hi guys, in order to spot a divergence you should be careful which timeframe you're looking at. for example in the left picture, the daily timeframe is showing higher highs in price (at each candle) and lower highs in RSI (at each candle). but note that these are not highs and lows and as long as you can't find signs of accumulation and distribution in highs and lows (as long as there's no valid consolidation) you can't name them as highs and lows. so there's no divergence. but in the lower time frame (what is shown is 4h) you can see it more clearer that for every candle in the daily time frame, you have a specific trend in the 4H timeframe. so you can name them as highs and lows and yes, there is a divergence now.
also, keep in mind that in the lower timeframe. every time you're making a new high in rsi, you should expect it to be more volatile and be more sensitive in a way that in the next new rsi high, you have less time spent in the overbought area.
The next part is about the volume profile. you have less resistance in front of the price movement where there is less volume traded in the past. BUT NOT ALWAYS!
less trades made in the past in an area means two things:
1- you can expect the price to move faster and sharper and take less time in that area
2- if the price wants to make a low or high or a pattern, it's less predictable and there's more chance of wrong analysis and fake patterns.
Feel free to leave any comments and ask questions!
GJ - DAILY PROJECTION + ANALYSISFor me to enter i would need GJ to come down and hit the current fib and 158.500 or 157.500 to buy it up.
At 164.500 I'll need to assess what price wants to do to there because it can drop from there or it can retrace temporarily and fake everyone into selling at that fib only to continue bullish and raid everyone's stop losses. (I would if I was a bank)
This is probably my 1st choice of outcome as it just screams pure evil and hedge funds. Now as you can see - there are 2 bullish options and they both just depend on the depth of the retracement at the fib.
Basically, it depends on how pissed off the banks are on a Monday morning (today). If they feel like running everyone out of the market, they will flood the market and cause that deep retracement at about 156.500 or 157.500 or lower and THEN continue bullish.
Or they will only cause a shallow liquidity raid and let some of us live at roughly 162.500 or slightly lower and then continue bullish.
Remember - whatever I say here is not verbatim.
ANYTHING and everything can happen. I am always re assessing and readjusting my analysis's - as some of my projections will change mid-week and I'll then have a new projection depending on how price plays out and also depending on this week's news as there's a lot. (I don't trade news)
I will say this again and again - you MUST adapt to the market. Just because your projection at the beginning of the week says one thing it doesn't mean you need to stick to it just to prove to everyone on trading view and on your Instagram that you are 'right'. You will end up losing all your money and end up deleting your insta and blocking everyone.
During the week, if your analysis plays out differently to your Sunday projection so be it! Who cares if your wrong? Change it and adapt to the market conditions and be confident.
That is the difference between professional and amateur traders. There is no shame in being wrong in your analysis. What's wrong is being stubborn and wanting to always be right just to prove a point. The market doesn't give a f*ck if you are right or wrong it will just eliminate you with everyone else. The traders who adapt and evolve with the market conditions are the ones that make it and thrive. The sooner you can do that, the sooner you will make money consistently. :)
ETHUSD can buyers follow up on Yesterday's rally?Hi, and welcome to today’s update. Today we are focusing on ETHUSD after yesterday’s solid rally.
Today’s format is slightly different as we use a double CCI method to analyse the current price action. These methods are nothing new and are primarily used to validate trend continuation ideas.
Indicators, whether you love them or hate them, are just tools. We still need to look at price stricture and levels to gauge the whole picture. Take today’s report. The MA and CCis point to a potential long position, but we still need to see buyers break yesterday’s high to show buyer momentum is back on track. Just after that point, buyers face key resistance at 1665.
Yesterday’s bar broke out of the minor retracement, but we still need to see fresh buying to confirm a new push higher is happening. We have run over these aspects in more detail in today’s video.
Don’t agree or want to add something? Please feel free to drop us a comment.
Recovery for Malaysia Technology SectorWatch the video to see why 2023 will be a recovering tech stock for bursa Malaysia.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
BRIEFING Week #4 : Still want to Play Crystal Ball ?!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
Why you should only think about charts when looking at chartsHello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day.
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When looking at the investment market, the first thing to do is to analyze the chart, and I wanted to say that the most important thing is how to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style with that chart.
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Most people try to predict the movement of the investment market by looking at the announcement of various economic indicators and the contents of global issues (war, corona, etc.).
A big issue must be something that can cause great volatility in the investment market, but it is also clear that when such an issue accumulates, it can no longer create volatility.
So, you should be careful that trying to predict the movement of the investment market with such issues can make a wrong prediction.
Sudden big issues For example, in the case of a global shock due to an issue such as the 9/11 terrorist attack, it may cause great volatility without time to respond.
Other than these issues, most of the chart's price movement will react first.
In order to see this pre-reflection in advance, you need to look at the chart without reflecting factors that can change your psychological state, such as the announcement of various economic indicators or global issues.
I don't think this kind of work is a big deal, but it is a very important factor that occupies a fairly important part of investing.
We need to think a lot about how to figure out the trend only with the movement of the chart, away from the announcement of various economic indicators and thoughts about global issues.
As it rises above the indicator called Low, which was created on June 19, 2022, we can see that it is splitting the flow of the chart in half.
A change in the -100 indicator has always completed a low.
Although it is currently showing a different look than before, it will form a low as long as the -100 indicator is created.
The +100 indicator is an indicator that starts generating when a high is formed.
Therefore, a rise above the +100 indicator means that the uptrend to break the high is likely.
Therefore, in order to show a full-fledged uptrend from the current price position, it must rise above 38K.
The high point has been holding for a long time now.
However, the low point has not yet formed a clear point due to the change of the -100 indicator.
However, as the -100 point is moved near the current price range, the possibility of forming a low is very high.
This shows that we are facing a new trend.
Keeping the price above 17941.69 is most important from a short-term perspective to create this new trend.
The next most important thing is to keep the price above 20552.75.
Then, it completes the appearance of a trough (a phenomenon in which the price drops more before making a bigger rise) before showing an uptrend.
The StochRSI indicator is showing a fairly rapid decline.
We will verify what we said above by looking at where the Stoch RSI indicator finds support and resistance when it turns upside down.
This change in support and resistance points can tell you which direction the movement of the current chart is about to head.
You may think my explanation is inconclusive, but the conclusion has already been drawn.
We live in a flood of information.
It is quite difficult to infer an objective conclusion by synthesizing such a large amount of information.
Therefore, it is necessary to objectify all information using objectified tools and indicators.
Many celebrities' chart analysis methods and trading methods are introduced on the Internet or in books.
In order to make the contents of these people my own, it can only be acquired through numerous transactions and numerous experiences.
Over time, trends change and all patterns change and evolve.
In order to read the chart in line with these changes, I think it is better to use a simpler and faster way to analyze.
This is because you can keep up with the ever-changing trends.
It is more important to make your own mental state stable due to volatility by investing more time in the trading strategy than the time used for analysis.
What do you guys think?
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
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How to trade markets in both directions using true SMC conceptsHello Traders, in this post we aim to explain how we can trade the markets in both directions. Since this comes under the concept of liquidity, it is very logical to trade in both the directions of the market. Please pay attention to the annotations made on the chart.
Happy Trading
Team Lamda
Bitcoin(BTCUSD) - Overbought - DecreaseOn the chart of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) we can see an overbought condition on a daily timeframe.
The three indicators used are the Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index and the Stochastics. All three indicators are indicating an overbought condition.
The price is currently bouncing off a resistance strong resistance. In combination with the information from the indicators, it is likely for the price to decrease within the range until it finds support.
See all further details on the chart.
Good luck!
1D BTC chart and volume volatilityThis is how I see it. Two months ago when FTX crash happened, it created a hole in daily S/R levels, as we can see on VRVP on the right, which was easily used to rise the price again, but no significant increase in volume between big moves. The brightness of the candles on my chart is showing volume per candle. Last three days, we got new highs without volume. Judging by the BTC dominance, those highs were created by bleeding from the alts. So... We had the last local bottom on Jan 1st, and it was at the -45 RSI level. Since yesterday we have printed local top at 100 RSI level and reversal of the trend on my indicator. And a hole in VRVP remains. All that tells me a big correction is needed to get another big leg up. If not, a new low.
BRIEFING Week #3 : Crypto Volatility, What to do ?!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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BRIEFING Week #2 : First one of 2023 !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
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Phil
APEUSDTHello dear friends
On the daily time frame, the positive divergence of the RSI with the downtrend line has created a bearish wedge pattern for us. Until the $5.584 range is fully consumed, the bullish outlook is weak.
But if the range of $2.618 is maintained, we can hope for the completion of the wedge pattern.
On lower timeframes, the drawn bearish scenario is very likely. However, if the range of $2.618 is maintained, the possibility of a bullish scenario will also be strengthened.
We would be happy to hear your comments
4 level touches. Getting ready to fall!The coin has grown well. The price approaches the local maximum around 0.1956. We see weakness on the part of buyers, large red candles and shadows. I expect a pin of 0.195 and a rebound from that level below. In support, an oblique level with 4 touches has formed, the next approach may be the final one before the breakdown. PoC Volume Level Targets
Coin on volume. Bounce from the resistance zoneWe observe strong growth in the asset. It is traded on increased volumes. Bitcoin has passed to a strong resistance level, can spill the entire market. Also our asset in the sellers area on a round number. Candles are closed with shadows, buyers have little strength. I expect a rebound from the level. Target - PoC volumetric level
The coin is trading on volume. Breakout of local highsA horizontal level has formed, there are clear 2 touches. The price is consolidating on increased volumes, there is support (noted in the screenshot). Potentially, I expect a local squeeze near the level to confirm the breakout scenario. I recommend going in with increased activity in the glass after the fact of breaking through the level.