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“Nasdaq's Target is 19,500”Today, there is an expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in the Fed meeting. By the end of the year, a total rate cut of 100 basis points is almost certain. This situation leads to a positive risk appetite being effective on the indices. On the U.S. side, retail sales increased by 0.1%. Meanwhile, industrial production in the U.S. pointed to a positivity exceeding expectations with a 0.8% rise. Technically, if the resistance level at 19,500 is permanently surpassed, the rise could gain momentum towards the 19,700 and then 19,950 resistance levels. On the downside, if the index falls below the 19,100 level, a pullback towards the support levels at 18,800 and then 18,450 might be seen.
NASDAQ:NDX
by primequotes
Bullish AU200: Key Fundamentals & Probability StrategyThe AU200 (ASX 200) index is showing bullish potential due to several key fundamentals. Australia's economy continues to demonstrate resilience, with a strong labor market and low unemployment rate of 3.6% supporting consumer spending. Additionally, the country's resource-rich economy benefits from robust global commodity prices, particularly in key exports like iron ore and coal. The Reserve Bank of Australia's supportive monetary policy, despite recent tightening to combat inflation, further underpins the positive outlook for the AU200. I'm incorporating probability top-down analysis into my trading strategy for the AU200 to make more informed decisions and improve my chances of success. By using probability tools on my charts, I can assess the probability of price movements reaching specific levels, helping me identify high-probability trade setups. Now let's get into the top-down process: 12M: 2W: 4H: What are your thoughts on the AU200? Share your ideas and insights below!
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by Jasminex1x2
“Gold prices have been on a strong upward trajectory”In the U.S., the New York Fed Empire State manufacturing index for September rose from -4.7 to 11.5, indicating that the manufacturing sector has returned to growth territory. This data marked the highest level since April 2022. Despite this strong economic signal, the recovery in U.S. dollar assets remained limited. As a result, gold prices saw an upward movement, reaching the $2,585 level. From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2585 level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by primequotes
Exploring the Bullish Outlook for Litecoin (LTCUSD)Litecoin (LTC/USD) is showing a bullish trend, supported by several key fundamentals. The cryptocurrency market is experiencing renewed interest, with Litecoin benefiting from its reputation as "digital silver" alongside Bitcoin's "digital gold" status. Litecoin's upcoming halving event, expected in August 2023, is generating excitement as it typically leads to increased scarcity and potential price appreciation. Additionally, Litecoin's growing adoption in real-world transactions and its recent integration into various payment platforms are contributing to its positive outlook. The overall crypto market sentiment is improving, with institutional investors showing increased interest in alternative cryptocurrencies like Litecoin. I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for Litecoin. Now, let's take a closer look at my analysis. 12M: 2W: 1H: Feel free to share your thoughts and ideas in the comments below!
CRYPTO:LTCUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
Bitcoin Fails to Break the 60K ThresholdThe dollar's accelerated losses due to Fed expectations had only a limited impact on Bitcoin's rise. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their highest daily inflows in nearly two months. However, as the U.S. elections approach and Kamala Harris performed better than Donald Trump in the latest TV debate, cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, lost value. From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin breaks below the 57,330 level, a further decline toward the 55,800 and then 54,000 support levels could occur. On the upside, if it surpasses the 60,000 resistance level, the 63,000 and then 65,000 resistance levels could be tested.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by primequotes
The key to starting a trade is support and resistance points Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- As you study candles, you will learn about trend reversal sections. Therefore, rather than learning the shapes or patterns of candles, when you study them, you will be able to see the support and resistance points and sections made up of the selling area and trend reversal sections in a big picture. Therefore, rather than trying to memorize the shapes or arrangements of candles, it is important to see whether support and resistance points and sections are formed when such shapes, arrangements, and patterns appear. The same goes for other studies related to charts. - As you study candles, you will find that what you have studied appears in the sections where candles are gathered. These areas are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points. However, objective information is needed to conduct trading on the horizontal lines drawn like this. Otherwise, even the support and resistance points you drew will likely become useless lines if you conduct barrack trading because you don't trust them. Be careful because your psychological state will interfere with analyzing the chart. - The easiest way to obtain this objective information is the Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart. The Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart help you check the trend because they show fewer fakes and sweeps. (Heikin Ashi chart) (Renko chart) Among these, you can immediately see that the Renko chart is a bit easier to find support and resistance points. - You can think of the points near the end of the blocks on the Renko chart as having strong support and resistance points. Therefore, among the horizontal lines drawn on the chart above, the 2800.0 and 4000.0 points are the end points of three blocks, so they can be seen as strong support and resistance points. If you change the Renko chart to a regular candle chart, you can clearly see that it will form support and resistance points or sections. However, since the Renko chart changes the price in blocks, it is difficult to trade at this point. Therefore, the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart is good to use when analyzing the chart, but it is difficult to trade. - To compensate for this, we created a horizontal line at the price position using indicators (StochRSI, OBV, CCI, RSI) that have been used for a long time. The horizontal line connected to the current candle position plays the role of the current support and resistance point. And, since the longer the horizontal line, the stronger the support and resistance role, you can see that it plays the role of support and resistance even if it is not connected to the current candle. - The support and resistance points drawn on the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart are difficult to use for trading, but you can easily check the support and resistance section by looking at only the 1D chart. However, in order to display support and resistance points with a general candle chart, support and resistance points must be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. And, the order of charts with strong support and resistance is 1M > 1W > 1D charts. - When you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts using the HA-MS indicator, horizontal lines like the above are displayed. You can display them by changing the line type or line thickness to make them easier to see and then proceed with trading. ---------------------------------------------------------------- The above content corresponds to the method of finding support and resistance points included in general chart-related books. Of course, it is different from the explanation in the chart-related book, but I explained how to use indicators to more clearly indicate support and resistance points. - Even if you trade with the support and resistance points above, it will not work well when you actually trade. This is because you are not familiar with the most important trading strategy in trading. In conclusion, the most important thing is to create a trading strategy, rather than finding the support and resistance points explained above, looking at the trend line, or looking at indicators. However, it is very difficult to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style from the beginning. So, you should practice creating a trading strategy that suits you while trading based on the information of the objective chart. In order to trade, you need to decide on the following three things: 1. Investment period 2. Investment size 3. Trading method and profit realization method The above three things must be determined. No. 1 and 2 are determined according to your investment style. Therefore, it is recommended not to change No. 1 and 2 after you start trading. 3. Based on the information of the actual chart, the buy section, sell section, and stop loss point are determined. In addition, the profit realization method can be determined according to the investment period. The profit realization method is: 1. How to get cash profit 2. How to increase the coin (token) corresponding to the profit There are methods 1 and 2 above. - In order to create a trading strategy, it is important to display all the information you want on the chart before starting the transaction. If you do not, and then display lines on the chart after starting the transaction, psychological factors will be added and displayed, so the possibility of not trusting the lines drawn after starting the transaction increases. To prevent this, it does not matter if you use the indicator added to the HA-MS indicator. The reason is because it is objective information. You should increase profits or reduce losses by adjusting the investment ratio while conducting the transaction using this objective information. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
4
SPY: Short-Term Selloff Anticipated After Fed Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven`t bought the recent dip on SPY: Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve approaches its rate cut decision this week, speculation is high that we may see a larger-than-expected cut of 50 basis points rather than the anticipated 25. This could trigger a short-term selloff in equities, including the SPY (S&P 500 ETF), despite the initial market reaction. The market often exhibits a “buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior, and this situation could be no different. With expectations set for a 25 basis point cut, a surprise 50 basis point reduction might lead to concerns about the underlying economic conditions. This could prompt a selloff in major indices, including SPY, as traders and investors react to the Fed’s unexpected move. In the immediate aftermath of the Fed decision, SPY might see a brief uptick as market participants adjust their positions and optimism prevails. However, this short-term rally could be quickly overshadowed by a broader correction. As the market digests the implications of the Fed's actions and potential economic concerns come to light, SPY is likely to experience a pullback. For those looking to capitalize on this potential downturn, the $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could be a prudent choice. These puts offer a strategic way to hedge against or profit from the anticipated short-term decline in SPY. Given the expected correction following the Fed's rate cut, this option could provide significant value as SPY faces downward pressure. While SPY may experience an initial rise in response to the Fed’s decision, the broader market sentiment is likely to shift towards risk aversion, leading to a correction in the weeks following the announcement. By October 18, the broader market and SPY could be reflecting these adjustments, making the $550 puts a timely investment. In summary, while SPY might see some early gains next week, a correction is expected to follow as the market reacts to the Fed’s decision. The $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could offer a valuable opportunity for those anticipating this short-term volatility.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
BTC Bitcoin Brief Rise, But Correction LoomsIf you haven`t sold the top on Bitcoin: Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated rate cut approaches, the market is bracing for potential volatility, and Bitcoin could be no exception. While many expect a modest 25 basis point cut, a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction is also on the table. This larger-than-expected move could trigger a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario, affecting not only traditional assets like the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) but also risk assets like Bitcoin. Initially, Bitcoin may see a slight uptick in price at the beginning of next week. This short-term rise could be fueled by optimism and increased demand for alternative assets as the market digests the Fed's decision. Bitcoin has historically benefited from periods of loose monetary policy, and in the immediate aftermath of the rate cut, it might experience some buying pressure. However, this rally could be short-lived. With broader markets such as SPY and QQQ expected to correct following the Fed decision, Bitcoin is likely to follow suit. Given its high correlation with risk-on assets during periods of market stress, Bitcoin may see a sharp pullback as traditional equity markets start to sell off. Traders could also unwind their positions in Bitcoin alongside stocks, leading to a broader market correction in both traditional and crypto assets. In the short term, a Fed rate cut that exceeds expectations might signal concerns about the underlying economy, leading to heightened volatility across the board. As risk appetite wanes, Bitcoin's upward momentum could quickly reverse, aligning with the expected correction in SPY and QQQ.
by TopgOptions
QQQ Short-Term Selloff After the Fed's Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven`t bought the recent dip in QQQ: Then you need to know that as we approach the Federal Reserve's rate cut decision this week, there is growing speculation that the central bank may implement a larger-than-expected 50 basis point cut, instead of the anticipated 25. While rate cuts are typically viewed as bullish for markets, this unexpected move could trigger a short-term selloff, particularly in tech-heavy indices like the QQQ. Why? The market tends to operate on a "buy the rumor, sell the news" mentality. Investors have already priced in expectations of a modest 25 bps cut, so if the Fed delivers a more aggressive 50 bps cut, it may signal heightened concern over economic conditions, causing traders to pull back. Such a scenario could spook the market, leading to a temporary selloff in major indices like the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). In light of this, it may be worth considering a bearish strategy for the short term. Specifically, the $475 strike price puts expiring on September 20 could be a prudent option, as they stand to gain value in the event of a selloff following the Fed decision. The short-term market reaction could make these puts a strategic play for traders anticipating a dip. While the reaction to the Fed decision could be sharp in the short term, it’s unlikely to be long-lasting. Market participants will soon digest the news, and I expect a recovery by the end of the month. In fact, by November 5th—U.S. election day—we could see new all-time highs in both the S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been keen on maintaining market stability, which could give the Democrats a slight edge in the upcoming elections. After all, former President Donald Trump has stated he wouldn’t reappoint Powell if re-elected, possibly adding a political dimension to the Fed’s moves. In conclusion, while the QQQ might face near-term turbulence due to the Fed’s potentially larger-than-expected rate cut, the broader market is likely to recover soon, with tech stocks regaining their upward momentum as the election approaches. The $475 strike price puts expiring on September 20 could serve as a timely hedge during this brief period of volatility.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by TopgOptions
Chart Analysis: Establishing Trading Strategies --------------------------------- Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a good day today. ------------------------------------- When you start studying charts, the first thing you learn is about candles. However, you start studying about the Open, Close, High, and Low of candles. When you start studying about the Moving Average, you start to think that you understand the charts. However, when you actually start trading with the Moving Average, you realize that nothing works properly. So, you start studying other indicators. - The above is based on my experience. When you study various charts, you may think you know them, but when you actually start trading, you realize that they don't apply at all. Where on earth did I go wrong?... What I learned after a long time is that I was wrong from the very beginning. - In other words, I realized that my subsequent chart studies were not done properly because I lacked understanding of candles. When you start studying candles, you study candles of various shapes and patterns. At this time, you should not be too obsessed with the names of candle shapes or patterns or the conditions that occur and try to memorize them. It is important to read it repeatedly several times until you can grasp the concept of the arrangements formed by the combination of candle shapes or patterns, that is, the support and resistance points. Eventually, when the candle shapes or patterns are combined, you can find the volume profile section formed around it, that is, the section where trading volume occurs. By drawing and marking the support and resistance points you find in this way on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can create a trading strategy on the charts you mainly trade. That's all the experts in chart analysis say. In the end, everything is about looking at the combination of candles that make up the chart, finding the corresponding support and resistance points, and trading according to your trading strategy. A trading strategy is to create a response strategy at the corresponding support and resistance points based on the three things above: 1. Investment period 2. Investment size 3. Trading method and profit realization method However, since most books do not include trading strategies, you will only learn about the timing of trading and closing of trading using various indicators. Because of this, there are many cases where you cannot respond to the volatility that occurs after starting trading and end up losing money. Even so, it is difficult to specifically define the contents of trading strategies. This is because the investment period, investment size, and trading method are different depending on the individual's investment style. Therefore, what I can tell you is that you need to set the buy, sell, and stop loss points according to the support and resistance points obtained through chart analysis and wait for a while. Due to price volatility, you may not touch the buy, sell, and stop loss points or may move past them. You should learn how to create a trading strategy by modifying the way you respond to these things according to your investment style. - One important thing here is that you should mark the support and resistance points in advance through chart analysis before starting trading. Otherwise, if you start trading and then mark support and resistance points, psychological factors will come into play, which will likely lead to an unexpected transaction. Don't forget this, and you should practice marking support and resistance points in advance before starting a transaction. Also, you should avoid analyzing charts after listening to various articles, news, or community content. The reason is that psychological factors can come into play. - I think trading is a response to the movement of prices that fluctuate in real time. Therefore, waiting and determination are necessary. If you wait too long or do not make a decision and pass it by, there is a high possibility that you will suffer losses or make little profit, so you need something to refer to when waiting or making a decision. That is the support and resistance points I mentioned above. - However, support and resistance points alone do not solve everything. Therefore, you should add trend lines and various indicators to ask for a method of responding to price fluctuations. However, since the trend line is formed by a diagonal line, there is a lack of countermeasure strategies using the trend line. Therefore, the trend line is used to literally find out what the current trend is. - Therefore, when it deviates from the trend line, the movement at the support and resistance points is checked and the corresponding response is made. When trading with a chart consisting of the above two support and resistance points or only the trend line, there are often cases where the transaction cannot be properly conducted due to fakes or sweeps. Therefore, in order to counter these fakes or sweeps, various indicators are added to the chart. The most commonly used of these is the price moving average. Even if you add the price moving average, you realize that it is a curve, just like the trend line, and is therefore not suitable for countermeasure strategies. So, the price moving average is also used to check the trend, just like the trend line. - In that regard, the indicator I recommend is the StochRSI indicator. The default settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D). The value of the Signal line (EMA) of the StochRSI indicator is 7. If the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a buying period. On the other hand, if the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is a selling period. However, you should trade depending on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points formed at that location. Even if there is movement in the StochRSI indicator, it is recommended not to trade if you do not have support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. The reason is that you may feel psychologically anxious, so there is a possibility that the trade will proceed incorrectly. - If you can trade with only what I mentioned above and make an average profit, it is because you have established a trading strategy according to your investment style. - We need objective information to establish a trading strategy according to your investment style. We think that this is the only way to minimize the psychological factors that arise when starting a trade. If you can add various indicators to the chart to obtain objective information and receive support and resistance point information according to them, you can create a trading strategy according to them at any time. To do this, we used the StochRSI, OBV, CCI, and RSI indicators to display support and resistance points on the price candle part. And, we added the StochRSI and BW indicators as auxiliary indicators. The StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is not the StochRSI indicator provided by default, but an indicator with a modified formula, so you can share the chart and use it or copy and paste the TS-BW UP indicator to your own chart and use it. There is no problem using the basic StochRSI indicator. However, there is a slight difference from what I said, so there may be a slight problem in understanding. - As above, since the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are drawn on the chart to create a trading strategy, my chart is very confusing and not easy to understand when you first look at it. And, since there are many indicators that I have not explained, it may be even more difficult to see the chart. Therefore, to resolve the difficult parts, share the chart, hide the indicators added to the chart, and activate them one by one while looking at them, and you will be able to understand the chart. If you share the chart, you can use it normally, so you can check the chart from various angles. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
1
TON Toncoin Potential Sell-OffIf you haven`t bought TON before the breakout: Now you need to know that on August 24, 2024, the arrest of Telegram founder Pavel Durov by French authorities sent shockwaves through both the platform and its cryptocurrency, Toncoin (TON). Durov's arrest, reportedly tied to illegal activities on Telegram, has been widely seen as an attack on free speech, which has paradoxically boosted interest in both Telegram and Toncoin. This spotlight on Durov and his platforms presents both challenges and opportunities. While the surge in activity signals increased attention, the future is uncertain. The ongoing investigation and heightened regulatory scrutiny are likely to impact TON's market performance. Investors and users are closely watching for further legal actions, as they could have significant consequences for Telegram and Toncoin. With the regulatory landscape in flux, TON remains a risky investment until the legal situation stabilizes. My price target for TON is $2.15.
Short
by TopgOptions
Unlocking Potential: 59.90% Probability for DOGEUSD ATH Bullish Fundamentals for Dogecoin 1. Increased mainstream adoption: More businesses and platforms are accepting Dogecoin as a form of payment, expanding its real-world use cases. 2. Growing community support: The Dogecoin community remains active and passionate, driving continued interest and development. 3. Potential technological improvements: Ongoing discussions about upgrades to Dogecoin's blockchain could enhance its functionality and appeal. 4. Positive market sentiment: As the broader crypto market shows signs of recovery, meme coins like Dogecoin often benefit from renewed investor interest. Using Probabilities for Long Positions I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for DOGEUSD. This strategy aligns well with my bullish bias on DOGEUSD, allowing me to capitalize on potential upward movements in a more calculated manner. 12M: 3D: 1H:
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
1
Is the S&P 500's Bull Run a Mirage?The S&P 500's recent all-time high has ignited a frenzy of optimism among investors. However, as the market reaches unprecedented heights, questions arise about the sustainability of this bull run and the potential risks lurking beneath the surface. While the allure of soaring stock prices is undeniable, investing in a market at its peak carries inherent risks. The concentration of returns within a few dominant stocks (such as Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon), coupled with the potential for geopolitical shocks and economic downturns, introduces significant uncertainty. The dot-com bubble serves as a stark reminder of the market's cyclical nature and the perils of overvaluation. To navigate this complex landscape, investors must adopt a balanced approach. Diversification, coupled with a keen understanding of economic indicators, geopolitical events, and corporate news, is essential for making informed decisions. By recognizing the potential pitfalls and taking proactive measures to mitigate risk, investors can position themselves for long-term success in the ever-evolving market. The S&P 500's future remains uncertain, but by approaching the bull market with a critical eye and a strategic mindset, investors can navigate the challenges and capitalize on the opportunities that lie ahead.
CBOE:SPXShort
by signalmastermind
“The Nasdaq Index Extends Losses”In the U.S., the JOLTS job openings decreased by 237,000 in July compared to the previous month, dropping to 7.673 million. This marks the lowest level since January 2021. Following this data, expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce the policy rate by a total of 125 basis points across its three remaining meetings this year. Additionally, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting has risen to 45%. The release of U.S. macroeconomic data, which has triggered recession concerns, has led to increased selling pressure on the indices. Technically, the Nasdaq index, which has retreated to the 18,780 level, could experience further selling pressure, potentially reaching the support levels of 18,450 and 17,900. In the event of a potential buying movement, if we see a close above the 18,900 level, the upward trend could extend to the resistance levels of 19,520 and 19,970.
NASDAQ:NDX
by primequotes
AUD/USD 4H Analysis: Targeting 42 Pips with a Fresh BUY SignalAUD/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Capturing the Upside Potential Hello Traders, We’re analyzing the AUD/USD 4H chart where a fresh BUY signal has emerged, pointing towards a potential bullish move. Key Observations: - BUY Signal: A BUY signal was triggered at 0.67046, indicating a possible reversal from the recent downtrend. - TP Zone: The identified Take Profit (TP) zone ranges from 0.67260 to 0.67470. This zone represents a potential gain of approximately 21 to 42 pips from the entry point, offering a solid - Market Structure: The price is currently holding above key support levels, and the market structure suggests that we may see a move toward the TP zone. The setup is supported by recent price action, which indicates a weakening of the bearish momentum as the price approaches these levels. Trading Plan: - Bullish Scenario: If the price continues to move upwards as anticipated, targeting the TP zone between 0.67260 and 0.67470 could yield a favorable return. Traders should watch for any confirmations as the price approaches this area. - Risk Management: We employ a flexible approach to risk management, adapting positions as new signals appear. This strategy allows us to navigate market fluctuations effectively while optimizing entry and exit points. It’s crucial to monitor the ongoing price action and adjust strategies accordingly. Important Note: This analysis serves as a trade idea and should be integrated into your overall trading plan. Always conduct your own analysis to ensure this setup aligns with your risk tolerance and trading strategy. This setup underscores the importance of identifying precise entry points and maintaining adaptability in trading. Stay alert and trade smart!
Long
by TradersJourneys
2
“EUR/USD Gains Weakened”The weakening of the manufacturing PMI and ISM manufacturing PMI figures in the US compared to the previous month has acted as a negative catalyst for the economy. This data has reignited recession concerns in the US, leading to accelerated dollar outflows. In the Eurozone, the manufacturing PMI for August slightly exceeded forecasts at 45.8. In Germany, the manufacturing PMI for August was 42.4, above the previous month’s figure. Following these developments, the EURUSD pair is maintaining prices above the 1.1050 level. In light of these data points, if the index maintains closing prices above the 1.1050 level, buying activity could accelerate towards the 1.1115 and 1.1190 resistance levels. However, in the event of a potential pullback, sell-offs could test the 1.1050 support level and possibly extend to the 1.0965 and 1.090 support levels.
by primequotes
XAUUSD 4HR Analysis | The Bulls Are Taking a Breather | XAUUSD 4HR Analysis | The Bulls Are Taking a Breather | Gold has recently hit an all time high of 2530 and since has tested the breakage of this level a few times, in my last analysis I provided a detailed explanation of the current mining production status globally and JPY/USD economic data that could impact the price movements in the bulls favour however it seems that short term we may see a correction into the upper 2400's before any renewed price surges, with the bullish momentum volume slowing down and various bearish confirmations coming into play. Over the last few days Gold has broke below the dynamic support + resistance level whilst also dipping below the 200 EMA on smaller timeframes and the 50 on larger such as 4HR, with the recent completion of 25% to 75% quarters and a pivot off the upper bollinger band its likely that the precious metal could take a breather down to 2,460-70 where the 200 ema lies along with a key support and resistance level and the lower bollinger band matching 25% quarter level. With the US holidays in action today the start of the week has been sluggish with little to no volatility and price sticking in its range alongside not being able to break back above the 50 ema and dynamic s+r, the bears remain in favour until price can break this structure level back into the 2520's and thus i would not consider any long term buys with so many key psych resistance levels in between us and the ATH pivot level. I will be keeping close eye on the key support zone of 2460-70 for suitable long term buy entries and in the meantime trade intra on price structure and short term confirmations with my group.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by OfficialKieranTrewick