BRIEFING Week #7 : Whatch Out for the DollarHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Indicators
Silver (XAG/USD) Gaining Momentum – Next Target $32-$33?Silver is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading around $31.53, with a +1.25% gain. The price has broken above key resistance levels and is now trading above the 200 EMA (currently at $30.48), which signals a potential continuation of the uptrend.
There's a fair volume range above, along with an internal liquidity level (Int. LQ), which could act as the next target. The market has already filled a previous market block (MB), suggesting that the structure is clean for further upside.
If this bullish momentum holds, the price could push toward $32 - $33 in the short term. A retest of support near $30.50 (200 EMA) would still keep the uptrend intact.
USDCAD Bearish Breakdown: Retest & Drop Incoming? USDCAD Daily Chart Analysis 📉🔥
1️⃣ Trend Breakdown:
The pair was in an uptrend but has now broken below the ascending trendline, signaling a potential bearish shift.
2️⃣ Resistance Zone (Supply Area) 🟦:
The 1.4350 - 1.4450 region acted as resistance, rejecting price strongly.
Multiple rejections in this area indicate strong selling pressure.
3️⃣ Bearish Confirmation 📉:
Price is now trading below the broken trendline.
The recent daily candle closed bearish, confirming sellers are in control.
4️⃣ Key Support Areas 🔍:
1.3957 (200 EMA) → A crucial dynamic support level.
1.3916 → Previous key level that may act as strong demand.
5️⃣ Projected Move ⬇️:
Price may retest the broken trendline (pullback).
If rejection occurs, further drop towards 1.3950 - 1.3910 is likely.
📌 Final Thought:
A bearish move is in play! Watch for a pullback to retest the broken structure before considering further shorts. If price breaks below 1.3950, expect further declines.
💭 What’s your bias? Bulls 🐂 or Bears 🐻?
EUR/USD Breakout Imminent? Key Resistance in Focus!📊 EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Incoming? 🚀
🔹 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone (Blue Box): Around 1.0450 - 1.0500
Support Zone (Red Box): Around 1.0250 - 1.0300
200 EMA (Red Line): Acting as a dynamic resistance near 1.0663
🔹 Price Action & Structure:
Price is testing a strong resistance zone (blue box) after multiple failed attempts.
A clean breakout above this level could trigger a bullish rally towards 1.0600 - 1.0700 (next resistance).
If rejected, a pullback towards 1.0300 before another attempt is possible.
🔹 Market Sentiment & Bias: ✅ Higher lows forming = bullish pressure building. ✅ Break and retest scenario likely, as indicated by the projection. ✅ 200 EMA remains a key target for bulls.
📈 Potential Trade Setup:
Breakout above 1.0500 → Buy opportunity
Rejection → Short-term pullback before another attempt
🎯 Bullish Confirmation Above 1.0500 📊💹
XAU/USD 30-Min Analysis – Bullish Reversal & Breakout SetupGold (XAU/USD) - 30-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆📊
Key Observations:
Market Structure Shift (CHOCH - Change of Character) 🔄
The chart marks a CHOCH, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
This suggests that the recent downtrend may have concluded, and buyers are stepping in.
Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt 🎯
The price dipped below the SELL STOP level, likely triggering stop-loss orders.
A sharp rejection followed, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) as Dynamic Support 📈
The price tested the 200 EMA (2,885.011) and bounced off, reinforcing the bullish case.
This suggests that institutional traders might be accumulating positions near this zone.
Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀
The highlighted grey box represents a potential order block or accumulation zone.
A breakout above this area could confirm the bullish continuation towards the target level (2,942.963).
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Retest of the grey accumulation zone (around 2,894 - 2,899).
Stop-Loss: Below the recent low (around 2,880).
Target: 2,942.963 (previous resistance & psychological level).
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1 (optimal for a trade execution).
Final Thoughts:
🔸 If price holds above the breakout zone, we could see a strong rally towards 2,942.
🔸 If it fails to hold and falls below 2,880, expect further downside retracement.
🔸 Bullish sentiment is favored, but confirmation is key! ✅
XAU/USD Breakout – Targeting $2,950?XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆📊
🔹 Current Price: $2,926.285
🔹 Recent High: $2,927.305
🔹 Recent Low: $2,923.840
🔹 200 EMA Support: $2,870.242 (far below current price)
Key Observations & Setup
✅ Breakout Confirmed: The price has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling bullish momentum.
✅ Target Zone: The red resistance zone near $2,945 - $2,950 is the next potential target.
✅ Potential Move: Price is expected to climb toward this resistance area before facing rejection or continuation.
✅ Support Levels: If the breakout fails, the previous resistance (now support) around $2,915 - $2,920 could be tested.
Trading Plan 📈💡
Bullish Play: If price holds above the breakout level, targeting $2,945 - $2,950 could be a solid setup.
Bearish Rejection: Watch for rejection at the resistance zone for possible short opportunities.
EMA Support: The 200 EMA remains far below, reinforcing overall bullish sentiment unless a major pullback occurs.
📢 Final Thoughts: This is a classic breakout & retest scenario. If momentum sustains, we could see a push into the resistance zone. Stay cautious for any rejection signals! 🚀🔥
ANET Arista Networks Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ANET before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ANET Arista Networks prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 100usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $2.92.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BMBL Bumble Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BMBL Bumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 8usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.52.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SEDG SolarEdge Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DKNG DraftKings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 16usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-28,
for a premium of approximately $1.76.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
U Unity Software Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought U before the previuos earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of U Unity Software prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 21usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $1.73.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
The Ugly Truth of Technical Analysis...Even though this may be an extremely unpopular opinion on this topic, realizing this simple truth may be what makes or breaks a profitable trader. The truth is this...
Drawing lines on a chart does not predict any price movement, and there are more factors in play than simply price action
It doesn't matter what the gurus on the internet say about some "secret strategy" or a "secret indicator", anyone with common sense should automatically ignore content like that. Firms like NYSE:JPM , NYSE:GS , NYSE:MS , etc. , spend billions upon billions of dollars just to figure out how to trade the market with efficiency, but some random 19 year old on the internet figured out how to beat these mega-firms with a free indicator. Yeah right.
However, I'm not saying that technical analysis doesn't work or that it shouldn't be used; I'm simply saying to reconsider your strategy and use common sense before donating your money to Wall Street banks. Below is an example of technical analysis working perfectly on NYSE:UNH for the 1D timeframe looking back into April of last year.
This would have been a textbook channel breakout trade, in which the trader takes a short when the bottom trendline is broken (or the candle closes below the trendline). It would have resulted in a maximum of 17% gain on naked short shares if the bottom penny is the exit price (which is virtually impossible). So there you have it... technical analysis works perfectly and I have proven myself wrong.... right? No. . Now let me show you what really happened. Here is the same exact chart, but this time with a piece of key information shown.
As it turns out, there was nothing technical in play at all in this price action, but rather a "fundamental" or a "tangible" aspect was the price driver. An example like this should also show you that not providing sufficient information and taking charts out of context can be done by literally anyone. If you think you can predict the future with some geometric shapes, bars, and non financial, fundamental, or tangible analysis, better than the top Wall Street firms, I say good luck to you.
WITH THAT BEING SAID, this does not mean that trendlines, price areas, value gaps, and other technical indicators are completely invalid, but it does mean that there is more to the story than what is on the chart. Always review news, sentiment, financials, analyst ratings, and other key oscillators to gauge every trade.
Disclaimer: The indicators used on the chart are only for illustrative purposes of a cluttered chart. I am neither saying that they are accurate nor inaccurate.
DKNG DraftKings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought DKNG before the previuos earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DKNG DraftKings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 45usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-14,
for a premium of approximately $2.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ABNB Airbnb Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ABNB:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABNB Airbnb prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 145usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $20.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMAT Applied Materials Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMAT Applied Materials prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 180usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $6.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
COIN Coinbase Global Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought COIN before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of COIN Coinbase Global prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 285usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-14,
for a premium of approximately $7.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GBP/USD Breaks Downtrend – Bullish Reversal in Play? GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis – February 11, 2025
Key Observations:
📌 Support Zone: The price recently bounced from a strong demand zone around 1.2050 - 1.2200, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
📌 Break of Downtrend Line: The market has broken above the descending trendline, suggesting a shift in momentum.
📌 200 EMA Resistance: The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2691 is a crucial resistance level to watch. A break above it could confirm a stronger bullish trend.
📌 Bullish Price Action: The price has formed a higher low and is now pushing higher, showing early signs of an uptrend.
Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case: If GBP/USD holds above the breakout level and breaks past 1.2690, we could see a move toward 1.2800 - 1.3000.
❌ Bearish Case: If the price fails to hold above 1.2300, a retest of the demand zone near 1.2100 is possible.
Conclusion:
This setup favors bullish momentum 📈, but confirmation above the 200 EMA is necessary for further upside. Traders should monitor price action and key resistance levels before committing to long positions.
USOIL 1H Analysis: Bullish Breakout or Reversal?📊 WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 1H Chart Analysis 🛢️🚀
Current Market Status
Open: 73.33
High: 73.36
Low: 73.25
Close: 73.26 (-0.11%) 🔻
200 EMA: 72.40
Key Observations
✅ Strong Uptrend 📈
Price is trading above the 200 EMA (red line), indicating bullish momentum.
Recent candles show higher highs and higher lows, confirming upward movement.
✅ Consolidation Zone 📊
Price is currently in a range (orange box), suggesting a potential breakout.
Market is forming small candles, indicating indecision before a bigger move.
✅ Projected Breakout 🚀
The chart shows an anticipated bullish breakout above $74.00 - $74.85 target area (gray box).
If the price breaks above resistance, it may rally towards the next psychological level $75.00+.
❌ Risk Zone (Stop Loss Area) ⚠️
Support zone (bottom of the orange box) at $72.78 - $73.15.
If price breaks below this level, a bearish reversal could happen.
Trading Outlook
💡 Bullish Bias 📈: Look for a breakout above $73.50 - $74.00 for a long entry.
⚠️ Bearish Reversal Risk: A break below $72.78 may invalidate the bullish setup.
🔥 Potential Move:
🚀 Upside Target: $74.85 - $75.00+
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $72.78
Gold Analysis – Potential Pullback Within Ascending ChannelKey Observations:
Current Price: $2,900.48
Recent High: $2,907.29
200 EMA (Red Line): $2,758.59 (Strong support level)
Projection: Price may correct lower towards the channel’s lower boundary (~$2,875)
Analysis:
📊 Short-Term Bearish: A pullback could happen before further upside if the trend holds. If price breaks below the channel, a deeper correction towards the 200 EMA might follow.
🔍 Trading Idea: Traders might look for buying opportunities at the lower trendline (~$2,875-$2,880) if price shows support.
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout – Gold Eyes $2,928 & Beyond!🔥 XAU/USD Analysis – February 4, 2025 🔥
📈 Current Price: $2,842.18 (+0.98%)
📊 Trend: Bullish momentum inside an ascending channel
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔵 Resistance: $2,928.75 – If this level breaks, expect further upside movement! 🚀
🔵 Support: $2,729.13 – Strong demand zone; watch for pullbacks.
🔴 EMA 200: $2,534.85 – Long-term bullish confirmation above this level! ✅
📉 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case: Price continues the uptrend, targeting $2,928.75 next. If broken, gold could see $3,000+ soon! 🎯🔥
⚠️ Bearish Case: A rejection from resistance could lead to a pullback towards $2,800-$2,730.
💡 Final Thoughts:
The bullish momentum is still strong, and dips could be buying opportunities! 📊👑 Watch for price action near key levels.
📢 Gold bulls, are you ready for new highs? 🚀💰
BREIFING Week #6 : Volatility is LyingHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
AFRM Affirm Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold AFRM before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AFRM Affirm Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previos earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-7,
for a premium of approximately $6.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Rebound or Further Drop? Critical Levels!!📊 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Daily Chart Analysis – Feb 4, 2025
🔴 Current Market Overview:
Closing Price: $2,692.12 (-6.52%) 📉
200 EMA Level: $3,128.49 (acting as resistance)
Key Support: $2,250 - $2,400 (Strong Support Zone) ✅
Key Resistance: $3,900 - $4,100 (Demand Zone) 🔥
📉 Price Action Insights:
ETH has seen a sharp decline, breaking below the 200 EMA 🚨.
Price bounced off the Strong Support area, indicating buying interest 📈.
A recovery scenario suggests ETH could retest the $3,000+ zone before heading towards the demand zone near $4,000.
🛠 Trading Strategy:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A successful higher low formation around $2,750-$2,800 could trigger a move towards $3,250 - $4,000 📊.
Look for confirmation of bullish momentum with volume increase.
🚨 Bearish Risk:
If ETH fails to hold above support ($2,400-$2,500), further downside towards $2,000 is possible 😨.
🎯 Final Thoughts:
ETH is at a critical support; a bounce here could offer a great risk-reward opportunity 🚀.
Keep an eye on 200 EMA resistance and volume confirmation.
💬 What’s your plan? Are you bullish or waiting for more confirmation? 🤔