Long Scalping a Bear MarketProbably one of the most difficult things you can do in a Bear Market is BUY. Especially when we are seeing aggressive selling like this. This is the type of market where every time you try and long, you lose money.
There's little point buying a falling knife UNLESS you are really good at it, because this current market is breaking every single type of support because of sentiment.
HOWEVER, using my strategy with the Price/Trend Indicator and Volume Indicator, you are able to see when momentum/ volume has shifted INSIDE of the Bear Flag . From this you can see that they are probably going to break out upwards to hit Stop Losses before continuing the fall.
If you take a look at the Orange Boxes, you can see a BUY signal, but Volume hasn't upthrusted enough - it hasn't strongly gone above the Blue and Grey trendlines, so it is invalid.
If you take a look at the White Boxes, you can see a BUY signal, with Volume upthrusting above the Blue and Grey trendlines. This is a valid LONG.
(Ignore the purple line, I'm just testing something at the moment)
There is an indicator called "Deviation Bands" - these are Standard Deviations from the baseline of current price. If you choose the option of "EMA", this will allow you to set Take Profit targets - like here, TP 1 and TP2. I will reupload it on my Scripts soon.
Stop Loss is usually quite tight in these scenarios - sometimes actually not as tight as this (sometimes you can get wicks) but other times below the last low.
Indicatorstrategy
ADX-DI - how to tune and upgrade a TV indicator Starting from an inbuilt indicator, I played with the options available to get a personal and upgraded indicator.
The idea is to use the power of the indicator and customize it to get a more visual result.
I've played with the settings to make it more sensitive ..
Added a MA for each Di lines ..
Played with the layers to make it more visual ..
From there we can think about a few strategies to make the indicator useful.
Combining Price, Volume and VolatilityHow to avoid BAD trades, and using the TT Price/Trend Indicator, paired with the TT Volume Indicator to make a decision on whether to take the trade or avoid.
As per the description on my indicators, you must only:
- LONG/BUY if the slow moving line on the Volume Oscillator is ABOVE the Blue trendline.
- SELL/SHORT if the slow moving line on the Volume Oscillator is ABOVE the Blue trendline.
Even better if there is a retest.
There is more information on the description of each indicator's script (please see below "Link to Related Ideas").
Quite often, Volume can pre-determine what will happen with price, so using this indicator will help increase your win rate significantly. But it's important to stick to this strategy and not FOMO in because of emotions.
I am also currently testing a new indicator, the "Volatility Direction Bands". This is in the works and will be released soon. Essentially, it's similar to Bollinger bands but adds stoch-based moving averages and a mac-d based Histogram to use as a 3rd dimension for your trades. This measures Volatility, and displays a Histogram of Volatility, which works well alongside Price + Volume. The idea is to only BUY when the moving averages are in the Red volatility bands and SELL when the moving averages are in the Green volatility bands.
About the YELLOW CIRCLE on the chart:
You can see that when this happened, the slow moving average on the Volume Oscillator dropped underneath the Blue trendline, retested upwards and dropped more.
This all happened BEFORE price dropped - price was currently above the Blue trendline in the BUY zone.
We saw this and did not set an order at the Blue trendline. Price then dropped underneath the Blue trendline on price and we waited for the next "SELL" signal to SHORT at the Blue trendline.
Trying New Indicators BTCUSDAn update for BTCUSD using a few new indicators
On the RedK VADER it can be seen we are at a bottom point
The McDonalds Pattern Indicator shows we have a nice support point
The Average lines allows a comparison to be drawn to a previous point in BTC's evolution, in which I think we will see price action following to be similar
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Trading strategy using the DeMarker indicatorThe DeMarker indicator, also known as DeM, is a technical analysis tool that compares the most recent maximum and minimum prices to the previous period's equivalent price to measure the demand of the underlying asset. From this comparison, it aims to assess the directional bias of the market. It is a member of the oscillator family of technical indicators and based on principles promoted by technical analyst Thomas DeMark.
The DeMarker indicator helps traders determine when to enter a market, or when to buy or sell an asset, to capitalize on probable imminent price trends. It is considered a “leading” indicator because its signals forecast an imminent change in price trend. This indicator is often used in combination with other signals and is generally used to determine price exhaustion, identify market tops and bottoms and assess risk levels. Although the DeMarker indicator was originally created with daily price bars in mind, it can be applied to any time frame, since it is based on relative price data.
Unlike the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is perhaps the best-known oscillator, the DeMarker indicator focuses on intra-period highs and lows rather than closing levels. One of its main benefits is that, like the RSI, it is less prone to distortions like those seen in indicators like the Rate of Change (ROC), in which erratic price movements at the start of the analysis window can cause sudden shifts in the momentum line, even if the current price has barely changed.
How does the indicator itself work? When the curve line moves below 0.7 from top to bottom it means that we are in a overbought zone and we have a potential sell scenario. When the curve line moves trough the minimum 0.3 level from bottom to top it means we are in oversold zone and we may have a potential buy opportunity. But! There is a catch.
It is not recommended to short or buy aggressively when the curve crosses both of the levels for the first time. Usually when the curve crosses from the top the 0.3 level, indeed, it means we are heading to oversold zone, but there is going to be additional sell impulse. That's why the curve can have readings above 0.7 or below 0.3.
I personally use DeM on the daily chart and this is my only oscillator. Usually Demarker indicators are payed and are very expensive. The free versions of the indicator which are massively distributed are not truly mathematically perfect, but they do fine job.
Here with USD/CAD example I have placed my DeM on the daily chart for the pair. I will highlight the period from September till now with the latest signals.
GBPUSD 15M 3 x 100+ PIP TRADES !GBPUSD - Using the strategy on a 15min time frame with no refinements in the settings (which would make these results even better / accurate)
Short banked 110 pips before flipping to the buy
Buy banked 105 pips then flipped to the sell
Sell currently still running at around 110 pips
Use this strategy for ANY TIME FRAME !
USDJPY SHORT LONG SHORT TRADESUSDJPY - previous couple of trades banking 100 pips on the short, 50 pips on the buy and now currently circa 40 pips on the most recent sell signal.
Position will stay up until SL or Opposite signal is printed.
Proven backtested data with custom coded perimeters on each pair.
GOLD NEARING TOP OF DAILY PRICE ACTIONGold edged higher through the Asian session on Wednesday and is currently placed near the top end of its daily trading range.
DAILY PIVOT ALERT HOLDING SHORT DURING THE RETRACE