Indices
DOW JONES: Important 1H breakout that is targeting 43,000Dow Jones has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.701, MACD = -64.350, ADX = 34.811) as it formed the new bottom on the 3 month Channel Up and that pushed the price into a rally which today crossed over the LH trendline and the 1H MA200 for the first time since October 22nd. The 1H RSI was on a Bullish Divergence (HL) against the LL of the price, so all indicators are bullish and calling for more upside. The 0.786 Fibonacci level is the next short term target (TP = 43,000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ: Forming the new Low of the Channel UpNasdaq is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.183, MACD = 55.990, ADX = 31.366) as the price is trading sideways on an upward slope at the bottom of the 1 month Channel Up. This is technically the new HL formation process and it is taking place under the 4H MA200 this time. The formation however of a 4H MACD Bullish Cross under 0.000 has been the most reliable buy indicator in the last two months, so it is a good enough reason to buy for us, since the risk factor at the bottom of the Channel Up is so low. The HH that followed the last HL was pcied on the 1.236 Fibonacci level and since the symmetry inside this pattern is high so far (Bearish waves indentical), our target is under the 1.236 Fib extension (TP = 20,750).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Dow breaks key 42,000 supportThe Dow has broken key support around 42000 as per the hourly chart above. The breakdown could lead to more selling pressure as we near the US presidential election, which is finally weighing on sentiment given how close the polls are. The DJIA has already broken a bullish trend line, so the path of least resistance in the next 24-48 hours is likely to be to the downside.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DreamAnalysis | Dow Jones Focus Key Levels and Strategic Moves✨ Today’s Focus: Dow Jones (US30) – A Major Market Influencer
We’re diving into the latest NASDAQ price action to pinpoint crucial levels, assess potential trends, and uncover strategic trading opportunities.
📊 Market Overview:
Currently, Dow Jones is positioned in a Discount. The price has broken through significant Seel-side liquidity levels, including the Relative Equal Lows Taken and now is having a retracement back higher, setting the stage for a potential move toward the Previous Week High ( PWH ). A Bullish Smart Money Technique (SMT) signal also aligns with the SPX500 (ES), hinting at possible headwinds.
🔴 Short- and Long-Term Outlook:
We’ll explore both bullish and bearish setups, equipping day traders with insights to approach both short-term and long-term trends effectively.
🗣 Short-Term Outlook:
In the short term, two scenarios could play out: either a push into the Buy Side Liquidity targeting the Previous Week High ( PWH ) and after that leading to a lower move. Lower timeframes will be crucial for monitoring these moves—drop down to spot key market movements in real-time.
🗣 Long-Term Outlook:
Looking long term, there’s potential for a pullback into a Premium level. For entries, tracking lower timeframes is essential. The Bullish SMT divergence with SPX500 (ES) reinforces the possibility of a Upward expansion.
🕓 Key Levels to Watch:
These levels will likely shape price movement:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as pivotal retracement zones, potentially guiding the next price movement.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
In a bullish setup, watch for Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes (LTF). Look for entry signals targeting higher levels, including a potential move toward the all-time high (ATH).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
For bearish trades, focus on lower timeframes such as the 15-minute chart. Short entries within the 4-Hour Imbalance or a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity provide further confirmation.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Stay adaptable as market dynamics shift. By monitoring these key levels and setups, you’ll refine your strategy and increase the potential for high-probability trades.
🔮 On the Radar:
We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets for evolving insights and timely updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SPX500 H1 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 5,769.26 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 5,804.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 5,727.17 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?GER40 is rising towards the resistance which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 19,326.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 19,557.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 19,073.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
High-Probability SWI20 Longs with 57.78% Achieving TPI am adopting a probabilistic approach to my trading strategy based on historical and statistical data.
This method allows me to identify patterns and trends that have proven effective in the past, enabling me to make informed decisions about entering long positions.
By applying mathematical rules derived from historical performance, I can assess the likelihood of price movements and manage risk effectively.
This systematic approach helps to minimize emotional decision-making and enhances the potential for successful trades.
Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Bias:
- Swiss Economic Resilience: Despite global economic challenges, Swiss equities are showing signs of recovery, with the Swiss SMI index rising 2% this year, indicating a potential bullish trend ahead.
- Central Bank Policies: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has indicated a favorable inflation outlook, which could lead to supportive monetary policies that benefit the stock market.
- Currency Dynamics: The recent correction in the Swiss franc may ease pressure on exporters, potentially leading to improved earnings for companies within the index.
- Investment Inflows: Swiss-domiciled funds have recorded their highest net inflows since 2022, reflecting growing investor confidence in the Swiss market.
These factors collectively support a bullish outlook for the Switzerland 20 Index, aligning with my trading strategy.
2W:
HOURLY ENTRY:
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable weakness by completing the Inner Index Dip at 5733, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 5798, while leaving the gap by not reaching the secondary Mean Support level of 5700. This development of fulfilling the gap will likely stimulate a significant rebound toward the Mean Resistance level of 5775, with the possibility of further extension. The 5700 support level is critical for facilitating a primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that achieving and penetrating the 5700 level could instigate a downward spiral in price action to Mean Sup 5620.
S&P500: 1D MA50 hit after 50 days. Is it a buy?S&P500 just turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.346, MACD = 12.360, ADX = 37.705) as it hit yesterday the 1D MA50 for the first time since September 11th. The Channel Up since August is intact and each of its two previous Lows took place on the 1D MA100 and 1D MA200 respectively, so each time an MA period higher. The 1D RSI is also reversing on a similar pattern as those two Lows. Our Target is the top of the pattern (TP = 6,000).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER EARNING Q3 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Initial Achievement , Prices have reached a target with a profit of +350 pips, indicating successful movement in the predicted direction.
Current Trading Range , Prices are currently within a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 20,549 and 20,410. An FVG is an area where liquidity may exist, so prices might experience some consolidation here.
If prices break below 20,146 (the demand line) and hold there, this would likely confirm a downtrend , A demand line often indicates support, where buyers might step in to prevent further drops.
Stabilizing within the FVG (above 20,410) suggests potential to reach 20,820 and further to 20,968 , If prices stabilize above the demand line, this would indicate strength and could push prices towards the target.
Overall Sentiment , The analysis concludes with an upward pressure bias, suggesting the analyst anticipates more bullish movement despite potential consolidation zones.
NASDAQ is Approaching An Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 19600 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 19600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DOW JONES: Bottom of the Channel Up.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.00, MACD = 51.000, ADX = 21.000) as it almost hit the bottom of the Channel Up pattern. It is about to form a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe, which will be the first since August 8th that was technically the bottom of July's correction and start of the current Channel Up. We expect the bottom to be priced either today or tomorrow and the RR is good enough to buy. We aim for the 1.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 44,000), which priced the previous two HH.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ASX 200 flirts with bearish reversal breakoutElection jitters are in the air, and it is weighing on Wall Street sentiment - and dragging the ASX 200 with it, which also faces pressure from a spate of weak China figures in recent weeks.
A potential head and shoulders top has formed on the daily chart, and prices are close to testing a support zone which could double up as a neckline.
For now, the ASX appears hesitant to break the 8130/50 support zone which brings could prompt a minor bounce over the near term.
A break beneath 8130 confirms the bearish reversal, which projects an approximate downside target near 7900 and the 200-day EMA. Also note the 8100 and 8000 levels which could provide support along the way
MS
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 41,894.89
1st Support: 41,497.27
1st Resistance: 42,478.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NASDAQ: Channel Up topped. Opportunity for short term selling.Nasdaq turned bearish on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 38.742, MACD = -3.920, ADX = 40.192) as it crossed under the 1H MA50. This comes after almost an exact touch at the top of the September Channel Up and while the 1D timeframe has gone from bullish to almost neutral. The last two rejections at the top targeted at least the 1.236 Fibonacci level on the pullback. That is what we aim for on the short term (TP = 20,250).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
DreamAnalysis | NASDAQ's Next Move Key Levels & Strategic Setups✨ Today’s Focus: NASDAQ (US100) – A Major Market Influencer
We’re diving into the latest NASDAQ price action to pinpoint crucial levels, assess potential trends, and uncover strategic trading opportunities.
📊 Market Overview:
Currently, NASDAQ is positioned in a deep premium. The price has broken through significant buy-side liquidity levels, including the Previous Month High (PMH) and Previous Week High (PWH), setting the stage for a potential move toward the all-time high. A bearish Smart Money Technique (SMT) signal also aligns with the SPX500 (ES), hinting at possible headwinds.
🔴 Short- and Long-Term Outlook:
We’ll explore both bullish and bearish setups, equipping day traders with insights to approach both short-term and long-term trends effectively.
🗣 Short-Term Outlook:
In the short term, two scenarios could play out: either a push into the Buy Side Liquidity targeting the all-time high or a rejection at the 4-Hour Imbalance, leading to a lower move. Lower timeframes will be crucial for monitoring these moves—drop down to spot key market movements in real-time.
🗣 Long-Term Outlook:
Looking long term, there’s potential for a pullback into a Discount level. For entries, tracking lower timeframes is essential, especially as we’re near the all-time high. The bearish SMT divergence with SPX500 (ES) reinforces the possibility of a downward expansion.
🕓 Key Levels to Watch:
These levels will likely shape price movement:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
- Weekly FVG: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone)
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as pivotal retracement zones, potentially guiding the next price movement.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
In a bullish setup, watch for Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes (LTF). Look for entry signals targeting higher levels, including a potential move toward the all-time high (ATH).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
For bearish trades, focus on lower timeframes such as the 15-minute chart. Short entries within the 4-Hour Imbalance or a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity provide further confirmation.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Stay adaptable as market dynamics shift. By monitoring these key levels and setups, you’ll refine your strategy and increase the potential for high-probability trades.
🔮 On the Radar:
We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets for evolving insights and timely updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
US30 REVERSAL MIGHT BE LURKINGThe US30 is currently in a corrective phase but approaching key support and liquidity levels. A potential bullish reversal is expected from around 42,530, targeting the buy-side liquidity near 43,330. I'll be watching for reactions around the SSL and FVG for entry opportunities, with a stop below 42,393 for risk management.
GLGT!!
LloydFx
Slight Correction Needed?Alhamdulillah, as mentioned on 27-09-2024 that
index may touch 87000 with slight corrections, it
touched the mentioned level.
Index is Still Bullish.
It has the potential to touch 100,000 - 100,350
It may take some correction of 2000 - 3000 points.
S1 is around 88500 - 88700
S2 is around 87000 - 87200
There is no harm in the Bullish Momentum as
long as it stays above 84500.
In worst case scenario, it may touch 82000 which
seems unlikely so far.