NAS100 TECHNICAL FORECASTHere I explain my forecast for Nas100,:
For short position I will be looking for break of the support and a clear retest and find entry, and my target for short position will be 15560.0 level.
For Long position , I am more interested on how market will react on the current support level, taking into consideration momentum, price action patterns and rejections I will be looking to buy the market at the support, using the basic law of trading which says " buy low and sell High" right now we are low at the support leve1.
Indices
NASDAQ Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 15970 zone, NASDAQ was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 15970 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
DOW JONES Sell signal at the top of the 1 year Channel UpDow Jones hit the top of the 1 year Channel Up, achieving an unprecedented High of overbought conditions on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 75.323, MACD = 557.860, ADX = 77.014). The first signs of exhaustion are given by the Stock RSI, which is pulling back. So far this can only be a short term sell signal so we are only aiming for the minimum retrace of the 0.236 Fibonacci level (TP = 35,550). Beyond that we need to see a closing under it in order to make an extension to the 1D MA50 (technically) but that would negate a seasonal Christmas rally. So for now take we keep only a short term horizon.
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S&P500 Potential Continuation to the upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 4540 zone, US500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 4540 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NASDAQ: Healthy pullback serving as end of year rally vessel.Nasdaq is pulling back today after the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross and the 1D technical outlook turned neutral (RSI = 54.419, MACD = 183.360, ADX = 45.724). This has so far achieved at offsetting the previous overbought condition on the chart. Technically it can be a HH rejection on a newly emerging Channel Up. This can serve as a buy opportunity either on the S1 level or if it is extended on the S2 and the 1D MA50 for the end of year rally. Our target is the ATH (TP = 16,775).
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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 1, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz index in this week's trading session retested our completed Inner Index Rally 4590 of July 27, 2023, and is moving higher, targeting the Key Res 4630 and Inner Index Rally 4647, respectively.
Once the market successfully achieves this target price, the follow-up squeeze will likely be significant and turbulent. Traders and investors should, therefore, be prudent and vigilant during this price action phase.
NASDAQ Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 15900 zone, NASDAQ was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 15900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
S&P500: Trading plan towards the end of the yearS&P500 is overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 72.156, MACD = 58.110, ADX = 59.863), a logical outcome considering the aggressive nature of November's rally. This rally is the HL rebound on the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up and is more effectively understood with the help of the Fibonacci levels and ranges.
The price has been trading all week inside the 0.382 - 0.236 Fibonacci range, a band that kickstarted pullbacks on December 1st 2022 and February 2nd 2023. Both were accompanied by a 1D MACD Bearish Cross and pulled back below the 1D MA50 and the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci Support Zone.
On the other hand when the June 15th 2023 rally crossed over the 0.236 Fibonacci level, the uptrend extended all the way to the top of the Channel Up.
Consequently we will buy if it crosses again over it and target the top (TP = 4,800) and sell if it crosses (and closes the 1D candle) under the 0.382 Fibonacci level and target the 0.618 Fib-1D MA50 band (TP = 4,410).
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DAX: Approaching the All Time High for a low risk short.DAX has turned vastly overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 80.023, MACD = 247.400, ADX = 61.180) with the 1D RSI reaching the highest levels since April 5th 2021. It is fast approaching R2 (16,535) which is the index' All Time High, technically a low risk short opportunity. We are looking to take it on next week's opening and target the 1D MA200-0.382 Fibonacci band (TP = 15,800).
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BluetonaFX - SPX Forecast Ahead of Fed SpeechHi Traders!
SPX is trading near its five-month high at 4607.07, and with Fed Chair Powell speaking later, the market could reach this level by the end of the trading week.
Price Action 📊
After the break and close of the previous resistance at 4541.25, the market has refused to go back below this level for the time being, and an ascending price channel has started to form. This indicates that the bulls are currently in control. 4607.07 is the five-month high, and this is the next most likely target the longer we stay above 4541.25.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
Later today, we have Fed Chair Powell speaking; therefore, we must be wary of his speech as he will mostly likely speak about the US' inflation situation, interest rates, and plans for the economy leading up to 2024.
Support 📉
4541.25: PREVIOUS RESISTANCE BREAK
Resistance 📈
4607.07: FIVE-MONTH HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
RUSSELL 2000: Short term pullback possible but buy for 1910.Russell 2000 crossed again today overo the 1D MA200 and it remains to be seen if it succeeds at closing above it. After the November 15th crossing but failure to close over it, a repeat may materialize a pullback of at least -4.50%, in similar fashion as the 1D MA200 rejections of May 23rd 2023 and November 1st 2022.
Technically that's possible as on the greater picture, the index is still neutral on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.610, MACD = -19.910, ADX = 34.284) sitting almost halfway of the giant consolidation/ Rectangle pattern of the past year and a half.
Consequently, we will welcome any pullback as a buy opportunity, but we are already bullish, aiming at the R1 level (TP = 1,910).
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S&P500 Easing the aggression but top isn't in yetThe S&P500 has been rising non-stop since the October 27th Low when the Bearish Megaphone bottomed and the long term Channel Up started the new Higher High leg.
The rally crossed over the top of the Bearish Megaphone and has already reached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the Channel Up.
The same sequence can bee seen at the end of last year (September - December), with a Bearish Megaphone bottoming and the subsequent rally topped on the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 4690 (projected contact with the 0.786 Fibonacci level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has turned overbought over 70.00 and turned sideways. Clear indication that the initial aggression of late October is fading and we should see a Bearish Divergence as the index approaches the 0.786 Fibonacci.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
NASDAQ Megaphone top and Bearish Cross call for a pull back.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a Megaphone pattern and has just hit its top.
A similar Megaphone in late 2022 - early 2023 got rejected on a proportional (to today's) top, followed by a 1day MACD Bearish Cross, which pulled the price back to the 1day MA50.
We are about to form a 1day MACD Bearish Cross on that exact same level.
Sell now and target the 1day MA50. Projected contact around 15400.
Previous chart:
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DXY D1 - Short SignalDXY D1
We continue to navigate to the southside here with the dollar index. During recent trade and events over the past few weeks.
Should we breach the significant 103.000 threshold, our sights are set on the next target at 101.500.
Additionally, anticipate a continued upward trajectory for XAUUSD, with all-time highs on the horizon.
DXY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring DXY for a selling opportunity around 103.600 zone, DXY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 103.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 24, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's abbreviated trading session, the S&P 500 index has again shown a constant upward trend. Current price action exhibits a solid indication to hit our completed Inner Index Rally 4590 on July 27, 2023, and move higher to Inner Index Rally #1 4647 and #2 4713, respectively. However, it's important to note that the market may experience transient pullbacks at this level, causing severe drawdown.
Once the market successfully achieves these targets, the subsequent squeezes will likely be significant and turbulent. Traders and investors should, therefore, be cautious and watchful during this phase, as it could considerably impact their trading and investment approach.
DOW JONES showing a Bearish Divergence. Expect correction soon.Dow Jones is extending the rally since the October 27th bottom, which was a HL of the dominant Channel Up pattern. The 1D technical outlook is overbought (RSI = 71.474, MACD = 390.490, ADX = 67.776) but the difference maker on the technical field is the CCI metric. Being also overbought over 100.00, it is showing a Bearish Divergence, which was present on the last three short term corrections since the March 15th Channel Up HL.
Common characteristic on all three was that the High was formed halfway through the CCI Bearish Divergence and the correction that followed always hit the 1D MA50. Consequently, we expect a correction to start as soon as next week, that will target the 1D MA50, before the Christmas rally begins.
Currently the estimated pullback target is at 34,450.
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