NASDAQ Technical Outlook at 16670 SupportHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on NAS100, particularly around the 16670 zone. NASDAQ is currently in an uptrend but is undergoing a correction phase as it approaches the trend at 16670 support and resistance area.
From a technical perspective, traders should closely observe the price action around this level. Analyze key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and relevant indicators to gauge market sentiment and identify potential entry and exit points. Utilizing technical tools such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD can provide additional insights into the strength of the trend and potential reversals.
Indices
DowJones on the Radar: US30 Technical Analysis at 37300Hey Traders, in the coming week, our focus is on the US30, particularly around the 37300 zone. The DowJones has been on a solid uptrend, showcasing its resilience in the market. As we enter the new trading session, we find the index in a correction phase, edging closer to the critical 37300 support and resistance area. This level has historically played a significant role, often acting as a pivot point for the DowJones.
Examining the technical indicators, the current correction appears to be a healthy retracement within the broader uptrend. The 37300 zone aligns with key Fibonacci levels, adding an extra layer of significance. Traders keen on trend-following strategies might eye this as a potential buying opportunity, anticipating a continuation of the upward trajectory. However, it's essential to keep a watchful eye on market sentiment, geopolitical events, and any unexpected developments that could influence the DowJones in the upcoming sessions.
In summary, the technical outlook for US30 around the 37300 zone suggests a strategic approach, emphasizing the importance of this level in the context of the broader market trend. As always, trade safe, and stay informed about the evolving market dynamics throughout the week.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Spooz's extended movement toward our designated target, Mean Res 4783 and Key Res 4800, is noteworthy. However, the completed Outer Index rally poses a significant barrier to advancement towards higher targets: Inner Index Rally 4882 and the next Outer Index Rally 5035. The current level of tight trading range supports this theory. Despite this, current market conditions suggest we may experience a squeeze that could drive the prices down to the Mean Support level at 4745 and possibly even the Inner Index Dip at 4595.
US2000 H4 | Potential bearish reversalUS2000 could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1,987.83 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 2,024.47 which is a pullback resistance that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1,923.50 which is a pullback support.
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NAS100 H4 | Approaching 38.2% Fibo supportNAS100 could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 16,663.60
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci level
Stop Loss: 16,517.35
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 16,995.45
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Dow Jones H4 | Potential bullish breakoutDow Jones (US30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially break above this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 37,871.59 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 37,350.00 which is a level that sits under a pullback support.
Take profit is at 38,256.87 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DJ30 H4 | Potential pullback before bullish bounceDJ30 could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 37,665.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 37,247.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take Profit: 38,250.77
Why we like it:
There is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
SP500 H4 | Potential bullish momentumSP500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 4,738.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 4,678.99
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 4,815.95
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DAX: Strong selling expected.DAX has turned bullish again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.214, MACD = 155.000, ADX = 20.016) as it is posting the strongest daily candle of the last 30 days. We consider this move to be counter trend as the Bearish Divergence that is being staged on the 1D RSI looks like the one in late February 2023. That one also posted a counter trend rise on February 24th that tested the Resistance and then pulled back by -7.83% to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Consequently we are shorting the current rally and will target the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 15,800), which is slightly under the S1 level and the 1D MA200.
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US500 to turnaround?SPX500USD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
The primary trend remains bullish.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
We look to buy dips.
We look to Buy at 4682 (stop at 4660)
Our profit targets will be 4737 and 4757
Resistance: 4750 / 4820 / 4920
Support: 4610 / 4500 / 4415
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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S&P500 - 5000 Points In 2024Hello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of S&P500.
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Explanation of my chart analysis:
The S&P500 has been rallying for the entire year of 2023. Many people do expect a correction but the charts are still looking pretty bullish. If we see a breakout above the previous all time high at $4.700, I do expect a rally back to the upper resistance of the rising channel above $5.000.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
SNP likely flipping lower...looking for shorts on h1 etc...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Flipping on the index to the downside, correlating with the strengthening in USD?Let's see...
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Correlation Chronicles: NASDAQ’s Potential Gain on DXY's PainHello Traders,
As we approach tomorrow's trading session, our focus is keenly set on NAS100, where we are eyeing a potential buying opportunity around the 16150 zone. The current market dynamics reveal NASDAQ trading within an established uptrend, and the ongoing correction phase is bringing it closer to the pivotal 16150 support and resistance area.
Delving into the technical aspects, the 16150 level becomes a crucial point of interest. It not only aligns with the prevailing uptrend but also marks a significant support and resistance area. Traders looking to capitalize on potential buying opportunities should pay close attention to price movements around this zone, considering it as a strategic entry point.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, recent ISM figures have come in below expectations, indicating potential weakness in the US dollar (USD). The negative correlation between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and NASDAQ suggests that a bearish DXY could contribute to upside movements in NASDAQ. Traders should stay attuned to these interconnected dynamics, assessing how potential USD weakness might impact NAS100 and adjusting their strategies accordingly.
In conclusion, traders navigating NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 16150 should approach the market with a holistic view, integrating both technical and fundamental factors. Stay vigilant for potential shifts in the USD and consider risk management strategies to navigate the evolving market dynamics.
Trade wisely,
Joe.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz extended down movement from our designated target Key Res 4800 and Outer Index Rally 4807 and now rests comfortably at our Mean Support level of 4700. The current market conditions suggest we experience a squeeze that could take us down to the Mean Support level at 4644 and possibly even the Inner Index Dip at 4595. However, the current level of support may provide a rebound to the newly created Mean Resistance level at 4740 before continuing its downward movement.
A Deep Dive into DXY's Fundamental LandscapeGreetings Traders,
Our focus pivots to the US Dollar Index (DXY), where we are actively evaluating a potential selling opportunity around the 102.900 zone. As DXY charts its course within a downtrend, the ongoing correction phase places it in proximity to the trend at the critical 102.900 resistance area. This comprehensive analysis delves into the fundamental landscape, incorporating key indicators such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions, highlighting the significance of monitoring DXY for a broader market perspective.
Commencing with the FOMC decisions, the most recent meeting on December 13, 2023, maintained the interest rate at 2.00%. The accompanying dovish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve underscores a commitment to supporting economic growth amidst inflationary pressures. This dovish stance has implications for DXY, as it sets the stage for potential weakness in the US Dollar.
Turning our attention to the CPI data, the latest figures reveal a year-over-year inflation rate of 1.2% for October 25, 2023. While this marks a slight increase from the previous 0.8%, it remains below the FOMC's target. The easing inflation provides the Federal Reserve with flexibility in its approach to interest rates, contributing to the overall dovish sentiment.
The interest rate differentials between the United States and other major economies further shape the DXY landscape. As of December 13, 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate stands at 2.00%, while other central banks, such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan, maintain lower rates. This divergence amplifies the potential for DXY weakness, as traders seek higher yields in alternative currencies.
Considering the broader market context, monitoring DXY is paramount before making trading decisions across USD pairs, gold, cryptocurrencies, and indices. The inverse correlation between DXY and these assets underscores the interconnected nature of global financial markets. A weakening DXY tends to boost the appeal of alternative assets, impacting trading dynamics across various instruments.
In conclusion, as we assess a potential selling opportunity around the 102.900 zone in DXY, the confluence of CPI and FOMC dynamics paints a nuanced picture of USD weakness. Traders are urged to keep a vigilant eye on DXY for insights into the broader market sentiment, influencing trading decisions across a spectrum of financial instruments.
Best of luck in your trades,
Joe
S&P500: Top officially formed. Eyes 4,500S&P500 has turned neutral on the 1D technica outlook (RSI = 47.788, MACD = 28.200, ADX = 43.854) as it made a LL for the first time since the October 27th 2023 bottom, marking the end of that two month rally. That was the latest bullish wave of the 15 month Channel Up.
According to the three prior peaks that formed HH on the Channel Up, the index should kickstart a pullback that should cross under the 1D MA50 and may extend as low as -9.00% even. The RSI Channel Down patterns among all those bearish waves look very much alike. Consequently we will stay bearish and set a less aggressive target over the 1D MA200 (TP = 4,500).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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Selling might not be done yet, what to watch out forRecently, we discussed how overbought conditions in the stock market were making a case for correction. Now, with the major market indices retreating slightly lower, we are looking for more clues about where the market might be headed next. To support a thesis about the SPX going lower, we would like to see RSI, MACD, and Stochastic continue declining on the daily graph. In addition to that, we would like to see the SPX break below Support 1 near $4,697 and further rise in the VIX. Contrarily, to support the bullish odds, we would like to see the SPX hold above Support 1 and a reversal in the mentioned technical indicators, along with the drop in the VIX.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of SPX within the upward-sloping channel and two simple moving averages. Interestingly, the value of the 20-day SMA closely coincides with that of Support 1; a failure of the moving average to hold selling pressure will tilt the odds to the bearish side.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP500 Next Buy opportunity 4699 - 4719SP500 Next Buy opportunity 4699 - 4719
Target will be pending with future
Wait for confirmation....................
Current situation
4699 level is still in support position. already retested. good level for entering the buy trade
however if its broke the support the next support is 4650.00
RUT 2K Price Prediction for 2024If you haven`t bought the Double Bottom on RUT 2K:
Then you probably know that small caps haven`t participated in the 2023 market rally.
That`s why I believe investors will will for opportunities in the small cap stocks in 2024, and Russell 2000 index might offer a bigger return than the S&P this year.
My price prediction for RUT 2K is $2560 by the end of the year.
Nasdaq - First Quarter Might Be Red➡️Hello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq.
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➡️I will only take a trade if all of the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
➡️Consider hitting that like button for more free, daily analysis. Your support means a lot!
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➡️Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
➡️Keep your long term vision.
DOW JONES: Under the 4H MA50 for the first time in 2 months.Dow Jones has turned neutral on the 4H technical outlook (RSI = 55.920, MACD = 42.900, ADX = 19.367) as today it crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since November 1st. Even though the price remains inside the two month Channel Up, this 4H MA50 crossing constitutes the first validated sell signal coming off the big Bearish Divergence on the 1D RSI which is trading inside a Channel Down.
Even though the S1 level is the first level of Support, we expect the pullback to correct a sizeable portion of that rally and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 36,000) around the S2 level with a relative tolerance range up to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
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SPX500 Short Trade Idea for SPX500
Bias: Very Bearish
Overall Score: -7
Commitment of Traders (COT) Bias: -1
Institutional traders are showing a mild bearish sentiment towards the S&P 500.
Retail Sentiment: 0
Retail sentiment is neutral, suggesting no significant directional bias from this group.
Seasonality: -1
Historically, this time of year exhibits some bearish tendencies for the S&P 500.
Trend Reading: -2
The current trend for the S&P 500 is bearish, pointing to a downward momentum.
GDP Growth: 1
US GDP growth is showing positive signs, offering a bit of a counter-narrative to the bearish view. However, it's not enough to overturn the broader bearish sentiment.
Inflation: -3
A concerning inflation situation suggests potential headwinds for the equity market.
Unemployment: -1
Rising unemployment can lead to decreased consumer spending, adding pressure on stocks.
Interest Rates: 0
Interest rates are neutral and are not significantly influencing the current direction of the S&P 500.
Conclusion: The prevailing indicators, especially trend and inflation, support a very bearish stance on the S&P 500. While there are positive GDP growth figures, the overall score suggests downside potential.