Intraday Bullish setup on DJIOn a weekly chart, the price broke above the upper band of an expanding wedge channel, now it just made its second retest of the upper band- making that level a bit more stronger (provided it does not get broken).
So, i am having 2 bias, one is mid-term bullish bias as shown in the above chart. A break above the Intraday - OB followed by a retest would mean that buyers are still very much interested in riding the price back up.
Alternatively, if the price break down and fall back inside the wedge (weekly) then the FVG could get filled up and it's going to be a quick bearish down pour.
So, stay close and watch how it plays out.
Indicessignals
DOW30- Will CPI data trigger a break and a push above 35k?After the double bottom under 29k and a break above descending trend line resistance, Dji has started to consolidate (as if it was waiting for Nas100 and SP500 to catch up, and now are all aligned:) ).
Technically, the picture is bullish and crystal clear, with a price waiting for a trigger to break above the triangle's resistance.
CPI could provide this trigger and, in such an instance, bulls could push Dow above 35k.
P.S: I don't think we are out of the woods and this optimism will last, but I've learned to now argue with the market
SP500- High probability of an up breakS&P started the year bullish putting in a higher low on our daily chart and after reaching the trend line(that is the talking point in all analyses) corrected slightly.
At this moment the price is flirting with 4k figure and a break up seems very probable.
In such an instance 4.2-4.3k zone becomes in focus for the short term.
P.S: For the long term, on the other hand, I'm not convinced that we have found the bottom
Tactical Retreat from USD, Might Spell DOOM & GLOOM [Short]So how did US's inflation report fare on Thursday 12th of January and how will this take the by the hand?
For now, t's still moving down but not as sharp as it's been climbing.
A YoY decrease of 0.6% in CPI and a YoY decrease of 0.3% in Core CPI.
However, if we look at the MoM data, it's barely moving down to the point that core inflation has even moved up!
Uh-Oh..
If we look at the easing conditions in US markets, and a sticky core inflation it might be a matter of time until the next report comes out fiery hot.
And the FED won't have any other choice than to go raising those rates again!
But until that time, we should grasp the opportunity and stay vigilent for an unwelcome upside surprise
- The has been in a consolidating state, after falling below the daily 200 SMA.
DXY 1D
- Right after we've seen the Dollar breaking out of this consolidation and resuming its move to the downside.
- So far the MACD is showing us a new bearish momentum is about to start on the daily-chart, which could drive the dollar towards 101 and plunging it further to the multiyear resistance turned support at 98.
- The RSI could support a further move to the downside, although I would be much more satisfied if it would start the move from 45. This might create some room for the market-move without getting oversold too quickly.
DXY 4H
- While this is quite bearish for the dollar, I still want to be sure if this move will be sustained this week.
- What we're probably about to see at the beginning of the week, is the Dollar trying to recover some ground until it reaches 102,5/103 before getting dumped again.
- Resetting the indicators to a more comfortable state, from where it could proceed towards the next support.
DXY 1H
If this has been helpful at all, put some call options on that REP!
SPX500 DECISION TIMESPX500 has been in this long down trend. Price is currently trading right at the main trend and looks threatening with a lot of bullish candles building up. 4000 is the mental price and i am watching for a break or rejection before taking any trades. Sure to say Monday will be interesting
US30 Entries + ExitsMy course is finally available! If you would like it in order to understand how to play my analysis FULLY, please let me know privately.
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
US30 Entries + ExitsThe 1on1 video is currently out, if you would like it in order to understand how to play my analysis FULLY, please let me know privately.
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
SPX500 Entries + ExitsThe 1on1 video is currently out, if you would like it in order to understand how to play my analysis FULLY, please let me know privately.
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
US30 New Entries + Exits (Best Reverse Strat)My forex course regarding my strategy in full is now AVAILABLE!
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
SPX500- Bulls could see some favorable movementSince the recent low at 3500, marked by a huge bullish engulfing, with a long down tail and engulfing the previous 3 days, SP500 started to rise and, at the time of writing is trading exactly in 3800 resistance.
With a new bullish engulfing on Friday, the odds are in favor of a bottom, at least for now.
At this moment I see 2 bullish scenarios in SP's case:
1. A drop from this resistance and a test of the 3650-3700 zone before the resumption to the up move and a break above resistance.
2. A break above resistance without testing of support
In both cases, the target for bulls is the 4200 zone resistance
These scenarios are negated by a drop under 3550
US30 New Entries + Exits (Best Reverse Strat)My forex course regarding my strategy in full is now AVAILABLE!
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
US30 New Entries + Exits (Best Reverse Strat)My forex course regarding my strategy in full is now AVAILABLE!
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
NAS100 New Entries + Exits (Best Reverse Strat)My forex course regarding my strategy in full is now AVAILABLE!
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
SPX500 Entries + Exits for FREE (Best Reverse Strat)My forex course regarding my strategy in full is now AVAILABLE!
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
SP500- 3750 can be a good place to buyAfter the high at 4300, SP500 started to drop and now is trading again under 4k important figure.
However, the recent drop is in steps, mostly triggered by news events and followed by tight ranges.
For me, this is the indication of a reversal, and 3750 support can be a good place to buy the index.
A buy in this zone with an SL under the recent low and TP at 4100 resistance could also have a good R: R of 1:2
SP500 is drawing a very nasty pictureAs the title says, SP500 is drawing a very nasty bearish picture.
We can see from the posted chart, that after the low from mid-June, the index started to reverse, and once it has broken above 4100 horizontal resistance I was inclined to think that the correction that started at the beginning of the year is over.
However, after it reached 4.3k zone resistance given by the descending trend line, instead of a small correction and resumption to the up move, the index has broken back under, a break marked by an immense 200 points bearish engulfing (around 5%). This type of price action is a clear indication that bears are not done yet and more losses are around the corner.
At the time of writing, SP500 is trading at 3900, exactly in the confluence support zone and, in my opinion, this level will fall soon.
In an optimistic scenario, a rebound can follow now, but this should be used as an opportunity to sell in anticipation of a break.
The target can be the 3600 low, for now though... SP500 is very probable to drop under.
P.S: Only sustained buying power above 4100 would change my bearish outlook
US30 New Entries + Exits (Best Reverse Strat)My forex course regarding my strategy in full is now AVAILABLE!
All likes/comments and feedback are very much appreciated!
How to play my chart:
Buy at support, sell at resistance. When you open this chart you'll see a green entry and a red entry. When the candlestick hits the green entry, you place a buy. If however that support buy doesn't go into profit and goes negative -35 or -60 pips (depending if it was a fast break/or if the break landed on a minute 15 zone), if it breaks you would then exit your buy and immediately enter the sell. You would then ride that sell down to green TP1, or you could then repeat and play the buy/break there.
The same exact thing goes for resistance sell/break plays!
S&P 500 index LONGAs we can see the indices markets has shown us a very strong bullish Market for the past weeks , my sentiments on this pair are bullish from the previous h4 Low that we are are currently rallying down down to retest at price levels 4000-3960 we should watching for a strong reversal to carry on the initial uptrend
Nasdaq100- The do or die momentThe first part of the year was very bad for indices and Nas100 in particular, with the technology index dropping around 30%.
However, in mid-June, a bottom was created and we have had a bullish run for 2 months now.
The index also managed to break above important 13k resistance which is a confluence one, given by the horizontal level and the falling trend line.
At this moment, the picture looks pretty bullish and we can have a continuation to the upside after the recent correction.
In such a case bulls can target 15k for the next leg up.
On the other hand, and this is very important, a failure to maintain 12800-13000 intact would make the recent break a nasty bull trap and the index could fall again to at least the previous low.
SP500- Rise from support?Since the bottom was found in mid-June, SP500 has started to rise and at the beginning of August managed to break above important 4000-4100 zone resistance.
After making a high above 4300 the index started to correct lower and now is trading exactly above the mentioned resistance, now support.
There is a high probability for up continuation from this point and a long trade targeting the previous high can have a 1:2 risk: reward ratio.
Even more, if the correction started at the beginning of the year is over, swing traders can target 4.6k resistance with a 1:6 R:R.
Nasdaq could rise to 15kAfter the low made in June, Nas100 changed its trajectory and started to rise. Last week the index managed to conquer 13k resistance and yesterday's reversal from this zone proved that bulls are strong at this level.
With the falling trend line broken and strong horizontal support we can expect continuation to the upside in the medium term and 15k can be the swing trader's target.
I'm bullish as long as 13k is intact.
My Previous Nas100 analysis:
Is Nasdaq forming a measured move ?!?!?! Target above 20k...This is a very long-term view and, of course, anything can happen if you are trying to predict 2-3 years move. As you know, in trading is best to trade what you see, not what you think, and what I see now is looking like Nasdaq is forming a measured move and as crazy as it may sound in the current economical conditions, the target for this pattern is well above 20k. (The Measured Move is a three-part formation that begins as a reversal pattern and resumes as a continuation pattern.)
So, the Nasdaq index has started the year badly and has dropped from above 16k to a low around 11k, but looking at the longer TF we can see that this drop can be just a correction of the last leg up that begins at the start of the pandemics. Also, the index reversed from between 50% and 61% Fibo and important horizontal support.
At this moment Nas100 is flirting with the falling trend line and a break here looks imminent. A break and sustained buying above this level could lead to further gains and, as I said, the target for the pattern is above 20k